Service Plays Monday 3/24/14

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David Glisan | NHL Total - - Dime Play Under Rangers/Coyotes

Pick 2 NYR / 1 PHO Under 5.0 Bookmaker.com

Analysis: Rangers in good form in recent games and unless they're up against an opponent that pushes the tempo (Ottawa, Winnipeg) they're playing well on the defensive end. Throw out the aforementioned two opponents an they're averaging 1.2 goals against in their L10. Phoenix wants to play the same way--they're averaging 2.1 goals against in their last 10 games. Rangers UN in 7 of 10, Coyotes UN in 6 of 10. Teams combined for 5 goals early in the season and both in better form now defensively.
 

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Guaranteed Picks


Arkansas
Southern Methodist
Georgetown
Thunder
Clippers
Bulls
Suns
 
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NBA

Hot teams
-- Charlotte won five of its last seven games. Rockets won last three games, scoring 124-129-118 points.
-- Suns won five of their last six games.
-- Pacers won five of their last seven games. Chicago won three of its last four home games.
-- Grizzlies won seven of their last nine games. Minnesota won ten of its last sixteen.
-- New Orleans won three of its last four games. Nets won seven of their last eight games.
-- Oklahoma City won five of last six games, covered once in last four. Nuggets won five of their last seven games.
-- Spurs won their last thirteen games, covered last seven.
-- Clippers won 12 of last 13 games (2-4-1 vs spread in last seven).

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost 16 of their last 22 games.
-- Heat is 4-7 in their last eleven games. Portland lost five of its last six road games.
-- 76ers lost last 24 games, but covered five of last six.
-- Utah lost six of its last seven games. Pistons lost eight of last nine games (3-6 vs spread).
-- Milwaukee lost last seven games, covered six of last nine.

Series records
-- Rockets won their last six games with Charlotte.
-- Suns won six of last eight games with Atlanta.
-- Trailblazers won three of last four visits to Miami.
-- Bulls lost five of their last seven games with Indiana.
-- Grizzlies won 12 of last 13 games with Minnesota.
-- Nets won four of last five games with New Orleans.
-- Nuggets won four of last six games with Oklahoma City.
-- 76ers lost last five visits to Alamo by 2-8-23-17-23 points.
-- Jazz won nine of last ten games with Detroit.
-- Clippers won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee.

Totals
-- Last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix-Atlanta games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Portland games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Indiana games stayed under total.
-- 12 of last 13 Memphis-Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Brooklyn-New Orleans games went over.
-- Five of last seven Thunder games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Detroit's last four road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over the total; under is 6-0-1 in last seven Clipper games.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers won last three games, allowing total of five goals. Phoenix won five of its last seven games.
-- Flyers won their last five games, allowing total of eight goals. Los Angeles won ten of its last thirteen games.
-- Boston won its last 12 games, allowing 10 goals in their last eight games. Canadiens won four of their last five.
-- Lightning won five of their last six games.
-- San Jose won seven of its last nine games. Flames won four of last six.


Cold teams
-- Senators lost their last six games, allowing 28 goals.
-- Jets lost eight of their last ten games. Dallas lost four of last five.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Los Angeles games.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Boston games.
-- Five of last seven Ottawa games went over total.
-- Under is 21-10-3 in Winnipeg's road games this year.
-- Last four San Jose games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Rangers won six of their last eight games with Phoenix.
-- Kings lost six of last nine games with Philadelphia.
-- Bruins lost five of last six games with Montreal.
-- Lightning won four of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Home side won six of last eight Dallas-Winnipeg games.
-- Sharks won four of last five games with Calgary.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 3/24/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________



***** Monday, 3/24/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________

Monday's Notebook
•Florida State won five of last seven games, losing to Syracuse/Virginia; Seminoles turn ball over 21.2% of time, #320 in country- they start four sophomores. Georgetown lost five of last eight games, losing last four road games, three by 12+ points.

•LSU is 6-7 in its last 13 games, winning first round game at USF; they lost to Memphis by 7, in only game versus AAC opponent. SMU lost three of last four games- they lost by 11 at Arkansas, in only game against an SEC opponent.

•Arkansas won seven of last nine games, winning two of last three away games, one of which was at Kentucky; Razorbacks lost 85-77 to California in first round of Maui Classic Nov 25, in game where both teams took 30+ FTs. Cal Bears are 6-9 in their last fifteen games.

•Old Dominion won four of last five home games, is 7-9 outside Conference-USA; Monarchs scored 82+ points in eight of their last eleven games. Radford won four of last five games, with three of four wins away from home.

