Service Plays Friday 5/30/08

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The Gr8 1
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These are Friday's plays:


*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

5 STAR: (910) TEXAS (+$100) over Oakland
(Listing Millwood only)
(Risking $500 to win $500)
7:05PM Central Time

3 STAR PARLAY: (902) CHICAGO (-$147) and (923) NY YANKEES (-$115)
(Listing Lilly and Mussina only)
(Risking $300 to win $642)
2:20PM and 7:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (903) FLORIDA (+$141) over Philadelphia
(Listing Hendrickson and Myers)
(Risking $200 to win $282)
6:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (905) LA DODGERS (+$126) over NY Mets
(Listing Kersham only)
(Risking $200 to win $252)
6:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (907) ATLANTA (+$138) over Cincinnati
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $276)
6:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (930) SEATTLE (+$102) over Detroit
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $204)
9:10PM Central Time

1 STAR: (910) MILWAUKEE (-$129) over Houston
(Action)
(Risking $129 to win $100)
7:05PM Central Time


*** EZWINNERS NBA ***

1 STAR: (724) DETROIT (-5.5) over Boston
(Risking $110 to win $100)
7:35PM Central Time

Looks good. Usually don't switch cappers, but I am going with this today
:)
 

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Ethan Law

Analysis:

CWC: RHP Jose Contreras (5-3, 3.06) at TB: RHP James Shields (4-3, 3.38)

Its incredibly hard to imagine that a team that I used constantly over the last few seasons to turn tidy profits is beginning to actually become the enemythe team that is now overvalued by the odd makers. I cannot deny that the added price to the Tampa line is not without justification as they remain in first place in arguably the toughest division in the Majors. But this poses a questiondoes their recent success warrant a -$145 price tag against one of the hottest pitchers in baseball? Absolutely not! The true line in this contest should in the neighborhood of -$120 against, so we know from the start we are backing an underdog that is undervalued. I must admit I was hoping that that Chicago would lose on Thursday because that would have given us some more value to this line, but their 5-1 win might just also add some confidence and give momentum to this very dangerous underdog who is sending arguably one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in right-hander Jose Contreras. Contreras is fresh off a dominating performance against the Angles this past Sunday going 8.0 strong innings and giving up only 2 earned runs and 3 hits while striking out 10. With that start, Contreras comes into this contest with four quality starts in a row where he has posted an impressive 1.61 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, giving up just 5.5 hits per nine innings and is averaging 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings. There is no question that Contreras should be in for a challenge (considering Tampa Bay is 11-6 +$485 where they average 5.4 runs per games in home/night settings). Tampa will counter with a quality pitcher of their own in right-hander James Shields. Shields could find some trouble against a Chicago team that has been profitable all season long and one that is +$380 against right-handers in all settings where their offense averages a respectable 4.7 runs per game. Shields has also not performed very well against Chicago as he is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox. That is direct contrast to Contreras performance against Tampa where he comes into Friday 5-0 when starting against Tampa bay with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of just 1.182. What whos favored here. We also cannot discount the series dominance of Chicago against the Devil Rays as they are 11-5 +$390 against Tampa Bay (in all settings) over the last 3 seasons and 7-3 +$390 in games played at Tampa over the last 3 seasons! Whos favored here? Lets take a shot at the surging Sox with the nice price tag!


Verdict: Chi White Sox 6, Tampa Bay 3
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON CHICAGO (AL) +$125
 

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MLB

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Florida (30-22) at Philadelphia (31-24)

