Service Plays Friday 5/9/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/9/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Friday, 5/9/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________________

NBA Playoff Journal (May 8)
Home teams won both games on Wednesday, for the second straight night. The Pacers and Thunder each won, evening their respective series at one-all. Roy Hibbert, who had averaged 4.6 PPG and 3.3 RPG through his first eight postseason games this year, finally came through for Indiana, scoring 28 points (on 10 of 13 shooting), while grabbing nine rebounds and adding two blocks.

Despite Hibbert's big night, the Pacers found themselves down 77-74 with just under five minutes remaining, before a 6-0 spurt gave them a lead they wouldn't relinquish. Indiana held on for an 86-82 victory but failed to cover as a 4 1/2-point favorite. Washington's Gortat had 21 & 11 but of the Wizards' top-three scorers this postseason, only Beal played OK in Game #2 with 17 points. Wall and Ariza each scored just six points, Wall making only 2 of 13 FGs and Ariza making just 2 of 8.

Like Indiana, Oklahoma City evened its series at one-all with the Clippers but unlike the Pacers, the Thunder were able to earn the ATS win with a 112-101 victory. OKC was led by its two main (only) stars, as Durant just missed a triple-double (32-12-9) and Westbrook produced his third triple-double in his last five games (31-10-10). Paul had 17 and 11 assists for Los Angeles and Griffin had 15 (six rebounds) but sixth-man deluxe Crawford had just seven points on 2 of 13 shooting (including 1 of 7 on threes).

Home teams will take a four-game winning streak into Thursday's two contests but are still a modest 30-26 SU this postseason (.536) and 22-31-1 ATS (41.5% or minus-12.1 net games). Under players cashed both tickets last night but over bettors are still way ahead, as there have been 36 overs and 20 unders so far this postseason (64.3 percent in favor of the over). "Zig-Zaggers" just missed winning both games (Pacers were a half-point loser) but remain a profitable 26-15-3 ATS (plus-9.5 net games).

ESPN2 airs Thursday evening's doubleheader with both home teams leading 1-0, after dominating wins in Game #1. The Heat won their Game# 1 by 21 points and tonight are favored by 7 1/2 points (total is 192). The Spurs won their Game #1 by 24 points and are favored by seven points, tonight (total is 208).

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#717 INDIANA @ #718 WASHINGTON
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Wizards -4, Total: 184) - The Indiana Pacers have been waiting weeks for Roy Hibbert the All-Star to show up, and it finally happened just in time. Hibbert will try to follow up his season-high 28-point effort when the Pacers visit the Washington Wizards for Game #3 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Friday. The veteran big man went scoreless in three of the previous four postseason games and was mired in a long slump going back to the regular season before breaking out in Game #2.

Hibbert totaled 37 points in the previous eight playoff games but was aggressive early in Game #2 and helped make up for off-nights from David West and Paul George as Indiana fought back to even the series at a game apiece. “I felt that I put a lot of pressure on myself to get going and I don’t want to get into excuses,” Hibbert told reporters. “I think I was making a lot of excuses throughout the second half of the season and the playoffs so I decided to take it into my own hands and change it around.” Marcin Gortat was nearly as impressive for Washington but point guard John Wall endured a second straight tough shooting night and the Wizards could not overcome the lack of production in Game #2.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (61-30 SU, 42-48-1 ATS): Indiana made some news between the first two games of the series when George posted a picture to Instagram of himself fishing with Hibbert and George Hill, suggesting that the team remains tight and rumors of off-court chemistry issues are baseless. The Pacers certainly played like a team with plenty of chemistry in Game #2 as Hibbert was aggressive from the start and his teammates kept feeding him the ball en route to a 10-of-13 shooting effort. “First of all, (Hibbert) made a decision that he’s going to step up and sometimes you have a game where the ball bounces your way or the coverage leaves you as the open man,” coach Frank Vogel told reporters afterward. “ ...We didn’t call any more plays for Roy tonight than we have all series. That’s the remarkable thing. He did this on his own.”

