Service Plays Friday 10/10/14

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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h][h=2]Kansas City at Baltimore[/h]The Royals head to Baltimore to face the Orioles in Game 1 of the ALCS on Friday and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in their last 6 games as an underdog. Kansas City is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/9)
Game 951-952: Kansas City at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 16.403; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Over
 
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[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h][h=2]Hamilton at Toronto[/h]The Tiger-Cats head to Toronto on Friday night and come into the contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/9)
Game 291-292 Hamilton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 115.862; Toronto 115.680
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Under
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFL | HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
35-8 since 1997. ( 81.4% | 26.2 units )

CFL | OTTAWA at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, when playing on a Saturday
55-22 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 0.0 units )

CFL | HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game
26-5 since 1997. ( 83.9% | 20.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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Game of the Day: Washington State at Stanford

Washington State Cougars at Stanford Cardinal (-17, 52.5)

The nation’s top-ranked passing offense will take on the No. 2 pass defense when Washington State travels to No. 22 Stanford for a Pac-12 matchup Friday night. The Cougars average 523 passing yards and fresh off a 60-59 loss to California in which Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday broke an NCAA record with 734 passing yards while throwing six touchdowns. The Cardinal are surrendering an average of 107.4 yards through the air this season and haven’t allowed at least 30 points in 27 straight games, the longest active streak in the FBS.

The Cougars have four wide receivers with at least six touchdown receptions this season led by Vince Mayle, who broke the program record in the California game by accumulating 263 receiving yards. Stanford will need to find a way to ratchet up its running game after totaling 47 rushing yards in a 17-14 loss last week to No. 5 Notre Dame, its fewest since 2007. Remound Wright will likely continue as the starting running back for Stanford, but Barry Sanders could be in line for extra carries if Wright continues to struggle.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The line has held steady with Stanford as 17-point home favorites. The total has been bet down considerably from 55 to 52.5.

INJURY REPORT: Washington State - WR Gabe Marks (out indefinitely, head). Stanford - DT Ikenna Nwafor (out for season, undisclosed).

WEATHER REPORT: It should be a great night for football with temperatures in the low 70s with low humidity. There will be a slight five mile per hour wind blowing towards the southeast end zone.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "When the Washington State Cougars take on Stanford at The Farm Friday night, we'll see the nation's leading passer matched up against the Cardinal's top ranked defense. Last week Halliday threw for an FBS record 724 yards, and the Cougars still lost at home to Cal." - Jesse Schule.

WHAT BOOKS SAY:

ABOUT WASHINGTON STATE (2-4, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U): The Cougars gave up two kickoff returns for touchdowns against California and a punt return for a score the week before in another one-point loss to Utah, leading to the dismissal of special teams coach Erik Russell. Quentin Breshears also missed a 19-yard field goal with 15 seconds left against the Golden Bears, which would have lifted Washington State to the win. Breshears also missed a 29-yarder last month in a seven-point loss to No. 11 Oregon.

ABOUT STANFORD (3-2, 2-3 ATS, 0-4 O/U): Ty Montgomery has been kept in check the last two games and that’s one of the reasons the Cardinal has had trouble moving the ball. The 6-2, 215-pound wide receiver caught 22 passes through the first three games but has totaled just four in each of the last two, gaining less than 30 yards in both games. He remains on pace to better last season’s total of 61 catches but is averaging just 9.6 yards a reception and has scored three touchdowns, well off the 15.7 average and 10 scores he finished with last season.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
* Washington State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Stanford.

CONSENSUS: Just over 57 percent of wagers are backing Washington State at +17.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | MIAMI OHIO at AKRON
Play Against - Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MIAMI OHIO) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

CFB | MASSACHUSETTS at KENT ST
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
194-126 over the last 10 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | MIAMI OHIO at AKRON
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 28 after a win by 6 or less points
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )
 

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Baseball Crusher
Baltimore Orioles -130 over KC Royals
(System Record: 109-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 109-77

Rest of the Plays
Baltimore Orioles + KC Royals OVER 7
 

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Football Crusher
UNLV +9.5 over Fresno St
(System Record: 12-3, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 12-16-1

Rest of the Plays
New Mexico +4 over San Diego St
Washington State +16.5 over Stanford
New Mexico + San Diego State OVER 51.5
 

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Hockey Crusher
New York Islanders -105 over Carolina Hurricanes
(System Record: 0-0)
Overall Record: 0-0

Rest of the Plays
Carolina Hurricanes + New York Islanders UNDER 5.5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Vasco da Gama + Boa OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 645-22, won last game)
Overall Record: 645-536-97
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at BALTIMORE
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) very bad AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors
135-52 since 1997. ( 72.2% | 54.0 units )
21-14 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.5 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 30-15 (+18.3 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.1)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Central Florida on Thursday and likes the Orioles on Friday.

The deficit is 872 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo takes Royals to flush

The benevolent Devils were good to Hondo Thursday night, pushing around the bullies in Philly, just like Dave “Lock of the Night” Blezow predicted they would. As a result, the deficit was pared to 1,400 saberhagens.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch, who also made his weekly NFL selections, will take a shot in the ALCS opener with the one and only Jimmy Shields — 10 units on the Royals. As for the series, he will back KC with another 10 units. And finally, Hondo’s college knowledge tells him to put 10 on the Cardinal to rule against Washington State.
 
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[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]NY Islanders at Carolina[/h] The Islanders open up their season in Carolina tonight against a Hurricanes team that is 1-5 in its last 6 home games. New York is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: NY Islanders at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.598; Carolina 10.291
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-120); Over
 

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Winning Angle Football


FRIDAY

Play Washington State +17 over Stanford (NCAA)
9:00 PM EST

Washington State has covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and they have covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games after having lost two of the last three games. Washington State has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games after allowing 475 or more total yards in three straight games and they are averaging 38 points a game on offense this season.


Play New Mexico +4.5 over San Diego State (NCAA)
9:30 PM EST

San Diego State has lost 16 of the last 22 road games against the spread and they have lost 4 consecutive games against the spread coming off four or more OVER the totals. San Diego State has lost 17 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. New Mexico and they are only averaging 15 points a game on offense in road games this season.


Play UNLV +10 over Fresno State (NCAA)
10:00 PM EST

UNLV has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 games when playing in weeks five through nine and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games coming off two or more losses. UNLV has covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games after allowing 450 or more total yards in two straight games and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games after allowing 31 or more points in two straight games.

=========================================================
 

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Winning Angle Football

FRIDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

Play Hamilton +4 over Toronto (TOP CFL PLAY)

===============================================
 

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Winning Angle Baseball

FRIDAY

Play Kansas City +115 over Baltimore (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

James Shields has won 32 of the last 45 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has won 20 of the last 30 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. James Shields has won 42 of the last 65 games coming off a team win and he has won 10 of the last 15 games vs. AL East Division Opponents.
 

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