STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 1/27/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 1/27/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Suns won three of their last four games (1-1 AF).
-- Nets won five in row, 10 of last 11 games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games (6-2 last eight AF). Bulls won four of last five games (2-2 HU).
-- Clippers won eight of last ten games are 16-9 vs. spread on road (7-2 last nine AF).
-- Thunder won/covered last seven games (10-6 last 16 HF). Hawks won three of their last four games (1-4 last five AU).
•Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost five of last six games (1-11 last 12 HU).
-- Toronto lost four of last five on road, but covered eight of last nine as a road underdog.
-- Bucks lost 14 of their last 16 games (2-6 last eight HU).
-- Utah is 4-5 in its last nine games (2-3 HF). Kings lost five of their last six games (2-4 last six AU).
•Totals
-- Seven of last nine Phoenix road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Chicago home games went over.
-- Ten of last eleven Clipper road games went over.
-- Ten of last twelve Atlanta road games went over.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Sacramento road games.
•Series Records
-- Suns won last two games with Philly, after losing previous seven.
-- Home side won seven of last eight Net-Raptor games; Toronto lost its last three visits to Brooklyn.
-- Bulls won their last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Clippers won six of their last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won six of last eight games with Atlanta.
-- Kings lost six of their last eight games at Utah.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- PHILADELPHIA is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 104.2, OPPONENT 108.7.
-- ATLANTA is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 102.5, OPPONENT 108.8.
-- ATLANTA is 16-3 (+12.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 52.1, OPPONENT 45.2.
-- ATLANTA is 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 51.4, OPPONENT 56.1.
-- SCOTT BROOKS is 29-10 UNDER (+17.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a road favorite as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.
The average score was BROOKS 102.9, OPPONENT 92.4.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- MILWAUKEE is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 92.3, OPPONENT 104.0.
-- CHICAGO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 92.1, OPPONENT 84.8.
-- MINNESOTA is 13-1 against the 1rst half line (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 52.1, OPPONENT 47.2.
-- ATLANTA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 44.4, OPPONENT 47.4.
-- TOM THIBODEAU is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season as the coach of CHICAGO.
The average score was THIBODEAU 96.4, OPPONENT 85.8.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Favorites of -165 to -500 versus the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game.
(45-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -156
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 99.4 (Average point differential = +10.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2, +11.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (96-25, +43.3 units).
-- Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(31-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.2%, +27.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-3 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 94.6 (Average point differential = +9.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (72.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-1).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-34).
-- Play Over - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(27-6 since 1996.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205
The average score in these games was: Team 111.8, Opponent 103.4 (Total points scored = 215.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (58.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
-- Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games.
(29-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.9%, +24.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53, Opponent 45.9 (Average first half point differential = +7.1)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-31).
-- Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a terrible team (<=25%).
(31-6 since 1996.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.6, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 91.6)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
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Monday's Match-ups
#701 PHOENIX @ #702 PHILADELPHIA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, FSN Arizona (Phoenix), CSN Philadelphia - Line: Suns -5, Total: 213) - The Phoenix Suns look to parlay a remarkable comeback in Cleveland into the start of a winning streak with a quick turnaround against the 76ers in Philadelphia on Monday. Phoenix erased an 18-point halftime deficit against the Cavaliers to record its third win in its last four games, rebounding from a poor effort against Washington Friday. "We could be down 25 and we're still like, 'We're coming back,'" forward P.J. Tucker told the Arizona Republic. "It's the fight in our team."
Philadelphia surprised the entire NBA with a 3-0 start to a season in which it was expected to be among the league's worst. Since then, those expectations have been fulfilled with the 76ers ahead of only Orlando and Milwaukee in the league standings and ready to host the Suns with just two wins in their last 11 games. Rookie point guard Michael Carter-Williams is a glaring bright spot in an otherwise woeful campaign, leading all first-year players in scoring (17.3 points), assists (6.5), rebounding (5.7) and steals (2.45).
•ABOUT THE SUNS (25-18 SU, 28-14-1 ATS): Point guard Goran Dragic didn't hold back in assessing his team's improbable victory, telling reporters bluntly, "We're the best comeback team in the NBA." There are facts to back up Dragic's claim, of course, with comeback wins of 13, 14, 16 and 21 points this season. Markieff Morris led the charge against the Cavaliers, scoring 27 points and grabbing a season-high 15 rebounds, and is one of four active players - excluding the injured Eric Bledsoe - averaging double figures in a well-balanced Suns offense.
