Service Plays Friday 9/26/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Montreal at Ottawa[/h] The REDBLACKS host a Montreal team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 Friday games. Ottawa is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the REDBLACKS favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26 Time Posted: 4:00 p.m. EST (9/24)

Game 291-292: Montreal at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 109.269; Ottawa 110.014 Dunkel Line: Ottawa by 1; 42 Vegas Line: Montreal by 3; 47 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+3); Under

Game 293-294: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 111.051; Edmonton 119.600 Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 55 Vegas Line: Edmonton by 5 1/2; 49 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-5 1/2); Over

 

[sponge3000]

Burns Football: 9* New Mexico at Fresno St. under

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Cleveland Indians -151 over Tampa Bay Rays
(System Record: 103-2, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 103-72


Rest of the Plays
Boston Red Sox -107 over NY Yanks
Oakland Athletics -163 over Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves -114 over Philadelphia Phillies

 

[tgunn11]

Football Crusher
Arizona State +4 over UCLA - pending
New Mexico +5 over Fresno St
(System Record: 9-1, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 9-8-1


Rest of the Plays
Old Dominion -170 over Middle Tennessee
Fresno State + New Mexico OVER 71
Middle Tennessee + Old Dominion UNDER 68.5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Arsenal de Sarandi + River Plate UNDER 2.5 - Argentina pending
Luverdense + Sampaio Correa UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 636-22, won last game)
Overall Record: 636-532-95

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trev Rogers

Middle Tenn State/ Old Dominion OVER 68

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

5* Middle Tennessee/Old Dominion Over 67.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sheep

Old Dominion -3 (-120) $1000

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Fresno State at New Mexico

Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico Lobos (+5, 71.5)

The Fresno State Bulldogs know exactly what to expect from the New Mexico Lobos on Friday night: a whole lot of running plays. The Lobos look to build on a spectacular rushing performance last week against New Mexico State as they entertain the Bulldogs in the Mountain West Conference opener for both teams. New Mexico earned its first victory of the season in style, racking up 432 yards on 52 carries to earn a thrilling 38-35 victory over the rival Aggies.

Fresno State finally got its act together following three straight one-sided losses, riding a pair of Brian Burrell touchdown passes and 117 rushing yards and a score from Marteze Waller to a 56-16 drubbing of Southern Utah. It was an impressive all-around performance for the Bulldogs, who had surrendered at least 50 points in each of their first three games. New Mexico will be seeking revenge after dropping a humiliating 69-28 decision to Fresno State last Nov. 23.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The line has dropped one point after opening at New Mexico +6. The over/under has slipped two points to 71.

INJURY REPORT: Fresno State: WR Dillon Root (leg) is probable; DB Shannon Edwards (shoulder) is questionable; RB Malique Micenheimer (shoulder), RB Dontel James (leg) and RB Kurt Scoby (concussion) are out. New Mexico: WR Carlos Wiggins (hamstring), QB Cole Gautsche (hamstring), Teriyon Gipson (ankle) and QB Caleb Kimbro (knee) are questionable; DE Nik D'Avanzo (knee) is doubtful; OL Aaron Jenkins (shoulder), OT Johnny Vizcaino (concussion), LB Richard Winston (knee) and S Daniel Henry (shoulder) are out.

WEATHER: Rain is in the forecast for University Stadium with temperatures expected to be in the mid-80s.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Fresno State (+6.7) - New Mexico (+3.2) + home field (-3.0) = New Mexico -6.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "After a 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season, Fresno State took their frustrations out on a weaker FCS Southern Utah team last Saturday with an easy 56-16 win. However, Fresno State was not impressive in their three FBS games this year, allowing 52, 59, and 55 points defensively each time. The Bulldogs are obviously down this season after losing six starters on offense, including QB Derek Carr. However, the defense did return eight starters and their top six tacklers from last season, so no excuse for the horrendous start this month. A huge line adjustment from last year's game when Fresno State was a -34.5 point favorite and won easily 69-28 with an incredible 822-316 total yard edge." Covers Expert Steve Merril

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (1-3 SU, 4-0 O/U): The Bulldogs meant business against Southern Utah, racking up 680 yards of total offense while scoring all of their points over the final three quarters. Five different Fresno State players have at least 100 receiving yards - led by Josh harper's 24 catches for 280 yards and a score - while Waller leads the ground attack with 294 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Burrell was one of the lone bright spots for the team over its first three games and has five touchdowns against just two interceptions so far in 2014.

