Service Plays Monday 08/03/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, AUGUST 3

NATIONAL LEAGUE


San Francisco (58-47) at Houston (52-53)

The surging Giants begin a brief three-game road trip when they hand the ball to All-Star Matt Cain (12-2, 2.12 ERA) at Minute Maid Park, while the Astros will counter with struggling southpaw Mike Hampton (6-8, 5.36).

San Francisco concluded a 6-1 homestand with Sunday’s 7-3 victory over the Phillies. However, prior to this recent run, the Giants had lost eight of 11 overall, including going 3-7 on the road. In fact, they’re in a 3-9 funk as a visitor, but on the bright side, San Francisco is on upticks of 4-0 against the N.L. Central, 7-2 in series openers, 10-3 against lefty starters and 20-8 against teams with a losing record.

Houston halted a four-game losing skid in surprising fashion Sunday, riding rookie Bud Norris to a 2-0 victory at St. Louis. The Astros are still just 2-7 in their last nine overall, including two ugly losses to the Mets at home (10-3 and 8-3). Prior to losing those two to New York, Cecil Cooper’s club had won 12 of 15 at Minute Maid Park. Houston’s streaks include 20-9 against the N.L. West, 4-1 on Monday and 5-2 in series openers, but 1-4 against both winning clubs and right-handed starters.

San Francisco took two of three from the Astros at home a month ago, winning both games by a combined score of 22-0. However, Houston is still 7-2 in the last nine series meetings, including a four-game sweep at Minute Maid last season by the combined tally of 27-11.

The Giants have won five straight games with Cain on the bump, and the right-hander was brilliant in each game, allowing a total of four runs (three earned) in 31 1/3 innings (0.86 ERA). Cain hasn’t given up more than one earned run in any of his last six starts, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three road outings during this stretch. For the season, he’s 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 11 starts on the highway.

With Cain on the hill, the Giants are on runs of 16-5 overall, 6-2 on the road, 4-1 on Monday and 5-0 on the highway against losing teams. He’s faced Houston three times (two starts), going 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA.

Hampton got lit up at Wrigley Field on Wednesday, allowing nine runs on eight hits and four walks in four inning of a 12-0 loss. Hampton has surrendered 23 runs (22 earned) in his last four starts covering just 19 innings (10.42 ERA), and the Astros lost three of those games by the combined score of 30-4.

The Astros are still 35-17 in Hampton’s last 52 trips to the mound overall – going way to back to his first stint with the club from 1994-99 – and 10-3 in his last 13 against the N.L. West, but they’ve lost seven of his last 10 at home. Nine of those home starts have come this year, with Hampton going 3-3 with a 5.04 ERA. He’s also 15-4 with a 3.59 ERA in his career against the Giants, including 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two contests in 2008.

The over is 4-1-1 in the last six Astros-Giants clashes, 4-1 in Houston’s last five home games and 12-5-1 in Hampton’s last 18 home starts. Conversely, the under for Houston is on streaks of 3-0 overall, 36-16-3 on Monday and 46-20-2 in series openers, while the Giants are on “under” tears of 6-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 6-0 against the N.L. Central, 18-6-2 on the highway versus southpaw starters, 4-0 overall with Cain pitching and 4-0 with Cain working on the road.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO and UNDER


Milwaukee (52-53) at L.A. Dodgers (65-40)

The Dodgers return home after a weeklong road trip and open a three-game series with the Brewers. Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76 ERA) is slated to toe the rubber for Los Angeles opposite Manny Parra (5-8, 6.50) in a battle of left-handers.

L.A. concluded a seven-game trip with Sunday’s 9-1 rout of the Braves. The Dodgers still lost four of seven on the trip and have followed up a five-game winning streak by losing six of their last 10. Still, Joe Torre’s club is on positive runs of 54-25 at home, 48-17 at home against losing squads, 23-9 overall versus teams with a sub-.500 record, 5-2 on Monday and 8-3 in series openers.