•ABOUT THE 76ERS (14-30 SU, 18-26-0 ATS): Coach Brett Brown heaped heavy praise on Carter-Williams recently, amid comparisons to the legendary names of Oscar Robertson and Earvin "Magic" Johnson. "I feel a responsibility to help him get where he has a chance of going," Brown told the Philadelphia Inquirer. "(Robertson and Johnson) are Hall of Fame, the greatest players to ever play this sport. With (Carter-Williams), the thing is to continue to challenge him." Carter-Williams leads Philadelphia in assists and steals, while ranking second in scoring to forward Evan Turner, whose 18.5 points are a team-best.
•PREGAME NOTES: Phoenix's average of 104.1 points ranks eighth in the NBA, while Philadelphia allows a league-worst 109.5 points per game.... The 76ers have lost two straight meetings to the Suns, including a 115-101 decision in Phoenix this season on Dec. 28.... Morris has scored 13 or more points in a career-best six straight games for the Suns.... The Suns are 22-9 against the spread versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.... The Sixers are 1-10 versus the spread in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the spread 534 times, while PHILADELPHIA covered the spread 442 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX won the game straight up 650 times, while PHILADELPHIA won 328 times. In 1000 simulated games, 694 games went under the total, while 306 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the first half line 543 times, while PHILADELPHIA covered the first half line 457 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 650 games went under first half total, while 350 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PHOENIX is 18-14 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA since 1996.
--PHOENIX is 19-13 straight up against PHILADELPHIA since 1996.
--15 of 30 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--PHILADELPHIA is 19-12 versus the first half line when playing against PHOENIX since 1996.
--16 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Suns are 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
--Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Favorite is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 Monday games.
--Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
--76ers are 0-5 ATS L5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Under is 7-1 in 76ers last 8 overall.
--Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 home games.
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#703 TORONTO @ #704 BROOKLYN
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, TSN (Toronto), YES (Brooklyn) -Line: Unavailable) - The Toronto Raptors will be without their leading scorer in what is easily the team's biggest game of the season to date. DeMar DeRozan did not travel with the team for Monday's game against the host Brooklyn Nets after suffering a sprained left foot in Saturday's 126-118 home defeat at the hands of the Los Angeles Clippers. The good news for Toronto: they may have a suitable scoring replacement after Terrence Ross exploded for a club record-tying 51 points in defeat.
Ross' sensational game overshadowed DeRozan's injury and a forgettable performance by the normally reliable Toronto defense, which allowed the Clippers to shoot 54.8 percent from the field. A better defensive effort will be needed against the Nets, who earned an emotional 85-76 victory in Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett's return to Boston. Brooklyn has won five straight and 10 of 11 to move to within a game and a half of Toronto atop the Atlantic Division.
•ABOUT THE RAPTORS (22-21 SU, 25-18-0 ATS): The absence of the normally durable DeRozan will force the Raptors to rely more heavily on their secondary scoring options - and they have some good ones. Point guard Kyle Lowry has been one of the best at his position over the past two months - averaging 18.3 points in December and 16.7 so far in January - while Ross has shown flashes of his immense potential and center Jonas Valanciunas remains a reliable option in the middle. Valanciunas also leads the team with 14 double-doubles.
•ABOUT THE NETS (20-22 SU, 21-21-0 ATS): Moving past Sunday's emotionally-charged victory in Boston shouldn't be hard for a veteran Brooklyn team that was expected to run away with the division title but got off to a dreadful start to the season. But with point guard Deron Williams finally healthy and the various role players contributing at both ends of the court, the Nets have been the league's hottest team since the flip of the calendar. But things are about to get a lot tougher, with games against Oklahoma City and Indiana coming up later this week.
•PREGAME NOTES: The teams have split a pair of meetings this season, both in Toronto.... Ross had 14 points in his last game against Brooklyn, a 96-80 Raptors victory.... The Nets are just 2-6 in the second game of back-to-backs.... Patrick Patterson is expected to play in this contest for the Raptors despite breaking his nose when he was hit with an elbow Saturday. Tyler Hansbrough has missed the last 13 with an ankle injury and will be a game-time decision.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--Note: There are currently *No EDGES available for this matchup due to No-Line posted at the present time. In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO won the game straight up 576 times, while BROOKLYN won 399 times.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--TORONTO is 36-31 against the spread versus BROOKLYN since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 38-35 straight up against TORONTO since 1996.
