My AL East Blowout GOW is a play on the Rays with Shields over Burnett. Home Sweet Home! That's the mantra as far as the Rays are concerned. Tampa Bay started the month of July by winning five of their first six games...all at home. They dropped their final game of the homestand and went on to lose six straight away from home heading into the all-star break. But they're back under the dome tonight where they're 36-14 overall, and 22-6 in night games against righthanders. Tonight, they'll face A.J. Burnett, who has been pounded for 14 earned runs and 24 base runners in his last two starts, spanning 12 innings of work. In fact, the Jays have dropped each of Burnett's last four road outings. James Shields takes the bump for the Rays. Tampa is 6-1 in his home night starts where he sports a 2.25 ERA. They're 9-1 in his 10 home starts overall, and Shields owns a 2.13 ERA, .090 WHIP, and .208 BAA! That makes Shields a perfect "slump-buster" going against a team that doesn't normally win away from home with tonight's scheduled pitcher on the hill. Look for Tampa to snap their skid with a big win on Friday night. The Rays are my AL East Blowout GOW. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Scott Spreitzer's 25* MLB GRAND SLAM WIPEOUT! *11-2, 85% w/ 25* Plays!
I'm laying the price with the Twins on Friday night. It doesn't get much better than this, at least on paper. Kevin Millwood has gone 0-5 in nine starts against the Twinkies in his career. He's been roughed up for a 5.86 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and .333 BAA along the way! Tonight, the veteran righty faces a Twins' batting order that's averaging 5.8 runs per game in 23 home night outings against righthanded hurlers. Millwood's recent performances also don't inspire a lot of confidence in the Texas dugout. He's allowed 16 earned runs and 44 base runners (36 hits) in just 20 1/3 innings. That's a four-game ERA of 7.09 with a horrible, 2.17 WHIP, while averaging just five IP per start. That's bad news for Texas' 29th ranked bullpen! The Twins will send southpaw Glen Perkins to the bump. The Rangers have been at their offensive-worst in tonight's situation. They're 2-8 in 10 road night games against lefties, scoring just 3.1 runs per game. Perkins has to be itching to get back on the bump. His Twins are 5-1 in his last six outings, where he sports a 3.69 ERA & 1.33 WHIP. We don't get a lot of hitting AND pitching mismatches, including bullpens each week, but this is surely one of them! Look for the Twins to rock the Rangers on Friday, my 25* Grand Slam. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Rocketman
Bonus Play FRIDAY
Texas @ Minnesota 8:10 PM EST
Play On: 3* Minnesota -125 (Millwood/Perkins) Listed
Minnesota is 38-26 at night this year. Minnesota is 11-4 when playing on Friday this year. Texas is scoring only 4.6 runs per game against left handed starters this season. Minnesota bullpen has a SUPER 1.99 ERA at home this year. Perkins is 6-2 overall this year and 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA his last 3 starts. Millwood is 0-5 with a 5.86 ERA overall vs Minnesota since 1997. Perkins is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA overall vs Texas since 1997. We'll play Minnesota for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Bonus Play FRIDAY
Texas @ Minnesota 8:10 PM EST
Play On: 3* Minnesota -125 (Millwood/Perkins) Listed
Minnesota is 38-26 at night this year. Minnesota is 11-4 when playing on Friday this year. Texas is scoring only 4.6 runs per game against left handed starters this season. Minnesota bullpen has a SUPER 1.99 ERA at home this year. Perkins is 6-2 overall this year and 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA his last 3 starts. Millwood is 0-5 with a 5.86 ERA overall vs Minnesota since 1997. Perkins is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA overall vs Texas since 1997. We'll play Minnesota for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
These are Friday's plays:
*** EZWINNERS MLB ***
3 STAR: (916) SAN FRANCISCO (+$116) over Milwaukee
(Listing Cain only)
(Risking $300 to win $348)
9:15PM Central Time
2 STAR: (907) CHICAGO (-$111) over Houston
(Listing Lilly only)
(Risking $222 to win $200)
7:05PM Central Time
2 STAR: (920) BALTIMORE (-$118) over Detroit
(Listing Guthrie only)
(Risking $236 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time
*** EZWINNERS CFL ***
3 STAR: (413) WINNIPEG (+9) over British Columbia
(Risking $330 to win $300)
9:05PM Central Time
*** EZWINNERS MLB ***
3 STAR: (916) SAN FRANCISCO (+$116) over Milwaukee
(Listing Cain only)
(Risking $300 to win $348)
9:15PM Central Time
2 STAR: (907) CHICAGO (-$111) over Houston
(Listing Lilly only)
(Risking $222 to win $200)
7:05PM Central Time
2 STAR: (920) BALTIMORE (-$118) over Detroit
(Listing Guthrie only)
(Risking $236 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time
*** EZWINNERS CFL ***
3 STAR: (413) WINNIPEG (+9) over British Columbia
(Risking $330 to win $300)
9:05PM Central Time
question
My neighbor RDS who told me about the forum, had a lot of nice things to say about the guys, CP, & takes full blame & holds nothing but respect for Wil, just got back from a job interview which he said they could not agree on terms so is going to set up his own web pg. thru paypal, he always said no matter what happened he would not leave me or his rx friends, since he's now a pro, can I post him? Don't want to get in trouble. No promo, just picks he gives me. Bill
My neighbor RDS who told me about the forum, had a lot of nice things to say about the guys, CP, & takes full blame & holds nothing but respect for Wil, just got back from a job interview which he said they could not agree on terms so is going to set up his own web pg. thru paypal, he always said no matter what happened he would not leave me or his rx friends, since he's now a pro, can I post him? Don't want to get in trouble. No promo, just picks he gives me. Bill
Gina
July 18, 2008 8:11 p.m. est.