•Penn State split its last six true road games, winning at Ohio St/Indiana; they have best player on court in senior G Frazier. Lions won by 32 versus Monmouth, its only game versus MAAC foe. Siena won five of its last six games, losing to Canisius by 6 in MAAC tourney.

•Texas A&M lost its last eight true road games; its last road win was Jan 11, at Tennessee. Aggies lost three of last four games overall; they've had three OT games in last nine games. Illinois State is 6-9 in last 15 games but they've won last six games at home in Normal.

•Princeton won its last six games, with three of last four on road; Tigers won last game by point at Tulane. Fresno State won 10 of last 13 games, upsetting Miners in El Paso last game. Guerrero snapped out of 4 for 33 skid behind arc by hitting three of six 3's at UTEP.

•Murray State won its last 11 home games since losing in November to Middle Tennessee; Racers won 15 of last 19 games overall. Omaha lost five of last seven games overall, six of last eight on road. Omaha scored 88+ points in each of its last three games.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- ARKANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 63.5, OPPONENT 77.3.

-- PRINCETON is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
The average score was PRINCETON 75.4, OPPONENT 70.3.

-- ARKANSAS is 1-11 (-11.1 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 29.0, OPPONENT 37.5.

-- FLORIDA ST is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where they attempted 50 or less shots this season.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 34.0, OPPONENT 36.4.

-- STEVE PROHM is 8-0 ATS (+8.0Units) in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of MURRAY ST.
The average score was PROHM 78.4, OPPONENT 65.2.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- FLORIDA ST is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 62.4, OPPONENT 68.9.

-- SMU is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was SMU 69.5, OPPONENT 58.9.

-- PENN ST is 13-4 against the 1rst half line (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% this season.
The average score was PENN ST 33.7, OPPONENT 32.5.

-- SMU is 17-2 UNDER (+14.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was SMU 31.2, OPPONENT 27.2.

-- JIMMY PATSOS is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was PATSOS 68.1, OPPONENT 66.2.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) - an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.
(68-6 since 1997.) (91.9%, +55.7 units. Rating = 6*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -216.7
The average score in these games was: Team 74.6, Opponent 63.9 (Average point differential = +10.7)

The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-1, +17.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-3, +20.4 units).

-- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (RADFORD) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (21-23 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.6
The average score in these games was: Team 66.5, Opponent 67.5 (Average point differential = -1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (41.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-6).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (56-42).

-- Play Against - A favorite versus the 1rst half line (OLD DOMINION) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 32.2 (Average first half point differential = -2.9)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-27).
___________________________________________
 

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Hockey Crusher
Dallas Stars -145 over Winnipeg
(System Record: 78-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 78-65-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
LSU +6 over Southern Methodist
(System Record: 64-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 64-76-5
 

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Soccer Crusher
AGF Aarhus + Esbjerg UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Denmark
(System Record: 540-20, lost last game)
Overall Record: 540-466-79
 
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Hockey Crusher
Dallas Stars -145 over Winnipeg
(System Record: 78-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 78-65-1

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Kings +100 over Philadelphia Flyers
New York Rangers -150 over Phoenix
San Jose Sharks -170 over Calgary
 
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Basketball Crusher
LSU +6 over Southern Methodist
(System Record: 64-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 64-76-5

Rest of the Plays
Radford +6.5 over Old Dominion
Georgetown +4.5 over Florida State
Texas A&M +2 over Illinois State
 
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NCAA Basketball Picks

Princeton at Fresno State

The Tigers (9-5 road record) head to Fresno State tonight for the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament and face a Bulldogs team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record. Princeton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
MONDAY, MARCH 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 621-622: Georgetown at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 62.643; Florida State 68.527
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 6
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-4)
Game 623-624: LSU at SMU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 64.240; SMU 65.799
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 6
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+6)
Game 625-626: Arkansas at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 65.205; California 62.231
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 3
Vegas Line: California by 3
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3)
Game 627-628: Radford at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Radford 49.232; Old Dominion 53.466
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 4
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Radford (+6 1/2)
Game 631-632: Penn State at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 62.099; Siena 54.768
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Penn State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-4)
Game 633-634: Texas A&M at Illinois State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 58.493; Illinois State 62.344
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 4
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-2)
Game 635-636: Princeton at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 59.363; Fresno State 58.501
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 1
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+3 1/2)
Game 637-638: NE-Omaha at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 52.192; Murray State 54.549
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 6
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+6)
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Philadelphia

