Service Plays Monday 6/9/08

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:wink:Few games today= Mostly dogs tonight = Wish had a BODOG account = Bet On Dogs =:money8: tonight.
 

Anybody seen BB?
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Uwin records from games I have seen posted on the service play forums from last week Monday-Sunday

34W
23L
59.6% winners
+$415 based on a $100 wager on each game played

Since May 15:
111-68, 62%
+$2205
Average juice -133

Converted to standard -110 juice the overall winning % would be 58.4%. At -133 average lay the winning percentage must be at 57% (currently 62%) to break even. At -110 the break even point is 52.4%.
The average lay for last week was -131 as there were a few more small favs and dogs played. Gl with whatever you decide.

AZ

Interesting post. Good work tracking this, I assume it is correct. Did you factor they charge $25 or more per win? 111 wins @ $25= -$2775 that would cut down that profit a little bit.

Keep up the good work guys! Go Angels hope they come back again, toronto hurt me as well. Bad day/night, guess we always have tomorrow. :nopityA:

Last week 34 winners cost $850 or more ($850 if all $25)
 

rza

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it really seems like youwinnow always shits the bed after a big day. i only played LAA so i consider myself lucky.
 

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Hey, Lionman !

Glad to hear from you again, long time no hear. Yeh, fucked up taking your Pens in the finale, but the price was right & I had already had the winner in the only loss. How does the #2 team in the league be a +120 @ home, that's rediculous. Had Halos as my top bet w/ Tor. 2nd, & Det. 3rd w/ a parlay Cinci & SF; that may be only winner. Got a couple invites from major cappers to be their "hockey capper" next season based on my 17-3-2 run this yr. plus a mag. wanting to have me write a hockey column every week. I owe it all to you guys you said fuck Lem Banker, Ben Burns, & prophet "we're waiting on RDS picks". Thanks guys for the support, I'll never let you down! Getting all the hockey mags & will be ready next yr. to crush the books in pucks. Even if I go tout will take care of my boys, you made me what I am. Thx. RDS
:dancefool
 

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RDSmith please don't go tout!!!

Ace-Ace said the same thing and he lost it. They are going to pressure you to make picks on a daily bases.
 

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Glad to hear from you again, long time no hear. Yeh, fucked up taking your Pens in the finale, but the price was right & I had already had the winner in the only loss. How does the #2 team in the league be a +120 @ home, that's rediculous. Had Halos as my top bet w/ Tor. 2nd, & Det. 3rd w/ a parlay Cinci & SF; that may be only winner. Got a couple invites from major cappers to be their "hockey capper" next season based on my 17-3-2 run this yr. plus a mag. wanting to have me write a hockey column every week. I owe it all to you guys you said fuck Lem Banker, Ben Burns, & prophet "we're waiting on RDS picks". Thanks guys for the support, I'll never let you down! Getting all the hockey mags & will be ready next yr. to crush the books in pucks. Even if I go tout will take care of my boys, you made me what I am. Thx. RDS
:dancefool
RDS, always like seeing your posts. It's really great to see a true hockey fan still around. Quite honestly, down here in Texas where I live, you'd think hockey was a done sport, especially after the strike. It's sad to see and I hope it comes back, but I just don't see many fans anymore. I think if it ever comes back to a premium cable channel, that might help. Anyways, I'm the way you are with your magazines, but mine are college football. Now's the time when I start reading all the pre-season crap (most of it couldn't be further off base), but it gets me through the long hot summer down here. Anyways, thanks for all your winners. BOL.
 

rza

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go for the gold RDSmith48!!!!!!!!!!! i'll be looking for you on the big screen!!!!!! yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

foto14_big.jpg
 

Save A Tree, Eat A Beaver
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go for the gold RDSmith48!!!!!!!!!!! i'll be looking for you on the big screen!!!!!! yeah baby!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

foto14_big.jpg

Brandon Lang, the biggest scammer/tout on the planet.

What was his play today? Oh yeah, the Angels. :lol:
 

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Interesting post. Good work tracking this, I assume it is correct. Did you factor they charge $25 or more per win? 111 wins @ $25= -$2775 that would cut down that profit a little bit.

