Service Plays Monday 08/24/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, AUGUST 24


NFL PRESEASON


N.Y. Jets (0-1 SU and ATS) at Baltimore (1-0 SU and ATS)</b>

Mark Sanchez is set to make his first NFL start and he’ll do so against one of the best defenses in the league as the Jets visit M&T Bank stadium for a preseason clash with the Ravens.

Sanchez came off the bench in last week’s 23-20 home loss to the Rams as a three-point favorite, going 3-for-4 for 88 yards and leading the Jets to a touchdown in his only series. The rookie, who is battling Kellen Clemens for the starting job, gets the start tonight and will get the majority of first-half reps, according to new coach Rex Ryan. Ryan, the former longtime Ravens defensive coordinator, said Clemens will also play in the first half, with rookie Erik Ainge once again getting most of the second-half action. No. 4 QB Chris Pizzotti, re-signed this week, will get one series in the fourth quarter.

The Ravens had possibly the most impressive Week 1 performance, blanking the Redskins 23-0 as a three-point home favorite, outgaining Washington 500-196, including 399-140 through the air. Coach Jim Harbaugh said QB Joe Flacco (9-for-15, 103 yards last week) will start tonight and play into the middle of the second quarter and maybe the entire first half, depending on the number of snaps. Troy Smith will replace Flacco, with John Beck and/or rookie Drew Willy finishing up.

Despite last week’s loss, New York is still 7-3 SU and (5-4-1 ATS) in preseason play since the final game of 2006. That includes three consecutive SU and ATS victories in true road games, all as an underdog. Additionally, the Jets are 4-1-1 ATS since 2004 when coming off a SU loss in exhibition play, but they’ve lost back-to-back Week 2 preseason contests (0-2 ATS).

Baltimore ended a three-game SU and ATS preseason losing skid with last week’s win, but is still just 3-5 SU and ATS in August since 2007, including 2-3 SU and ATS at home and 2-4 ATS as a favorite. Like New York, the Ravens have also dropped consecutive Week 2 preseason games both SU and ATS, both at home.

The under is 12-4 in Baltimore’s last 16 exhibition contests, including 4-1 under Harbaugh.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (67-57) at Colorado (70-54)</b>


The top two teams in the race for the National League wild card conclude a four-game set at Coors Field when the Giants’ send left-hander Barry Zito (8-11, 4.26 ERA) to the mound opposite Rockies right-hander Jason Marquis (14-8, 3.58).

Colorado rallied to win Sunday’s contest 4-2 and has won two of the first three in this series to move three games ahead of San Francisco in the chase for the wild card. Colorado has won 13 of the last 18 meetings with the Giants dating back to last season.

San Francisco is 4-2 in its last six games against right-handed starters, but just 3-8 in its last 11 road games against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Rockies are impressive runs of 50-23 overall, 9-3 at home and 7-0 when wrapping up a four-game series.

Zito has a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts and blanked the Reds on Wednesday on two hits over six innings, getting a no-decision in the Giants’ 1-0 win. San Francisco is 5-1 in Zito’s last six starts, and he’s held the opposition to two earned runs or less in six of his last seven outings.

Zito shut out the Rockies for seven innings on May 3, allowing just two hits in the 1-0 victory. Going back to 2006, the Rockies are just 2-6 when facing Zito. However, the former Cy Young winner is just 4-7 with a 4.52 ERA in 13 road outings this season.

Marquis allowed three runs on nine hits in six innings of a 5-4 win in Washington on Wednesday as the Rockies improved to 16-8 behind the veteran pitcher this season, including 6-3 in his last nine starts. Marquis has faced the Giants twice this season, giving up just one run in a complete-game 5-1 win on May 2, but getting hit hard five days later in Colorado, allowing seven runs (five earned) in six innings of an 8-3 loss.

With Marquis on the hill, the Rockies are on runs of 12-5 overall, 5-2 at home and 5-1 against the N.L. West. He’s 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA at Coors Field.

With Zito starting, the Giants are on “under” runs of 6-1 overall, 5-0 on the road and 5-2 on four days of rest, and as a team they have stayed below the total in nine of 12 against right-handers. When Marquis pitches, Colorado is on “under” streaks of 11-5-1 overall, 4-0 on Mondays and 4-1 against the N.L. West, but as a team, the Rockies have topped the total in nine of 16 overall and eight of 10 against winning teams.

Finally, the under is 5-1-1 in Zito’s seven career starts against Colorado.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit (65-58) at L.A. Angels (74-48)</b>

Division leaders square off in the first of a three-game set in Southern California when Tigers’ ace Justin Verlander (13-7, 3.29 ERA) opposes the Angels’ Jered Weaver (13-4, 3.83) at Angel Stadium.

Detroit dropped two of three in Oakland over the weekend, including Sunday’s 9-4 loss when the A’s sealed the game with a four-run eighth inning. Detroit is on slides of 8-22 on the road and 8-20 on Mondays, but it has won five of its last six series openers.

Los Angeles just wrapped up a 10-game road trip with Sunday’s 8-3 loss at Toronto, going 6-4 on the trip, but just 1-3 in the last four. Despite the mini slump, the Angels remain on a plethora of positive streaks, including 38-16 overall, 68-33 at home against winning teams, 14-5 against the A.L. Central and 4-1 on Mondays.

Against Detroit, the Angels have won 46 of 65 overall and 27 of 35 in Southern California, though the clubs have split six meetings this year, with the host going 4-2.

