StatSystemsSports
Inside The Huddle – Friday
#403 PHILADELPHIA @ #404 NEW ENGLAND
Line: Patriots -3, Total: 47
Familiar preseason foes will meet in Foxboro (7:30 PM EST) on Friday when the New England Patriots play host to the Philadelphia Eagles. For the second consecutive week the Patriots are conducting joint practice sessions with their preseason opponent in advance of the game as the Eagles arrived early to partake in preparation with New England on Tuesday and Wednesday in advance of the game. "I'm looking forward to this week," said New England head coach Bill Belichick. "It'll be a big opportunity for our team and for each of us individually to improve on where we were last week."
The Patriots need to improve after an ugly preseason opener without star quarterback Tom Brady. Washington easily handled New England, 23-6, last week behind backup signal caller, Kirk Cousins, who played the majority of the opening half and threw a touchdown pass. New England rested Brady along with their key offseason acquisition, All-Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis. Ryan Mallett started in place of Brady but was shaky in the first half, finishing 5-of-12 for 55 yards through the air. Jimmy Garoppolo, a rookie out of Eastern Illinois, who won the 2013 Walter Payton Award as the top player in FCS, was 9-of-13 for 157 yards. That included a 26-yard TD pass to Brian Tyms late in the fourth quarter.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, also fell in its preseason opener, losing a 34-28 shootout in Chicago. The Eagles started slow behind Nick Foles, who was intercepted just twice in 317 passing attempts last season, and matched that total by getting picked off twice in his three possessions under center. Backup Mark Sanchez was far more efficient, connecting on 7-of-10 passes for 79 yards and leading the Eagles' second-team offense to 14 points courtesy of Matthew Tucker's two touchdown runs. Rookie wide receiver Josh Huff added a 102-yard kickoff-return touchdown for Philadelphia. "Well, the kickoff return was set up by my teammates," said Huff, who was drafted by the Eagles in the third round out of Oregon. "I couldn't have done it without them. That kickoff return was something special for me and my teammates."
Last season, the Patriots held joint sessions with the Eagles in Philadelphia prior to a 31-22 New England win. In all, the Pats and Eagles have met 21 previous times in the preseason with New England holding a slim 11-10 advantage in the series.
StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 8 times, while the favorite covered the spread 7 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 8 times, while the underdog won straight up 7 times. 1 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 24 times, while the underdog covered first half line 19 times. *No EDGE. 2 games went over first half total, while 0 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Any team versus the 1rst half total (NEW ENGLAND) - after being outgained by opponent by 100 or more total yards last game.
(61-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.2%, +41.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 11.4 (Total first half points scored = 23.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (114-55).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (227-135).
_________________________________________________________
#405 TENNESSEE @ #406 NEW ORLEANS
Line: Saints -3.5, Total: 43
Frequent preseason rivals renew hostilities (8:00 PM EST) on Friday evening when the New Orleans Saints entertain the Tennessee Titans at the Mercedes- Benz Superdome. Dating back their days as the Houston Oilers, the Titans have been New Orleans' most common preseason opponent as the two clubs have squared off 29 times, with the series deadlocked at 14-14-1.
Quarterback Ryan Griffin was the star in the Saints' preseason opener, throwing for 179 yards and a touchdown as New Orleans edged the St, Louis Rams, 26-24, in The Show Me State. With All-Pro Drew Brees sidelined with an oblique injury Griffin, a second- year product out of Tulane, came on for backup Luke McCown and completed 16- of-23 passes. He found first round pick Brandin Cooks for a 25-yard touchdown connection late in the third quarter that proved to be the difference.
Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson each ran for touchdowns, with Ingram racking up 83 yards on eight carries. Cooks caught five balls for 55 yards in addition to the score for the Saints, who finished with an 11-5 record in 2013. Brees was back at practice in full pads on Tuesday but expect the Saints to be very cautious with their franchise player. So far coach Sean Payton has labeled Brees as day-to-day.
The Titans, meanwhile, also won their preseason opener after Jackie Battle's 7-yard touchdown run with 5:02 remaining lifted Tennessee to a 20-16 victory over the Green Bay Packers in a rain-soaked affair at LP Field. The rainfall amount reportedly reached three inches in the vicinity of the stadium, making ball security a problem for both squads. They combined for eight total fumbles.
Rookie QB Zach Mettenberger completed three passes for 71 yards on the go- ahead drive and the Titans were able to run out the clock after the Packers couldn't convert on 4th-and-1 at the Tennessee 24. Titans starting signal caller Jake Locker played just two series, completing one of his two passes. Backup Charlie Whitehurst saw much of the work, completing 10-of-15 for 94 yards and a touchdown.
StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 10 times, while the underdog covered the spread 4 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 11 times, while the underdog won straight up 3 times. 6 games went over the total, while 2 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 12 times, while the favorite covered first half line 11 times. *No EDGE. 9 games went over first half total, while 1 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Home teams against the 1rst half total (NEW ORLEANS) - in non-conference games, after a road game where both teams score 24 points or more.
(27-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.0%, +17.1 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 18.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.3, Opponent 10.7 (Total first half points scored = 25)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (37-30).
_________________________________________________________
Covered And Smothered
Do you have everything you need for football season yet? StatSystemsSports.net has you covered and smothered like Waffle House hash browns for NCAA College Football along with the National Football League:
Daily Stat/Sheets. For the handicapper who wants to dig into the stats, there's nothing that compares to the wealth of both Match-up and Situational Power Trends and Betting Systems offered by the Stat/Sheets.