Kansas City Royals (43-53) at Chicago White Sox (54-40)
(R) Zack Greinke (7-5) vs. (L) Mark Buehrle (6-8)
The White Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games at home and have won the last five versus Kansas City in Chicago. The Royals have dropped five of its last 7 road games
Kansas City's Zack Greinke (7-5, 3.48) is 2-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 15 career outings, including 12 starts against the White Sox.
Chicago's Mark Buehrle (6-8, 3.68 ERA) is 16-7 with a 3.29 ERA, in his career against the Royals.
Go with the White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field. Kansas City has lost seven of their last 8 games against Chicago and has been unsuccessful in the Windy City, just 14 wins in the last 56 against the White Sox. To boot, right-hander Zack Greinke has also struggle at U.S. Cellular Field, going 0-5 with a 6.62 ERA in seven career appearances, including five starts.
Chicago White Sox -155
July 18, 2008 8:11 p.m. est.
Kansas City Royals (43-53) at Chicago White Sox (54-40)
(R) Zack Greinke (7-5) vs. (L) Mark Buehrle (6-8)
The White Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games at home and have won the last five versus Kansas City in Chicago. The Royals have dropped five of its last 7 road games
Kansas City's Zack Greinke (7-5, 3.48) is 2-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 15 career outings, including 12 starts against the White Sox.
Chicago's Mark Buehrle (6-8, 3.68 ERA) is 16-7 with a 3.29 ERA, in his career against the Royals.
Go with the White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field. Kansas City has lost seven of their last 8 games against Chicago and has been unsuccessful in the Windy City, just 14 wins in the last 56 against the White Sox. To boot, right-hander Zack Greinke has also struggle at U.S. Cellular Field, going 0-5 with a 6.62 ERA in seven career appearances, including five starts.
Chicago White Sox -155
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
Oakland/ NY Yanks Under 9
The Under is 16-5 in Athletics last 21 during game 1 of a series and 13-3-1 in Smiths last 17 starts overall, while the Under is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 7-1-1 in Mussinas last 9 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, plus the Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in New York. Joe Blanton was to make this start, but his trade to Philly has Put Greg Smith in this spot and tyhat gives us a reall good chance at getting the under in this one. Greg comes in with a solid 3.43 ERA overall, with just 6.7 rpg being scored in his starts, including a 3.86 ERA on the road, with those starts averaging 6.8 rpg, plus he has a 3.14 ERA at night, with those games averaging just 5.4 rpg. Greg also has a nice 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging just 6.3 rpg. Mike Mussina has also had a good year, posting a 3.61 ERA overall, including a 3.72 ERA at home and a 3.64 ERA at night. Mike's home starts this year have averaged 8.1 rpg, including an average 4.6 rpg in his last 5 starts at home. Mike also has a 2.93 ERA in his last 7 starts, with those games averaging just 5.9 rpg. Both teams come in struggling offensively as the Yanks have put up just 3.9 rpg in their last 14 games, while the A's have averaged just 4 rpg in their last 16 games and just 3.2 rpg in their last 9 on nthe road. Both pitchers are rolling right now and have both been involved in many low soring games thsi year and with the way the offenses are struggling I don't see that changing here.
