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BYU (8-4) vs. Memphis (9-3)

Monday, December 22, 2 p.m. (ET)The Sports Network
GAME NOTES: The BYU Cougars will meet with the American Athletic Conference champion Memphis Tigers in the inaugural Miami Beach Bowl on Monday, Dec. 22, in a showdown at Marlins Park.
BYU, which finished the regular season at 8-4 and on a four-game win streak, will participate in its 10th consecutive postseason bowl game, and owns a 6-3 record in that time frame. BYU took down California, 42-35, in the team's regular-season finale.
Memphis, which won a share of the AAC title this year, also enters the clash on a win streak. The Tigers have won six in a row, including a 41-10 thrashing of UConn in the team's regular-season finale. Memphis will be playing in its seventh bowl game all time, but the first since the 2008 St. Petersburg Bowl.
This contest between the Cougars and the Tigers will mark the first-ever meeting between the programs on the football field.
BYU suffered some crucial mid-season injuries that appeared to set the team back, but the Cougars recovered. Most notably was the injury to quarterback Taysom Hill, who went down in October with a leg injury. Hill had his name mentioned with the Heisman hopefuls at that point, but Christian Stewart came in and did a phenomenal job replacing the talented Hill. Stewart threw for 2,273 yards and 22 touchdowns against only six interceptions in relief of Hill, adding in a 58.7 completion percentage.
Perhaps not quite as notable but still equally as devastating a loss was to Jamaal Williams at running back. He suffered a knee injury early in November that sidelined him for the season. Williams rushed for 518 yards - a team high - but Paul Lasike picked up some of the slack with five rushing scores in 12 games played. BYU averaged 190.5 rushing ypg and 36.2 ppg, but plenty of that production came from Hill and Williams.
Huge 6-foot-6 receiver Mitch Mathews has provided Stewart with a fantastic outlet option in the passing game. The receiver has caught 64 passes for a team-best 840 yards and eight touchdowns this season, averaging 70.0 ypg receiving. Jordan Leslie (five touchdown receptions), Mitch Juergens (three receiving scores) and Lasike out of the backfield have provided Stewart enough of a security blanket to be successful.
While BYU's offense has been strong following some key injures, the team's defense has just been consistent all season long. The Cougars are allowing opponents to score 25.2 ppg and gain just 384.2 offensive ypg this season, with a special focus on stopping the run (117.5 opponent rushing ypg). But a strong scoring prevention defense down the stretch run (35 points allowed to Cal was the most since an Oct. 24 battle with Boise State) helped the Cougars along.
Skye Povey leads the team in tackles, though the defensive leader has registered just 69 stops all season long. Still, he has notched two interceptions with four pass breakups to increase his value. In mid December, the team lost safety Craig Bills for the Miami Beach Bowl due to a neck injury. His prowess in the secondary will be missed by the Cougars, but that doesn't diminish the team's fight for a postseason win.
"Our team is excited to be in the postseason for a 10th straight season and looking forward to the challenge of facing Memphis in the Miami Beach Bowl," BYU head coach Bronco Mendenhall said. "Memphis had a great regular season, winning a share of the AAC title. They are well coached with a strong defense and a balanced offense. It should be a great matchup in Miami."
With both teams coming off two very strong win streaks, it should be a great matchup. But for BYU to control a strong Tigers team, the Cougars will need to stop Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch. Lynch has been a dual-threat machine this season for the 9-3 Tigers, throwing for 2,725 yards and 18 touchdowns while adding 10 rushing scores to his resume. Lynch is the leader of a Memphis offense averaging 34.7 ppg and 422.7 offensive ypg.
His contribution to the running game has helped tremendously following the season-ending injury to Doroland Dorceus in September. Lynch's 10 rushing touchdowns is a team high, but Brandon Hayes and his 900 rushing yards and 81.8 ypg average on the ground are both the highs on the team this season. The Tigers have scored a whopping 28 rushing touchdowns in 12 games in 2014.
When it comes to the receiving game, Lynch likes to spread the ball around. Mose Frazier leads the team with 43 receptions and is tied for the lead with three receiving scores. But the team lead in touchdown receptions is shared with Tevin Jones, Alan Cross and Hayes. Even Keiwone Malone is up there with a team-best 480 receiving yards and two scores.
But no one has to look much further than Memphis' strong scoring defense as a reason for the Tigers' success this season. Memphis brings in a 17.1 ppg mark allowed to opponents into the clash, and allows just 125.2 rushing ypg to opponents. In the team's six-game win streak, only Tulsa and USF managed 20 points; the rest of the challengers in the streak couldn't even surpass 13 points against the Tigers.
Tank Jakes has been a beast this season for Memphis, not only leading the team in total tackles (83), but also in tackles for loss (15.5), sacks (six), and forced fumbles (four). In the secondary, Bakari Hollier will be useful against BYU's Stewart, having broken up 10 passes this season. Bobby McCain has intercepted four passes as well, so the two players will try to shut down a potent BYU offensive aerial attack.
"We have a special group of kids who have worked extremely hard for what they have accomplished this year," said Memphis coach Justin Fuente. "They have adhered to the values of selflessness, teamwork and playing together. This bowl invitation is a reward for the season they have had."
BYU has done a stellar job remaining competitive against its opposition without Hill under center, who, when active, was one of the most dangerous players in college football. But Memphis is extremely well-rounded and could shut the Cougars down with a stifling defensive effort in Miami.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Memphis 27, BYU 17