--37 of 67 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 35-33 versus the first half line when playing against TORONTO since 1996.
--43 of 69 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings in Brooklyn.
--Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Raptors are 4-0 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Over is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 Monday games.
--Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a win
--Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
--Nets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
--Over is 5-2 in Nets last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
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#705 ATLANTA @ #706 OKLAHOMA CITY
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, SportSouth (Atlanta), FSN Oklahoma (Oklahoma City) - Line: Thunder -10, Total: 205.5) - Kevin Durant attempts to add to his string of standout performances when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Durant has scored 30 or more points in 10 consecutive games – including four outings of 46 or more points in January – and posted his fifth career triple-double in Saturday’s victory over Philadelphia. The huge efforts have helped the Thunder win seven consecutive games and they now possess the best record in the Western Conference.
Atlanta has won three of its last four games and routed the lowly Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. The Hawks will again be without point guard Jeff Teague (ankle) but DeMarre Carroll has returned from a hamstring injury and will be one of the players who will receive opportunities to slow down Durant. Despite losing standout center Al Horford (pectoral) for the rest of the season, Atlanta has remained in third place in the Eastern Conference.
•ABOUT THE HAWKS (23-20 SU, 23-20-0 ATS): Atlanta is painfully thin at the point without Teague as Shelvin Mack is in the starting lineup and little-used Dennis Schroder is receiving backup minutes. Backup shooting guard Lou Williams might receive more point-guard minutes against the Thunder after posting five or more assists in each of the last four games. Williams isn’t close to being a true point guard but he grasps the situation and adjusts from his shoot-first mentality when called on to run the offense.
•ABOUT THE THUNDER (35-10 SU, 27-18-0 ATS): Durant is averaging 37.6 points over his last 12 games and his streak of consecutive 30-point games is the longest since Orlando’s Tracy McGrady had 14 such outings during the 2002-03 campaign. Durant missed a game against Boston on Friday due to a shoulder issue and returned one night later to post 32 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists against the 76ers. “I hate sitting out,” Durant said after the triple-double, “but it was best for me and my shoulder. I guess that day off was needed.” Durant had 30 points and 10 rebounds when Oklahoma City defeated the Hawks in Atlanta on Dec. 10.
•PREGAME NOTES: Atlanta defeated the Thunder last season in its lone visit to Oklahoma City.... Hawks G/F Kyle Korver had three 3-pointers against the Bucks to extend his NBA record of making at least one to 112 straight games.... Oklahoma City PF Serge Ibaka has put together back-to-back 20-point outings and has blocked five shots in three of the past four games.... The Hawks are 23-9 versus the spread in road games after having won three of their last four games over the last three seasons.... The Thunder are 25-12 against the spread versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the spread 490 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 489 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY won the game straight up 723 times, while ATLANTA won 261 times. In 1000 simulated games, 538 games went under the total, while 462 games went over the total. * No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 514 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 549 games went under first half total, while 451 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-10 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-11 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996.
--18 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 versus the first half line when playing against ATLANTA since 1996.
--17 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Hawks are 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
--Hawks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.
--Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
--Over is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 Monday games.
--Over is 4-0 in Hawks L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
--Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
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#707 LA CLIPPERS @ #708 MILWAUKEE
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee) - Line: Clippers -9, Total: 199) - Back-to-back impressive showings at Chicago and Toronto have pushed the Los Angeles Clippers' road record above the .500 mark for the season. They'll look to keep it there - and wrap up a grueling seven-game trek on a winning note - as they visit the woeful Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night. The Clippers are coming off a 126-118 slugfest over the Raptors, while the Bucks look to bounce back from a dismal effort in a 112-87 defeat at the hands of the Atlanta Hawks.
It's going to be difficult for the Bucks to keep pace with a Clippers team that has racked up 238 points over its past two games and averages an even 106 for the season. Milwaukee ranks dead last in the NBA in points per game at 91.3, and didn't even get there against Atlanta as it shot just 5-of-21 from 3-point range while committing 20 turnovers. "This was a totally, totally unacceptable performance," Milwaukee head coach Larry Drew told reporters after the game.
