STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, AUGUST 11th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 8/11/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #20
•Carlos Gonzalez Lands On Disabled List With Knee Issue: MLB.com beat writer Thomas Harding reports that the Rockies have put outfielder Carlos Gonzalez on the 15-day disabled list with left knee tendinitis. It’s yet another dagger in what has been a highly frustrating season for the dynamic 28-year-old. CarGo needed surgery in early June to remove a benign tumor from his left index finger and has been bothered off and on by knee issues since April. This has all led to him posting a disappointing .238 batting average and .723 OPS (89 OPS+) over 70 games. He had a .300 batting average and .887 OPS (125 OPS+) in 691 career games prior to the start of the 2014 campaign.
•Angels LHP Skaggs Having Tommy John Surgery: Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs will have Tommy John surgery and may be sidelined through the 2015 season, the team announced Sunday. Skaggs was recently placed on the disabled list with a flexor strain. This year, the 23-year-old is 5-5 with a 4.30 ERA in 113 innings. Skaggs was acquired from the Arizona Diamondbacks as part of a three-team trade involving the Chicago White Sox that sent outfielder Mark Trumbo to Arizona. With Skaggs out, Hector Santiago and Matt Shoemaker will remain in the Angels rotation.
•Dodgers Place SS Ramirez On DL: The Los Angeles Dodgers placed shortstop Hanley Ramirez on the 15-day disabled list Sunday with a strained right oblique. The move was made retroactive to Saturday. In a corresponding move, the Dodgers recalled infielder Darwin Barney from Triple-A Albuquerque. Miguel Rojas started in place of Ramirez at shortstop Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers and could fill in for a while. Ramirez may be out longer than 15 days. Ramirez is batting .277 with 12 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. Barney, who was acquired from the Chicago Cubs in July, has mostly played second base. However, he played third base for Albuquerque on Saturday and has played some games at shortstop. He played shortstop collegiately at Oregon State.
•Jacob DeGrom To Miss Next Start: Reigning NL Rookie of the Month Jacob DeGrom has been scratched from Tuesday's scheduled start against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field with shoulder soreness. The Mets' 26-year-old right-hander will be dispatched to New York for an examination with team doctors on Monday. DeGrom said he does not believe the issue is concerning. "I'm calm about it," he said. "I don't think it's anything serious. I can probably go out there and pitch with it right now, but I think just talking to them, at this time of the year, it's not really worth pushing it. If I can skip one [start] and be 100 percent and let it calm down, I think that's what they kind of talked about."
DeGrom indicated he felt soreness at the top of the shoulder Friday, the day after facing the Nationals in D.C., then again Saturday throwing on flat ground. "I just felt a little something after the last start and gave them a heads up. So they said let's just try to skip one and go from there," DeGrom said. "I haven't felt anything all year. I think it's a little inflamed or something. I think I'll be fine." Assistant general manager John Ricco said it is unclear whether DeGrom will miss one or multiple starts until after Monday's medical examination.
Right-hander Carlos Torres, currently in the bullpen, could make a spot start if doctors are confident DeGrom will only miss one rotation turn. Promoting elite pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard or Rafael Montero from Triple-A Las Vegas may be considered if DeGrom is forced to the disabled list. "The first thing we've got to see is if this is a one-start thing or more than that," Ricco said. Daisuke Matsuzaka (elbow inflammation) already is eligible to return from the disabled list, but is not a consideration to fill in Tuesday because he first needs to make a rehab appearance, which is scheduled to come Monday with Class A St. Lucie.
Ricco said having DeGrom skip a start at some point this season was planned anyway. General manager Sandy Alderson has said the Mets plan to cap DeGrom's workload at 185 innings this season. DeGrom currently is at 138 2/3 innings between the majors and minors. If his workload continued uninterrupted for the remainder of the season including Tuesday, DeGrom would have made eight more starts. DeGrom is 6-5 with a 2.87 ERA in 16 major league starts this season. He went 4-1 with a 1.39 ERA in five starts in July to earn the NL Rookie of the Month award.