Keep up the good work guys! Go Angels hope they come back again, toronto hurt me as well. Bad day/night, guess we always have tomorrow. :nopityA:

Last week 34 winners cost $850 or more ($850 if all $25)

NO, did not factor in the cost of the plays. There are a bunch of guys contributing it seems. These guys were getting so much hype in this forum that I thought it would be good to track them and see how they did. Otherwise the supporters would brag about how great and the ANYI juice guys would say "YOU will lose, not win". I like to take the emotion out of it and use numbers. We are coming up on a month and as of this morning they are hitting at 61% winners with average juice -132. Converted the win % is 57.4%. 57% is good over the long haul but not if you are paying $500 or more a week for the plays. Unless you are a big money player and I doubt big money players are playing 200+ games a month.
Fading touts still seems like the smarter play
 
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NO, did not factor in the cost of the plays. There are a bunch of guys contributing it seems. These guys were getting so much hype in this forum that I thought it would be good to track them and see how they did. Otherwise the supporters would brag about how great and the ANYI juice guys would say "YOU will lose, not win". I like to take the emotion out of it and use numbers. We are coming up on a month and as of this morning they are hitting at 61% winners with average juice -132. Converted the win % is 57.4%. 57% is good over the long haul but not if you are paying $500 or more a week for the plays. Unless you are a big money player and I doubt big money players are playing 200+ games a month.
Fading touts still seems like the smarter play

Did you factor in that loses you are not charged $25? I don't know, I like what you do but it just seems like the more you post the more it seems like your just anti YWN or purchased plays. The members buying and posting the YWN games are not kids unlike what the former member of the Rx seems to want to spread in forums. If these guys buying and playing the games weren't happy with the results I don't think you would see those games posted! This is a service play thread, I would like to know where the tout tally would come from if it weren't for people buying plays? My guess would be the tout tally would have to be based on comps and there goes that great idea. Members buy games either to play the games or fade the games and I for one will never question or bash a member that spends their money to give people the chance to play or fade. That said, doesn't mean I don't want to see the monthly YWN percentages, thats a big help.

I guess the point is there would be no tout tally if plays weren't purchased. No diss to you AB, some people like the tally, but people appreciate the plays purchased and posted in the service thread.
 

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Did you factor in that loses you are not charged $25? quote]

I only took the # of wins and x $25

Every win is a $25 expense, there are no Bonus Plays when it comes to wins. If they go 2-1, they paid for 2 picks. Good to know people are tracking this stuff. Zona did a very nice job in both his post about this, and did a nice job of simply stating the fact with #'s to support. He is also right about the "hype" around these plays, but that occurs everywhere. Props to you AB.
 
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Did you factor in that loses you are not charged $25? quote]

I only took the # of wins and x $25

Every win is a $25 expense, there are no Bonus Plays when it comes to wins. If they go 2-1, they paid for 2 picks. Good to know people are tracking this stuff. Zona did a very nice job in both his post about this, and did a nice job of simply stating the fact with #'s to support. He is also right about the "hype" around these plays, but that occurs everywhere. Props to you AB.

I gave my props to AB as well, my post was to remind everyone that without purchases and "hype" you wouldn't have a thread. Not only YWN games are purchased, but ness, burns,sportsmemo,budin, and on and on... Without the purchased plays what would we have to talk about?
 
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Did you factor in that loses you are not charged $25? quote]

I only took the # of wins and x $25

Every win is a $25 expense, there are no Bonus Plays when it comes to wins. If they go 2-1, they paid for 2 picks. Good to know people are tracking this stuff. Zona did a very nice job in both his post about this, and did a nice job of simply stating the fact with #'s to support. He is also right about the "hype" around these plays, but that occurs everywhere. Props to you AB.


By the way, I like your work as well cph! I've been reading your posts and your like the police of the Rx! I like it, we need members like you to keep an eye on things! Keep up the good work!:toast:
 

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Hi gents. I am really not trying to pass judgement either way. I have tailled a few you win plays when I have agreed with them and have went against them when I already had my mind made up. Same with the tout tally. I don't blindly follow anyone or any system as I enjoy capping the games myself. But more than anything I want to win. It would not be smart for me to ignore the info that is out there. I just like to provide people with facts based on results. Too often people give too much credit when someone is hot and damn them to hell when they are cold.
The one thing I have learned in recent years is that if you do not change your ways and are not flexible to different styles of capping you will struggle to profit regularly. I used to be just a numbers guy but learned from a group of guys who rely a lot more on situations and ANTI public plays (the ugly dog theory, etc.) and it has helped me significantly.
Plenty of ways to win and lose at this. Just trying to keep things grounded and in perspective. GL with whatever you decide.

AZ
 

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