•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (49-40 SU, 49-39-1 ATS): Washington went 10-of-16 from 3-point range in Game #1 behind Trevor Ariza’s 6-of-6 effort but missed 15 of its 21 attempts from beyond the arc in Game #2. Wall had the toughest time, going 2-of-13 from the field and missing all four of his 3-point attempts en route to six points. “Some nights you’re going to miss shots, but I didn’t play great,” Wall told reporters. “I feel like I lost the game for my team.” Even with Wall and Ariza (2-of-8) struggling through off-nights the Wizards were in a position to win Game #2 with a three-point lead and under five minutes left before going cold down the stretch.

•PREGAME NOTES: George was held to 11 points on Wednesday - his lowest scoring performance of the playoffs.... Indiana lost its only trip to the Wizards in the regular season 91-78 on Mar. 28.... Washington G Bradley Beal is averaging 21 points, seven assists, six rebounds and 3.5 steals in the first two games.... The Pacers are 3-15 against the spread (16.6%) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Wizards are 17-36 versus the spread (30.3%) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the spread 548 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 428 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON won the game straight up 640 times, while INDIANA won 339 times. In 1000 simulated games, 562 games went over the total, while 413 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the first half line 523 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 439 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 568 games went over first half total, while 432 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 34-30 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1996.
--INDIANA is 44-23 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--34 of 66 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--WASHINGTON is 35-30 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--34 of 66 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Pacers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.
--Under is 3-0-1 in Pacers last 4 road games.
--Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games following a ATS loss.

--Wizards are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
--Wizards are 4-0 ATS L4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Wizards are 4-0 ATS L4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (INDIANA) - an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season.
(108-54 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.7%, +48.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.3, Opponent 48 (Total first half points scored = 96.3)

The situation's record this season is: (7-9).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (70-34).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (344-346).
_______________________________

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#719 OKLAHOMA CITY @ #720 LA CLIPPERS
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Clippers -4, Total: 214.5) - Kevin Durant received his MVP award and then played like one, and now he looks to guide Oklahoma City to a 2-1 series lead when the Thunder visit the Los Angeles Clippers for Friday’s Game #3 of the Western Conference semifinals. Durant was named MVP for the first time in his career on Tuesday and recorded 32 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists to help Oklahoma City even the series on Wednesday. Clippers point guard Chris Paul was unable to follow up his terrific Game #1 showing.

Paul stunned everybody by going 8-of-9 from 3-point range and scoring 32 points in the opener but was just 2-for-5 from behind the arc in Game #2. More troublesome for Los Angeles was the inability to slow either Durant or point guard Russell Westbrook (31 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists). “It’s hard, but you know, that’s why their names are Westbrook and Durant,” Clippers coach Doc Rivers said after the 112-101 defeat. “They’re very good players. I still believe that’s only 63 points. You can still win the game and we’ve beaten them before when they’ve both had great games. I didn’t like how they scored. It was too easy.”

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (64-27 SU, 47-41-3 ATS): Westbrook was a force in Game #2 and recorded his third triple-double of the postseason. The last assist was tainted – call it a gift from the Oklahoma City stat crew – but Westbrook controlled the pace of the game and easily outplayed Paul after putting forth an average performance in the opener. “That’s what I look for every game,” Thunder coach Scott Brooks told reporters. “He’s going to give you everything he has. He’s not going to make every shot, but he’s going to compete.” Westbrook has made 22-of-36 field-goal attempts over the first two contests and has refrained from jacking up the untimely 3-point attempts that plagued him early in the first-round series against Memphis.