Montero has tossed 14 2/3 scoreless innings over his past two starts with Triple-A Las Vegas. Syndergaard allowed four runs (two earned) in five innings against Albuquerque in his last start, but had allowed only two runs (one earned) in 17 1/3 innings over his previous three Pacific Coast League outings. Montero is scheduled to start Monday for Las Vegas, with Syndergaard is slated for Tuesday. So both prospects are properly lined up to fill in for DeGrom if the Mets opt for someone other than Torres. DeGrom said he had shoulder soreness last season as well. "Last year it was in a different spot," he said. "I haven't had this. Talking to the guys, they don't think it's anything serious."
•A's Offer Hearty Welcome For Twins Pitcher's Debut: For the past three weeks, the A's hadn't scored in the first inning. A span of 17 games, and zilch in inning No. 1. On Saturday, Oakland faced right-hander Trevor May, making his major-league debut for the Twins, and May had trouble throwing strikes. That helped the A's break through the first-inning blockade; May walked Derek Norris with the bases loaded in the opening inning, the first of Norris' five RBIs, and Oakland topped Minnesota again, this time by a score of 9-4. "We cashed in when we needed to," Norris said. "We made him pay for free passes."
The Athletics have won all six games between the teams this season and have a 12-game overall winning streak against the Twins. A major component of those dozen wins: Oakland has walloped 22 homers. For the season, the A's are 35-4 when outhomering opponents. "The homers helped," Oakland manager Bob Melvin said. "We've been a little shy with those lately. And that cures a lot of ills when you're scoring three runs with one swing of the bat." The A's drew a season-high-tying 11 walks, including Eric Sogard's four. Norris had another bases-loaded walk in the second inning - and he also hit a three-run homer in the sixth to go along with Stephen Vogt's two-run blast in the fifth.
Six of Norris' career-high 10 homers this year have been three-run shots. "Quite a coincidence," he said. "I like to think when runners get on base is the time you make your money." The big hit of the second inning came from Josh Donaldson, who whacked the first pitch he got for a two-run single after May had walked the previous three hitters. That made it four runs in the first two innings for the A's, who'd managed three runs, total, over the first three innings of the previous eight games on the homestand.
And how does Jeff Samardzija do when given more than two runs of support? Typically very, very well: He's 5-1 in nine starts backed with three or more runs, 0-7 in 15 starts with two or fewer. In his seven starts with the A's, Samardzija is 3-1 with a 3.08 ERA and Oakland is 6-1. He snapped a 14-start winless streak at night dating to last Aug. 24. In each of Samardzija's last two starts, the "Rally Possum" - an opossum dubbed, among other things on social media, O.Possum - has appeared. "He likes me," Samardzija said. "I need to go find this guy. He's pretty sweet, man, he knows what he's doing. He shows up at the right time, like down times of games. He must have a little ego on him, which I don't mind." Samardzija, who said he felt he was fighting himself in the early innings, also allowed one run in the first, giving up a one-out double to Brian Dozier and a single to Trevor Plouffe.
Danny Santana led off the fifth with a double, moved to second on a groundout by Dozier and scored on a groundout by Plouffe. "I felt like I was in the stretch the whole game," said Samardzija, who threw 109 pitches in six innings. "I just made a couple good pitches when I needed to, but I made it harder on myself at other times." Donaldson finished with three hits, and he was drilled on the left hip by Samuel Deduno in the sixth. Donaldson has a 16-game hitting streak against the Twins, second longest in Oakland history against Minnesota after Terrance Long's 19. The scoreless streak by Oakland's bullpen ended at 29 2/3 innings when Dan Otero allowed two runs in the eighth. The Athletics a season-high 28 games over .500 at 72-44, have won three in a row for the first time since a six-game winning streak at the start of July.
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Betting Notes - Monday
National League
•Mets-Phillies - 1:05 PM
--Niese is 0-4, 6.48 in his last four starts.
--Buchanan is 5-2, 3.43 in his last seven starts.
--Mets are 3-5 in their last eight games.
