Service Plays Monday 4/21/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/21/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Monday, 4/21/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________________

Western Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#717 MEMPHIS @ #718 OKLAHOMA CITY
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, TNT, FSN Memphis, FSN Oklahoma -Thunder -7, Total: 189.5) - The Oklahoma City Thunder were the only home team to win on Saturday’s first day of the NBA playoffs and seek to take a 2-0 lead when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday in the best-of-seven Western Conference series. Oklahoma City jumped out to a big lead and survived a second-half surge by Memphis before using a strong finishing kick to record a 100-86 victory. Forward Kevin Durant started the series strong with 33 points, eight rebounds and seven assists.

Memphis needs better performances from big men Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol, who were a combined 14-of-40 from the field in the opener. Randolph had 21 points and 11 rebounds but was just 7-of-21 shooting and also missed five free throws while Gasol (16 points) was mostly a nonfactor while going 7-of-19 from the field. Oklahoma City’s bench didn’t have a double-digit performer but received decent contributions from guard Reggie Jackson (nine points, eight rebounds, four assists), forward Caron Butler (nine points, five rebounds) and center Steven Adams (three blocks). The Grizzlies got 13 points off the bench from guard Tony Allen but forward Mike Miller had just three points on 1-of-6 shooting.

•ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (50-33 SU, 36-44-3 ATS): Memphis dominated the first 15-plus minutes of the second half as it cut a 22-point halftime deficit to two early in the fourth quarter. But a poor first half in which it shot just 25 percent from the field crippled matters from the outset. “We’ve got to make adjustments to get off to a better start,” Randolph told reporters. “We can’t exert so much energy trying to come back from 20 points. It’s the first game. We’ve got to stick together. We’ve been here before. We know what we’ve got to do and come out and be ready for Monday.”

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (60-23 SU, 44-37-2 ATS): Point guard Russell Westbrook missed the second-round series in which Memphis disposed of Oklahoma City in five games last season and was intent on making a difference in the opener. Westbrook scored 16 of his 23 points in the first half when the Thunder led by as many 25 points and finished with 10 rebounds. He was displeased with his third-quarter performance but was back on his game in the fourth when Oklahoma City reasserted control. “We did a great job of just coming out and hitting them first,” Westbrook told reporters. “They’re a physical team and we did a great job of going by our game plan.”

•PREGAME NOTES: The Thunder blocked 10 shots in Game #1, led by four from F Serge Ibaka.... Grizzlies F Tayshaun Prince played just four minutes in the opener due to a stomach virus and hopes to play in Game #2.... Durant has scored 30 or more points 23 times during the postseason.... The Grizzlies are 55-37 versus the spread (59.7%) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.... The Thunder are 14-3 against the spread (82.3%) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting less than 21 free throws/game this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the spread 498 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 474 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY won the game straight up 648 times, while MEMPHIS won 329 times. In 1000 simulated games, 735 games went over the total, while 265 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the first half line 509 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 491 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 650 games went over first half total, while 350 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-35 against the spread versus MEMPHIS since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-27 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--47 of 80 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-36 versus the first half line when playing against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--44 of 80 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Grizzlies are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Oklahoma City.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Grizzlies are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
--Grizzlies are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Grizzlies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

--Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 Monday games.
--Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
--Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MEMPHIS) - a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games, after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
(105-53 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.5%, +46.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.3, Opponent 48 (Total first half points scored = 96.4)

The situation's record this season is: (4-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (67-33).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (341-345).
_______________________________

#719 GOLDEN STATE @ #720 LA CLIPPERS
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, TNT, CSN Bay Area Golden State, Prime Ticket Los Angeles - Line: Clippers -8, Total: 212) - The Los Angeles Clippers surrendered homecourt advantage by failing to execute down the stretch in Game #1. The Clippers will attempt to clean up those mistakes and keep the Golden State Warriors from gaining a commanding lead in the best-of-seven Western Conference series when they host Game #2 on Monday. Los Angeles managed to contain Stephen Curry in Game #1 but Blake Griffin battled foul trouble and was outplayed by David Lee.

Clippers star Chris Paul committed a turnover and missed two free throws down the stretch in Game #1 and Darren Collison fumbled the ball out of bounds down by three with the final seconds ticking away as Golden State claimed a 109-105 victory. The animosity between the two Pacific Division rivals was the big story before the series and both clubs battled foul trouble in Game #1, with Griffin joining Warriors forward Andre Iguodala in watching the final seconds from the bench after fouling out. Golden State matched a franchise record with 24 road wins during the regular season and was not intimidated by the hostile surroundings in the first-round opener.