The Marlins will send left-hander Mark Hendrickson (7-2, 4.14 ERA) to the mound at Citizens Bank Park in the opener of a three-game weekend set against the Phillies, who will counter with struggling Brett Myers (2-6, 5.79) in a battle between the top two teams in the N.L. East.
Florida comes into this series having dropped two in a row against the New York Mets, including a 7-6, 12-inning setback Wednesday night. The Marlins, who opened the three-game series against the Mets with a 7-3 win, are still 6-3 in their last nine games. They sit in first place in the East, a half-game ahead of the Phillies.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, is coming off a three-game home sweep against Colorado, posting a 6-1 rout Wednesday before joining Florida in taking Thursday off. The Phillies, outscored the Rockies 33-10 in the three victories, and they have now won four in a row ? starting with a 15-6 rout at Houston on Sunday.
This is the first series of the season between these division rivals. They split the 18 meetings in 2007, but the Phillies went 6-3 at home and are 12-4 in the last 16 head-to-head contests at Citizens Bank Park. However, Philly is 0-4 in Myers? last four starts against the Marlins.
Hendrickson is 3-1 with one no-decision in his last five outings, and the Marlins are 8-2 in games he?s started. On Sunday against San Francisco, he got roughed up a bit, allowing five runs on nine hits in five innings, but he got the win as Florida pounded out an 8-6 victory.
The 6-foot-9-inch Hendrickson is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA on the road this year, but he?s 0-1 with an inflated 12.60 ERA in two career appearances (one start) against Philadelphia ? both last year while he was with the Dodgers, and primarily due to him allowing seven runs on 11 hits in just three innings of a 15-3 blowout in L.A.
Myers has gone more than six weeks without a win, going 0-5 with two no-decisions in his last seven starts, and the Phillies have lost six in a row when he takes the ball. On Saturday at Houston, the right-hander allowed four runs on eight hits in six innings in a 4-3 loss for his fourth straight setback.
Myers is 2-1 with a 4.31 ERA at home this season, and he?s 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA in 24 career appearances (18 starts) against the Marlins. Last year, he went 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA in seven appearances (two starts) against Florida, allowing 12 runs on 20 hits in 10 2/3 innings.
The Marlins have notched five straight wins against right-handers and are on runs of 13-3 against winning teams, 9-3 after an off day, 15-6 in series openers and 12-5 against the National League East. On the negative side, the Marlins are on a 1-5 skid on the highway.
The Phillies have taken four in a row against left-handers and are 6-1 at home against lefties, 9-2 in Friday contests, 29-10 in series openers and 5-2 against the N.L. East. However, Philly is 3-13 in Myers? last 16 starts overall, 3-10 in his last 13 at home and 2-14 in his last 16 within the division.
The over is on myriad runs for the Marlins, including 5-0-1 overall, 6-1-2 on the highway, 5-1 following a loss, 5-1 in series openers, 24-9-2 on Friday, 17-8-3 after an off day and a lengthy 58-26-8 in Florida?s last 92 division contests. However, the under is 9-0 in the Marlins? last nine against winning teams. For Philadelphia, the over is on an 11-2 tear in series openers and is 5-1 on Friday, 4-1 against lefties and 9-3-1 following a win, though the under is 6-2 in its last eight against N.L. East foes.
Finally, the over is 35-16-2 in the last 53 series clashes between these two, though four of the last five meetings in Philly have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (30-23) at Tampa Bay (32-22)

