Service Plays Monday 1/12/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Eagles ( 4) and Chargers ( 6) Sunday.

Today it's Tenn-Chattanooga. The deficit is 155 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(715) TEXAS
(716) OKLAHOMA
Take "(716) OKLAHOMA"

Tonight's Texas-Oklahoma game is as big as it can possibly get for the Sooners. The Longhorns have really had their number lately, winning each of the last six meetings. This game is very close on paper, as I have Oklahoma -2.5 using my numbers. But with this likely being the biggest game Oklahoma has played since Capel arrived, I'm siding with the Sooners for my Monday free opinion.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(705) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
(706) NEW JERSEY NETS
Take "(705) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER"

Oklahoma City has been as good as an ATM machine lately. This team just keeps producing money winning situations - all this despite only having won six games straight up on the season. However, the Thunder have won two of their last four games straight up after winning just four of their first 34. But when it comes to covering spreads, there isn't a hotter team. On the season the Thunder are 24-14 ATS. They have covered two straight, six of their last seven, 10 of the last 12, and 19 of the last 25. Kevin Durant leads the Thunder in scoring with a 23.7 ppg average. Nick Collison leads in rebounds (6.3 rpg) and Earl Watson leads in assists (6.1 apg). The good news for the New Jersey Nets is that they are in second place in the Atlantic Division. The bad news is that they are in the same division with Boston who has a 10 game lead over the Nets. The Nets have been a decent covering team this season, going 5-0 the last five games and 21-16 on the season. They haven't been so good when installed as a home favorite though, covering just two of the last seven games. More bad news for the Nets is the loss of forward Yi Jianlian, who will miss 3-4 weeks after breaking a finger in their loss to Milwuakee on Friday night, 104-102. Yi had been heating up too, posting back-to-back games of at least 20 points. For the season Yi averages 10.4 ppg and 6.2 rpg. We won't go against this covering machine known as Oklahoma City. And, without Yi, the Nets will be hurting a bit with their depth. Take the Thunder and look for the covering to continue.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Gold Sheet

MONDAY, JANUARY 12

Milwaukee 104 - WASHINGTON 97—Washington in revenge mode (as it
often is these days) after bitter OT loss at Bradley Center way back on
November 5. But can Ed Tapscott’s crew do anything about it? Wizards blew
10-point 4th-Q lead that night, as Richard Jefferson (scored 32) helped Bucks
rally. Scott Skiles’ crew on nice uptick lately, winning 7 of last 11 SU thru Jan.
4, with 2 of those defeats by 5 points or fewer.

BOSTON 109 - Toronto 94—Boston outclassed Toronto when winning and
covering two early-season meetings, including 118-103 Nov. 23 win at Air
Canada Centre when Celtics hit 62% from floor. Teams also met yesterday
north of the border. TV—NBA NETWORK

NEW JERSEY 97 - Oklahoma City 93—Perhaps New Jersey’s exciting 93-
91 Jan. 2 win over Atlanta at Meadowlands (when Vince Carter nailed a triple at
buzzer) will signal a reversal in home fortunes for Nets, as they had failed to
cover 7 of previous 8 at Izod Center. But still not sure we want to lay price
against improving Ok City contingent that had covered 13 of last 17 thru Jan. 5
and is a noteworthy 12-4 as road dog thru Jan. 6. Kevin Durant’s big December
(25 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 2.8 apg during month) a signal that he’s All-Star Game-bound,
and imminent arrival of C Nenad Krstic from a stint in Russian league bodes well
for Thunder.

NEW ORLEANS 108 - New York 101—Granted, Chris Paul & his New
Orleans friends could have lots of fun at New York’s expense if Knicks insist on
going uptempo. But interestingly, New York has covered 7 of its last 8 on road
thru Jan. 5, as Mike D’Antoni’s new lineup focusing more on defense (really!)
during recent stretch. Leading scorers Al Harrington & Nate Robinson coming
off bench lately to provide spark.

CHICAGO 95 - Portland 90—Chicago still smarting from ugly 116-74 loss at
Rose Garden Nov. 19. Portland was motivated that night in what was not only
Greg Oden’s home debut, but also the first game after an embarrassing loss vs.
Golden State. Bulls only 34.6% from floor in that nightmare while getting
hammered on boards by 49-33 count. Blazers (only 6-11 vs. line away thru Jan.
3) certainly not to be feared on road, but Chicago’s chances for revenge much
improved if Luol Deng & Drew Gooden can return from December ankle injuries
and Kirk Hinrich returns from torn thumb ligament.

Key Release
UTAH 112 - Indiana 93—These two took turns walloping one another
last season, with host team winning by 20+ on both occasions. Looks like it’s
Utah’s turn, as rested Jazz catch Indiana coming off a game at Golden State
yesterday. Jazz are historically a solid big home favorite and have covered 10
of last 15 Delta Center chalk thru Jan. 4. Indiana off to its worst start since 1988-
89 campaign, and Pacers are just 2-6 last 8 when unrested.