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (31-15 SU, 27-19-0 ATS): The season-to-date numbers suggest Los Angeles has struggled from beyond the arc - but head coach Doc Rivers doesn't sound concerned. The Clippers entered Sunday ranked in a tie for 24th in 3-point shooting percentage (34.4) - and that was after going 13-for-21 versus Chicago and 12-for-22 against Toronto. "We just haven't shot them well," Rivers told the Los Angeles Times. "But if you go by the numbers historically of each guy shooting them, yeah. If you go by this year, then no."
•ABOUT THE BUCKS (8-35 SU, 15-28-0 ATS): Drew has been patient with his team as it goes through the kind of day-to-day pains associated with the rebuilding process. But even he reached his limit following the loss to the Hawks, who fired him last season. "Do we have anything inside that will allow us to go out and compete at a high level?" he asked after closing the locker room immediately following the loss. "I'm going to have to go with the guys that play hard. You're not going to play hard? You're not going to play."
•PREGAME NOTES: The Clippers have won the last three head-to-head encounters.... Los Angeles PF Blake Griffin averages 22.8 points in five career games versus the Bucks.... Milwaukee enters Monday a hair behind the Clippers in 3-point shooting at 34.3 percent.... The Bucks are 7-20 against the spread versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game, including 1-10 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season.... The Clippers are 13-4 versus the spread when playing six or more games in ten days this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 513 times, while MILWAUKEE covered the spread 470 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 727 times, while MILWAUKEE won 248 times. In 1000 simulated games, 590 games went under the total, while 392 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 486 times, while MILWAUKEE covered the first half line 466 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 599 games went under first half total, while 401 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA CLIPPERS is 18-12 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--LA CLIPPERS is 19-12 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--17 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--LA CLIPPERS is 22-9 versus the first half line when playing against MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--17 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Clippers are 13-5-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
--Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
--Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 road games.
--Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 overall.
--Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a ATS win.
--Bucks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 Monday games.
--Under is 5-0-1 in Bucks last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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#709 MINNESOTA @ #710 CHICAGO
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, NBA TV, FSN North (Minnesota), CSN (Chicago) - Line: Timberwolves -1.5, Total: 195) - The Chicago Bulls are showing signs of life after losing two of their biggest stars, and they look to continue their resurgence with an eighth straight win over the Minnesota Timberwolves, who visit Monday. The Bulls are 10-3 in January and have won four of their last five to move into a tie for fourth in the Eastern Conference. The Timberwolves are looking to bounce back after having a three-game winning streak snapped with a 115-104 defeat at Portland on Saturday.
The Bulls looked more like a lottery team than a playoff squad — at least on paper — after losing point guard Derrick Rose to a torn meniscus and trading leading scorer Luol Deng to Cleveland, but they're suddenly one of the league's hottest teams. "We get knocked down but we always get back up and keep fighting," guard D.J. Augustin told reporters. "That's the motto of our team." Minnesota hasn't beaten the Bulls since Jan. 25, 2009, and hasn't won at Chicago since Jan. 3 of the same year.
•ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (21-22 SU, 23-20-0 ATS): The Timberwolves are finally getting healthy but still haven't been above .500 since dropping to 8-8 on Nov. 25. Their road woes — they're 9-14 away from home — have played a big role in that. Despite their recent struggles against Chicago, the Timberwolves seemingly match up well with the Bulls because of their outstanding post duo of Kevin Love (24.8 points, 13 rebounds) and Nikola Pekovic (18.4 points, 9.3 rebounds), but they prefer to play at a much faster pace than the defensive-minded Bulls.