Jose Contreras (5-3, 3.06 ERA) takes the ball for the White Sox when they face James Shields (4-3, 3.37) and the Rays in the second game of a four-game series at Tropicana Field.
Chicago posted a 5-1 victory in the opener Thursday night, improving to 12-3 in its last 15 games, including 8-1 on the highway. Meanwhile, despite Thursday?s setback, Tampa Bay is also playing great ball, having gone 14-6 in its last 20 games overall, including 11-3 at the Trop. Going back further, the Rays have won 17 of their last 20 at home.
Chicago has won eight of the last nine games against the Rays, posting a 7-1 mark at Tampa during that span.
The White Sox are 4-0 in Contreras? last four outings. The righty has won three of his last four, getting a no-decision in a 3-2 home win against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday. In that contest, Contreras allowed just two runs on three hits in eight innings, with no walks and 10 strikeouts.
Contreras is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA on the road this season, and he?s a perfect 5-0 with a 2.89 ERA in eight career appearances (seven starts) against Tampa Bay.
Shields hasn?t notched a win in three weeks, going 0-1 with two no-decisions, but the Rays won those two games. On Sunday, the Rays? ace allowed four runs on eight hits in eight innings, with Tampa earning a walk-off 5-4 home win over Baltimore. It was the fourth straight start that Shields went beyond seven innings ? that includes his most recent win, a 2-0 gem at home against the Angels in which he threw a one-hit complete game May 9.
Shields is 3-1 with a solid 1.75 ERA in six home starts this season, but he?s 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in two career efforts versus Chicago ? both coming last year, when he allowed nine runs on 19 hits in 14 total innings as the Rays lost both games.
The White Sox are 7-1 in their last eight games as an underdog, 8-3 in their last 11 Friday contests and 6-1 in Contreras? last seven road starts. On the flip side, Chicago is in ruts of 1-4 against the A.L. East, 4-9 in the second game of a series and 3-9 with Contreras throwing against A.L. East foes.
The Rays sport several positive streaks, including 8-1 at home against winning teams, 19-8 as a home chalk, 16-5 against right-handers, 9-4 in Game 2 of a series and 4-1 in Friday outings. With Shields on the mound, Tampa sports streaks of 6-0 at home against winning teams, 9-1 at home overall and 10-2 as a favorite.
The under is 6-0 in Contreras? last six starts overall, 4-0 in his last four on the highway, 4-1 in his last five versus the A.L. East and 10-4-1 in his last 15 against winning teams. Also, the under is 6-2 in Shields? last eight starts against the A.L. Central.
The under for the White Sox is on streaks of 21-9 overall, 12-4 as an underdog, 9-0 on artificial turf, 6-0 against the A.L. East and 16-7 against right-handed starters, but the over is 4-1 in its last five roadies. For the Rays, the under runs include 8-3 at home against winning teams, 8-3-1 against the A.L. Central and 12-5 in Game 2 of a series.
Finally, the under is 8-1 in the last nine series meetings between these two, including 7-1 in the last eight clashes at Tropicana Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE


(1) Boston (11-8, 7-12 ATS) at (2) Detroit (10-6, 10-6 ATS)
The Celtics, who held on to take Game 5 at home for a 3-2 series lead, aim to grab a spot in the NBA Finals for the first time since 1987 when they travel to the Palace at Auburn Hills to battle the Pistons, who hope to stave off elimination and force a Game 7 back in Boston.
Boston blew almost all of a 13-point fourth-quarter lead Wednesday night, hanging on for a 106-102 victory, but failing to cash as a six-point home chalk. There was finally a Ray Allen sighting, as the Celtics? shooting guard poured in 29 points, going 5 of 6 from 3-point range and hitting a late bucket that helped stave off Detroit?s rally.
Kevin Garnett (33 points) and Paul Pierce (16) gave Boston?s ?Big Three? a total of 78 points, one game after the trio managed just 43 points in a Game 4 loss in Detroit. Kendrick Perkins added a surprising double-double of 18 points and 16 rebounds for the Celtics, while Chauncey Billups and Richard Hamilton paced the Pistons with 26 and 25 points, respectively.
Despite Wednesday?s SU win, the Celts continue to be a bad bet, as they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Pistons, meanwhile are 14-6 SU and ATS in their past 20 starts going back to the regular season.
Boston is 5-3 SU this season against Detroit, but the two teams have split the cash in those eight meetings, with the Pistons? cover in Game 5, halting a run in which the straight-up winner had cashed in seven consecutive meetings. The road team is on a 10-3 ATS tear in the last 13 clashes between these two, and the underdog has cashed in 13 of the last 18 meetings.
The Celtics are on ATS streaks of 41-18 as a road underdog, 6-1 as an underdog of five to 10? points and 36-15-1 after putting up more than 100 points in a game. However, Boston is mired in pointspread funks of 1-7 in roadies, 2-8 on one day of rest, 1-4 as an underdog, 1-4 after a SU win, 2-7 in conference finals games, 2-5 after a non-cover and 2-5 as a playoff ?dog of five to 10? points.
The Pistons are on an 8-2 ATS run on one day of rest and are on additional positive ATS runs of 6-0 after a SU loss, 6-2 as a chalk, 14-5 at the Palace, 10-4 as a home favorite of five to 10? points, 16-7 on Friday and 9-4 against winning teams. On the negative side, Detroit is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 conference finals games and 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing more than 100 points.
Wednesday?s game sailed over the posted price of 173?, slightly cooling a red-hot ?under? streak in this rivalry. Still, the under is 10-3 in the last 13 battles (3-2 in this playoff series) and 5-1 in the last six battles in Detroit (3-0 ?under? in Motown this season).
Furthermore, for Boston, the under is on runs of 4-0 on the highway, 9-2 after allowing more than 100 points, 8-2 as a road pup of five to 10? points, 7-3 in the conference finals and 19-9 against the Central Division. For Detroit, the under is 16-5 as a favorite, 5-1 as a playoff chalk, 8-1 after scoring more than 100 points and after allowing more than 100 points, 4-1 at home, 7-2 against winning teams and 19-7-1 in the conference finals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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DAVE MALINSKY