•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (52-31 SU, 42-38-3 ATS): Golden State committed 23 turnovers and squandered an 11-point fourth-quarter lead but held the Clippers scoreless over the final 1:30 to lock up the win. Curry was hounded the entire game and finished with 14 points but Harrison Barnes and Draymond Green both hit big shots and Klay Thompson went for 22 points. “We got great shooting but we made great decisions out of it,” coach Mark Jackson told reporters. “They made a decision of trying to get the ball out of (Curry’s) hands by the way they were defending pick-and-rolls. We were patient enough to make the proper plays.” The Warriors are without center Andrew Bogut (broken rib) in the series but still managed a 48-42 advantage on the glass as Lee grabbed 13 boards.

•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (57-26 SU, 46-36-1 ATS): Griffin scored 16 points in only 19 minutes and fouled out on a loose ball call in the final minute as the referees whistled a total of 51 fouls. “We didn’t play very well,” coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “We were in foul trouble most of the game.... I thought we played hard and we came to win the game, but I thought there were a lot of times where we lost our trust in as far as what we were doing. We made too many mistakes to win the game.” Paul hit a pair of big 3-pointers to get Los Angeles back into the game late in the fourth but committed six turnovers and five fouls while trying to contain Curry and Thompson.

•PREGAME NOTES: Clippers C DeAndre Jordan collected 14 rebounds and five blocks in Game #1.... Golden State beat No. 3 seed Denver in the first round last season after losing Game #1 on the road.... Los Angeles has dropped five straight postseason games.... The Warriors are 13-4 (76.4%) versus the spread when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Clippers are 3-12 (20.0%) against the spread in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 532 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 441 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 644 times, while GOLDEN STATE won 329 times. In 1000 simulated games, 642 games went under the total, while 337 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 532 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 468 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 598 games went under first half total, while 367 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA CLIPPERS is 35-34 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--LA CLIPPERS is 39-33 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--36 of 70 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--GOLDEN STATE is 38-33 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--41 of 70 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
--Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 overall.
--Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 after scoring 100 points or more.

--Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
--Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their L4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite, after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games.
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 209.4
The average score in these games was: Team 98.9, Opponent 97.6 (Total points scored = 196.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (69% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (7-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (87-52).
_______________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's NBA playoffs betting news and notes

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7, 189.5)

Memphis needs better performances from big men Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol, who were a combined 14-of-40 from the field in the opener. Randolph had 21 points and 11 rebounds but was just 7-of-21 shooting and also missed five free throws while Gasol (16 points) was mostly a nonfactor while going 7-of-19 from the field.Memphis dominated the first 15-plus minutes of the second half as it cut a 22-point halftime deficit to two early in the fourth quarter.

Point guard Russell Westbrook missed the second-round series in which Memphis disposed of Oklahoma City in five games last season and was intent on making a difference in the opener. Westbrook scored 16 of his 23 points in the first half when the Thunder led by as many 25 points and finished with 10 rebounds. He was displeased with his third-quarter performance but was back on his game in the fourth when Oklahoma City reasserted control. Forward Kevin Durant started the series strong with 33 points, eight rebounds and seven assists.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Oklahoma City.


Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers (-8, 212.5)

Golden State committed 23 turnovers and squandered an 11-point fourth-quarter lead but held the Clippers scoreless over the final 1:30 to lock up the win. Curry was hounded the entire game and finished with 14 points but Harrison Barnes and Draymond Green both hit big shots and Klay Thompson went for 22 points. The Warriors are without center Andrew Bogut (broken rib) in the series but still managed a 48-42 advantage on the glass as Lee grabbed 13 boards.

Blake Griffin scored 16 points in only 19 minutes and fouled out on a loose ball call in the final minute as the referees whistled a total of 51 fouls. Chris Paul hit a pair of big 3-pointers to get Los Angeles back into the game late in the fourth but committed six turnovers and five fouls while trying to contain Curry and Thompson. Los Angeles has dropped five straight postseason games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles.
* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Monday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-151, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Clay Buchholz has surrendered four home runs through his first three starts.

Cold batting stat: Orioles outfielder Nick Markakis has just five hits in 37 career at-bats versus Buchholz.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies and wind blowing out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 5-1-1 in Buchholz's last seven starts as a favorite.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-143, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie is 4-3 with a 5.33 ERA in eight starts and two relief appearances against the Indians.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland first baseman Nick Swisher is batting .350 with two homers in 40 lifetime at-bats against Guthrie.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with mostly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to right-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 9-1 in right-hander Zach McAllister's last 10 outing following a quality start in his previous appearance.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-167, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Anibal Sanchez has racked up 17 strikeouts over his first 14 innings of 2014.