Milwaukee avoided a three-game sweep at lowly San Diego on Sunday with a 5-1 victory. Still, since July 1, the Brewers are mired in slumps of 10-18 overall, 5-9 on the highway and 2-5 against the N.L. West, and they’ve also lost four straight games against lefty starters and four consecutive series openers.

The Dodgers have had Milwaukee’s number in recent years, winning 35 of the last 51 meetings overall, including 19 of the last 26 played in Los Angeles. In the only other series this season between these teams, L.A. took two of three in Wisconsin three weeks ago.

Parra has followed up consecutive gems (one run allowed in 13 innings) with back-to-back disastrous outings, allowing nine runs on 19 hits in 11 innings in home games against the Braves (9-4 loss) and Nationals (7-5 win). The Brewers have come up empty in 20 of Parra’s last 27 starts overall (including seven of the last nine) and 13 of his last 16 on the highway, and they’ve lost four in a row to N.L. West opponents with Parra on the hill.

Parra is 3-5 with a 7.92 ERA on the road in nine road starts and 4-4 with a 7.22 ERA in night games. In two starts against the Dodgers (both last year), he gave up seven runs (five earned) on 17 hits, with the Brewers losing 6-4 at home and 5-3 on the road.

Kershaw twirled another masterpiece at St. Louis on Wednesday, scattering four hits and two walks while striking out seven over eight scoreless innings. He left with a 1-0 lead, but Dodgers closer Jonathan Broxton blew the save and L.A. eventually lost 3-2 in 15 innings. Over his last nine starts, the 21-year-old southpaw has given up a total of six runs (five earned) in 56 2/3 innings, good for a 0.95 ERA. That includes a 7-4 win at Milwaukee on July 12, as he gave up a run on two hits in six innings, improving to 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two career starts versus the Brewers.

Kershaw has been brilliant at Dodger Stadium in 2009, going 3-2 with a 1.75 ERA, allowing just one home run in 61 2/3 innings. Los Angeles is 7-2 in Kershaw’s last nine trips to the mound and 4-1 in his last five a home.

The Brewers carry “over” streaks of 5-2 overall, 12-2-1 against lefty starters, 10-1 on Monday, 5-0 in series openers, 5-1 with Parra starting on the road and 8-1 with Parra opposing N.L. West foes. The “over” is also 4-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last six home contests, and six of the last eight series clashes between these clubs have cleared the posted number.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER

 

[mp5070]

John Morrison


For August 3rd, we have an unofficial series play with Cincinnati.

For August 4th, we have an unofficial series play with Washington.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 3, 2009

The Melk of human kindness was on display yes terday as Cabrera & Co. cycled past the Chisox to lower Hondo's debt to 420 falcones.

Tonight, judging by the Pitching Form figures, Mr. Aitch is figuring Figueroa has what it takes to outduel Haren -- 10 units on the Metamucils.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
51-27 run on Bonus Plays

MON CHI CUBS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Rays(RL)
Tigers(RL)

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans play for Monday..

Chris Jordan Monday night winner ...
300♦ TIGERS RUN LINE (LIST Verlander over Tillman) - Yep, I know, the biggest favorite on the board. But sometimes you have to simply say what the hell, and lay a price and the run line. The oddsmakers are telling you who the favorite is, and who should win this game, nd quite frankly, when you have a team coming in after giving up 18 runs, and now hve to travel to play a team hungry to keep pace in an always competitive American League Central ... well, you get the point.

Eight different players had multiple hits for the Red Sox, who pummeled the Orioles 18-10 on Sunday, as Boston pounded out 23 hits and led 14-6 after four innings. The Red Sox outscored Baltimore 28-15 in completing their first three-game sweep on the road since June 2-4, ironically, right here in Detroit. The O’s are now 2-11 against the Red Sox this season, and they’re going to be so dejected after a loss like that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the O’s give up another double-digit figure.