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels May 30, 2008 10:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: under

REASON FOR PICK: 4* TORONTO/ANGELS Under
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Lockline Sports

St Louis
Oak
Sea/Det over
Ariz
Cinn
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THE KING IS IN THE CASTLE

ACCEPTING APPLICATIONS TO JOIN THE KINGDOM!


TONIGHT I HAVE GOT MY STRONGEST PLAYS YET. THIS IS YOUR CHANCE TO JOIN UP AND MAKE BIG MONEY TONIGHT. IT'S NOT TOO LATE. MOVE YOUR MOUSE TO THE LEFT AND CLICK A PACKAGE. DON'T SIT TONIGHT OUT, I AM FOR REAL. SINCE I HAVE STARTED ON THE SITE I AM 7-1 WITH BASEBALL SELECTIONS AND A PERFECT 4-0 WITH MY NBA PICKS. THAT IS 11-1 OVERALL!! 11-1, 11-1, 11-1! THIS IS WHAT I DO, 80 HOURS A WEEK, 7 DAYS. PICK WINNERS. OVER A HUNDRED PEOPLE RELY ON MY SELECTIONS EVERY DAY. LET ME DO IT FOR YOU TOO!!!!!


How about 11-1 OUT THE BOX ON PAID PICKS!

+121 DIMES


THAT'S A THREE DAY TOTAL FOLKS! AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OUR BANKROLL DON'T MISS OUT!


RECAP

THURSDAY: FOUR AND OH....FOUR AND OH....FOUR AND OH!!!!!!!

+43.5 DIMES



5 DIME MLB WINNER

PITTSBURGH PIRATES +170


5 DIME MLB WINNER

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +120

20 DIME NBA BEST BET WINNER

LOS ANGELES LAKERS -7.5

5 DIME MLB PAY AFTER YOU WIN - WINNER

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +180
 

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Yankee Capper

Premium MLB

5 Units - Cincinnati Reds -160
5 Units - Cleveland Indians -145
4 Units - Boston Red Sox -150
4 Units - New York Mets -140
4 Units - Marlins/Phillies Over 10
3 Units - Colorado Rockies +140
3 Units - Houston Astros +110
2 Units - Florida Marlins +135
 
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Tom Freese


Detroit at Seattle (10:10pm)
Detroit is 40-16 their last 56 games vs. a team with a win percentage of under 40% and they are 10-4 their last 14 games vs. AL West teams. The Tigers are 7-3 their last 10 games in Seattle. The Mariners are 7-19 their last 26 games vs. losing teams and they are 2-7 off a win. Starting pitcher Carlos Silva has allowed 28 runs in his last 26.1 innings of work. OUCH! PLAY ON DETROIT vs. Silva
 

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Early Action

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
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Back To Service Listing</TD><TD align=right>
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Print This Page</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Dr Baseball</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, May 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 213-85 the past two years combined! We are 45-25 this year for +$1685 playing $100 per game. Today we have an GRAND SLAM AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you are guaranteed to win this game or you will not be charged!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>5/30/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>GRAND SLAM AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER
Chicago Cubs w/Lilly -150 2:20 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">VEGAS EXPERTS

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
Friday, May 29th, 10:05 PM ET

Blue Jays starter Dustin McGowan is a lousy 0-3 on the road this season while Angels starter Jered Weaver is pitching lights out recently, as he has a 3-0 TSR with a 0.89 ERA his last three starts. McGowan has never beaten the Angels in three starts, Weaver has not lost to the Jays in two starts. McGowan has a terrible 1-7 TSR in night games and has yet to see his team win in the underdog role this season when he starts. Angels are the common sense play here.