•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (62-29 SU, 49-41-1 ATS): Power forward Blake Griffin placed third in the MVP balloting but didn’t look like one of the league’s top players with pedestrian totals of 15 points (on 5-of-13 shooting) and six rebounds in Game #2. Griffin has yet to post a double-double in nine postseason games and is averaging just 6.1 boards since the playoffs began. Though Griffin appeared tentative at times, Rivers feels he’s not far off his game. “He missed point-blank looks at the rim, open shots,” Rivers told reporters. “He’ll get those shots and make them nine times out of 10 on most nights, so you live with those.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Clippers SG Jamal Crawford won the league’s Sixth Man Award on Thursday for the second time in his career.... The Thunder outrebounded the Clippers by an astounding 99-67 over the first two games.... Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan has been a nonfactor through the first two games (averages of seven points, 6.5 boards and zero blocked shots) after putting up 12.1 points, 15.1 rebounds and four blocks in the first round against Golden State.... Oklahoma City is 10-1 against the spread (90.9%) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.... The Clippers are 13-25 versus the spread (34.2%) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 488 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 487 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 588 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY won 387 times. In 1000 simulated games, 521 games went under the total, while 479 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 518 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 450 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 526 games went under first half total, while 438 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA CLIPPERS is 35-33 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-25 straight up against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--38 of 68 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-32 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--34 of 66 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 games following a ATS win.
--Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

--Clippers are 5-0 ATS L5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
--Over is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 home games.
--Over is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams versus the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's).
(53-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +31.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -119.2
The average score in these games was: Team 105.5, Opponent 100.6 (Average point differential = +5)

The situation's record this season is: (15-6, +4.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (41-16, +22.1 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (167-111, +5 units).
_______________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Thunder at Clippers

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (-4, 214.5)

Kevin Durant received his MVP award and then played like one, and now he looks to guide Oklahoma City to a 2-1 series lead when the Thunder visit the Los Angeles Clippers for Friday’s Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. Durant was named MVP for the first time in his career on Tuesday and recorded 32 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists to help Oklahoma City even the series on Wednesday. Clippers point guard Chris Paul was unable to follow up his terrific Game 1 showing.

Paul stunned everybody by going 8-of-9 from 3-point range and scoring 32 points in the opener but was just 2-for-5 from behind the arc in Game 2. More troublesome for Los Angeles was the inability to slow either Durant or point guard Russell Westbrook (31 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists). “It’s hard, but you know, that’s why their names are Westbrook and Durant,” Clippers coach Doc Rivers said after the 112-101 defeat. “They’re very good players. I still believe that’s only 63 points. You can still win the game and we’ve beaten them before when they’ve both had great games. I didn’t like how they scored. It was too easy.”

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 3-point home faves and have been bet to -4. The total opened at 213.5 and is up to 214.5.

INJURY REPORT: Oklahoma City: G Derek Fisher - questionable (shoulder). Los Angeles: F Hedo Turkoglu - questionable (back).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "After a historical night Wednesday from Durant and Westbrook the series shifts to LA. The Clippers have to be happy coming home with the series tied at 1. We opened the Clippers -3 and took nothing but Clippers money at that number, forcing us to go to Clippers -4. We have the Clippers at +105 to win the Series." - Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Los Angeles was in a predictable flat spot for Game 2. The Clippers came in off their 17-point win in Game 1 after playing a grueling and emotional 7-game series against the Warriors. The Clippers were due for regression, but Game 3 should now provide a more true perspective on how this series will play out going forward as both teams are now settled and recovered from their previous 7-game series in the opening round." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook was a force in Game 2 and recorded his third triple-double of the postseason. The last assist was tainted – call it a gift from the Oklahoma City stat crew – but Westbrook controlled the pace of the game and easily outplayed Paul after putting forth an average performance in the opener. “That’s what I look for every game,” Thunder coach Scott Brooks told reporters. “He’s going to give you everything he has. He’s not going to make every shot, but he’s going to compete.” Westbrook has made 22-of-36 field-goal attempts over the first two contests and has refrained from jacking up the untimely 3-point attempts that plagued him early in the first-round series against Memphis.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Power forward Blake Griffin placed third in the MVP balloting but didn’t look like one of the league’s top players with pedestrian totals of 15 points (on 5-of-13 shooting) and six rebounds in Game 2. Griffin has yet to post a double-double in nine postseason games and is averaging just 6.1 boards since the playoffs began. Though Griffin appeared tentative at times, Rivers feels he’s not far off his game. “He missed point-blank looks at the rim, open shots,” Rivers told reporters. “He’ll get those shots and make them nine times out of 10 on most nights, so you live with those.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
* Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference semifinal games.
* Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Over is 6-0 in the Clippers last six home games.