StatSystems Sports Bi-Weekly Newsletter Report. Only the very best trends from our Huge Library of Power Trends stored in our database along with expert write-ups for each match-up from our Expert Staff of Handicappers, delivered straight to your inbox every Wednesday and Saturday.
Best Bets. The top plays from our handicappers every week, with detailed matchup information and wagering advice. Note: Best Bets subscriptions include The Bi-Weekly Newsletter Report at no additional cost!
Get the BEST BANG FOR YOUR BUCK
"Get a monthly package now - you'll be real glad you did!”
_________________________________________________
#407 DETROIT @ #408 OAKLAND
Line: Raiders -2.5, Total: 39
Matt Schaub's first foray at the helm of the Oakland Raiders wasn't exactly aesthetically pleasing. The veteran will give it another try when his new club welcomes Detroit to the O.co Coliseum for the Raiders' preseason home opener (10:00 PM EST) on Friday night. Schaub finished just 3-of-7 for 21 yards against a stingy Minnesota defense in a 10-6 Vikings win last Friday.
High-profile free-agent running back pickup Maurice-Jones Drew flashed a little more in his Oakland debut, registering 10 yards rushing on two carries and hauling in two passes for 14 more. Third-string QB Matt McGloin ran in for a 10-yard score in the closing minutes of the final quarter for the Raiders only scoring. The two-point conversion was unsuccessful, however.
The Lions, meanwhile, spoiled Johnny Manziel's much-anticipated debut for Cleveland last week, grabbing a 13-12 victory over the Browns in the preseason opener for both clubs. Detroit was operating for the first time under new head coach Jim Caldwell, who took over the reins after the Lions fired Jim Schwartz following a 7-9 season that saw the team lose six of their final seven games.
The Lions had fumbled twice in the fourth quarter in Cleveland territory, but their final possession of the game saw Cleveland hit with three holding calls, and Kellen Moore found Corey Fuller in the left corner of the end zone for the 13-12 lead with 1:05 to play. Detroit then sealed the win with an interception of Tyler Thigpen. Lions starting quarterback Matthew Stafford played the opening series and led the team to a 37-yard field goal from Nate Freese.
The Raiders have dominated their preseason series with the Lions, owning a 5-1 advantage.
StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 15 times, while the favorite covered the spread 9 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 15 times, while the underdog won straight up 10 times. 30 games went under the total, while 17 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 36 times, while the favorite covered first half line 22 times. *No EDGE. 32 games went over first half total, while 30 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (OAKLAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game.
(41-16 since 1993.) (71.9%, +23.4 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.8, Opponent 10.8 (Total first half points scored = 23.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
_________________________________________________________
#409 SAN DIEGO @ #410 SEATTLE - 10:00 PM
Line: Seahawks -6, Total: 38.5
The reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks kick off the home portion of their preseason schedule by entertaining the San Diego Chargers (10:00 PM EST) on Friday. Seattle began defense of the franchise's first Lombardi Trophy by coming up short against Denver last week in a rematch from Super Bowl XLVIII. Brock Osweiler's 34-yard touchdown pass to Jordan Norwood in the fourth quarter lifted the Broncos to a 21-16 win just over six months after the Seahawks decimated Denver in the big game.
The game was delayed for 45 minutes because of lightning with 1:30 remaining in the first quarter after Ronnie Hillman's 1-yard touchdown gave the Broncos a 7-0 lead. Terrelle Pryor, acquired from Oakland in April, passed for 137 yards for the Seahawks. Starter Russell Wilson completed four of his six passes for 37 yards and led Seattle to a touchdown on its second possession, Christine Michael's 1-yard score in the second quarter. Steven Hauschka kicked three field goals for the Seahawks, including two of at least 40 yards.
Pryor led the Seahawks to the Denver 3-yard line in the final minutes of the game but was intercepted in the end zone by linebacker Steven Johnson. The Chargers, meanwhile, got things started on the right foot, dominating Dallas, 27-7, in their preseason opener. San Diego, which went 9-7 last season before losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, racked up 395 yards of total offense on Dallas.
Philip Rivers played one series and completed all four of his passes for 61 yards. Backup Kellen Clemens connected on all five of his passes for 134 yards and a touchdown and Brad Sorensen completed 5-of-7 passes for 48 yards. Rookie running back Branden Oliver carried the ball seven times for 64 yards and a score San Diego, which had 152 yards on the ground. Dontrelle Inman caught three passes for 107 yards and a touchdown.
StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 14 times, while the underdog covered the spread 10 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 17 times, while the underdog won straight up 8 times. 21 games went under the total, while 16 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 34 times, while the favorite covered first half line 28 times. *No EDGE. 44 games went over first half total, while 22 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (SAN DIEGO) - after playing a game at home against opponent after playing their last game on the road.
(48-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 11.8 (Total first half points scored = 22)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (94-55).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (178-110).
_________________________________________________________
How Was Your Football Season Last Year?
If you didn’t go 25-6 during August and September (80.6%), you weren’t with us here at StatSystems Sports! That was our win-loss record the first two months of the season with our Huge *5-Star Selections.
And aside from winning a documented $2,980 in net profits last season, we were also a "Spot-Less" 4-0 with our Highly-Rated *6-Star College releases throughout the regular season! Best of all, when you join StatSystemsSports.net this football season by August 3rd – in time for the NFL preseason – you will not only save $300 on the spot but also receive the #1 Rated Sports Betting Publication in the Country Today! Our Weekly NFL & NCAA College Football Newsletter Report FREE!
"Remember, don't make a move without it, You'll be glad you did" Stan!
___________________________________________________
w-thumbs!^