The Kings (19-12-3 on the road) head to Philadelphia tonight to face a Flyers team that is 6-0 in its last 6 home games versus teams with a winning road record. Philadelphia is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, MARCH 24
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Phoenix at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.882; NY Rangers 10.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+145); Over
Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.271; Philadelphia 12.501
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Under
Game 5-6: Ottawa at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 9.714; Tampa Bay 11.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Under
Game 7-8: Montreal at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.461; Boston 11.507
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-190); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+170); Over
Game 9-10: Winnipeg at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 9.727; Dallas 11.688
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-155); Over
Game 11-12: San Jose at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.449; Calgary 12.312
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+160); Under
 

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Ben Burns

NHL Phoenix vs. NY Rangers Burns' NHL Personal Favorite! (Amazing But True!) pinnacle @ -154 NY Rangers
NBA Phoenix vs. Atlanta 3-Game NBA Ultimate sportsinteraction @ 0 -110 Atlanta
NBA Indiana vs. Chicago 3-Game NBA Ultimate betonline @ Over 178 -110
NBA Denver vs. Oklahoma City 3-Game NBA Ultimate sportsinteraction @ Under 220 -110
NCAAB Arkansas vs. California *BIG TV WINNER* Burns' 10* MAIN EVENT! (Nine Straight?) pinnacle @ -3 -106 California
NCAAB UCLA vs. Florida *LESS THAN 1/2 PRICE IF YOU HURRY!* Burns' NCAA Tourney TOTAL Best Of The Best! carbonsports @ Under 138 -110
NCAAB Kentucky vs. Louisville *LESS THAN 1/2 PRICE IF YOU HURRY!* Burns' Sweet 16 Best Of The Best! pinnacle @ -4.5 -124 Louisville
 
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GoodFella | MLB Money Line Monday, 3/24/2014 1:05 PM
908 PIT (-110) JustBet vs 907 DET

Analysis:
1* on PITTSBURGH PIRATES
 
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NCAAB

Monday, March 24

Florida State won five of last seven games, losing to Syracuse/Virginia; Seminoles turn ball over 21.2% of timne, #320 in country- they start four sophomores. Georgetown lost five of last eight games, losing last four road games, three by 12+ points.

LSU is 6-7 in its last 13 games, winning first round game at USF; they lost to Memphis by 7, in only game vs AAC opponent. SMU lost three of last four games- they lost by 11 at Arkansas, in only game against an SEC opponent.

Arkansas won seven of last nine games, winning two of last three away games, one of which was at Kentucky; Razorbacks lost 85-77 to Cal in first round of Maui Classic Nov 25, in game where both teams took 30+ FTs. Cal Bears are 6-9 in their last fifteen games.

Old Dominion won four of last five home games, is 7-9 outside C-USA; Monarchs scored 82+ points in eight of their last eleven games. Radford won four of last five games, with three of four wins away from home.

Penn State split its last six true road games, winning at Ohio St/Indiana; they have best player on court in senior G Frazier. Lions won by 32 vs Monmouth, its only game vs MAAC foe. Siena won five of its last six games, losing to Canisius by 6 in MAAC tourney.

Texas A&M lost its last eight true road games; its last road win was Jan 11, at Tennessee. Aggies lost three of last four games overall; they've had three OT games in last nine games. Illinois State is 6-9 in last 15 games but they've won last six games at home in Normal.

Princeton won its last six games, with three of last four on road; Tigers won last game by point at Tulane. Fresno State won 10 of last 13 games, upsetting Miners in El Paso last game. Guerrero snapped out of 4 for 33 skid behind arc by hitting three of six 3's at UTEP.

Murray State won its last 11 home games since losing in November to Middle Tennessee; Racers won 15 of last 19 games overall. Omaha lost five of last seven games overall, six of last eight on road. Omaha scored 88+ points in each of its last three games.
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at LA Clippers

The Clippers play host tonight to a Bucks team that is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games in Los Angeles. LA is the pick (-16) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-16). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, MARCH 24
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Houston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 124.315; Charlotte 117.699
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Phoenix at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 119.461; Atlanta 116.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1 1/2); Under
Game 605-606: Portland at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 116.017; Miami 124.877
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 209
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under
Game 607-608: Minnesota at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.742; Memphis 120.549
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Under
Game 609-610: Denver at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.846; Oklahoma City 125.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 219
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10 1/2); Under
Game 611-612: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.651; Chicago 117.176
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1 1/2); Under
Game 613-614: Brooklyn at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 122.873; New Orleans 117.325
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-2); Under
Game 615-616: Philadelphia at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 106.717; San Antonio 124.626
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 18; 200
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 21 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+21 1/2); Under
Game 617-618: Detroit at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.779; Utah 108.872
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 1; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1); Over
Game 619-620: Milwaukee at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.946; LA Clippers 128.323
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 18 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-16); Over
 

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