Service Plays Monday 5/12/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Bruins at Canadiens

Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens (+118, 5)

The Boston Bruins silenced the Bell Centre and turned the tide with an overtime triumph in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference second-round series. After posting a 4-2 victory on Saturday, the Presidents' Trophy-winning Bruins look to close out the series in Montreal as they face the Canadiens in a pivotal Game 6 showdown on Monday. Reilly Smith and Jarome Iginla scored power-play goals 32 seconds apart early in the second period as Boston moved within one victory of gaining a berth in the conference final for the third time in four seasons.

"Our power play was due," Bruins coach Claude Julien said matter-of-factly. Boston had failed on its first 10 opportunities with the man advantage in the series and 39 consecutive chances on the power play versus Montreal in the postseason dating to Game 2 of the 2009 first-round series. Tomas Plekanec assisted on Brendan Gallagher's goal on Saturday, but also committed three minor penalties - with the last two resulting in power-play goals for Boston.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Canadiens opened as +120 home dogs, but have been bet down to +118. The total opened at 5.

INJURY REPORT: Bruins: C Chris Kelly (Out indefinitely, back), D Dennis Seidenberg (Out indefinitely, knee). Canadiens C Alex Galchenyuk (Questionable, knee).

ABOUT THE BRUINS: While his team was cooling off the Canadiens, cameras spotted enforcer Shawn Thornton squirting a water bottle at Montreal defenseman P.K. Subban as play was in progress late in Saturday's contest. TSN reported the league's hockey operations and safety division will discuss a potential fine for Thornton. Tuukka Rask has done his best to throw water on the Canadiens' offense, following his 33-save shutout in Game 4 by stopping 29 shots on Saturday.

ABOUT THE CANADIENS: Three years ago, Montreal found itself facing elimination heading back to the Bell Centre to host Boston in a pivotal Game 6 clash. Captain Brian Gionta scored the go-ahead goal early in the second period and Carey Price turned aside 31 shots as the Canadiens skated to a 2-1 victory. Montreal would love for a breakthrough from Gionta, who has been held off the scoresheet in each of the last four games and has just one assist in the series.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Montreal.
* Bruins are 11-3 in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games.
* Canadiens are 4-1 in their last five home games.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Bruins last seven overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 51 percent of wagers in the Covers Consensus are on the Bruins.

 

[RANGERDOG]

The system bet on May 12th is an {A} bet on Atlanta on the +1.5 run line. This system bet passes the RPI filter, however please keep in mind that it does not pass the betting against the #1 team filter. Atlanta's opponent is the San Francisco Giants, who is currently the #1 rated RPI team in the league. Good luck, Tony the Sports Betting Champ

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/12/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Monday, 5/12/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
•Clippers Use Late Rally To Tie Series: On the verge of heading back to Oklahoma City down 3-1 in this Western Conference semifinal series, the Los Angeles Clippers responded with the biggest rally in their franchise history. Despite 40 points from Oklahoma City Thunder forward Kevin Durant, the Clippers made a bigger statement by overcoming a 16-point, fourth-quarter deficit and pulling out a 101-99 victory over the Thunder in Game #4 before a sellout crowd of 19,365 at Staples Center on Sunday.

Reserve guard Darren Collison's layup with 32.8 seconds remaining in the game was the difference and allowed the Clippers to even the best-of-seven series at two games apiece. "It's right up there," Griffin said of the rally. "I remember two years ago, Game #1 in Memphis, we were down 20-something in the fourth quarter and came back. This is right up there with it just because of the circumstances." Game #5 is Tuesday in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder, who led by as many as 22 points in the first half, blew a 16-point lead achieved with 9:18 left in the fourth quarter. Guard Russell Westbrook missed a 3-pointer at the buzzer that would have won it for the Thunder. "It's a tough loss, but it's a series, man," said Westbrook, who had 27 points, eight rebounds and six assists. "It ain't like we're going home (trailing). We'll go back home and take care of business." They had a chance Sunday, but failed miserably with a meltdown in the final period, when the Clippers came through with a 38-point period and got key buckets by Collison, who scored 12 of his 18 points in the fourth, and point guard Chris Paul.