--Phillies won seven of their last ten home games.
--Over is 17-9 last 26 Philly games.
•Cardinals-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Miller is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
--Koehler is 1-3, 5.29 in his last six starts.
--Cardinals lost four of their last six road games.
--Marlins lost seven of their last eleven games overall.
--Four of last five Miller starts went over the total.
•Dodgers-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Haren is 1-5, 8.22 in his last six starts.
--Teheran is 4-0, 1.24 in his last seven home starts.
--Dodgers won six of their last eight road games.
--Braves won five of last six at home.
--Four of last five Dodger games stayed under total.
•Brewers-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Gallardo is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
--Arrieta is 2-0, 2.14 in his last five home starts.
--Milwaukee won three of last four games, but lost six of last eight on road.
--Cubs are 6-9 in their last fifteen home games.
--Five of last seven Brewer games stayed under total.
•Rockies-Padres - 10:10 PM
--Lyles is 1-1, 6.66 in his last five starts.
--Hahn is 6-2, 2.17 in his last eight starts.
--Rockies lost 11 of their last 14 games.
--San Diego won eight of its last eleven games.
--Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Colorado road games.
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American League
•Yankees-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Capuano is 1-1, 3.32 in three starts for New York.
--Norris is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.
--Yankees are 5-7 in its last twelve road games.
--Baltimore won ten of its last fourteen games.
--Six of last seven New York games stayed under total.
•Rays-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Smyly is 0-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
--Lewis is 2-0, 1.13 in his last couple starts.
--Rays won three of their last four games.
--Texas lost 12 of last 18 games (3-2 in last five).
--Under is 4-1-1 in Tampa Bay's last six games.
•Twins-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Milone is making first Minnesota start; he was 6-0, 2.70 in his last eleven starts for Oakland.
--Peacock is 0-3, 18.00 in his last three starts.
--Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
--Astros won five of their last six home games.
--Seven of last ten Minnesota games went over total.
•Athletics-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Gray is 5-2, 2.72 in his last seven starts.
--Ventura is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
--A's won five of their last seven games.
--Kansas City won ten of its last eleven games.
--Under is 8-4 in last twelve Kansas City games.
•Blue Jays-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Blue Jays won last three Hutchison starts (2-0, 3.44).
--Hernandez is 4-1, 1.61 in his last nine starts. Seattle scored 17 runs in his last seven starts.
--Toronto lost six of last nine games, but won last two in last at-bat.
--Mariners won six of their last eight games.
--Four of last five Hutchison starts went over the total; under is 9-1-1 in last 11 Hernandez starts.
Interleague
•Tigers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Verlander is 1-2, 2.86 in his last three starts.
--Locke is 1-2, 6.03 in his last five starts.
--Detroit is 10-14 since the All-Star break.
--Pirates are 5-6 in last eleven games; they scored three runs in last two games.
--Last five Verlander starts stayed under the total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Niese 10-11; Buchanan 6-5
-- Miller 10-12; Koehler 10-13
-- Haren 11-12; Teheran 14-10
-- Gallardo 10-13; Arrieta 10-7
-- Lyles 7-6; Hahn 7-3
-- Capuano 1-2; Norris 11-8
-- Smyly 6-12/0-1; Lewis 10-10
-- Milone 9-7/0-0; Peacock 6-10
-- Gray 15-8; Ventura 11-10
-- Hutchison 12-11; Hernandez 16-8
-- Verlander 13-10; Locke 7-5
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Milwaukee’s Yovani Gallardo is 11-1 his last twelve team starts during August, including 5-0 the last five away. Gallardo has let his pitching do the talking against the Cubs over the last few years, and he's been especially solid at Wrigley. He's 5-2 with a 2.70 ERA in his last nine overall starts against Chicago, including 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA in his last six at the Friendly Confines -- striking out 44 in 38 2/3 innings in that road stretch. The Mexico native had yielded a total of eight hits in 14 2/3 scoreless innings over his previous two outings. Gallardo is facing Chicago for the first time this season.
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