•ABOUT THE BULLS (22-21 SU, 20-23-0 ATS): Chicago has found an unlikely leader in Augustin, who has averaged 20.4 points and 5.6 assists over his past seven games and has provided much more than the Bulls could have expected when they claimed him off waivers from Toronto in December. The Bulls have survived losing Rose and Deng in large part because of their tough defensive mindset and strong post play. Center Joakim Noah recorded his 19th double-double against Charlotte and has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in a career-high 16 consecutive contests and forward Carlos Boozer has scored in double figures in each of his last 10 games.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Timberwolves, who are 2-1 on their current road trip, have not won three games on the same trip since a 4-0 swing in December 2005.... The Bulls are 17-5 when allowing 90 points or fewer.... Minnesota is 1-9 when scoring fewer than 100 points.... The Bulls are 3-15 against the spread in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting percentage defense of more than 46% over the last two seasons.... The Timberwolves are 9-1 versus the spread after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, CHICAGO covered the spread 514 times, while MINNESOTA covered the spread 486 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MINNESOTA won the game straight up 508 times, while CHICAGO won 462 times. In 1000 simulated games, 493 games went over the total, while 483 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, MINNESOTA covered the first half line 482 times, while CHICAGO covered the first half line 480 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went under first half total, while 489 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CHICAGO is 17-14 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1996.
--MINNESOTA is 17-14 straight up against CHICAGO since 1996.
--17 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--CHICAGO is 16-15 versus the first half line when playing against MINNESOTA since 1996.
--17 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
--Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Under is 3-0-1 in Timberwolves last 4 Monday games.
--Over is 6-1-2 in Timberwolves last 9 after allowing 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
--Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
--Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games following a S.U. win.
--Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
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#711 SACRAMENTO @ #712 UTAH
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, CSN California (Sacramento), ROOT (Utah) - Line: Unavailable) - The two worst teams in the Western Conference square off when the Sacramento Kings visit the Utah Jazz on Monday. Utah is at the bottom of the conference standings but can move past Sacramento with a victory and its hopes will be bolstered if both center DeMarcus Cousins (ankle) and forward Rudy Gay (Achilles) sit out a third straight game. Gay is considered to be the more likely among the two to play against Utah.
The Jazz defeated the Washington Wizards on Saturday for their sixth victory in 11 games. Utah dug itself a hole with a dismal 4-19 start but is actually a game above .500 over its last 21 contests. Sacramento has lost three straight games and five of six after falling to the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Point guard Isaiah Thomas has been playing well and is averaging 27.6 points over the past five games, including two 38-point outing and three other games of 20 or more points during the hot streak.
•ABOUT THE KINGS (15-28 SU, 19-23-1 ATS): Cousins’ left ankle injury isn’t healing as fast as Sacramento anticipated as the swelling has yet to subside. The Kings have been forced to start Aaron Gray the past two games and he has scored nine points in 61 minutes during the stretch, which only magnifies Cousins’ importance to the team. Gay’s scoring output hasn’t been missed as badly as shooting guard Marcus Thornton has averaged 30.5 points, including matching his career high of 42 in Friday’s overtime loss to the Indiana Pacers.
•ABOUT THE JAZZ (15-29 SU, 20-22-2 ATS): Center Enes Kanter emerged from a two-game slump to score 24 points on 11-of-13 shooting in the victory over the Wizards. Kanter totaled just eight points on 4-of-13 shooting over the previous two defeats before posting his second standout performance in five games. Kanter had 25 points on 12-of-15 shooting against the San Antonio Spurs on Jan. 15 but consistency in his game remains absent. “My coaches have given me a lot of confidence and we’ve been practicing really hard,” Kanter said after the Washington contest. “The things I have been trying to do are now showing in the games.”
•PREGAME NOTES: The teams split two December meetings with the road club winning each time.... Thomas has made at least one 3-pointer in 37 consecutive games, two shy of Mitch Richmond’s franchise mark.... Jazz PF Derrick Favors had 11 points and 14 rebounds against the Wizards after missing one game due to a hip ailment.... Though the Jazz sit at the bottom of the West, they are 12-8 with a starting lineup of Hayward, Favors, rookie Trey Burke, Marvin Williams and Richard Jefferson.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--Note: There are currently *No EDGES available for this matchup due to No-Line posted at the present time. In 1000 simulated games, UTAH won the game straight up 592 times, while SACRAMENTO won 391 times.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SACRAMENTO is 50-29 against the spread versus UTAH since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 43-37 straight up against UTAH since 1996.
--42 of 79 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SACRAMENTO is 43-34 versus the first half line when playing against UTAH since 1996.
--51 of 78 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Kings are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Kings are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings in Utah.
--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Utah.
--Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
--Over is 4-0-1 in Kings last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
--Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 home games.
--Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
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