2 UNIT PLAY
Pittsburgh/ Colorado Over 10.5
The Over is 13-3 in Pirates last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts as a road underdog, while the Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. I had to make a play on the Over in at least one game in this series and that will be tonight. It is well known about the high scoring affairs the Pirates get in to on the road, as the over is 31-11, with an average of 11.9 rpg being being scored in their road games. The Pirates score 5.3 rpg on the road and 5.2 rpg vs lefty starters, plus they come in averageing 5.4 rpg in their last 9 games, with those 9 games averaging 12.3 rpg. The Pirate offense will square off vs Glendon Rusch, who is making just his 3rd start of the year. In his 2 starts Glendon has allowed 6 ER on 14 hits and 1 walk in just 10.2 innings of work Throw in his bullpen stats and his overall ERA is 6.25 on the year. Glendon also owns a 4.96 ERA in 15 career starts vs Pittsburgh, plus he has a career ERA of 5.28 when pitching at Coors Field. Ian Snell gets the ball for the Pirates and he has been struggling this year, as he comes in with a 5.92 ERA overall, including an 8.14 ERA on the road, which includes a 13.23 ERA in his last 4 raod starts. Ian's road starts average 13.1 rpg overall, including 15.8 rpg in his last 4 starts away from home. The Rockies do have some offensive injuries, but this team still scores 5.3 rpg at home, including 7.9 rpg in their last 8 at home, with those last 8 home games averaging 15.4 rpg. Two horrible pitchers on the mound, coupled with one of the best scoring road teams and a hot hitting home team, is certainly a recipe for an easy win on the Over here.
1 UNIT PLAY
CHISOX -1.5 (+130) over Kansas City
The Royals have not fared that badly on the road this year as they are 21-29 overall, but of their 29 losses 24 of them were by 2 or more runs and they have been outscored by 3.7 rpg in the losses. The Royals also don't play well in Chicago as they have a 14-42 record in their last 56 meetings here and have lost their last 5 games here by 2 runs or more. The Royals score 4 rpg on the road this year and just 3.7 rpg within the division. KC also doesn't score much for Zach Greinke as they put just 3.6 rpg for him in his road starts. The Sox have been awesome at home going 32-13, while outscoring their opponents by 1.9 rpg, including outscoring them by 4.2 rpg in their 32 home wins. Chicago is also 26-12 within the Division, including a 18-4 mark, while outscoring their opponents by 2.6 rpg in their divisional home games. The Sox are also on a run of 14 staright divisional home wins, outscoring opponents by 3.9 rpg over that stretch. Zack Greinke comes in with a 4-5 mark on the road and a 4.20 ERA and he has struggled in his career at US Cellular Field, going 0-5 with a 6.62 ERA. Mark Buehrle got off to a rough start this year, but has has settled down lately going 4-2 with a 1.55 ERA in his last 7 starts. His last start was against these same Royals and he allowed no ER on 6 hits and no walks in 7.1 innings of work, but lost got the loss due to 2 UER. In his career Mark is 16-7 vs the Royals with a 3.31 ERA and the Sox are 8-1 in his last 9 starts vs them, with Mark posting a 3.00 ERA over those 9 games. The Sox just dominat at home and should have no problems winning this one by 2 or more runs
4 UNIT PLAY
Oakland/ NY Yanks Under 9
The Under is 16-5 in Athletics last 21 during game 1 of a series and 13-3-1 in Smiths last 17 starts overall, while the Under is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 7-1-1 in Mussinas last 9 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, plus the Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in New York. Joe Blanton was to make this start, but his trade to Philly has Put Greg Smith in this spot and tyhat gives us a reall good chance at getting the under in this one. Greg comes in with a solid 3.43 ERA overall, with just 6.7 rpg being scored in his starts, including a 3.86 ERA on the road, with those starts averaging 6.8 rpg, plus he has a 3.14 ERA at night, with those games averaging just 5.4 rpg. Greg also has a nice 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging just 6.3 rpg. Mike Mussina has also had a good year, posting a 3.61 ERA overall, including a 3.72 ERA at home and a 3.64 ERA at night. Mike's home starts this year have averaged 8.1 rpg, including an average 4.6 rpg in his last 5 starts at home. Mike also has a 2.93 ERA in his last 7 starts, with those games averaging just 5.9 rpg. Both teams come in struggling offensively as the Yanks have put up just 3.9 rpg in their last 14 games, while the A's have averaged just 4 rpg in their last 16 games and just 3.2 rpg in their last 9 on nthe road. Both pitchers are rolling right now and have both been involved in many low soring games thsi year and with the way the offenses are struggling I don't see that changing here.