Even if the beat-down is coming from Detroit, which was humiliated yesterday, 11-1, by the lowly Indians. That loss makes me love this one even more. The loss dropped Detroit to 23-33 on the road, the worst mark of any first-place team, but since it’s playing 13 of its next 17 at home, this is the perfect jumping-off point to gain some momentum.

Let’s get to the biggest culprit tonight, that being Justin Verlander. To help his Tigers maintain and possibly increase that 1-1/2-game edge over the White Sox, Verlander comes into this one on a 4-1 run and with a 2.00 ERA in his last five starts, in which he’s recorded 42 strikeouts over 36 innings.

The right-hander is sporting an American League-best 172 strikeouts and needs just 12 to surpass his career high set in 2007. Don’t be surprised if he gets it against the Orioles, who hve lost 12 of 16 after being swept by the Crimson Hose.

Verlander is 4-0 and has a 1.85 ERA against the Orioles, who are the junior circuit’s worst road team at 16-34 and have lost seven of their last nine away from Camden Yards.

Lay the run line here and bank on Verlander over Chris Tillman, who made his major league debut Wednesday, when he gave up three runs - all on solo homers – in a 7-3 win over Kansas City. This one won’t be so easy. All Tigers.




Paid for and confirmed by me...Good Luck All! :toast:





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[str8flush95]

Fastball - Bestbets

DET over BAL
CHC over CIN
LAD over MIL
PIT over WAS

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

The Rays look to bounce back from yesterday's loss and build on their 4-0 record in Scott Kazmir's last 4 starts as a favorite between -110 and -150. Tampa Bay is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 3

Game 901-902: Washington at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Mock) 13.665; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.810
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Over
Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 16.037; Cincinnati (Harang) 12.710
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-155); Over
Game 905-906: Arizona at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 17.551; NY Mets (Figueroa) 15.915
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-185); Over
Game 907-908: San Francisco at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.073; Houston (Hampton) 14.799
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Over
Game 909-910: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 13.465; San Diego (Latos) 14.916
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over
Game 911-912: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.460; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.997
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+190); Over
Game 913-914: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 14.037; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 14.328
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under
Game 915-916: Baltimore at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.325; Detroit (Verlander) 16.029
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-260); Under
Game 917-918: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 14.914; Oakland (Anderson) 14.296
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under

 

[Warchant]

Chippin' in

Dominic Fazzini Monday's plays 20 Dime -- TIGERS (Verlander) -1 1/2 runs over Orioles (Tillman)
15 Dime -- DODGERS (Kershaw) -1 1/2 runs over Brewers (Parra)

TIGERS
NOTE: List only Verlander as Detroit's starting pitcher

Tigers starter Justin Verlander (12-5, 3.16 ERA) has been unreal at home this season, going 7-0 with a 1.15 ERA in nine starts at Comerica Park.

But Verlander has been sharp just about everywhere he's pitched recently, having gone 4-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 36 innings over his last five outings.

The hard-throwing right-hander, who allowed four runs (three earned) and six hits in seven innings Wednesday at Texas, also has dominated the Orioles in his career. Verlander is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA in five career starts against Baltimore.

Orioles starter Chris Tillman (0-0, 5.79) will be making his second major league appearance today. The right-hander gave up three runs -- all on solo homers -- and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings Wednesday against Kansas City.

Not only has Verlander been sharp at home, but Detroit plays exceptionally well at Comerica, with a 31-16 record. This is not a good spot for Baltimore today. Take the Tigers on the run line.

DODGERS
NOTE: List only Kershaw as Los Angeles' starting pitcher

Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76 ERA) is coming into his own.

The left-hander is 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA over his last nine starts, and he pitched eight scoreless innings Wednesday at St. Louis. It was the fifth time in nine outings he has held the opposition scoreless.

Brewers starter Manny Parra (5-8, 6.50) has been anything but sharp this year. The lefty gave up five runs and nine hits in six innings against Washington in his last outing, and gave up four runs and 10 hits in five innings vs. Cincinnati in the start before that.