CBB MONDAY, JANUARY 12

LOUISVILLE over Notre Dame by 4 to 6—07-LVL -8 90-85 CABLE TV—ESPN
OKLAHOMA over Texas by 3 to 5—07-Tex +2' 64-54, TEX -8' 62-45, Tex -
5' 77-49 (CT-neut.) CABLE TV—ESPN

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Potsys Picks

NBA
1/12/2009
Best Bet! WASHINGTON 3

1/12/2009 PORTLAND at
CHICAGO Under 193

CBB
1/12/2009 DAVIDSON -11.5

NHL
1/12/2009
Best Bet! DETROIT -175

1/12/2009 DETROIT at
DALLAS Over 5.5

 

[GOFOR2]

Winning Angle CBB Top Play ND +6 1/2 vs. L'ville

 

[It'sBlue]

Robert Ferringo hoops

2.5-Unit Play. Take #719 Chattanooga (-3) over Citadel (7 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #713 Notre Dame (+6.5) over Louisville (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 146.0 Notre Dame at Louisville (7 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #716 Oklahoma (-4.5) over Texas (9 p.m.)

 

[aknox]

Matt Rivers

For Monday take the points with Notre Dame.

I do fully admit that Luke Harangody and the Fighting Irish are not nearly the same team away from South Bend and Louisville is an ultra talented team, but to get a number like this back with a star in Harangody and other quality quality players is fine with me.

Rick Pitino's squad is coming off of that solid one point win in Villanova. The Cardinals had to hold on late after basically blowing a few big leads throughout. Samardo Samuels is a young kid with a world of talent and others like Terrence Williams, Earl Clark, Jerry Smith, Edgar Sosa and so on will bring it but the 'Ville have also not been great even with that 11-3 overall record.

I have watched Louisville get shocked at home by both Western Kentucky and UNLV and in ridiculous pedestrian fashion beat Austin Peay, Kentucky and Ole Miss a lot closer than it should have been. When tournament time rolls around this team is going to be extremely formidable but things have not been all there yet and to get Mike Brey's Irish at this price is a semi no-brainer.

Harangody, Zach Hillesland, Tory Jackson, Kyle McAlarney and the Irish can bomb away from three and can kill you from the inside as well. In what should be a very good game the points with these visitors will be the right side for sure. The home court is always huge in college sports but the number is going to prove to be too pricey.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

(13) Notre Dame (12-3, 4-5 ATS) at (23) Louisville (11-3, 7-7 ATS)

The Fighting Irish shoot for their third straight win tonight when they visit Freedom Hall to take on Louisville in the latest Big East showdown between Top 25 squads.

Notre Dame has recovered well since dropping its opening Big East game at St. John’s on Jan. 3, scoring a pair of home wins over Georgetown (73-67 a week ago tonight as a three-point favorite) and Seton Hall (88-79 on Saturday, coming up short as a 15-point chalk). The Irish have won six of their last seven overall (2-2 ATS), but they are just 2-4 ATS away from South Bend.

Louisville has rattled off three straight wins (2-1 ATS), including two Big East road wins in the last five days, first going to South Florida and getting a 71-57 victory as an 11-point favorite and then upsetting Villanova on Saturday 61-60 as a two-point ‘dog in Philadelphia. The Cardinals are 8-1 SU (5-4 ATS) at Freedom Hall, with the only setback being a 56-55 loss to UNLV on Dec. 31 as a 13½-point favorite.

The host has won all three matchups between these two the last three years, but Notre Dame has cashed in each outing. Last year at Freedom Hall, the Cardinals scored a 90-85 victory, but came up short as 7½-point favorites.

Notre Dame has covered the number in each of its last five after an non-cover, but the Irish are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six Monday games and 1-4 ATS in their last five after a straight-up win. Louisville is 26-7-2 in its last 35 Big East games and 4-1-1 in its last six Monday outings, but the Cardinals are just 1-5 ATS in their last six at Freedom Hall and 6-20-2 their last 28 at home against teams with a winning road record.

For the Irish, the over is on runs of 20-7 in Big East action, 15-6 after a straight-up win, 11-3 on the road against teams with a winning home record and 7-3 on Mondays. Conversely, Louisville is on “under” streaks of 17-6-1 at home, 35-17-1 after a straight-up win, 5-1 after a spread-cover and 6-0 on Mondays. Finally, the over has easily hit in the last two series meetings in Louisville, with both games finishing with a combined 175 points.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NOTRE DAME


(7) Texas (12-3, 6-6 ATS) at (6) Oklahoma (15-1, 6-5 ATS)

The Longhorns are looking for their seventh straight win over rival Oklahoma when they visit the Lloyd Noble Center in Norman in a key Big 12 clash.

