Service Plays Friday 2/17/12

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

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Weekend Preview
By Bovada.lv

NBA Basketball Betting Weekend Look-Ahead at Bovada

Before the book looks at the live betting options at Bovada for the rest of the weekend, the Jeremy Lin phenomenon must be addressed first.

Lin, the NBA's first Asian-American and who was a benchwarmer less than two weeks ago, led the New York Knicks to their seventh straight win on Wednesday night (6-1 ATS), as New York clobbered the visiting Sacramento Kings 100-85. Lin, who had the most points in his first five career starts than any player since the ABA-NBA merger, was held to 10 points against Sacramento (his first start under 20 points scored) but the point guard had a career-high 13 assists. With the victory, the Knicks (15-15) climbed back to .500 for the first time since Jan. 14.

Of course Lin hit the game-winning shot in Toronto on Tuesday night. With all the media attention surrounding Lin, Bovada released a few props on the former Harvard and D-League player. Could Lin win the NBA MVP award? That's a yes-only +3000 prop. Will he hit a game-winning buzzer-beater the rest of the regular season? That's a yes-only +300 prop.

The Knicks, meanwhile, are now just five games behind the 76ers in the Atlantic Division and currently hold down the final playoff spot in the East. Will the Knicks reach the playoffs? That seemed unlikely seven games ago, but yes on that prop is -500 at Bovada, with no at +300. And the over/under win total for the Knicks is now 36.5. Of course at its current .500 pace, New York would finish with 33 wins in the lockout-shortened 66-game schedule. But these aren't the same early-season Knicks.

Lin and the Knicks will be big favorites in their next game, Friday at home against the Hornets, one of the NBA's worst teams. And Carmelo Anthony could return for New York in that one. Anthony hasn't played since Lin's first start last Monday and Carmelo made it only six minutes in that one before suffering a groin injury.

Previewing Thursday-Sunday

Bovada's live play-by-play betting options continue on Thursday night with the usual TNT doubleheader, this week featuring Boston at Chicago in the opener and the Los Angeles Clippers at Portland. Neither game opened with a line because three of the four played Wednesday night - Boston, the Clippers and Portland - and because both the Blazers and Bulls are dealing with injuries to their best players.

For Chicago, reigning NBA MVP Derrick Rose has missed the past three games with back spasms. But an MRI on Monday revealed nothing structural and he likely will be a game-time decision against the Celtics. One of those games he missed was Sunday at Boston, when the Celtics won 95-91 behind arguably Rajon Rondo's best game ever: season-highs with 32 points and 15 assists to go along with 10 rebounds. That line moved a few points toward Boston and closed at Chicago -1 after Rose was officially ruled out. Certainly the line Thursday will fluctuate a few points as well depending on Rose but the Bulls will again be favored.

As for the Blazers, they didn't have franchise player LaMarcus Aldridge on Wednesday in Golden State after Aldridge sprained his ankle in Tuesday's easy win over Washington. Aldridge didn't travel with the team to Oakland for Wednesday's game even though X-rays came back negative. The Blazers may play it cautious on Thursday with Aldridge and the team finishing a back-to-back-to-back. Aldridge is averaging a career-high 22.6 points per game this season.

On Friday night, Bovada has live betting schedule for both games of the ESPN doubleheader: Mavericks at 76ers and Suns at Lakers. Philadelphia had been one of the NBA's toughest teams to beat at home, including wins over the Bulls and Lakers there earlier this month, but enter on a two-game skid at Wells Fargo Center. In fairness, those losses came against Western Conference powers San Antonio and the Clippers. The Lakers, meanwhile, will be huge favorites as they are 12-2 at home and already beat the Suns by 16 at Staples Center.

There will be no live betting action in the NBA on Saturday as college basketball takes over, but there are three live games on Sunday: Mavericks at Knicks, Magic at Heat and Nuggets at Thunder.

It will be the NBA champions Mavs' first look at the Lin sensation and continues a brutal schedule run for Dallas as it then faces the Celtics and Lakers in Big D early next week. Orlando, meanwhile, recently thumped Miami 102-89 - the last time Miami lost. Sunday could be the final time Dwight Howard faces the Heat in a Magic uniform as the final two meetings between the Florida teams are after the NBA trading deadline. Meanwhile, Denver and Oklahoma City face off for the first time - somehow the Northwest Division foes have avoided each other on the schedule thus far.
 

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Friday’s betting tips: Lin overshadowing under trend

Who’s hot

NBA: Sacramento has covered in eight of its last 10.

NBA: Golden State is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 games in Oklahoma City.

NHL: Boston is 16-6 in its last 22 road games.

NHL: The over is 6-0-1 in Edmonton’s last seven.

NCAAB: Brown has covered the number in seven of its last nine games against Harvard.

Who’s not

NBA: Charlotte is 3-10 against the spread in its last 13.

NBA: Milwaukee is 0-4 against the number in its last four.

NHL: Washington has won three of its last 11 overall.

NHL: Montreal is 9-19 in its last 28 games in Buffalo.

NCAAB: Northern Iowa is 3-7-1 against the spread in its last 11.

