Service Plays Friday 7/17/15

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[goldencontender]

GC: MLB Play

Friday Back from the Break Card has Both the American and National League Games of the Month both from League wide power systems one is 100%, the other 96%, Both have powerful pitching edges and Solid Statistical indicators. MLB Picks up where it left off last week after hitting the last 3 Top plays. MLB System Play below.

The MLB System Play is on the Houston Astros. Game 924 at 8:10 eastern. Houston is home for Texas here tonight and the Astros have won 10 of 14 as a home favorites in this range. They will look to break their 6 game losing streak. Texas has lost 8 of 10 in July. Houston qualifies in a solid database system that plays on home teams off a road favored loss if they scored 4 or less runs and are playing a team like Texas that is off a home loss and scored 2 or less runs. Houston has McHugh going and have won 5 of his 7 home starts. He is 2-0 with a 2.08 era vs Texas. They follow him with a 1.97 home bullpen era. M. Perez makes his first start of the season for Texas. Look for the Astros to take the opener. On Friday its the first eve American and National Leagues games of the month from 100% and 96% Super systems. Both have a plethora of Powerful angles. MLB was killing it leading into the break nailing 3 straight High end top play. Jump on now and were back with a bang with Back from the Break systems in MLB. For the Bonus Play. Take Houston. GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 75 points or more
117-64 since 1997. ( 64.6% | 46.6 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a loss against a division rival
268-103 since 1997. ( 72.2% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 off a road loss, in July games
133-74 since 1997. ( 64.3% | 51.6 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
253-175 since 1997. ( 59.1% | 84.0 units )
16-13 this year. ( 55.2% | 3.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
KANSAS CITY is 16-5 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.0)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo is a Chi guy

Hondo tried some CFL action on Thursday night and paid price as he was unable to claw his way to a victory with the Hamilton Ti-Cats, which elevated his accounts payable to 1,960 hundleys.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch believes Hendricks is experienced enough to shut down Los Bravos — 10 units on the Cubs.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -126 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 45-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 45-48

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LCM Sports: A's under the total

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Sky +7 over Minnesota Lynx
(System Record: 12-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 12-7-3

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
San Lorenzo + Arsenal de Sarandi UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 787-25, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 787-637-14

 

[amazingfinancialplan]

ARTHUR Ralph
Super Pick Miami w/Fernandez -160
Bule Ribbon Rockies w/ De La Rosa +130
Bonus Play Tampa w/Ordorizzi +125
IF anyone is interested in going on his Football packages email me @ G.Mail.com

 

[Bsmith]

Frank Patron

10,000 Unit MLB Move


Detroit Tigers -125 over Baltimore

Listed Pitchers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Winning Crew

Saint Louis Cardinals -132

 

[OleBlueEyes]

Gavazzi

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT ALL SELECTIONS ARE INTENDED TO BE PLAYED BY PERCENTAGE OF BANKROLL RISK. This means that you RISK the suggested percentage of bankroll on all selections. To further clarify, you RISK the suggested percentage of bankroll to win LESS on FAVORITE plays and RISK suggested percentage of bankroll play TO WIN MORE on UNDERDOG plays. In addition, all games come with listed pitchers, unless otherwise specified.

Throughout these analyses, I will refer to a series of shorthand abbreviations. In combination with the numbers that accompany them, they represent a more accurate reflection of a team or pitcher’s performance than a more traditional representation such as ERA. Below are some of those abbreviations and a brief description.

TRGS ... Team record game started (it is how we determine if we win or lose).
OPS ... A combination of on base percentage (OBP) and slugging percentage (SLG), a best offensive indicator.
WHIP ... Walks plus hits per innings pitched (if opposing hitters aren’t on base, they cannot score).
K/BB ... Strike to walk ratio for a pitcher (a power index for a pitcher).
BAA ... Batting average against for a pitcher.
RISP … Runners in scoring position.


I hope this clarifies some of these terms for you and makes the reading of these analyses more understandable and enjoyable. Best of luck to us all this season!

Friday, July 17, 2015
MLB
5% Pittsburgh Pirates (+110)
4% KC Royals (-1 ½ R/+140)
3% Washington Nationals (-115)
3% San Francisco Giants (+110)
3% LA Angels (-130)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) at Milwaukee Brewers (Fiers) (-120) 8:10 ET
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit the Milwaukee Brewers for the first of this 3-game weekend set to begin the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season. This concept is really quite simple … we are playing the Pittsburgh Pirates as a BERD (better record dog) against an also ran Milwaukee team. It is not often in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season, that you will find a team whose record is 16 games superior to their opponent in the role of an underdog. That is especially true, when we are looking at our PLAY ON team as being quite motivated despite having the best record in baseball over the previous 48 games, and our PLAY AGAINST team having the worst home record in all of MLB.

In 2014, Milwaukee played .600 baseball through June to put themselves in contention for a rare playoff spot. They faded in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season, which resulted in 82 victories, but no playoff berth. This season, they confirmed their demise with an 18-36 start. Though they have gone 20-16 since, the 38-52 mark is the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] worst in MLB. Most disappointing is a 16-28 home record, which is the WORST IN MLB. Fiers has shown occasional brilliance for the Brewers. But, he comes off a 6 IP stint in which he allowed 4 runs to Atlanta in his most recent outing. More disturbing is a record of 2-4 with a 6.12 ERA vs. the Pirates in 8 games. It’s hard to believe that the Brewers and Fiers have been installed as a home favorite against a surging Pirates team.