Hot batting stat: Detroit second baseman Ian Kinsler is 12-for-31 with four home runs against White Sox lefty John Danks.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the mid-60s and wind blowing from right to left field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox have lost 24 of their last 30 games in Detroit.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (123, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers ace Yu Darvish has 23 strikeouts and a .185 opposition batting average in 22 innings this season.

Cold batting stat: Oakland third baseman Josh Donaldson is 2-for-13 with seven strikeouts in his career against Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with cloudy skies and wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 7-0 in Darvish's last seven series-opening starts.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (-255, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners righty Felix Hernandez is limiting opponents to a .171 average while striking out 39 and walking three in 28 1/3 innings.

Hot/Cold batting stat: Seattle first baseman Corey Hart has homered twice in six at-bats versus Astros right-hander Dallas Keuchel.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 31 percent chance of showers.

Key betting note: Under is 10-1 in Houston's last 11 games versus starters with WHIPs lower than 1.15.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 7:00 p.m. ET Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Monday's National League games:

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (-132, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has surrendered four home runs over his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: Reds outfielder Jay Bruce is 0-for-11 with six strikeouts lifetime against Liriano.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 10-2 in Liriano's last 12 home starts as a favorite.

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-175, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Atlanta is 10-1 in right-hander Julio Teheran's last 11 starts against a division foe.

Hot batting stat: Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman is 4-for-6 in his career against Marlins right-hander Tom Koehler.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are expected with temperatures win the low-70s.

Key betting note: Under is 8-1 in Teheran's last nine starts versus teams with losing records.

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets (-103, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Jenrry Mejia has limited the opposition to a .200 batting average through three starts.

Hot batting stat: Cardinals first baseman Allen Craig batted .333 with two homers in 24 at-bats versus the Mets in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies and wind blowing out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 13-3-2 in St. Louis' last 18 games against the National League East.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs (-127, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Bronson Arroyo was torched for nine runs in just 3 1/3 innings in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Cubs third baseman Luis Valbuena is 6-for-13 with a pair of home runs lifetime against Arroyo.

Weather: Fans should expect rain showers with temperatures in the mid-60s and wind blowing from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Arizona is 1-7 in its last eight games versus a left-handed starter.

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-111, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Padres right-hander Andrew Cashner has yet to allow more than two runs in any start in 2014.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Milwaukee roster are hitting a combined 4-for-30 against Cashner.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 69 percent chance of showers and wind blowing out to right-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 10-1 in Cashner's previous 11 starts.

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (-137, 10.5)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Ryan Vogelsong allowed a run on four hits over six strong innings in his previous start.

Hot batting stat: Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval is a .324 career hitter in 34 at-bats versus Rockies lefty Jorge De La Rosa.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Colorado is 17-4 in De La Rosa's last 21 home starts against teams with winning records.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-116, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies lefty Cliff Lee racked up 13 strikeouts in a complete-game loss to Atlanta last time out.

Hot batting stat: Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez is 8-for-16 with three home runs lifetime against Lee.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-60s are expected with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Interleague

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals (-110, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Angels righty Garret Richards was tagged for five runs on eight hits over seven innings in his previous turn.

Hot/Cold batting stat: Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper is a .343 hitter in 105 career at-bats in interleague play.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the high-50s and wind blowing out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 7:30 p.m. ET Sunday.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Oakland Athletics +119 over Texas Rangers
(System Record: 12-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 12-9

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -167 over St. Louis Blues
(Playoff Record: 1-1, lost last 3 games and a push)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 92-76-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Memphis Grizzlies +7 over OKC
(Playoff Record: 0-2, lost last 3 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 78-88-5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Gimnasia LP + All Boys OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 557-20, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 557-475-81

 

[jdsabre]

Fezzik


2* NBA Best Bet
Memphis +7

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, APRIL 21st 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Monday, 4/21/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________

Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Leake is 2-0, 1.84 in his last two starts.
-- Mejia is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts, but had blister issues last week.
-- Teheran is 2-1, 2.89 in four starts this season. Koehler is 2-1, 1.89 in three starts this season.
-- Cashner is 2-1, 1.59 in four starts this season. Peralta is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Lee has a 1.64 RA in his last three starts.

-- Chen is 2-0, 3.97 in his last couple starts.
-- Danks is 1-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- McAllister is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two starts. Royals are 3-0 when Guthrie starts (2-0, 4.34).
-- Texas is 3-0 when Darvish starts (1-0, 0.82).
-- Hernandez is 3-0, 1.59 in four starts this season. Keuchel is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.

-- Richards is 2-0, 2.84 in three starts this season.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.21 in his last three starts.
-- Lyons was 0-4, 7.89 in his last six starts LY.
-- Arroyo is 1-1, 9.95 in three starts. Wood is 0-2, 3.50 in his three starts.
-- De La Rosa is 0-3, 8.53 in his last four starts. Vogelsong is 0-0, 5.40 in three starts this season.
-- Maholm is 0-1, 5.23 in two starts this month.