Milwaukee is 3-10 in Parra's last 13 road starts, 7-19 in its last 26 games in Los Angeles and 0-4 in its last four games against southpaws. Meanwhile the Dodgers at 18-11 against lefties this year, and 34-17 at home. Those numbers don't add up very well for the Brewers. Take the Dodgers on the run line in this one.


Paid, Confirmed.

 

[MR.TREEZ]

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS:Chicago Cubs / R Wells - R vs Cincinnati Reds / A Harang - R

PLAY: Chicago Cubs -138 (POD)
Comments:

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: San Francisco Giants / M Cain - R vs Houston Astros / M Hampton - L


PLAY: San Francisco Giants -134
Comments:

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: Kansas City Royals / Z Greinke - R vs Tampa Bay Rays /S Kazmir - L


PLAY: Kansas City Royals +125
Comments:

 

[KBiggz]

David Banks (10-2 Last 2 Days)

Monday, August 3, 2009

PREMIUM MEMBERS SELECTIONS

MLB
12:05 TB Rays
7:05 Pitt Pirates
8:05 SF Giants (BEST BET)
10:05 Atl. Braves
10:05 Oak. A's

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Monday

Sunday Recap - Relaxing

Todays Play(s) - Ok it's time to get back to work. The problem that happens
every year around this time is that the good teams start costing a lot of money to play.
Today we have 2 plays and they are both good teams. One we'll use the runline and the
other the moneyline!


MLB - Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-120) [LISTED] Tillman / Verlander 600.00 / 500.00

MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers -200 [LISTED] Parra / Kershaw 1000.00 / 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (24-14) + $2,279

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

Under 9 Total Runs, Texas at OAKLAND (10:05 et)

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Monday Card
Sunday Recap: 3-1 MLB

MLB
3* Chicago Cubs RL -1.5 (+110) (Wells)
3* San Francisco RL -1.5 (+115) (Cain)
3* LA Dodgers RL -1.5 (+100) (Kershaw)
3* Under 8 (-115) Kansas City (Greinke) vs Tampa Bay (Kazmir)

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Kansas City (+125) over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City has won 16 of the last 22 games when playing on a Monday and they have also won 27 of the last 44 games as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Zack Greinke has won 7 of the last 9 games as a road underdog of +100 to +125 and he has an ERA of 1.80 over the last 3 starts. Scott Kazmir has an ERA of 8.16 in home games this season.



100* Play Pittsburgh (-140) over Washington (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 23 of the last 30 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Washington has lost 29 of the last 38 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and Garret Mock is 0-4 in all games this season with an ERA of 7.09.



100* Play Arizona (-185) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Arizona has won 3 of the last 4 games and they have also won 12 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Dan Haren has won 7 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 points and he is 5-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.22.




50* Play Chicago Cubs (-135) over Cincinnati (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 12 of the last 13 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 28 games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Aaron Harang has lost 10 of the last 14 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.30.

 

[Yanks]

SYSTEMPLAYS

Mon 8/3

MLB

Pit -1.5 +145 ov Was
CHC -1.5 +115 ov Cin
LAD -1.5 +105 ov Mil

 

[Yanks]

SCOTT FERRALL

MLB FREE PICKS FOR MONDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND BOLD AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Baltimore (Tillman)

DETROIT (VERLANDER) -250 (1)



ARIZONA (HAREN) -180 (2)

Mets (Figueroa)



CUBS (WELLS) -140 (3)

Cincinnati (Harang)


RUN TOTALS

Cubs / Cincinnati UNDER 8 ½

Arizona / Mets UNDER 7 ½

Atlanta / San Diego UNDER 7 ½

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
40 DIME ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over ORIOLES (With Tillman)

I will be back by 4:00 pm with my analysis.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME----------------GL GUYS

 

[Yanks]

Ferringo


**. Take #912 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5) over Milwaukee (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)


Take #909 Atlanta over an Diego (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)


Today's Totals

**Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Milwaukee at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Atlanta at San Diego (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Texas at Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)