In mid-May, the Pirates stood 18-22, one of the biggest underachievers in MLB. But, they flashed a BUY sign on our OPS Ratings chart, mostly based on their MLB best .645 pitching OPS. The result has been lightening in a bottle for Buc backers. The Pirates, behind a red-hot McCutcheon, have gone 35-13 (MLB best) since the nadir of their discontent, including a recent run of 13-3 and a 3-game weekend sweep of St. Louis to pull within 2 ½ games of the Cards for the NL Central lead. But, that position leaves them hungry in this series. Earlier this year, Morton worked 7 1/3 IP, allowing just 3 hits in a 2-0 victory over Milwaukee. Although his current form leaves much to be desired, he is a viable option at the bottom of the Pirates’ rotation.

The Pirates are 16 games better than Milwaukee and in no way deserve this underdog status. Must back them in this role against the worst home team in MLB!

KC Royals (C. Young) (-1 ½ /+140) at Chicago White Sox (Danks) 8:10 ET
This is Game 2 of a scheduled double header between the Royals and White Sox, as they begin a 4-game weekend set to start the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season. The Royals enter the break with a 52-34 record, good for a .605 winning percentage (the best in the AL) and good for a 4 ½ game lead over Minnesota in the AL Central. The White Sox are mired at the bottom of the AL Central with a 41-45 mark. When you read the run line numbers at the end of this analysis, you will understand why we are eager to turn this into a classic 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season Run Line Dog play!

In today’s article entitled “OPS Index BUY and SELL Ratings at the 2015 All Star Break,” you will note that CWS is clearly a SELL team. The White Sox have the worst batting numbers in all of baseball with a .649 OPS, which includes a meager 60 HR. As such, they are destined to fall from their current 41-45 record, as they will shortly plummet to the depths of the AL. Every dog has its day in MLB (26 of 30 teams are playing between .422 and .567 ball). Such is the case with the White Sox, whose 1.59 ERA (the last 12 games) has led to a recent 9-3 surge. No thanks, however, to Danks. For the year, the lefthander is 4-8 with a 5.30 ERA. That includes his most recent outing against Toronto in which he was blasted for 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 1/3 IP. CWS and Danks are a PURE PLAY AGAINST in this position.

Despite a couple of weeklong dips, the Royals have played the most consistent and best baseball in the American League. In a year in which scoring barely exceeds 8 RPG, the KC Royals’ version of small ball fits perfectly. There have already been runs of 28-14, 14-5 and 7-1 (currently) this season. It is greatly aided by a bullpen with a 2.11 ERA. There are solid numbers across the board with top ten OPS rankings in both hitting and pitching. It’s not a bad thing that C. Young is taking the mound. Young has a very consistent 3.00 ERA for the YTD.

This contest has all the makings of a Run Line Massacre! First of all, consider that only 18 of the Royals’ 86 games have been decided by a single run. Then know that 41 of their 52 wins (that is 79%) have come by 2 or more runs. Even better is the fact that 18 of their 22 road wins (that’s 82%) have come by 2 or more runs. With CWS scheduled for an early 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half demise and Danks, a PURE PLAY AGAINST starter, we gladly line up with the Royals at this value price as Run Line Underdog.

LA Dodgers (Bolsinger) at Washington Nationals (Zimmermann) (-115) 7:05 ET
Each of these teams currently leads their division and is most certainly headed for the playoffs. This matchup, however, has a decided home/road dichotomy flavor, which favors the Nationals. Consider that today’s Washington starter, Zimmermann, has pitched 19 of 20 quality starts from this mound of late, while LAD, Bolsinger, is winless in his last 10 road starts.

San Francisco Giants (Cain) at Arizona Diamondbacks (Ray) (-120) 9:40 ET
The D’backs have been struggling to get over the .500 mark all season, going just 1-13 in their efforts to reach .500. After reaching that plateau last week, the D’backs lost 3 straight games, totaling 7 runs with a .174 BA. Not a team we are interested in as chalk. The Giants have had their struggles on the road of late. After a 21-14 road start, the Giants have gone 0-7 away, averaging just 2.7 RPG with a 6.43 ERA. But, the defending champs played with nice momentum last week, going 4-1, following a 13-23 slide. Cain pitched a nice return to form game in a 3-0 win vs. the Mets last week, allowing just 2 runs with 7 Ks in 6 IP. That figures to continue against Arizona, against whom he has a 2.79 ERA in 5 starts.

Boston Red Sox (Miley) at LA Angels (Wilson) (-130) 10:05 ET
The Red Sox turned it around a bit before the break, as they enter the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season on a 15-10 surge, after a 27-37 start. But, Miley with a 4.80 ERA has been highly inconsistent. In his last outing, he allowed 6 runs in 5 1/3 IP of an 8-6 loss to NYY. Angels enter the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season as a division leader, courtesy of a 12-4 pre-break run. Look for that to continue behind Wilson, who in 11 starts against Boston has gone 6-3 with a 2.94 ERA.

 

[ChiefWiggum]

Godfatherlocks (3,5,10)

5 KC royals

more to come

 

[down5k]

Alatex 20* - Washington


Anyone have Teddy Covers ?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

2* Giants +110
2* Rockies +140
2* Mariners +154
2* Astros -151
2* Reds -108

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner

100* Cubs -125

100* Red Sox / Angels Over 8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SoccerVipPicks

Super Vip Pick
Ireland Premier League
Derry City - Limerick
Over 2.5
1.90

 

[Elrubio]

Godfather kc which one theres 2 games? Thanks

 

[RANGERDOG]

The MLB system bets for July 17 are:


San Francisco {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet!


Houston {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet!


Cincinnati {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)


Seattle {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)


Colorado {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)
​
Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered. Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
The "Champ" team