•Paul George Scores 39 As Pacers Rally Past Wizards: Paul George had a career playoff-high 39 points and added 12 rebounds to lead the Indiana Pacers back from a 19-point deficit and past the Washington Wizards 95-92 on Sunday night to move one victory away from returning to the Eastern Conference finals. The Pacers lead the second-round series 3-1 and can close it out Tuesday night, hosting Game #5. George played 46 minutes and scored 28 points after halftime Sunday, including making six of his franchise playoff-record-tying seven 3-pointers. Roy Hibbert had 17 points and nine rebounds, continuing his recent surge after a poor-as-can-be start to the series. He helped Indiana overcome Washington's 32-2 advantage in bench scoring.

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#729 MIAMI @ #730 BROOKLYN
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, TNT - Line: Heat -2.5, Total: 187.5) - The Brooklyn Nets have the opportunity to turn the Eastern Conference series into a best-of-three when they host the Miami Heat in Monday’s Game #4. After being beaten handily in the first two games, Brooklyn was the superior squad in Saturday’s 104-90 victory, and following up that performance with another win would tie the series at two games apiece. Miami scored just 33 total points in the middle two quarters while suffering its first postseason loss since last year.

The Nets set a franchise record with 15 3-pointers in the double-digit victory with guard Joe Johnson (five) and backup forward Mirza Teletovic (four) combining for nine. Also of note was how Brooklyn slowed down LeBron James over the final three quarters (12 points on 2-of-8 shooting) after he erupted for 16 first-quarter points on 6-of-7 shooting. “It’s a 48-minute game,” Nets coach Jason Kidd told reporters. “I’m not counting how many times you score. I’m looking at how many shots he’s taking and he was making them in the first quarter. We didn’t lose patience and we stuck with the game plan and we found a way to win.”

•ABOUT THE HEAT (60-29 SU, 42-45-2 ATS): Though Miami was staggered a bit in Game #3, the two-time defending champs are good at brushing off defeats. “I’ve been part of a lot of series and understand that the series is never won in two games or in three games,” James told reporters. “And you move onto the next one and you learn from the previous one how you can get better.” The Heat have followed up each of their last eight playoff defeats with a victory as they typically kick it up into a higher gear. “We didn’t have that desperation in this game,” said center Chris Bosh after Game #3, “but usually, a loss will do that and you’ll come back with it.”

•ABOUT THE NETS (49-43 SU, 47-44-1 ATS): Strong bench play from Teletovic (12 points) and Andray Blatche (15 points, 10 rebounds) helped fuel the impressive victory. Teletovic opened up the floor with his 3-point marksmanship and Blatche operated superbly in the paint with his first career playoff double-double. Blatche was a bit intimidated by the stage in the first two games – “I wasn’t being as aggressive as I should’ve been,” he said – but in Game #3, he provided the type of energy the team needed in the second quarter. Bench play will continue to be key with point guard Deron Williams struggling on the offensive end – 3-of-20 shooting over the last two games.

•PREGAME NOTES: The 104 points scored by the Nets marked the first time this postseason Miami allowed 100 or more.... Teletovic is 11-of-19 from 3-point range in the series and 33 of his 37 points have come from behind the arc.... Heat G Ray Allen missed his only 3-point attempt in Game #3 after making 7-of-12 over the first two games.... Brooklyn is 9-22 versus the spread (29.9%) in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last three seasons.... Miami is 42-27 against the spread (60.8%) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game on the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN covered the spread 605 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 395 times. *EDGE against the spread =BROOKLYN. In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN won the game straight up 508 times, while MIAMI won 460 times. In 1000 simulated games, 687 games went over the total, while 313 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN covered the first half line 552 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 622 games went over first half total, while 378 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BROOKLYN is 39-39 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--MIAMI is 52-28 straight up against BROOKLYN since 1996.
--38 of 74 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--BROOKLYN is 40-38 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--46 of 76 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
--Over is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Brooklyn.

--Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
--Heat are 4-1 ATS L5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

--Nets are 4-1 ATS L5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
--Over is 5-1 in Nets last 6 games following a S.U. win.
--Under is 7-1 in Nets last 8 after scoring 100 points or more LG.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MIAMI) - an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) after 42+ games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, with a winning record on the season.
(37-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.0%, +22.7 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.8
The average score in these games was: Team 96.9, Opponent 97.4 (Total points scored = 194.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (63.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (109-98).
_______________________________

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#731 SAN ANTONIO @ #732 PORTLAND
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, TNT - Line: Spurs -3.5, Total: 211) - The San Antonio Spurs are making it look easy as they cruise toward the Western Conference finals. The Spurs will try to polish off a four-game sweep when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers for Game #4 of the semifinals on Monday evening. The Trail Blazers thought the change of scenery could change the complexion of the series but San Antonio was just as impressive on the road and ended up cruising to a 118-103 victory in Game #3.

No NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven series and Portland is just hoping for a better effort. “We’re going to come out and have a great effort on Monday night,” Trail Blazers coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “That’s the most important thing. We’re going to show our character, we’re going to show our pride and we’re going to come out and play our (rear ends) off on Monday.” The Spurs recognize that getting the final win won’t be easy. “The close-out is always the hardest game,” San Antonio guard Tony Parker said.

•ABOUT THE SPURS (69-23 SU, 49-43-0 ATS): San Antonio is the fourth team in NBA history to win four straight postseason games by 15 or more points and has rarely looked vulnerable against the Trail Blazers. The Spurs held a 60-40 lead at the half in Game #3 - the third straight time they held at least a 19-point cushion at the break - and controlled the game in the second half. Parker scored 20 of his 29 points in the first half on Saturday and is averaging 26 points in the series. “(Parker) got us out of the gates,” forward Tim Duncan told reporters. “He continues to shoot the ball really well. He’s getting to his spots. He’s making great decisions for our offense.”

•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (58-33 SU, 46-45-0 ATS): Portland has yet to figure out a way to slow the San Antonio offense in the first half and is struggling to get into a rhythm early with its own offense. “”It’s frustrating,” Stotts told reporters. “You’ve got to play through the frustration. It’s part of the game. It’s part of the playoffs... But yeah, it’s frustrating to get down 20 in the first half. You look at the scoreboard and it’s a hole.” All-Stars LaMarcus Aldridge (38 percent) and Damian Lillard (37.5) are both struggling from the field in the series while Mo Williams (groin) has been a non-factor off the bench and could miss his second straight game on Monday.

•PREGAME NOTES: The Spurs bench is outscoring the Blazers’ reserves 140-43 in the series.... Lillard is just 1-of-13 from beyond the arc in the series after hitting 23-of-47 in the first round.... Portland has led for a total of 33 seconds in the three games.... San Antonio is 14-2 against the spread (87.5%) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season, including 10-1 ATS (90.9%) 2nd half of the season this season.... Portland is 9-19 versus the spread (32.1%) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 524 times, while PORTLAND covered the spread 476 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 579 times, while PORTLAND won 396 times. In 1000 simulated games, 597 games went under the total, while 376 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the first half line 495 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 465 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 588 games went under first half total, while 412 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 38-35 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 45-29 straight up against PORTLAND since 1996.
--37 of 73 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--SAN ANTONIO is 39-34 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--40 of 73 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Spurs are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Spurs are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Portland.

--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Portland.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
--Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more LG.

--Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Trail Blazers are 0-7 ATS L7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS L4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(30-7 since 1996.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 215.8
The average score in these games was: Team 107.1, Opponent 103.1 (Total points scored = 210.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (63.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Washington at Arizona

The Nationals head to Arizona tonight to open their series with the Diamondbacks and come into the contest with a 5-0 record in Jordan Zimmermann's last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Washington is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 12 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 14.211; St. Louis (Lyons) 15.203 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 16.102; Arizona (Collmenter) 14.779 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 16.052; LA Dodgers (Haren) 15.190 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 6 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+145); Under

Game 907-908: Atlanta at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Floyd) 15.825; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.656 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 909-910: LA Angels at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.687; Toronto (Buehlre) 16.177 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 911-912: Detroit at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.934; Baltimore (Norris) 15.816 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Over

Game 913-914: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.580; Houston (Peacock) 14.005 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.527; Oakland (Chavez) 14.441 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-190); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+165); Over

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 15.341; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.442 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Seattle (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+145); Under

Game 919-920: NY Mets at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 14.859; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.305 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Portland

