Service Plays Friday 09/04/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

Week 1

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 143-144: Tulsa at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 88.604; Tulane 66.497
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 22; 76
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 13 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-13); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 1

Friday, September 4

TULSA (11 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 10) - 9/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 1

Friday, 9/4/2009

TULSA at TULANE, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
TULSA: 5-1 ATS 1st month of season
TULANE: 4-8 ATS in dome games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 137-138: Houston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.952; Tampa Bay 122.776
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 32
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under

Game 139-140: Dallas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.929; Minnesota 123.156
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 141-142: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 121.453; San Diego 125.668
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 41
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+4 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 4

Friday, September 4

HOUSTON (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 2) - 9/4/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 0) - 9/4/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) - 9/4/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 4

Friday, 9/4/2009

HOUSTON at TAMPA BAY, 7:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 2-9 ATS off an Under
TAMPA BAY: 7-1 ATS off Thursday game

DALLAS at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET NFL
DALLAS: 3-10 ATS off home loss
MINNESOTA: 11-5 ATS last week of preseason

SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO, 10:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 7-0 Under Away off BB SU wins
SAN DIEGO: 5-1 Under playing with 6 or less days rest

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WUNDERDOG NCAAF PICKS

Game: Tulsa at Tulane (Friday 9/04 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tulsa -13.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Green Wave have now completed their sixth-consecutive losing season, and last year was perhaps their worst at 2-10. What made it worse was the way that they finished the season with eight straight losses. The offense has some key components back from last year, but how much better is this team going to get? They gained just 221.2 yards a game last year, scoring just 16.7 points per game. In their final two games they were outscored 101-13. The Green Wave defense remains in turmoil after allowing 40+ in six of their last eight games. For the third straight year, this team will have a new defensive coordinator, so anyone that has been around here for three years must be completely confused. Tulane is just 54-78 ATS as an underdog over the past fifteen years. Tulsa has become a constant figure in the Bowls with four straight appearances and 38 wins in the last four years. The Golden Hurricane have led the NCAA in total offense the last two years with their hurry-up tactics and no huddle offense. Despite a different offensive coordinator, I don't expect things to change much. All three of their talented wideouts are back, so expect this team to score again. Tulsa has the potential for a third straight Conference USA Title, and should be the better team by far on both sides of the ball and they'll get it done on the road here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CONGROVE COMPUTER RANKINGS

Friday, September 4

Tulsa (-14) by 25.22 over TULANE - The computer likes the Golden Hurricane by 11+ points more than the oddsmakers. Gone are record-setting QB David Johnson (7th round NFL Draft, Pittsburgh), career rushing leader Tarrion Adams (3,651 yards), and co-offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn (hired by Auburn). Together, they helped the Golden Hurricane average a nation's-best 569.86 yards per game, and score an average of 47.21 points. But what's to worry about? Tulane has lost all 4 CUSA games to Tulsa by at least 24 points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. K (Kambour) CFB Projections

Tulsa (-14.5) (-600) 42
Tulane (O 64.5) 24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Gold Sheet

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

*Tulsa 45 - TULANE 24—Presence of new QB(s) no reason to expect Tulsa’s offense (more than 40 ppg & 500 ypg in each of last two seasons!) to suddenly turn tepid, not with dual-threat Texas transfer Kinne, rifle-armed jr. Bower (originally at BYU), and even elusive true frosh Beaver (spurned Michigan) all strongly contending for privilege of piloting bright Hurricane HC Graham’s juggernaut. Tulane regains top weapons RB A. Anderson & WR J. Williams after their 2008 injuries. But, after being emasculated for nearly 500 YR in LY’s meeting, tough for Green Wave defense to regain its manhood without all hands on deck (see Special Ticker). CABLE TV—ESPN
(08-TULSA 56-Tulane 7...Ts.28-13 Ts.59/489 Tn.35/73 Tn.16/31/0/159 Ts.9/13/2/104 Ts.0 Tn.2)
(08-TULSA -28' 56-7 07-Tulsa -6' 49-25...SR: Tulsa 4-1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Gold Sheet Extra

TULSA at TULANE (Friday, September 4)...Tulsa has won and
covered handily last 4 meetings, all by 24 points or more. Todd
Graham teams have also won and covered their last 3 openers with
ease (‘06 at Rice, last two years at Tulsa). Wave really faded down
stretch in ‘08, dropping last 4 vs. number as well as 7 of last 9. Tulane
also no covers its last 4 at home in ‘08. Tech edge-Tulsa, based on
series trends.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ALATEX NFLX

9/4/09 NFL Superplay: Minnesota -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawernce Play Book
Friday, September 4