COVER CONSENSUS: Fifty-one percent of the wagers are on the Clippers -4.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Heat (-8) on Thursday and likes the Pacers on Friday.

The deficit is 311 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers

The Thunder are coming off a 112-101 win in Game 2 and head to LA tonight to face a Clippers team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 9 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 717-718: Indiana at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.417; Washington 122.512 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 184 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Over

Game 719-720: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.686; LA Clippers 126.028 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 214 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+4); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Pittsburgh

The Cardinals open their NL Central series in Pittsburgh tonight against a Pirates team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games as an underdog. St. Louis is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 9 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.950; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.499 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.697; NY Mets (Mejia) 17.193 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Over

Game 955-956: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.658; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.732 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-190); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+170); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 14.925; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.385 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Under

Game 959-960: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.996; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 16.449 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+105); Over

Game 961-962: Miami at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 16.503; San Diego (Ross) 14.943 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-145); Under

Game 963-964: Houston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 13.267; Baltimore (Chen) 14.881 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-170); Under

Game 965-966: LA Angels at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 16.547; Toronto (McGowan) 15.301 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 13.857; Detroit (Verlander) 15.405 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Under

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 15.291; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 14.395 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.694; Texas (Darvish) 15.891 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Over

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.463; Seattle (Maurer) 14.607 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 7 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Under

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.525; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.134 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

Game 977-978: Arizona at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 14.038; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.806 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Over

Game 979-980: Washington at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 15.946; Oakland (Milone) 17.313 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Minnesota

The Blackhawks look to bounce back from their 4-0 loss to Minnesota in Game 3 as they face a Wild team that is 3-12 in its last 15 Friday games. Chicago is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

FRIDAY, MAY 9 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 55-56: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.179; Pittsburgh 11.064 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+155); Over

Game 57-58: Chicago at Minnesota (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.035; Minnesota 11.481 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Wizards -4
Thunder +4
Wild +130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Friday

Cards -135

Phillies over 7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play FRI Miami w/ Fernandez -150

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Toronto Blue Jays -107 over Los Angeles Angels
(System Record: 24-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 24-14

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
New York Rangers + Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 5
(Playoff Record: system 13-1: overall 13-7, lost last 4 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 104-81-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Oklahoma City Thunder +4 over LA Clippers
(Playoff Record: 8-8-3, lost last 2 games and a push)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 85-93-8

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
St Patricks Athletic + Cork City FC OVER 2
This match is happening in Ireland
(System Record: 565-21, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 565-481-84

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Friday, 5/9/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #6
•Giants' Cain Set For Saturday Return: The San Francisco Giants will get a boost to their pitching rotation with the return of right-hander Matt Cain. Cain, who landed on the disabled list after cutting his right index finger making a sandwich, will start Saturday's contest against Zack Greinke and the Los Angeles Dodgers. Cain, who is 0-3 with a 4.35 ERA, gave up seven runs on 10 hits in six innings in his last start, April 23 against the Colorado Rockies.

He was set to start April 29 against the San Diego Padres before he was injured shortly before game time. He sustained a half-inch cut on the tip of his right index finger while preparing a pregame meal. Cain, who went at least five innings in each of his five starts, had a rough outing the last time he pitched at Dodger Stadium, allowing five runs on six hits in six innings in a 6-2 loss on April 6. Cain was tagged with three home runs in the outing, including two by Dodgers center fielder Matt Kemp.

•Arenado Sets Rockies Record With 28-Game Hitting Streak: Throughout spring training, Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado preached staying within himself and not forcing things at the plate. That strategy appears to be working just fine. Arenado tied the club record for a hitting streak, matching teammate Michael Cuddyer at 27 in Wednesday's win at Texas. He set a new standard at 28 after going 1-for-4 in Thursday's 5-0 loss to the Rangers.

Arenado, 23, is hitting .360 (40-for-111) with 11 doubles, four home runs and 19 RBIs during the streak. Albert Pujols is the last player 23 or younger with a hitting streak of at least 27. Arenado and Cuddyer are the eighth teammates in Major League Baseball history with hitting streaks of at least 27 games in either consecutive or the same seasons.