The Spurs look to follow up their 118-103 win over Portland in Game 3 and finish the sweep tonight against a Blazers team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. San Antonio is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, MAY 12 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 729-730: Miami at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.965; Brooklyn 126.347 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+2 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: San Antonio at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 129.699; Portland 121.501 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 206 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 211 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Anaheim

The Kings head back to Anaheim for Game 5 tonight and come into the contest with a 4-0 record in their last 4 road games. Los Angeles is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+110). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, MAY 12 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 67-68: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.844; Montreal 11.359 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under

Game 69-70: Los Angeles at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 13.102; Anaheim 12.099 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+110); Over

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, MAY 12th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Monday, 5/12/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #7
•Pirates Still Unsure Of Grilli's Return Date: Right-handed reliever Jason Grilli took another step forward Sunday night when he threw 25 pitches off a mound before the Pittsburgh Pirates' 6-5 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Pirates don't yet have a timetable for when Grilli, who has been out since April 21 with a strained left oblique, will be activated from the 15-day disabled list or even when he might start a minor league rehab assignment. Furthermore, manager Clint Hurdle isn't ready to say if Grilli would be the closer upon his return.

Grilli has converted just four or seven saves opportunities this season after going 33-for-35 last year. He is also 0-1 in eight games with a 4.50 ERA. "I hate to take a guy away from his job because of an injury," Hurdle said. "We want to make sure he's as sharp as he can be, so we'll see." Setup man Mark Melancon moved into the closer's role when Grilli was injured, and he has converted four of five save chances. Melancon had 16 saves last season while filling in for five weeks while Grilli was on the DL with a strained forearm.

•Yankees Lefty Sabathia Heads To DL: New York Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia was placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday with fluid in his right knee. An MRI revealed no structural damage but the knee was swollen enough and the pain uncomfortable enough to send Sabathia to the DL. He will have the knee drained Monday in New York. The move came a day after another rocky start for Sabathia, who gave up four runs -- only one earned -- on eight hits, including three home runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In his last three starts, Sabathia is 0-2 and has a 6.42 ERA.

•Orioles Happy To Welcome Davis Back To Lineup: Baltimore Orioles first baseman Chris Davis returned to the lineup for the first time since April 25 after suffering a strained left oblique. Davis played in a rehab assignment Saturday at Double-A Bowie, going 1-for-4. He also played nine innings at first base and afterward was deemed healthy enough to return to Baltimore's lineup Sunday in the series finale against the Astros. Davis went 2-for-4 with two strikeouts in Baltimore's 5-2 loss to the Astros. He also played flawlessly at first base. Davis said after the game that there were no lingering effects from the injury. Now, it's just a matter of getting back into a rhythm.

•Hernandez On The Mound Against Rays, Good Sign For Mariners: The Seattle Mariners have not been backing up their ace. Despite Felix Hernandez sporting a 2.73 ERA and 53 strikeouts through eight games, the Mariners have lost four of his last five starts. The fortunes could be changing as Hernandez has meant W's for the Mariners against the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle has won six of Hernandez's last eight starts against the Rays and eight straight at Safeco Field. The Mariners are -155 home favorites against the Rays (+143) Monday night.

Betting Notes – Monday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 1-0, 1.65 in his last three starts.
-- Koehler is 2-1, 1.62 in his last five starts.
-- Floyd allowed one run in seven IP in his first '14 start.

-- Wilson is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts. Buehrle is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two.
-- Porcello is 4-0, 3.16 in his last four starts. Norris is 2-0, 3.12 in his last three.
-- Chavez is 2-1, 3.11 in his last six starts.
-- Ramos is 1-0, 1.77 in his last four starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Lyons is 0-2, 3.50 in three starts. Wood is 1-2, 8.64 in his last three starts.
-- Collmenter is 0-0, 6.39 in his last couple starts.
-- Haren has a 5.19 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-1, 7.24 in three home starts.

-- Peacock is 0-2, 5.56 in his last four starts. Lewis is 1-1, 7.54 in his last three.
-- Danks is 1-2, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-1, 5.92 in his last four starts.

-- Colon is 1-4, 6.75 in his last five starts. Kuroda is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four.

•Totals
-- Nine of 12 St Louis home games went over total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Arizona's last eleven home games.
-- 12 of last 18 Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Atlanta games.