Play on: LA Angels
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(mlb) Mets -140 (pod)
(mlb) Indians -125
(mlb) Twins Ev
(mlb) Angels -120
(nba) Pistons -5.5
 

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Gavazzi Hoops + Baseball 5/30

Opinion-- Detroit Pistons under 175.5

2% Chicago Cubs--2% Florida Marlins--2% Baltimore Orioles over 8.5--2% Oakland A's over 9.5
 

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Jeffmoney

We Have 5 Plays For Ya Today

(mlb) Mets -140 (pod)
(mlb) Indians -125
(mlb) Twins Ev
(mlb) Angels -120
(nba) Pistons -5.5
 

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hey guys wats up...Jack Burnet AGAIN TONIGHT 50,000 Dime lock of his life...something is up here...ive always had this weeeeeeird theory in the back of my mind that some of these cappers are paid by the vegas casinos to make people lose....the cappers will win little...win little...then customers get happy start to feel good...then lose big and the casinos get all there money back he had the 20,000 biggest play of his life and it won then the NEXT night 20,000 biggest play again like hes trying to give it back while still get his $$$ for releasing the picks then he won the 2nd 20,000 so he was +40,000 the NEXT night bam 50,000 release like ok well ill lose this one and the casinos still get there $$ back ....well he won that last night and due to a last second 3 point shot...now look tonight ANOTHER 50,000 lock of his life...how can he have all these night after night after night...u know at this point everyone feels OH YEA JACK BURNET $$$ IN THE BANK but one of these picks obviously has to lose or i could just be nuts and he could be this good what do u guys think??
 
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hey guys wats up...Jack Burnet AGAIN TONIGHT 50,000 Dime lock of his life...something is up here...ive always had this weeeeeeird theory in the back of my mind that some of these cappers are paid by the vegas casinos to make people lose....the cappers will win little...win little...then customers get happy start to feel good...then lose big and the casinos get all there money back he had the 20,000 biggest play of his life and it won then the NEXT night 20,000 biggest play again like hes trying to give it back while still get his $$$ for releasing the picks then he won the 2nd 20,000 so he was +40,000 the NEXT night bam 50,000 release like ok well ill lose this one and the casinos still get there $$ back ....well he won that last night and due to a last second 3 point shot...now look tonight ANOTHER 50,000 lock of his life...how can he have all these night after night after night...u know at this point everyone feels OH YEA JACK BURNET $$$ IN THE BANK but one of these picks obviously has to lose or i could just be nuts and he could be this good what do u guys think??

its called marketing. this guy a casino wouldnt pay. hes a nobody. but he keeps pumping out these picks because hes winning and people will buy them. hes just milking it for what its worth. capitalism at its finest.
 

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Burnet

You raise a great point How You Like Me and it has crossed my mind as well. With the cache of the internet we have no idea what any of these guys truly wager and what they put out across cyberspace may well be the same or DIFFERENT from what they do or play with a close cirlcle of 'Friends"...on the other hand....these cappers all have sky high EGOS and in the public eye want to always look like heroes.
In my line of work things are "fixed" and the big money wins and so be it with pro sports and even though a team wins there still remains the issue of 'the spread"...always be careful is my battle cry, do your homework. And not everyone is dishonest, that goes for cappers, refs, players, many truly have pride in their work as many of us take pride in earning the money to enjoy our wagering. GOOD LUCK to all and thanks to those for making this such a great place to gather our thoughts.
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>
bullet.gif
Back To Service Listing</TD><TD align=right>
bullet.gif
Print This Page</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Dr Baseball</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, May 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 213-85 the past two years combined! We are 45-25 this year for +$1685 playing $100 per game. Today we have an GRAND SLAM AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you are guaranteed to win this game or you will not be charged!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>5/30/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>GRAND SLAM AFTERNOON BASEBALL WINNER
Chicago Cubs w/Lilly -150 2:20 EST
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I hope he is right, because I just unloaded on them.
Thanks
 

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