•Season-high Five Homers Power Blue Jays Past Phillies: The Toronto Blue Jays offense is firing on all cylinders. A night after blanking the Philadelphia Phillies in a 10-0 rout, Toronto was at it again. The Blue Jays clubbed a season-high five homers, and knuckleballer R.A. Dickey turned in his fourth consecutive quality start in a 12-6 blowout of the Phillies at Rogers Centre on Thursday. The five-game win streak is Toronto's longest since winning 11 straight in June 2013, while the five home runs upped the club's American League-leading total to 49. What's most impressive about the Blue Jays' current run is that the club has been feasting on top-level pitchers.

Toronto, which swept four games against Philadelphia this week, outscored the Phillies 31-11 over the four contests and plated 18 runs against the club's top three pitchers, left-handers Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels and right-hander A.J. Burnett. Gibbons said that is a major confidence boost for his team moving forward. First baseman Edwin Encarnacion hit two homers -- the 200th and 201st of his career -- and went back-to-back with third baseman Juan Francisco as part of a three-run seventh inning. It was the first time the Blue Jays hit back-to-back homers this season, and it was the 12th multi-homer game of Encarnacion's career.

•Orioles Pull Off Road Sweep Against Rays: Thursday night was marked by missed opportunities for the Tampa Bay Rays. The Baltimore Orioles, meanwhile, capitalized on their chance to complete a rare three-game sweep at Tropicana Field. The Orioles beat the Rays 3-1 as Tampa Bay went 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position and left 11 men on base, suffering its first sweep of three games or more at home since June 12-14, 2012. En route to its first road sweep at Tropicana Field since April 2011, Baltimore scored three early runs off Tampa Bay starter David Price and wriggled out of a few jams, eventually escaping with the club's first three-game series sweep overall since July 19-21 at Texas.

Right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez turned in a solid start for the Orioles, allowing one run, seven hits and two walks in 5 1/3 innings. He narrowly escaped a big inning in the fifth, when the Rays loaded the bases with one out for Evan Longoria. But the Rays' star third baseman bounced into an inning-ending double play that was confirmed after a two-minute instant-replay review prompted by Rays manager Joe Maddon. "Just not getting it done. That's the bottom line," Longoria said. "For lack of a better term, it sucks." It would not turn out to be the last missed opportunity for Tampa Bay, but it was perhaps the most significant.

Betting Notes - Friday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Hernandez is 1-0, 2.95 in his three home starts.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 0.79 in his last four starts.
-- Teheran is 1-1, 1.16 in his last four starts. Hammel is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three outings.
-- Fernandez is 2-0, 1.17 in his last three starts.

-- Feldman is 2-1, 2.02 in four starts this season. Chen is 3-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Richards is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts. McGowan is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Detroit won last five Verlander starts (4-0, 3.55). Hughes is 3-0, 3.26 in his last three outings.
-- Kluber is 1-1, 2.49 in his last three starts.
-- Texas is 5-1 when Darvish starts (2-1, 2.87). Buchholz is 2-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.

-- Tanaka is 4-0, 2.74 in six starts this season.
-- Ex-White Sox McCarthy is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Wacha is 0-3, 3.86 in his last four starts. Liriano is 0-0, 7.11 in his last three.
-- Mejia is 0-0, 12.60 in his last couple starts.
-- Chacin allowed four runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Maholm is 1-1, 5.00 in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 1-3, 3.86 in his last four outings.
-- Ross is 1-1, 8.76 in his last three starts.

-- Odorizzi is 0-3, 8.59 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 0-1, 7.79 in his last three starts. Maurer allowed nine runs in 8.2 IP in his last two starts.

-- Gallardo is 0-1, 5.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Rienzo has a 5.19 RA in three starts, but White Sox won all three, scoring a total of 17 runs.
-- Oakland is 0-5 when Milone starts (0-3, 6.83). Fister is making first '14 start; he was 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.

•Totals
-- Six of last nine Pittsburgh games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight games at Citi Field stayed under; six of Philly's last seven road games went over.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen San Francisco road games.
-- Seven of last eight Miami road games stayed under.