ABOUT NEW MEXICO (1-2 SU, 2-1 O/U): The biggest problem for opposing teams is not knowing which Lobos rushing threat to contain. Quarterback Cole Gautsche (20 carries, 237 yards, two touchdowns) and running back Teriyon Gipson (35 carries, 194 yards, one TD) may miss the game with leg injuries, but Jhurrell Pressley (215 yards, two TDs) and Crusoe Gongbay (173 yards, two TDs) should be available to pick up the slack. New Mexico has attempted just 34 passes on the year, completing 20 of them for 264 yards and three scores.

TRENDS:

* Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following an ATS win.
* New Mexico is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 September games.
* Over is 9-1 in the Lobos' last 10 games on grass.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 62.4% of Covers voters are betting on visiting Fresno State.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Roughriders bring their top game against top teams
Justin Hartling

With the West being such a powerhouse in the CFL, bettors have found some solace in the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The 'Riders have a stellar 7-1-2 against the spread record teams with winning records.

Saskatchewan will travel to Edmonton as 6-point dogs Friday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL

Alouettes leaving offense in Montreal
Justin Hartling

The Montreal Alouettes has been nothing short of a disaster this season, but bettors have been able to find a positive in the teams mediocrity. The Als have had six road games so far this season and they have gone under the total in five of them.

The under trend is thanks to the Als lack of offense as the team has averaged 13 points per game on the road this season.

Montreal travels to Ottawa with the total currently set at 47.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 13
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 straight up in Week 13
Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 13
Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 13
Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 13
The 'over/under' went 2-2 in Week 13

Team Betting Notes

The East Division has been much maligned this season, and rightly so if you review the standings. However, Week 13 saw the East go 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the West.

In perhaps the biggest stunner of the season thus far, Calgary (10-2) lost for just the second time in 12 games, snapping a six-game win streak in Montreal (4-8). It wasn't a fluke, either, as the Alouettes licked the Stamps 31-15.

Montreal's win against Calgary snapped a five-game losing streak against the West Division.

Ottawa (1-10) nearly joined Montreal in the upset club, taking Saskatchewan (9-3) to overtime before falling 35-32 to the Roughriders.

Hamilton (4-7) has off three consecutive home wins at Tim Hortons Field, and they are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in six home games this season.

Edmonton (8-4) has dropped three of their past four games after starting the season 7-1.

Toronto (4-8) snapped a four-game losing streak, avenging a loss to the BC Lions (7-5). The Argos have now covered three in a row.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | BRITISH COLUMBIA at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
42-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 26.6 units )
5-1 this year. ( 83.3% | 3.9 units )

CFL | MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15
24-9 since 1997. ( 72.7% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) off a road loss, team with a losing record in the second half of the season
29-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.9% | 22.4 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Guthrie has been fantastic in Chicago
Justin Hartling

Jeremy Guthrie will take to the mound at his home away from home Friday. The Kansas City Royals will send the rightie to the mound at U.C. Cellular Field where he has led the team to a 5-1 record in his last six starts.

Over those six starts, Guthrie has allowed only eight runs and shutting out the White Sox twice.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League

Marlins-Nationals
Cosart is 3-2, 2.43 in his last six starts. Heaney is 0-3, 6.53 in four starts. .
Fister is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three. Hill is making first MLB start; he's allowed two runs 4.1 IP in two relief stints. He was 11-7, 2.81 in 24 AAA starts- .

Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
Washington won ten of its last twelve games.

Nine of last eleven Washington games stayed under total.

Braves-Phillies
Santana is 0-3, 7.31 in his last three starts.
Williams is 4-2, 2.74 in his last seven starts.

Braves lost 11 of their last 13 games.
Philly lost five of their last seven games.

Seven of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total.

Pirates-Reds
Worley is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
Leake is 1-2, 8.14 in his last four starts.

