Service Plays Monday 8/11/08

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 10, 2008

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 10, 2008

FYI - 2 DAY GAMES TODAY

- National League -

1:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh (53-64, 21-38 away)
NY Mets (62-55, 36-22 home)

PIT: Duke (4-10, 5.13 ERA)
NYM: Martinez (3-3, 5.79 ERA)

2:05 PM ET
Washington (44-74, 21-41 away)
Milwaukee (67-51, 35-23 home)

WAS: Mock (0-2, 4.91 ERA)
MIL: Bush (6-9, 4.50 ERA)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 10, 2008

Wild Bill

Mon:
Bengals +3 1/2 (5 units)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 10, 2008

PlayByPlayInc. NFL

8/11/2008 CINCINNATI 3

JrBoy · Aug 10, 2008

Anyone ever try hsw?

Risk44 · Aug 11, 2008

Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets Aug 11 2008 1:10PM
Prediction: under
Reason: I'm playing on the Mets and Pirates to finish UNDER the total.

$kipper · Aug 11, 2008

Dwayne Bryant

<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">7:05 PM ET
Major League Baseball
Toronto Blue Jays (Marcum) at Detroit Tigers (Verlander)</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Bonus Play On: Detroit Tigers (Listed Pitchers) -153
</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb">

Things look about even when you compare Marcum's road numbers to Verlander's home numbers. Neither has pitched well in their last three starts, although I do like Verlander's over 3/1 K/BB ratio. Marcum is coming off a home win over Oakland in which he went 7 innings and allowed just 1 run on 3 hits. Now he has to go on the road against a team that can hit well. The last time Marcum faced a good hitting team, Texas ripped him for 6 runs on 7 hits in just 4 1/3 innings. In fact, Marcum has allowed 12 runs on 15 hits in 9 innings in his 2 road starts since coming off the DL. The hitters on Detroit's active roster are batting a respectable .281 against Marcum (9-for-32) with a nice .594 slugging percentage.
Verlander has been roughed up in his last three starts, one on the road against the Indians and two against the White Sox (1 home, 1 away). Prior to this slump, Verlander had allowed 2 earned runs or less in 11 of 13 starts. He also had Quality Starts in 6 of his last 7 home starts, allowing 2 earned runs or less in 6 of those 7 outings (allowed 3 runs in the other outing). The icing on the cake: the batters on Toronto's active roster are hitting just .143 against Verlander (5-for-35).
The Jays have averaged just 3.25 runs per game against righties over their last 5 games. Detroit has averaged 5.11 runs per game against righties over their last 5 games. On the road this season, Toronto is batting .255 and scoring 4.49 runs per game against righties. At home this season, Detroit is batting .298 and scoring 6.16 runs per game against righties.
Take Detroit/Verlander over Toronto/Marcum.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 11, 2008

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Cubs last night. Today it's the Yankees and Red Sox. The surplus is 185 sirignanos.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 11, 2008

HONDO

August 11, 2008

Hondo, who'd been slightly chilly lately, broke the schneid yesterday, hitting with the Chisox to increase his collection of dead presidents to 440 osteens.
Today, it's Danks for the memories - 10 more units on the Pale Hose.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Aug 11, 2008

armvin Sports Mlb

8/11/2008 Philadelphia Phillies 119

badbyzdmx · Aug 11, 2008

Guaranteed Sports Pick

-----Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers (-3.5) 36 O/U

For our 5* NFLX Game of the Week
our cappers have selected the Cincinnati Bengals +3.5
on the road.

nordique · Aug 11, 2008

Feist & Cokin

This is Jim Feist. My free pick of the day is the game between (909) PHI Phillies and (910) LA Dodgers. Take "Under". Dodger stadium is a terrific pitcher's park, one with a huge outfield. The Dodgers have an improved offense with Manny Ramirez, but oddsmakers have over-adjusted, as LA is still 12-4 under the total the last 16 games. Starter Derek Lowe and his sinker struggle on the road, but he has a 2.72 ERA at home. Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick has an ERA close to 5 at home, but 3.90 on the road. The Phillies are on a 5-1-1 under the total run. Play the Phillies/Dodgers under the total!

Dave Cokin. My free pick of the day is the game between (909) PHI Phillies and (910) LA Dodgers. Take "(909) PHI Phillies

nordique · Aug 11, 2008

Las Vegas Sports Advisors Card For Monday

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Milwaukee/David Bush -1.5 102
FREE PICK (4*

Philadelphia/Kyle Kendrick +121 (4*

NFL
Cinncy +3.0(5*
Play of the Day

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

SCOTT FERRALL
Comp
Bengals +3 from Packers--Rodgers doesn't play much but the Green still screw it up and the Bengals actually look good for a change

MLB

San Francisco +115 at Houston--Backe got lit up his last time out, so I'm rolling the dice with Dirty Sanchez and the Giants at Minute Maid