Texas is 6-0 SU and ATS against the Sooners since last losing in January 2006. The ‘Horns beat Oklahoma three times last season, including a 64-54 win and cover in Norman, and a 77-49 blowout victory as a 5½-point favorite in the Big 12 tournament semifinals in March. Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last four trips to Oklahoma and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five.

The Longhorns come in off Saturday’s 75-67 home win over Iowa State in their Big 12 debut, but they failed to cash as 16½-point favorites. Texas is 1-1 SU and ATS in its two true roadies, dropping the last one 67-61 at Arkansas on Tuesday as a 4½-point chalk. The Longhorns have scored at least 68 points in all but two games (both losses).

Since suffering its first defeat of the season – also at Arkansas – Oklahoma has won three straight overall (1-0 ATS), including Saturday’s 61-53 Big 12-opening win at Kansas State, cashing as a one-point favorite. The Sooners were held to a season-low point total in the win, as they had scored at least 69 points in their first 15 games. Oklahoma is unbeaten through nine games at home, averaging 83.7 points a game and shooting 48.1 percent from the floor while limiting visitors to just 62.6 points per contest and 36 percent shooting.

Texas is 23-8 ATS in its last 31 Monday contests, but the ‘Horns are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a straight-up win and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven Big 12 contests. Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home against teams with a winning road mark, but the Sooners are in ATS ruts of 8-18 in conference play, 2-7-1 on Monday and 1-5 ATS after a spread-cover.

For the Longhorns, the under is on stretches 21-8-1 on Mondays, 15-6 after a non-cover and 4-0 after a straight-up win. Oklahoma has stayed under the total in 17 of its last 25 Monday games, eight straight Big 12 games and four of five against winning teams. Also, in this rivalry, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS and UNDER


NBA

Portland (22-14, 17-19 ATS) at Chicago (16-21 SU and ATS)

The struggling Bulls, losers of seven of their last 10 games overall, try to snap out of their funk as they welcome the Trail Blazers to the United Center in Chicago.

Portland has won its last two, downing the Pistons 84-83 on Wednesday but coming up short as 2½-point home favorites, and beating the Warriors 113-100 on Saturday, narrowly cashing as a 12-point home chalk. The Blazers, who are kicking off a four-game road trip tonight, are just 8-10 SU (6-12 ATS) away from home this season.

Chicago is coming off Saturday’s embarrassing 109-98 home loss to Oklahoma City as an 8 ½-point home chalk, falling to 1-5 ATS in their last six overall. The Bulls, who have surrendered 102 points or more in five of their last eight outings, have dropped three of their last five at home (1-4 ATS).

The SU winner is 14-2 ATS in Chicago’s last 16 games and 13-1 in Portland’s last 14.

Portland has won the last three head-to-head meetings with Chicago, including a 116-74 blowout victory in Oregon on Nov. 19, easily cashing as a 6½-point favorite. Last season, the Blazers went to the Windy City and got a 100-97 win but couldn’t cover as 5½-point road favorites. These teams have alternated spread-covers over the last four years, with the home team carrying a 5-2 ATS mark in the last seven meetings.

The Blazers haven’t done much at the betting window lately, currently on negative ATS trends of 5-12 overall, 0-7 on the road, 2-6 against the Eastern Conference, 6-21 on Mondays and 1-7 when getting a day off. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday affairs, but otherwise they’re also on a host of ATS slides, including 1-5 overall, 1-4 at home, 2-5 against the Western Conference, 1-4 as a ‘dog, 1-6 when getting a day off and 2-6 at home against teams with a losing road mark.

For Portland, the under is on runs of 4-1 overall, 27-11 on the road, 21-8 after a straight-up win, 5-1 on Monday, 4-0 against the Central Division and 6-1 after a spread-cover. Also, Chicago is on “under” streaks of 11-4 as a home ‘dog and 4-1 after an ATS loss, but the over is 6-2 in the Bulls’ last eight as an underdog in any venue and 4-1 when they get a day off. Finally, the over is 5-2-1 in the last eight matchups between these teams in Chicago.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Erin Rynning

Toronto
New Jersey
Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SOCCER EXPERTS

NOW 25-6 SIDES AND TOTALS
8-3 PARLAYS

Tuesday 1/13
Italian Cup:
Inter Milan to win
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Notre Dame
Oklahoma
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[TMaN2000]

Winning Way Sports (John Fina)

Basketball for January 12, 2009

NBA - 2.5 units on New York Knicks +12.5 (-110)

 

[SportsFunatic]

ANDRE GOMES

1* Milwaukee -2.5
1* New York over 203

 