2 UNIT PLAY
Pittsburgh/ Colorado Over 10.5
The Over is 13-3 in Pirates last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts as a road underdog, while the Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. I had to make a play on the Over in at least one game in this series and that will be tonight. It is well known about the high scoring affairs the Pirates get in to on the road, as the over is 31-11, with an average of 11.9 rpg being being scored in their road games. The Pirates score 5.3 rpg on the road and 5.2 rpg vs lefty starters, plus they come in averageing 5.4 rpg in their last 9 games, with those 9 games averaging 12.3 rpg. The Pirate offense will square off vs Glendon Rusch, who is making just his 3rd start of the year. In his 2 starts Glendon has allowed 6 ER on 14 hits and 1 walk in just 10.2 innings of work Throw in his bullpen stats and his overall ERA is 6.25 on the year. Glendon also owns a 4.96 ERA in 15 career starts vs Pittsburgh, plus he has a career ERA of 5.28 when pitching at Coors Field. Ian Snell gets the ball for the Pirates and he has been struggling this year, as he comes in with a 5.92 ERA overall, including an 8.14 ERA on the road, which includes a 13.23 ERA in his last 4 raod starts. Ian's road starts average 13.1 rpg overall, including 15.8 rpg in his last 4 starts away from home. The Rockies do have some offensive injuries, but this team still scores 5.3 rpg at home, including 7.9 rpg in their last 8 at home, with those last 8 home games averaging 15.4 rpg. Two horrible pitchers on the mound, coupled with one of the best scoring road teams and a hot hitting home team, is certainly a recipe for an easy win on the Over here.
1 UNIT PLAY
CHISOX -1.5 (+130) over Kansas City
The Royals have not fared that badly on the road this year as they are 21-29 overall, but of their 29 losses 24 of them were by 2 or more runs and they have been outscored by 3.7 rpg in the losses. The Royals also don't play well in Chicago as they have a 14-42 record in their last 56 meetings here and have lost their last 5 games here by 2 runs or more. The Royals score 4 rpg on the road this year and just 3.7 rpg within the division. KC also doesn't score much for Zach Greinke as they put just 3.6 rpg for him in his road starts. The Sox have been awesome at home going 32-13, while outscoring their opponents by 1.9 rpg, including outscoring them by 4.2 rpg in their 32 home wins. Chicago is also 26-12 within the Division, including a 18-4 mark, while outscoring their opponents by 2.6 rpg in their divisional home games. The Sox are also on a run of 14 staright divisional home wins, outscoring opponents by 3.9 rpg over that stretch. Zack Greinke comes in with a 4-5 mark on the road and a 4.20 ERA and he has struggled in his career at US Cellular Field, going 0-5 with a 6.62 ERA. Mark Buehrle got off to a rough start this year, but has has settled down lately going 4-2 with a 1.55 ERA in his last 7 starts. His last start was against these same Royals and he allowed no ER on 6 hits and no walks in 7.1 innings of work, but lost got the loss due to 2 UER. In his career Mark is 16-7 vs the Royals with a 3.31 ERA and the Sox are 8-1 in his last 9 starts vs them, with Mark posting a 3.00 ERA over those 9 games. The Sox just dominat at home and should have no problems winning this one by 2 or more runs
WUNDERDOG Comps
Game: Los Angeles at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +104 (moneyline)
The Dodgers have not exactly been a force as a favorite on the road where they have logged an 8-10 record. Heroki Kuroda has saved his best starts for LA where the Dodgers are 5-3. The road has been a different story where the Dodgers have been just 3-6 dropping four of his last five starts. Doug Davis has really feasted against the Dodgers where he owns a career 1.33 ERA in 41 innings against them. We like the home dog in this one.
WNBA
Game: Connecticut at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 146.5 -110
After opening 8-1, and looking like the class of the WNBA, Connecticut has fallen hard and fast. The Sun has now gone just 2-6 over their last eight dropping four in a row. The biggest problem has been the lack of intensity on the defensive end where the Sun has now given up an average of 80 ppg in those last eight games. The Sky hasn't been shy about offense at home where they put up 76.5 ppg. Offensively the Sun is scoring, but just not committed on defense, so we like this one to top the posted total.
Game: Los Angeles at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +104 (moneyline)
The Dodgers have not exactly been a force as a favorite on the road where they have logged an 8-10 record. Heroki Kuroda has saved his best starts for LA where the Dodgers are 5-3. The road has been a different story where the Dodgers have been just 3-6 dropping four of his last five starts. Doug Davis has really feasted against the Dodgers where he owns a career 1.33 ERA in 41 innings against them. We like the home dog in this one.
WNBA
Game: Connecticut at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 146.5 -110
After opening 8-1, and looking like the class of the WNBA, Connecticut has fallen hard and fast. The Sun has now gone just 2-6 over their last eight dropping four in a row. The biggest problem has been the lack of intensity on the defensive end where the Sun has now given up an average of 80 ppg in those last eight games. The Sky hasn't been shy about offense at home where they put up 76.5 ppg. Offensively the Sun is scoring, but just not committed on defense, so we like this one to top the posted total.