Sorry I did not have time to clean this up.
 
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INTPICKS

NFL – Denver Broncos-3

CFB – BYU/Memphis – Over 56 (2pm EST)

NBA

Charlotte -1.5
Portland vs Houston – Over 197.5

CBB

Kansas -7
FAU +2
Minnesota -26
Ohio St. -23
 

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BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL


50* Play Wichita State -19 over Loyola Marymount (PLAY OF THE DAY)

Wichita State is 27-10 ATS when playing as a favorite
Wichita State is 24-11 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in their last game
Wichita State is 14-3 ATS in tournament games


10* Play West Virginia -9.5 over Wofford (TOP NCAA PLAY)

10* Play Penn State -8.5 over Dartmouth (TOP NCAA PLAY)

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NBA BASKETBALL


10* Play Dallas -9.5 over Atlanta (TOP NBA PLAY)
10* Play Golden State -12 over Sacramento (TOP NBA PLAY)

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NHL HOCKEY


10* Play Anaheim -120 over San Jose (TOP NHL PLAY)
10* Play Vancouver -190 over Arizona (TOP NHL PLAY)
 

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Winning Angle Football

MONDAY

Play Memphis -2 over BYU (NCAA)
2:00 PM EST


Memphis has won 6 consecutive games and they have won 8 of the last 9 games when playing as a favorite. Memphis has won 6 consecutive games coming off two or more conference games and they are only allowing an average of 17 points a game on defense this season.


Play Cincinnati +3 over Denver (NFL)
8:30 PM EST


Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing as an underdog and they have covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 games coming off a division game. Cincinnati has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games when playing in the last two weeks of the regular season and they are averaging 25 points on offense in home games this season.


 

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XpertPicks

MONDAY

TOP NCAA & NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Memphis -2 over BYU---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
2:00 PM EST

BYU has lost 15 of the last 22 games against the spread coming off a win in their last game and they have lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread after gaining 525 or more total yards in their last game.



Play Cincinnati +3 over Denver---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST

Cincinnati has won 16 of the last 23 home games and they have won 20 of the last 32 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points. Cincinnati has won 9 of the last 12 games when playing in the month of December and they have won 10 of the last 13 games coming off a road win in their last game.
 

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BeatYourBookie


MONDAY


100* Play Cincinnati +3 over Denver (Top NFL Play)

Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS when playing as an underdog
Cincinnati is 9-3 ATS when playing in the month of December


100* Play Memphis -2 over BYU (Top NCAA Play)

BYU is 7-15 ATS coming off a win in their last game
BYU is 1-5 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest
 

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Winning Angle

MONDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL

Play San Diego State -15.5 over UC-Riverside (NCAA TOP PLAY)

UC-Riverside has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread vs. Mountain West Conference Opponents and they have lost 11 of the last 17 games against the spread after having won five or six of the last seven games. UC-Riverside has lost 6 of the last 8 games coming off two games with five or less steals and they are only averaging 57 points in road games this season.


Play Wichita State -19 over Loyola Marymount (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Wichita State has covered the spread in 27 of the last 37 games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 15 of the last 19 games when playing on a neutral court. Wichita State has covered the spread in 23 of the last 32 non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games when playing their 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] game in eight days.


Play Minnesota -27 over Furman (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Furman has lost 29 of the last 46 games against the spread when playing as an underdog and they have lost 49 of the last 80 non-conference games against the spread. Furman has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off a combined score of 155 points or more and they are allowing an average of 79 points in road games this season.