[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL GAME OF THE NIGHT
Pick # 1 Tampa Bay Lightning (120)



RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB – TEXAS VS. OKLAHOMA STATE WINNER!
Pick # 1 Texas (4.5)



RON RAYMOND’S CBB – NOTRE DAME VS. LOUISVILLE WINNER!
Pick # 1 Notre Dame (6.5)



Ron Raymond’s 5* NBA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE NIGHT
Pick # 1 Chicago Bulls (2.5)

 

[TMaN2000]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL GAME OF THE NIGHT
Pick # 1 Tampa Bay Lightning (120)



RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB – TEXAS VS. OKLAHOMA STATE WINNER!
Pick # 1 Texas (4.5)



RON RAYMOND’S CBB – NOTRE DAME VS. LOUISVILLE WINNER!
Pick # 1 Notre Dame (6.5)



Ron Raymond’s 5* NBA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE NIGHT
Pick # 1 Chicago Bulls (2.5)

Texas isnt even playing Oklahoma state... hno:

 

[sLim901]

Larry Ness

Indiana Pacers @ Utah Jazz
PICK: Utah Jazz

The Jazz are starting to get used to the idea of playing without All-Star forward Carlos Boozer (20.5-11.7) and they had better. The latest word is that Boozer will be out for at least four more weeks with a lower quad and knee problem. The Jazz are 14-11 without Boozer (22-15 overall) after beating the Pistons in Salt Lake City Saturday night (99-82). Okur (17.2-8.4) is having one of his best seasons and Paul Millsap has been just terrific. The third-year player from La Tech had his run of 19 consecutive double-doubles snapped on Saturday (he played only 22 minutes with nine points and seven rebounds) but is averaging 15.3 PPG and 9.5 RPG on the year. The Pacers lost 120-117 last night in Oakland to Golden State and are only 6-15 SU (11-10 ATS) on the road. However, there's more than a little good news coming out of Indiana. Granger (26.4-5.1-3.4) has developed into one of the NBA's best small forwards plus Mike Dunleavy, coming off a career-year (19.1-5.2-3.5), is finally getting back on the court (knee). He played for the first time this season on Jan 7 and in his three games back, has averaged 15.3-3.3-3.3. The bad news for the Pacers is that this is the team's final game of a five-game, eight-day road trip and will be the first time Dunleavy would have to play on back-to-back nights (we'll see?). The Jazz are 15-4 SU (12-7 ATS) at home and even without Boozer, are tough to beat here in Salt Lake City. The Jazz are completing a four-game homestand with this game (3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS) and have shot 51.3 percent while averaging 111.3 PPG in their first three games. That doesn't bode well for an Indiana team which allows 106.7 PPG on the season (ranking 29th of 30 teams), including a rather pathetic 121.5 PPG over the first four games of this current trip. Lay the points.

 

[brady1983]

larry ness

indiana pacers @ utah jazz
pick: Utah jazz

the jazz are starting to get used to the idea of playing without all-star forward carlos boozer (20.5-11.7) and they had better. The latest word is that boozer will be out for at least four more weeks with a lower quad and knee problem. The jazz are 14-11 without boozer (22-15 overall) after beating the pistons in salt lake city saturday night (99-82). Okur (17.2-8.4) is having one of his best seasons and paul millsap has been just terrific. The third-year player from la tech had his run of 19 consecutive double-doubles snapped on saturday (he played only 22 minutes with nine points and seven rebounds) but is averaging 15.3 ppg and 9.5 rpg on the year. The pacers lost 120-117 last night in oakland to golden state and are only 6-15 su (11-10 ats) on the road. However, there's more than a little good news coming out of indiana. Granger (26.4-5.1-3.4) has developed into one of the nba's best small forwards plus mike dunleavy, coming off a career-year (19.1-5.2-3.5), is finally getting back on the court (knee). He played for the first time this season on jan 7 and in his three games back, has averaged 15.3-3.3-3.3. The bad news for the pacers is that this is the team's final game of a five-game, eight-day road trip and will be the first time dunleavy would have to play on back-to-back nights (we'll see?). The jazz are 15-4 su (12-7 ats) at home and even without boozer, are tough to beat here in salt lake city. The jazz are completing a four-game homestand with this game (3-0 su and 2-1 ats) and have shot 51.3 percent while averaging 111.3 ppg in their first three games. That doesn't bode well for an indiana team which allows 106.7 ppg on the season (ranking 29th of 30 teams), including a rather pathetic 121.5 ppg over the first four games of this current trip. Lay the points.

comp. Not a paid play. Post that when you post a play to avoid confusion.

Not that hard.

 

[cubancigarwinner]

ATS Lock Club
4* Nets -6.5

ATS Financial Package
3* Blazers -2.5 .......... NHL...... 3* over 5 1/2 tamp