-- Four of last five Angel road games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-5-1 in Baltimore's home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston home games went over.
-- White Sox' last four road games stayed under; over is 4-1-1 in Oakland's last six games.
-- Four of last five Seattle games stayed under total.

-- Mets' last four road games stayed under the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Diamondbacks won four of its last five games.
-- Giants won 13 of their last 17 games. Atlanta won four of last five games, but lost last four road games.

-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Orioles won five of their last six games.
-- Athletics won its last four games, allowing four runs.
-- Mariners won seven of their last ten games.

•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games. St Louis is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
-- Nationals lost its last five road games.
-- Mariners lost 13 of last 16 road tilts. Los Angeles lost six of their last eight games.

-- Blue Jays lost 12 of its last 15 games with the Angels.
-- Tigers lost three of last four games overall, but won five in row on road.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games. Texas lost 10 of last 14.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Rays lost five of its last six games.

-- Mets lost eight of their last ten games. New York lost four of last five at home.

Diamond Trends - Monday
•LA ANGELS are 13-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 6.1, OPPONENT 3.0.

•ATLANTA is 23-5 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

•MIAMI is 34-11 (+20.7 Units) against the run line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.7, OPPONENT 3.5.

•DAN HAREN is 9-17 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HAREN 3.5, OPPONENT 5.1.

•MARK BUEHRLE is 13-2 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

•BARTOLO COLON is 14-4 (+11.2 Units) against the run line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLON 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(57-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.7%, +42.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -187.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.8)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +0.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-5, +16.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (124-49, +33.8 units).

•Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (ST LOUIS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -National League, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +28.9 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (39-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +120
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 2.3 (Average run differential = +3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (58.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-2, -0.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-9, +12.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (57-66, +2.6 units).

•Play Under - Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (HOUSTON) - team with a terrible on base percentage (<=.310) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP>=1.700) -American League, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL).
(31-7 since 1997.) (81.6%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.4, Money Line=-110.7
The average score in these games was: Team 3.5, Opponent 3.7 (Total runs scored = 7.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 25 (73.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4, +10.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7, +13.2 units).
___________________________________________

 

[cracy]

StatSystemsSports.net
Inside the Paint- Monday

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
The underdog put together another 2-0 against the spread evening in the National Basketball Association Playoffs Sunday evening. The 2-0 night means the dog has gone 6-0 ATS in the past three nights dating back to Friday and is now 9-5 ATS (64.2%) in the conference semifinal round.

The Oklahoma City Thunder squandered a big lead and fell to the Los Angeles Clippers 101-99, but covered as 5-point road dogs. In the Eastern Conference, the Indiana Pacers won 95-92 covering as 3.5-point road dogs at the Washington Wizards. The Brooklyn Nets are 2.5-point home dogs to the Miami Heat and the Portland Trail Blazers are 3.5-point home dogs versus the San Antonio Spurs Monday night.

Betting Notes - Monday
•All three Miami-Brooklyn games were within three points at half; Nets are 5-2 versus Miami this season, 3-0 at Barclays Center- they made 15-25 from arc in its Game #3 win. Nets were 18-48 from arc in first two games. Brooklyn is 26-19 versus spread at home this year. Saturday's loss was first for Miami in its seven playoff games; they're 21-21 versus spread on road. Six of last ten series games went under total, five of last seven Miami games went over.

•Spurs led first three games of series 65-39/70-51/60-40 at half; Portland has to be competitive before they can even win a game. Aldridge was just 15-46 from floor last two games; Blazers are -20 in turnovers so far in series. Spurs lost seven of last ten visits to Moda Center, but they've won last four games with Portland overall, and figure to get lot of rest for old roster, with win here, since Clippers-Thunder look like they're going 7.

--Over is 40-24 in playoffs this season, 9-5 in this round.
--Favorites are 22-42 in playoffs this season, 6-8 in this round.

Hoop Trends - Monday
•SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 109.7, OPPONENT 96.7.

•PORTLAND is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) revenging 2 straight losses versus opponent of 10 points or more this season.
The average score was PORTLAND 108.5, OPPONENT 106.5.

•PORTLAND is 3-17 (-15.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 44.1, OPPONENT 53.4.