-- Buchholz is 0-1, 7.16 in three starts this season.
-- Sanchez is 0-1, 5.14 in three starts this season.
-- Straily is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts this season.

-- Roark has a 5.29 RA in three starts this season.

•Totals
-- Five of Reds' last seven games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight St Louis road games.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona road games went over total.
-- All nine games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Six of nine games at Coors Field went over the total. Under is 5-1 in Giants' last six games.
-- Five of last six Dodger games stayed under total.

-- Six of nine Baltimore road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve White Sox games went over total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Texas games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Seattle games.

-- Over is 9-2-1 in Washington's last twelve games.

•Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won five of its last seven games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games. Miami won four of last five games but are 0-6 on the road.
-- Brewers won four of their last five games. San Diego is 7-4 in its last 11.
-- Rockies have won six of nine games at Coors Field.
-- Dodgers won six of their last nine games.

-- Red Sox won four of their last five games; they're 5-1 vs lefty starters. .
-- Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Royals won five of their last six games.
-- Oakland won seven of its last eight games.

-- Washington won six of its last eight home games.

•Cold Teams
-- Pittsburgh lost five of its last six games.
-- Mets lost six of their nine home games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last eight games; they're 1-5 vs lefty starters. Cubs lost six of last seven.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four away games.

-- Orioles lost last two games, allowing 11 runs.
-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost their last seven games. Seattle lost its last six games; they're 4-2 vs lefty starters.

-- Angels lost four of their last seven away games.

Diamond Trends - Monday
•SAN FRANCISCO is 3-15 (-16.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 2.8, OPPONENT 4.7.

•PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 OVER (+10.6 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.6, OPPONENT 5.7.

•MIAMI is 29-8 (+19.7 Units) against the run line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 3.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

•CLIFF LEE is 2-12 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LEE 2.5, OPPONENT 3.6.

•JORGE DE LA ROSA is 30-11 OVER (+18.4 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997.
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(54-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.5%, +41.5 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -179.3
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-4, +15.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (121-48, +33.3 units).
___________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Oakland Athletics +119 over Texas Rangers
(System Record: 12-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 12-9

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Washington Nationals -110 over LA Angels
Pittsburgh Pirates -130 over Cincy
Philadelphia Phillies +106 over LA Dodgers


Hockey
Minnesota Wild -125 over Colorado
Columbus Blue Jackets +104 over Pittsburgh
Anaheim Ducks +111 over Dallas


Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies + Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 189.5
Golden State Warriors +8 over LA Clippers
Golden State Warriors + Los Angeles Clippers OVER 212

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Pittsburgh at Columbus

The Penguins look to bounce back from their Game 2 loss as the series shifts to Columbus where Pittsburgh is 5-0 in its last 5 games against the Blue Jackets. Pittsburgh is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.492; Columbus 10.738 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135); Under

Game 3-4: Colorado at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.615; Minnesota 10.722 Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); Over

Game 5-6: St. Louis at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.170; Chicago 12.690 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-165); Under

Game 7-8: Anaheim at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.395; Dallas 11.208 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+100); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

The Reds head to Pittsburgh tonight to face a Pirates team that is 1-5 in Francisco Liriano's last 6 starts against Cincinnati. Cincinnati is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.920; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.015 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Over

Game 953-954: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lyons) 16.900; NY Mets (Mejia) 15.475 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 955-956: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.944; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.241 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-180); Under

Game 957-958: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Arroyo) 14.968; Cubs (Wood) 14.003 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); No Total Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); N/A

Game 959-960: San Diego at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.136; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.575 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.147; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.334 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over

Game 963-964: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.637; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 14.535 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Over

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Boston (11:05 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.108; Boston (Buchholz) 16.737 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.475; Detroit (Sanchez) 15.962 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-185); 8 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-185); Under

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.759; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.454 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over

Game 971-972: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.257; Oakland (Straily) 16.714 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over

Game 973-974: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 13.203; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.807 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Seattle (-280); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-280); Under

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.759; Washington (Roark) 15.307 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Boston -155
Phillies +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Monday

Warriors/Clippers over 212

Indians -149

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play MON LA Clippers -8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Memphis at Oklahoma City

The Grizzlies look to bounce back from their 100-86 loss in Game 1 and come into tonight's contest with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat by more than 10 points. Memphis is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 21 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 717-718: Memphis at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.389; Oklahoma City 124.469 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 193 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 7; 189 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Over

Game 719-720: Golden State at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.571; LA Clippers 130.539 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 207 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 212 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Spurs (-9) on Sunday and likes the Tigers on Monday.

The deficit is 207 sirignanos.