Key sat

89.7 - While Jeremy Lin is getting a lot of the credit for the New York Knicks’ current seven-game winning streak, defense has had a major part in the surge as well. The Knicks are allowing 89.7 points in their last seven, which is significantly down from the 94.1 points per game they’re giving up on the year as a whole. The under has cashed in five of those seven games and is 21-9 in Knicks games this year.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Sean McGonagill, Brown Bears – McGonagill is considered questionable for Friday’s game against Harvard with a concussion. The 6-foot-1 guard leads the team averaging 14 points and 5.7 assists per game.

Game of the day

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

Notable quotable

"I don't know. I think it would be great. It would be fun to play in front of these fans again. I had a lot fun times in my seven years here. You can't predict the future and hopefully I continue to stay healthy. I'm here as a Miami Heat player, and I'm happy where I am now, but I don't rule that out in no sense. And if I decide to come back, hopefully the fans will accept me." – LeBron James on the possibility of playing for the Cleveland Cavaliers again. James and his Miami Heat visit the Cavs Friday night.

Notes and tips

Reports from Frank Isola of the New York Daily News indicate that the Knicks are getting close to a deal for J.R. Smith, who has been playing in China over the past few months. Rumors had Smith possibly landing in Los Angeles with the Lakers, but it appears he is on the brink of signing with the Knicks, who will have to cut a player in order to make the addition. The Knicks host New Orleans Friday.

Colorado Avalanche goaltender Jean-Sebastien Giguere suffered a groin injury during Wednesday's 3-1 loss to the Vancouver Canucks and isn’t likely to start Friday against Edmonton. "I'm not too worried about it," the 34-year-old Giguere told the newspaper. "I'm not sure what it is, but I honestly don't think it's anything serious." A Conn Smythe Trophy winner in 2003, Giguere has posted a 14-9-2 mark with one shutout and a 2.13 goals-against average this season. If Giguere can’t go, Semyon Varlamov will likely get the call. He is 0-5-1 in its last six starts and owns a 2.96 goals against average this season.

Denver Nuggets center Nene will remain in a walking boot for the next four days. Nene injured his calf in Saturday's win at Indiana. He sat out his third straight game Thursday. The 29-year-old Nene is averaging 13.4 points and 7.8 rebounds in 23 games this season. The Nuggets are in Memphis Friday night.

Phil Mickelson carried the momentum from last week's stirring win at Pebble Beach, shooting a 5-under-par 66 Thursday to grab the first-round lead at the Northern Trust Open in Los Angeles. Mickelson, who is now priced at +250 to win the tournament, chipped in for birdie on the 18th hole to give him a one-shot lead over J.B. Holmes and Hunter Mahan. Last weekend, Mickelson closed with a blistering 64 Sunday to charge from six shots back and overtake a host of contenders, including playing partner Tiger Woods, for his 40th PGA Tour victory.
 

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Pick 'n' roll: Friday's best NBA bets

Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz (-9.5, 195.5)

Just when you thought that the woeful Wizards might be making progress, they go and drop another stinker.

The Wizards opened their current five-game road swing by upsetting Detroit and Portland, picking up their sixth and seventh wins of the season. Then Washington was snapped back to reality in a 102-84 loss against the Los Angeles Clippers, dropping the cash as a 13-point underdog.

After the game it sounded like the same old story for the Wizards.

“I don’t look at this game as an 18-point loss, we just ran out of gas at the end,” Wizards coach Randy Wittman told reporters. “You’re not pleased with a loss, but we fought. We hung in there. We competed. Came up short.”

The Wizards may be able to hang around against Utah on Friday after they have a day to rest their legs. The Jazz have lost five of their last six, covering the number just twice during that span.

Offense has been most of the problem as the Jazz have been held to fewer than 90 points four times during that same stretch.

Pick: Wizards

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (-8.5, 186.5)

The Phoenix Suns can finally take a breath. The worst of their schedule is over and not a moment too soon.

The Suns just played three games in three nights and couldn’t pick up a win or a payday in any of those, dropping to 12-18 straight up and against the spread this season.

"Yeah, I got to say it was a pretty tough stretch," center Marcin Gortat told reporters after a 101-99 home loss to Atlanta. "The last time I played, three games in a row was five years ago in the summer league, so it was pretty tough. But that's not an excuse. Every team's going to have back-to-back-to-backs like that. So, we've just got to try to find a way to win the games, especially at home.”

After an off day, it doesn’t get any easier for the Suns. The Lakers are 9-5 against the spread at home this season and own the No. 4 scoring defense in the Association. After this one, the two clubs complete the home-and-home Sunday.

Pick: Under
 

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Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

So, what’s next for the Detroit Red Wings?

They just set an NHL record with their 21st consecutive victory at home and were in sole possession of first place in the league heading into Thursday night’s action.

Starting goaltender Jimmy Howard, who has been on the shelf since Feb. 2 with a broken finger, is expected to return to action this weekend, but Henrik Zetterberg isn’t expected to play Friday due to a lower-body injury.