•SAN ANTONIO is 26-7 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 53.3, OPPONENT 44.4.

•TERRY STOTTS is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was STOTTS 95.7, OPPONENT 104.6.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Underdogs versus the money line (PORTLAND) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog.
(30-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.8%, +27.5 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -122.5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.2, Opponent 91.8 (Average point differential = +10.3)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0, +8 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-25, +21.5 units).
___________________________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -122 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 25-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 25-16

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Montreal Canadiens +117 over Boston Bruins
(Playoff Record: system 15-1: overall 15-8, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 106-82-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Brooklyn Nets +2.5 over Miami Heat
(Playoff Record: 10-9-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 88-94-8

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Malmo FF + Halmstads OVER 3
This match is happening in Sweden
(System Record: 568-21, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 568-481-84

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHASE DIAMOND

Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays-105

This game features the 19-17 Angels at the 18-20 Jays. We got smacked hard yesterday backing the Blue Jays as they got blow out. But today we are backing the hottest pitcher in the American League Mark Buehrle he is 6-1 with a 1.91 ERA and seems to have his stuff back. Toronto needs this game having lost 3 straight this team will be playing balls to the wall tonight. Take the Jays to win straight for little to no juice for 10* play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | LA ANGELS at TORONTO
Play Against – Any team (TORONTO) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR’s/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs
166-113 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.5% | 60.2 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | CHI WHITE SOX at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 37-14 (+23.3 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.7)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Monday, May 12

All three Miami-Brooklyn games were within three points at half; Nets are 5-2 vs Miami this season, 3-0 here- they made 15-25 from arc in its Game 3 win. Nets were 18-48 from arc in first two games. Brooklyn is 26-19 vs spread at home this year. Saturday's loss was first for Miami in its seven playoff games; they're 21-21 vs spread on road. Six of last ten series games went under total, five of last seven Miami games went over.

Spurs led first three games of series 65-39/70-51/60-40 at half; Portland has to be competitive before they can even win a game. Aldridge was just 15-46 from floor last two games; Blazers are -20 in turnovers so far in series. Spurs lost seven of last ten visits to Rip City, but they've won last four games with Portland overall, and figure to get lot of rest for old roster, with win here, since Clippers-Thunder look like they're going 7.

Over is 40-24 in playoffs this season, 9-5 in this round.
Favorites are 22-42 in playoffs this season, 6-8 in this round.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play Under – Any team after 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 5 or more consecutive overs
68-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 32.8 units )
19-13 this year. ( 59.4% | 4.7 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play On – Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after scoring 105 points or more
188-75 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.5% | 66.0 units )
30-14 this year. ( 68.2% | 6.3 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games
110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% | 45.1 units )
13-4 this year. ( 76.5% | 8.6 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Monday, May 12

Team that scored first won all five Boston-Montreal games. Bruins won three of last four in series, after losing opener. Canadiens scored four goals in both series wins, a total of five goals in three series losses. Teams split last four games played here. Four of six goals in Game 5 came on power play. Bruins are 2-12 on power play in series, scoring their first two PP goals 0:32 apart in second period Saturday. Over is 6-1-2 in Montreal's playoff games. Canadiens are 6-3 in playoffs this spring, 3-1 at home. Boston is 29-16 on road this season.

Visitor won all four LA-Anaheim games, and last seven games overall in this rivalry. Ducks are 5-0 in Staples this year, after losing previous five visits here. Ducks went into shell after taking 2-0 lead Saturday; they had zero shots on goal in second period, were outshot 19-3 in last two periods, but goalie Gibson stoned LA in his first playoff start. Over is 5-3-3 in last 11 Duck games, under is 6-1-3 in last ten series games, but 2-3-2 in Ducks' last seven games overall. League-wide, over is 37-19-12 in the playoffs, 8-7-5 in this round.

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

MONDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Brooklyn +2.5 over Miami (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Miami has lost 27 of the last 47 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 5 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off a road loss by ten points or more.Miami has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread coming off three games with eleven or less turnovers and they have lost four of the last six games against the spread vs. Brooklyn on the road.

50* Play San Antonio -3.5 over Portland (NBA BONUS PLAY)

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Montreal +120 over Boston (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Anaheim -130 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)