Tulsa over TULANE by 14

You would think Tulsa’s 4-0 SU and ATS series mark, in which they
have outscored the Green Wave, 181-49, would send us straight to
the window. Throw in the fact that Tulane is a Phyllis Diller-like 2-32
ATS in their last 34 home games when they allow 35 or more points
and you can see why we might not even pass go. But the truth of
the matter is there are better games on the board. While there’s no
denying the Golden Hurricane can light it up (44 PPG under Todd
Graham), they did lose OC Gus Malzahn to Auburn and are breaking
in a new QB in Jacon Bower. Yes, the hosts are just 5-13 ATS as doubledigit
HD’s, but we’ll counter that with Tulsa’s 3-10-1 ATS log in its fi rst
lined game. Like the last pick in gym class, we’ll be riding the bench
this afternoon in the Superdome.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Indiana Fever at Detroit Shock (-2.5, 150.5)

Have the Fever caught a cold? The league’s best team (according to the standings) has dropped four of five games including Wednesday’s showdown with the West-leading Mercury.

Of course it wasn’t a fair fight. The Fever were missing their leading scorer Katie Douglas because of a sore ankle. Her status is day-to-day and it’s unclear whether she’ll be ready to go for Friday’s game against the Shock.

Mercury coach Corey Gaines says the difference is night and day for Indiana without Douglas in the lineup.

“She stretches the defense a little bit,” Gaines told the Indianapolis Star. “She handles the ball a lot. But hopefully, we’ll meet again and we’ll see.”

Indiana won’t get any favors from the surging Shock. Detroit, which started out the year 2-7, has won five of its last six, including a win Tuesday over the Mercury.

The seats will be packed for this matchup. Detroit handed out 2000 free tickets to the public in hopes of getting some fans interested in the club again.

Pick: Shock


Atlanta Dream at Sacramento Monarchs (+1, 170)

At 11-20 and with just four games left on the schedule, you would probably guess that the Monarchs would be thinking about the offseason already.

But two wins in a row has put the club just 2.5 games back of San Antonio for the final playoff seed in the West.

Monarchs coach John Whisenant knows his team’s chances are slight, but he also knows his group won’t give up.

“We’ve got a shot, we’ve got a chance, with all the problems and issues we’ve had.”

The problem Whisenant is talking about is his team’s lack of depth at point guard. Backup point guard Kara Lawson is out for the season with tendinitis and starting PG Ticha Penicheiro is fighting through a sore left hamstring.

“I want to help the team so I’m really frustrated,” Penicheiro told the Sacramento Bee. “This is the most important part of the season and we’ve still got a shot at the playoffs and I’m just frustrated that this has happened.”

She only played four minutes in Saturday’s win over the Fever because of the injury.

Kristin Haynie, who was acquired in a trade a few weeks back, has been doing the heavy lifting at the point. Look for the Dream to exploit the Monarchs’ short guard rotation.

Pick: Atlanta

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


Montreal at BC
The Lions look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 meetings in BC. BC is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: BC (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 401-402: Montreal at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 117.670; BC 112.602
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+6 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET

Friday, September 4

MONTREAL (7 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 5) - 9/4/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Born2Booze]

from the DTB website

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
Friday, September 4, 2009

SARATOGA
(Post time 2:30)

Race 1
#1- Paracaidas

Race 3
#2- Zapster

Race 5
#5- Classic Campaign
#10- Optimer

Race 7
#1- Remarkable Remy

Race 9
#1A- Fairway Drive

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Friday Card
Thursday Recap: 5-1 NFL
12-3 Last 15 picks in the NFL

NFL
3* San Francisco +4 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel Index


Arizona at Colorado
The Rockies look to build on their 7-1 record in Jason Hammel's last 8 home starts. Colorado is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 901-902: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 13.920; Washington (Mock) 14.425
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+120); Under

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.870; Pittsburgh (Hart) 13.501
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-250); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 14.338; NY Mets (Parnell) 14.900
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+175); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.616; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-185) 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+175); Over

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.153; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.079
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.765; Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.228
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 15.237; Colorado (Hammel) 15.422
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Under

Game 915-916: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Leblanc) 15.381; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.137
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-275); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-275); Under


Game 917-918: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.761; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.275
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.997; Toronto (Halladay) 16.001
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 15.204; Cleveland (Sowers) 14.727
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

Game 923-924: Detroit at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.279; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.340
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.145; Kansas City (Meche) 15.171
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Over

Game 927-928: Boston at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Byrd) 16.091; White Sox (Garcia) 15.572
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.674; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.002
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Over