Tony Finn 4%
NY Jets +1.5
The 3-8 Jets are assumed to be just playing out the final five games of the season, however, this just isn't the case. This is a December home game for New York and they are playing a club that is arguably the most overvalued club among the 32 NFL franchises. Backing the Colts or the Jets presents liabilities and both have holes in their units on both sides of the ball. However, the Jets are the superior defensive unit and while New York has been somewhat unreliable offensively they have their best matchup of the season tonight against a Colts stop unit that is incapable of being better than league average even when healthy.
While the team has labeled both CB Von Davis (groin) and LB Trent Cole (back) probable for tonight's D unit, both are not 100 percent and the conditions don't favor either being at their best or available full time in this December event on the upper East Coast.
Additionally, DE Rob Mathis and S Clayton Gethers are questionable for tonight and the current starters on the Colts defense are a group of players that would struggle to be starters on most NFL defense units.
The offense will see the return of Andrew Luck, who missed last week's game to head trauma and T.Y Hilton has been gimpy the entire season. He left last Sunday's event with a back issue and is listed as probable for tonight but he too is somewhat limited and doesn't figure to be a factor, and neither do the Colts as a whole, for that matter tonight against a good Jets defense.
The Jets will go with veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick tonight. While he has been up and down this season under his leadership the Jets offense figures to have one of their best performances of the season against a porous Colts defense, but up front and in the secondary. Center Nick Mangold is listed as a question mark for tonight but all reports have him dressing and starting in a game that the Jets not only should win but are motivated to do so.
Last week's loss for the Jets came with Fitz under center. He was, however, effective despite the team seemingly always playing catch-up versus the Pats. Fitz was 22 of 32 for 269 yards and two touchdowns.
This is one of the few moments this season that the J-E-T-S faithful will have fond memories of. This is a.... after all.....Monday Night Football home game. Scott Tolzien or Andrew Luck are both not worthy of support behind the current Colts offensive line and the Jets defensive front, with the home crowd noise (and it will be more than most believe despite the Jets records and position in the division) wiill dominate Indy in the trenches. The banged-up Indy O-line is as leaky as they come and part of Lucks injury issues come via their inability to protect. Luck has been sacked 35 times this season.
Ryan Fitzpatrick has a 26-to-11 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home during his career with the Jets and New York runs away and hides from a Colts team that isn't as talented or equipped to win football games, even at 5-6, as the 3-8 Jets.
NEW YORK JETS +1.5 POINTS