Pirates won eight of their last ten games.
Cincinnati won three of its last four games.

Four of last five Worley starts stayed under the total.

Cubs-Brewers
Jokisch is making first MLB start; he was 9-10, 3.58 in 26 AAA starts this year. He allowed two runs in 10.1 IP in three relief stints in majors.
Nelson is 0-4, 5.40 in his last couple starts.

Cubs lost seven of their last eight road games.
Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games.

Eight of last nine Milwaukee games stayed under total.

Cardinals-Diamondbacks
Wacha is 0-1, 6.94 in his last three starts.
Cahill is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts.

St Louis lost three of its last four games.
Diamondbacks lost eight of their last nine games.

Seven of last ten Cardinal games stayed under the total.

Rockies-Dodgers
Lyles is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
Hernandez is 0-2, 8.40 in his last four starts.

Colorado won seven of its last nine games.
Dodgers won five of their last seven games.

Under is 3-1-1 in last five Colorado games.

Padres-Giants
Kennedy is 2-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
Vogelsong is 0-3, 6.45 in his last four starts.

San Diego won eight of its last eleven games.
Giants lost eight of their last twelve games.

Over is 4-0-1 in last six Vogelsong starts.


American League

Rays-Indians
Archer is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
Kluber is 4-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.

Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
Indians won six of their last nine games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Archer starts.

Orioles-Blue Jays
Tillman is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
Hutchison is 1-2, 4.76 in his last four starts.

Baltimore lost four of its last seven games.
Blue Jays won three of their last four games.

Five of last seven Toronto games went over total.

Twins-Tigers
Swarzak is 0-1, 11.42 in his last two starts.
Porcello is 0-4, 6.51 in his last five starts.

Minnesota lost four of its last six games.
Detroit won five of its last seven games.


Under is 5-0-1 in last six Detroit games.

Bronx-Red Sox
Capuano is 0-1, 6.61 in his last four starts.
Wright is making first '14 start; he allowed three runs in one IP in his one MLB start LY. He was 6-5, 3.42 in 16 minor league starts this year.

Bronx won six of its last nine games.
Red Sox won three of their last four games. .

Five of last seven Bronx games went over the total.

A's-Rangers
Kazmir is 0-4, 9.21 in his last six starts.
Tepesch is starts.

A's lost 15 of their last 22 games.
Rangers won 12 of their last 13 games.

Five of last seven Kazmir starts went over the total.

Royals-White Sox
Guthrie is 2-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
Noesi is 0-2, 4.85 in his last four starts.

Kansas City won four of its last five games.
White Sox lost last three games, scoring seven runs.

Six of last nine Royal games went over the total.

Angels-Mariners
Weaver is 3-0, 3.15 in his last three starts.
Iwakuma is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts.

Angels lost five of their last nine games.
Seattle lost five of its last six games.

Six of last nine Weaver starts stayed under the total.


Interleague game

Astros-Mets
Peacock is 1-1, 6.14 in his last three starts.
Niese is 1-1, 2.14 in his last three starts.

Houston lost seven of its last nine games.
Mets won four of their last six games.

Seven of last ten Houston games stayed under the total.


Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Cosart 11-9/6-4; Heaney 1-3; Hill 0-0, Fister 17-7
-- Santana 16-15; Williams 1-1/5-3
-- Worley 10-6; Leake 13-20
-- Jokisch 0-0; Nelson 4-7
-- Wacha 8-10; Cahill 5-11
-- Lyles 10-11; Hernandez 8-11/3-6
-- Kennedy 16-16; Vogelsong 15-16

-- Archer 17-14; Kluber 21-12
-- Tillman 24-9; Hutchison 15-16
-- Swarzak 1-2; Porcello 16-14
-- Capuano 5-6; Wright 0-0
-- Kazmir 20-11; Tepesch 9-12
-- Guthrie 18-13; Noesi 14-12
-- Weaver 22-11; Iwakuma 16-11

-- Peacock 8-15; Niese 15-14

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cosart 10-30; Heaney 3-4; Hill 0-0, Fister 17-7
-- Santana 11-31; Williams 3-10
-- Worley 3-16; Leake 8-33
-- Jokisch 0-0; Nelson 3-11
-- Wacha 5-18; Cahill 7-17
-- Lyles 7-21; Hernandez 13-28
-- Kennedy 8-32; Vogelsong 6-31