-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Nine of last ten Toronto home games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City games went over.

-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Over is 12-6 in White Sox home games this season.
-- Nine of last twelve Washington road games went over.

•Hot Teams
-- Pirates won four of its last six games. St. Louis won three of last four.
-- Rockies lost nine of their last twelve games. Cincinnati won six of its last eight home games.
-- Giants won 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Marlins won eight of last nine games; they're 3-10 on road.

-- Orioles won six of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jays won their last five games.
-- Tigers won eight of its last nine games.
-- Red Sox won four of its last five games.
-- Mariners won four of their last five home games.

-- Yankees won five of its last seven road games.
-- Diamondbacks won five of its last seven games. Chicago won four of last five.
-- Nationals is 7-4 in its last eleven games.

•Cold Teams
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games. Philadelphia lost last four games.
-- Braves lost eight of their last nine games. Chicago lost four of their last five.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost seven of its last nine games.

-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Twins lost its last three games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Rays lost their last five home games. Cleveland is off a 5-2 homestand, but they've lost last seven road games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five home games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.

-- Brewers lost six of its last eight games.
-- Athletics lost six of its last seven home games.

Diamond Trends - Friday
•LA DODGERS are 26-6 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.7, OPPONENT 2.3.

•TEXAS is 15-1 UNDER (+14.0 Units) in home games against American League East opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 2.8, OPPONENT 3.4.

•ARIZONA is 2-12 (-14.5 Units) against the run line versus an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.1, OPPONENT 6.3.

•JOSE FERNANDEZ is 16-4 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FERNANDEZ 3.7, OPPONENT 1.7.

•JHOULYS CHACIN is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997.
The average score was CHACIN 2.2, OPPONENT 3.5.

•YU DARVISH is 4-19 (-18.3 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with they batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 3.2, OPPONENT 3.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (National League), terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season.
(44-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +30.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +101.4
The average score in these games was: Team 4.7, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1.6)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-12, +23.7 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (90-82, +4.9 units).

•Play On - Any team against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+120 to +165) (COLORADO) - hot hitting National League team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts.
(44-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +31.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (37-23 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8, +12.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (151-141, -4.5 units).

•Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 or less (ATLANTA) - horrible offensive team - scoring <=3.3 runs/game on the season (National League) against opponent terrible offensive team - scoring <=3.8 runs/game on the season (NL).
(53-17 since 1997.) (75.7%, +36.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.7, Money Line=+100.6
The average score in these games was: Team 4.3, Opponent 4.4 (Total runs scored = 8.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 39 (53.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (8-2, +6.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (41-12, +29.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (50-14, +36.3 units).
___________________________________________

 

[jdsabre]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets


MLB | NY YANKEES at MILWAUKEE
Play On – All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) bad NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20), after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
27-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% | 21.7 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets


MLB | COLORADO at CINCINNATI
COLORADO is 12-2 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
The average score was: COLORADO (6.0) , OPPONENT (2.6)

 

[jdsabre]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets


NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play Under – All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in the 3rd game of a playoff series
68-32 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 32.8 units )
2-4 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.4 units )


NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play On – Any team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game
159-127 since 1997. ( 55.6% | 65.1 units )
19-17 this year. ( 52.8% | 9.9 units )


NBA | INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Over – Any team vs. the 1rst half line revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite
76-37 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% | 35.3 units )
5-8 this year. ( 38.5% | -3.8 units )

 

[jdsabre]

Basketball Crusher
Oklahoma City Thunder +4 over LA Clippers
(Playoff Record: 8-8-3, lost last 2 games and a push)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 85-93-8

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
New York Mets -120 over Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers -147 over Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox -109 over Arizona Dbacks


Hockey
Chicago Blackhawks -130 over Minnesota Wild
Chicago Blackhawks + Minnesota Wild UNDER 5


Basketball
Washington Wizards -180 over Indiana Pacers
Washington Wizards + Indiana Pacers UNDER 184
Los Angeles Clippers + Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 214.5

 

[jdsabre]

THE FACTSMAN


OVER 7.5 - Kansas City vs Seattle
(T. Ross vs B. Maurer)