The Tigers have won five of Verlander’s last seven outings, but dropped a 3-1 decision to the Mariners on Wednesday, yielding all three runs on six hits in eight innings. He was magnificent in his last roadie, blanking the Red Sox on four hits over eight innings of a 2-0 win. However, he’s just 6-5 with a 4.27 ERA in 14 road outings this season.

Verlander faced these Angels on June 5 and blanked them over eight innings on four hits but didn’t get any support, losing 2-1. Six weeks earlier, he made his only career start at Angel Stadium and got destroyed, allowing seven runs on nine hits over five innings, but Detroit rallied for a 12-10 win. It’s the Tigers’ only win in Verlander’s five career starts against Los Angeles.

The Angels have won eight of Weaver’s last nine outings and the young hurler is 8-1 at home this season with a 2.66 ERA. On Wednesday he threw a complete-game shutout at Cleveland, winning 3-0. Back on April 21 he gave up three runs on seven hits in seven innings of a 4-3 home win over the Tigers. With Weaver on the hill, Los Angeles is on runs of 26-9 at home, 6-0 against the A.L. Central and 5-1 in series openers.

With Verlander on the bump, Detroit has topped the total in 10 of 11 Monday starts and 17 of 25 series openers. But as a team, the Tigers are on “under” runs of 4-2-1 overall, 15-8-1 on the road and 14-5-2 against right-handed starters.

It’s been all “overs” lately for the Angels and Weaver, including 10-2 in his last 12 starts, 5-1 when he pitches at home and 4-0 in his last four series openers. Also, the Angels have gone over the posted number in 38 of 55 overall, 24 of 33 at home and 14 of 18 at home against teams with losing road records. Conversely, the under is 10-5 in the last 15 meetings between these clubs (3-3 this year).

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS

 

[polishrebel]

The Gold Medal Club 24k (1-0) 18K 3-6) 14K (2-2)

431 Jets @ 432 Ravens 8:00 pm

PLAY OVER 32.5 18K

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR MONDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


White Sox (Contreras)

BOSTON (BUCHHOLZ) -175 (1)


PHILADELPHIA (LEE) -280 (2)

Mets (Parnell)


DETROIT (VERLANDER) +120 (3)

Angels (Weaver)



Run Totals

Philadelphia / Mets UNDER 8

Detroit / Angels UNDER 8 ½

San Francisco / Colorado UNDER 9 ½

Milwaukee / Washington OVER 8 ½

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Yankees Sunday night.

Today it's the Indians. The surplus is 1,410 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 24, 2009

Hondo flopped with the Fish yesterday but came back strong with the Yanks last night to leave the debt holding steady at 420 marichals.

Tonight, he's going to the 'dogs -- 10 units apiece on Zoolander to pose problems for the Angels and 10 on Zito to stone the Rockies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL


Detroit at LA Angels
The look to build on their 6-0 record in Jered Weaver's last 6 starts with the total set from 7 to 8 1/2 runs. Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.626; NY Mets (Parnell) 15.796
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-280); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+250); Over

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.860; Washington (Balester) 13.859
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-185); Under

Game 955-956: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.344; Colorado (Marquis) 16.295
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-175); Under

Game 957-958: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.144; Toronto (Halladay) 14.505
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130); Under

Game 959-960: Chicago White Sox at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 14.789; Boston (Buchholz) 15.916
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 961-962: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 15.041; Kansas City (Meche) 15.232
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.940; Minnesota (Baker) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-220); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-220); Under

Game 965-966: Detroit at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.517; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.855
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

Game 967-968: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.545; Seattle (Snell) 15.250
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+125); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Jets
Brewers(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

315 - 207 run 60 %

Mon Toronto Blue Jays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Play

det/laa under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MONDAY, AUGUST 24
DUNKEL

Game 431-432: NY Jets at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 120.141; Baltimore 124.631
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4 1/2; 28
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 32 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 2

Monday, August 4

NY JETS (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 8/24/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 32.5 and 35 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 2

Monday, 8/24/2009

NY JETS at BALTIMORE, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
NY JETS: 11-1 ATS Away if total is 35 or less
BALTIMORE: 11-2 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 832-719-31

Current streak: 2 wins

Todays play: The Jets +3' bt

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

Ray "Fastrain" Toppin

1-3 Yesterday
25-20 MTD

Today's Plays

MLB
Baltimore +200
Cleavland +102

NFL
Jets (+3) -110

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

St Bernadine Sports

abats and BigTime
today

NFL
Baltimore -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

bettingjesus

Ravens ml -135 first 1/2 double play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

Over 8.5 Total Runs, Milwaukee at WASHINGTON (4:35 et)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Philadelphia Phillies -290 *** (best bet) ?

Colorado Rockies -170

Seattle Mariners -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog Horse selections

DELAWARE PARK Race #2 at 1:40 PM Eastern

Top pick: #2 (SIRENIAN) - Improvement is noted in her latest as she stayed close to the pace and finished evenly. Daughter of "Came Home" has a nice work on August 15 and she can upset this group at a square price.​

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2nd pick: #4 (White Stiletto) - Logical selection and probable favorite just missed last in a strong try. Filly raced just off the lead, bid to the front and was "nipped" on the wire. Would be no surprise.​

3rd pick: #3 (Interest Me) - Speedster was beaten as a heavy favorite in her Delaware debut after being involved in a pace battle. Should clear off here and that could make her tough.​

4th pick: #5 (No Means Yes) - The top three are better suited for the win and this veteran maiden could fill out the tri or super.​