-- Archer 5-31; Kluber 7-33
-- Tillman 12-33; Hutchison 9-31
-- Swarzak 1-3; Porcello 9-30
-- Capuano 6-11; Wright 0-0
-- Kazmir 5-31; Tepesch 5-21
-- Guthrie 12-31; Noesi 7-26
-- Weaver 6-28; Iwakuma 5-27

-- Peacock 7-23; Niese 7-29

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Athletics (86-72) at Rangers (66-92)

Game: 2
Venue: Globe Life Park in Arlington
Date: September 26, 2014 8:05 PM EDT

The Oakland Athletics may be sputtering down the stretch, but they're still on the cusp of clinching a third straight trip to the postseason.

The last-place Texas Rangers would like to continue interfering with that plan.

Scott Kazmir will try to end his troublesome stretch and help Oakland move closer to the playoffs by bouncing back from another defeat to the Rangers on Friday night.

The A's (86-73) are two games ahead of Seattle for the second wild-card spot and trail Kansas City by one for the top position with three contests left in the regular season.

A win and a Mariners loss to the Los Angeles Angels later Friday would clinch a postseason berth for Oakland. However, the A's haven't looked capable of taking care of their own business lately, especially against Texas (66-93).

They've dropped 19 of 27 games, including four straight to the Rangers while scoring seven runs and batting .129 with runners in scoring position. Texas went 0 for 6 in that scenario Thursday before Luke Gregerson served up a walkoff homer to Adrian Beltre in a 2-1 defeat to open this four-game set in Arlington.

"They're all different, but the common denominator is we're not scoring any runs," said manager Bob Melvin, whose team was swept in a three-game home series by the Rangers last week. "We're getting opportunities to do it and we're still not getting them in."

This is not an opportune time for Melvin's club to be struggling offensively, especially with Kazmir (14-9, 3.63) taking the mound. He's 0-4 with an 8.58 ERA over his past six starts, raising his ERA nearly a full run.

"My body, everything feels great," Kazmir told MLB's official website. "It's just a matter of consistency. I'm not consistent out there. I can hit my spots, but a matter of doing it consistently, that's something I just haven't done."

He certainly didn't do it against Texas on Sept. 16, when he was tagged for six runs and nine hits over 4 1-3 innings of a 6-3 loss. The left-hander wasn't any better five days later versus Philadelphia, surrendering six runs and a season-high 11 hits with nine strikeouts before being pulled with one out in the sixth of an 8-6 win in 10.

The Rangers have proven to be a problem for most opponents lately, with the AL's worst team winning 12 of 13 following Beltre's dramatics Thursday.

He's 8 for 19 with two homers and three doubles in his last five games against Oakland.

"It's been fun," Beltre said. "We've been playing very well."

Manager Tim Bogar feels Texas could learn something from watching Oakland clinch a playoff spot.

"It's never fun to watch," he said. "But it's also ... I don't want it to happen, but if it does, I kind of hope all these young guys stay out there and watch it. Because that's what we want to be doing. You get to see the joy of their hard work come to fruition. Maybe that will put a little seed in the back of (the Rangers') minds that that's what they want to do."

Nick Tepesch (5-10, 4.14) has already slowed down the A's, allowing three runs - one earned - in six innings while earning the victory opposite Kazmir on Sept. 16.

The second-year righty was even better at AL West champion Los Angeles on Sunday, yielding one run and four hits in seven innings before leaving without a decision in a 2-1 win.

Josh Donaldson is 4 for 11 with two doubles against Tepesch and Brandon Moss is 4 for 10 with a homer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with with Oklahoma State (-14) on Thursday and likes Fresno State on Friday.

The deficit is 458 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo dances with Wolves

Hondo regained his winning form Thursday night, hitting paydirt with Big Blue over the Redskins to lower the accounts payable to 1,620 urlachers.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch expects the Lobos to give him something to howl about — 10 units on New Mexico to beat the number against Fresno State.