Milwaukee -200 and Bush over the Nationals--you got to pay to play baby--I still think the Brewers will win it

Pirates +175 at Shea over Pedro and the Mets--Zach Duke gets help from the Bucs bats as they jump on Martinez, who usually gives up some runs and homers these days--he hasn't pitched rotten, but he hasn't been getting decisions either. Pirates catch the Mets off guard in the rainout makeup in Queens

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

Jimmy The Moose

Game: San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros Aug 11 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

Reason: The Giants have won 3 of their last 4 games while the Astros have won 4 in a row. The Giants have two things going for them in this one, one they have been very good vs. the Astros in recent games and two Sanchez has been good on the mound on the road. The Giants are 6-2 in his last 8 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Sanchez has struggled over his last 6 but expect a good game from him tonight in Houston. The Astros are 2-5 in Backe's last 7 starts. In his last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record the Astros are 1-7. The Giants are 22-7 in their last 29 trips to Houston. The Astros are 19-41 in the last 60 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Giants +.

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

Gator Report

NFLX 70% Super Situations:

NFLX Monday: Play Under NFL teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points in the first two weeks of the pre-season, 44-18 Under (71%)

PLAY: Cincinnati / Green Bay UNDER 36

MLB 70% Super Situations:

MLB Monday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season, starting a pitcher who was gave up 7 or more runs last outing, 58-22 SU (72.5%)

PLAY: Houston Astros -125

MLB Top Angles:

MLB Monday: Duke (Pitt) is 8-30 SU against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Monday: Duke (Pitt) is 8-0 Over in road games played during the day.

MLB Monday: Backe (Houston) is 20-5 SU at home at night since 1997.

MLB Monday: Beckett (Boston) is 15-2 SU against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

DUNKEL

NY Yankees at Minnesota
The Yankees look to bounce back after getting swept in Anaheim and build on their 9-5 record as a road underdog between +100 and +125. New York is the underdog pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 15.493; NY Mets (Martinez) 14.348
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+180); Under

Game 903-904: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Mock) 14.534; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.679
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-205); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-205); Over

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 16.746; Florida (Sanchez) 15.790
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+135); Over

Game 907-908: San Francisco at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.357; Houston (Backe) 16.241
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-135); Under

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.360; LA Dodgers (Lowe) 15.516
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Over

Game 911-912: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Sarfate) 15.185; Cleveland (Carmona) 16.972
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Under

Game 913-914: Toronto at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 14.188; Detroit (Verlander) 16.164
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Under

Game 915-916: Boston at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.096; White Sox (Danks) 15.945
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Ponson) 16.257; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.135
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Over

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

Nelly
Comp

Toronto + over Detroit

The Tigers have lost three consecutive games that Justin Verlander has started as he has posted terrible numbers, allowing 18 runs in just over 17 innings pitched. It has been a very disappointing season for Verlander with 12 losses on the year and he does not have significantly better numbers in his home starts. Shaun Marcum came up with a great effort in his last start, allowing just three hits over seven innings and opposing batters are hitting just .210 against him. The Tigers are just 3-7 in the last ten games and there appears little fight in this team despite still being within striking distance of a playoff spot. Toronto continues to play at a solid clip with outstanding pitching and the disparity between these two bullpens is more than enough to make up for an offensive edge for the Tigers.

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

Stephen Nover
Comp

Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Pittsburgh Pirates 180

REASON FOR PICK: Considering their bullpen woes, injuries and Pedro Martinez on the mound, the Mets shouldn't be this big of a favorite.

The line is this high, in part, because the Mets are home and the pitching matchup is Zach Duke against Martinez. Duke hasn't been good this season, but his ERA (5.13) still is lower than Martinez's ERA (5.79).

Duke is off one of his best performances of the season. Pitching on the road against Arizona last Tuesday, Duke held the Diamondbacks to two earned runs in seven innings. He matched his season-high in strikeouts with six, while walking just one.

Duke is 2-0 with a 1.77 ERA in three career starts versus the Mets.

Martinez has won once since June 15. He's 1-3 with a 6.06 ERA during his past seven starts. Martinez has yet to pitch into the eighth inning this season. He's averaged 5 2/3 innings in his past seven starts.

The Mets lack a true closer with Billy Wagner on the DL. Their middle relief has been terrible.

This is a one-game makeup matchup. The Mets are off a tough division series against Florida. They go on the road after this game. So they may not have their full concentration for the non-division Pirates, a team that generates little respect.

Packwins · Aug 11, 2008

VEGAS EXPERTS

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers
Monday, August 11th, 8:00 PM ET

These teams met two years ago in Preseason play and combined for 65 points, an astounding number for August. That game was in Cincinnati, but on the road is where Bengals coach Marvin Lewis really cashes in on the Over flying past the total in 8 of 9 preseason games. You know Green Bay is going to want to score in an effort to prove they "never" needed Brett Favre.

Play on: Over