Meanwhile, the Predators just snapped a three-game losing skid after coach Barry Trotz sent a message to his club. He kept rookie defenseman Ryan Ellis in the press box Saturday after a couple of shoddy efforts and the kid responded with the game winner in a 3-2 decision over Chicago on Tuesday.

"It's time to show up and play the way we can," Nashville coach Barry Trotz told reporters. "We haven't played as well as we need to, and it starts with everything from focus, to a little more commitment and a little more push. … To me it's a playoff game."

Tortz really has the pulse of his team right now and you know Pekka Rinne can steal a game any day of the week. Call us crazy, but this might be a bit of a letdown spot for the Wings against a persistent Nashville club.

Pick: Nashville

Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils (-135, 5.5)

For the second consecutive season, the Anaheim Ducks are making a desperate push for the playoffs while piling up cash for their supporters along the way.

The Ducks improved to 3-0-1 on their current road trip with a 2-1 win over Pittsburgh on Tuesday with Teemu Selanne leading the charge. The 41-year-old scored midway through the third period to snap the tie, pulling even with Brendan Shanahan on the all-time goal list with his 656th career tally.

"This game was huge for us," Selanne told reporters. "We got here at like three in the morning. They came out pretty hard and controlled the first period and then we got into the game. This team is playing with a lot of confidence right now, and even though we got behind we believed we could come back."

That confidence is making a world of difference for the Ducks, who begin the second half of this marathon eight-game road swing at New Jersey.

You have to like how the Devils are playing right now too, but it’s hard to argue the value on an Anaheim bet here.

Pick: Ducks
 

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 277-144 (.658)
ATS: 228-212 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 631-567 (.527)
Over/Under: 208-228 (.477)
Over/Under Vary Units: 454-546 (.454)

ORLANDO 94, Milwaukee 84
PHILADELPHIA 91, Dallas 90
TORONTO 97, Charlotte 87
Miami 100, CLEVELAND 92
DETROIT 97, Sacramento 96
HOUSTON 106, Minnesota 96
MEMPHIS 100, Denver 97
NEW YORK 98, New Orleans 89
OKLAHOMA CITY 111, Golden State 98
UTAH 103, Washington 93
L.A. LAKERS 99, Phoenix 91
 

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DCI CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3149-988 (.761)
ATS: 1297-1444 (.473)
ATS Vary Units: 3816-4503 (.459)
Over/Under: 1356-1380 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1620-1618 (.500)

Sears ESPN BracketBusters

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 71, Valparaiso 66
VCU 62, Northern Iowa 55
Atlantic Sun Conference
FLORIDA GULF COAST 86, Stetson 74
Ivy League
HARVARD 74, Brown 46
PENN 69, Cornell 61
PRINCETON 64, Columbia 54
Yale 64, DARTMOUTH 56
 

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DCI NHL

Season: 274-207 (.570)

NEW JERSEY 3, Anaheim 2
San Jose vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Montreal vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
FLORIDA 3, Washington 2
DETROIT 3, Nashville 2
Boston 3, WINNIPEG 2
Colorado vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Denver (-9 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s Dartmouth. The deficit is 115 sirignanos.
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 804- 580 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Your Free Winner FRI Princeton -6
 
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Turner

NHL

Game: Anaheim at New Jersey
Pick: New Jersey -1.5 (+220)

Game: Montreal at Buffalo
Pick: Buffalo -1.5 (+235)

Game: Boston at Winnipeg
Pick: Over 5.5 (+115)
 

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Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Virginia Commonwealth -6 over Northern Iowa
 

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Soccer Crusher

Reading + Burnley OVER 2
This match is happening in England
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at New Jersey

The Ducks are coming off a 2-1 win at Pittsburgh and look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height:12.75pt;width:564" height="17">FRIDAY, OCTOBER 17
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 1-2: Anaheim at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.841; New Jersey 12.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 3-4: San Jose at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.982; Carolina 11.119
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-120); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 5-6: Nashville at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.777; Detroit 11.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 7-8: Montreal at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.276; Buffalo 10.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+105); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 9-10: Washington at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.712; Florida 10.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 11-12: Boston at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.211; Winnipeg 11.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+145); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height:95">Game 13-14: Colorado at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.977; Edmonton 10.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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NCAA Basketball Picks

Cornell at Pennsylvania

The Quakers look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a favorite of 1 to 6 1/2 points. Penn is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Quakers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table3" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height:38;width:566">FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 823-824: Yale at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 53.103; Dartmouth 45.073
Dunkel Line: Yale by 8; 127
Vegas Line: Yale by 4 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-4 1/2); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 825-826: Brown at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 41.721; Harvard 60.091
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 18 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Harvard by 21 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick Brown (+21 1/2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 827-828: Columbia at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 52.837; Princeton 55.329
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 2 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+6 1/2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 829-830: Cornell at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 51.896; Pennsylvania 59.791
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 8; 135
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 6; 132
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-6); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 831-832: Northern Iowa at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.852; VCU 65.947
Dunkel Line: VCU by 7; 118
Vegas Line: VCU by 5 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-5 1/2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="566">Game 833-834: Valparaiso at Loyola-Marymount (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.715; Loyola-Marymount 61.544
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 4; 144
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 6; 137
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+6); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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