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NBA BASKETBALL

Play Golden State -12 over Sacramento (NBA TOP PLAY)

Golden State has covered the spread in 15 of the last 20 games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season. Golden State has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games after scoring 105 points or more and they are averaging 109 points in home games this season.


============================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Florida +130 over Pittsburgh (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Columbus +120 over Nashville (NHL TOP PLAY)
 

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FantasySportsGametime


MONDAY FOOTBALL
5000* Play Memphis -2 over BYU (TOP NCAA PLAY)

BYU has lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread and they have lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing with two weeks or more of rest.


5000* Play Cincinnati +3 over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)

Cincinnati has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games when playing as a home underdog of three points or less and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games when playing in the month of December.
 

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Sportswagers

Denver @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI +4 -105 over Denver

We know all about Andy Dalton’s brutal record in prime time games because that’s all we’ve been hearing about in regards to this game since the line came out. In case you weren’t aware, we’ll make you so by sharing this vital information: since 2011, the year Andy Dalton became its starting quarterback, Cincinnati is 2-9 in nationally televised playoff games and night games on Monday, Thursday and Sunday nights. By contrast, Peyton Manning is 13-4 in regular-season games as a starter on Monday night. He has 36 TD passes and 16 interceptions in those games. That’s all well and good but we couldn’t give a rat’s ass about any of it. The media blows things way out of proportion. These “trends” or past results mean absolutely nothing. Who the f**k cares how Manning played on Monday night 10 years ago? What he did then on Monday Night or what he’s done since has zero impact on the outcome of this one. With hundreds of games played every year in every sport, one-sided trends will develop over time and some will stick out more than others but to base your selection on them is completely ludicrous. If Andy Dalton stinks it up tonight and Peyton Manning has a great game it’s not because one has been historically good in prime time and one has not. We could point out 20 strong trends from yesterday’s games that all lost and 20 strong one’s that all won. In other words, they mean absolutely jack.

The Bengals are fighting to remain in contention while the Broncos are playing for home-field advantage throughout. However, if New England defeats Buffalo next week in Foxboro, it won’t matter what the Broncos do. That doesn’t mean that Denver doesn’t care about tonight because they still have a chance for home-field throughout (you take nothing for granted in this league) and by the time they kick off next week against Oakland, the Patriots game against the Bills will be over. One must give credit to a team that is winning games because a win is a win but Denver has not been impressive at all over the past five weeks. It started with a 22-7 loss to St. Louis followed by a 39-36 fortunate victory over the Dolphins. The next three weeks saw the Broncos defeat K.C., Buffalo and San Diego but pretty it was not. Denver did not play well out in San Diego, as they scored one with Manning coming in and going out of the game and coming back in. His passes looked brutal (wobbly and not spirals and not just last week either) but they are amazingly accurate – for now. This has to be his last season and if the forecast holds and it is below freezing at game-time it could very well be too much for him. What drives him at this point to endure all that pain is anyone’s guess but whatever it is, it’s not a healthy situation. You can never write off Manning but the toll of a full season on his “old” body has taken effect. The Broncos figure to plan accordingly so you can expect Manning to throw plenty of quick strike, five-yard darts to avoid getting hit.

Nobody is giving the Bengals any credit for their 30-0 win in Cleveland last week against Johnny Manziel. We’re not giving the defense any credit either but the offense is a different story. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense put together four long scoring drives against a defence that had been playing great football. More importantly, the Bengals have rushed for 1044 yards since Week 9 when Jeremy Hill's increase in production began. That ranks second in the league over that stretch. Across the first eight weeks, they ranked 21st, gaining just 780 yards. Hill has been running well in the past six weeks, topping 140 yards three times in that span. His hard running and guard Kevin Zeitler's constant pulling made for a nightmare day for Cleveland's defense. Of the four times this season when teams have run 25 or more times against Denver, they beat the Broncos three times. That figures to bode well here for a Bengals offense that are one of six teams averaging more than 30 rushing attempts per game this season. Indeed the Bengals have had some stinkers this season but they barely broke a sweat last week and they’ve still won six of their past eight games. Marvin Lewis’s team has shown a propensity to stumble when favored but plays its best with its back against the wall. Cinci will put itself in a great spot to make the playoffs with a win here and so we'll happily take better than a field goal at home against a Denver team that has already made its regular season bones this year and that isn’t playing that great anyway.

Our Pick
CINCINNATI +4 -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)
 

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