Service Plays Friday 07/03/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

FRIDAY, JULY 3

Game 407-408: BC at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: BC 115.782; Saskatchewan 111.933
Dunkel Line: BC by 4; 55
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 3, 2009

Guthrie showed last night why he no longer has a stall in Hondo's stable, losing to the Angels to lower the earnings to 80 pacioreks.

Tonight, it's the Sox and Sawx -- 10 units apiece on Danks and Wakefield, that knucklehead.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn
is on a short break and will return Monday, July 6.

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Cleveland

The A's look to build on their 4-1 record in Trevor Cahill's last 5 starts against a Cleveland team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games as a favorite. Oakland is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 3

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.392; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.605
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-170); N/A
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.343; Florida (Volstad) 14.992
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Under
Game 905-906: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.703; Washington (Detwiler) 14.443
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over
Game 907-908: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 13.462; Philadelphia (Lopez) 15.090
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under
Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.082; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.588
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over
Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Scherzer) 14.583; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.017
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under
Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.451; San Diego (Gaudin) 13.929
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Over
Game 915-916: Houston at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Paulino) 15.143; San Francisco (Sadowski) 16.308
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over
Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.394; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.173
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over
Game 919-920: Oakland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 14.217; Cleveland (Huff) 13.037
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Under
Game 921-922: Seattle at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.602; Boston (Wakefield) 16.691
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under
Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.529; Texas (Hunter) 15.226
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over
Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.518; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under
Game 927-928: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (French) 15.233; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.545
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+150); Over
Game 929-930: Baltimore at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.721; LA Angels (Santana) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over




WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at San Antonio

The Sky look to take advantage of a San Antonio squad that is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games versus Eastern Conference teams. Chicago is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 3

Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.495; Atlanta 111.103
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: Chicago at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.258; San Antonio 110.061
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 145 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over




Today's CFL Picks

BC at Saskatchewan

The Lions open their season in Saskatchewan looking to build on their 5-2-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. BC is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: BC (-1). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 3

Game 407-408: BC at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: BC 115.782; Saskatchewan 111.933
Dunkel Line: BC by 4; 55
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Over

 

[Yanks]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, JULY 3


NATIONAL LEAGUE


N.Y. Mets (39-39) at Philadelphia (39-37)


After a quick jaunt to Pittsburgh for a makeup game Thursday, the Mets send veteran righty Livan Hernandez (5-3, 4.04 ERA) to the mound in Philadelphia to face Phillies’ starter Rodrigo Lopez (0-0, 0.00), making his first start in the big leagues in almost two years.


New York scored a 10-inning, 9-8 victory over the Pirates on Thursday but burned seven pitchers when starter Tim Redding couldn’t get out of the third inning after giving up five runs on six hits. It was the second consecutive win for the Mets after losing five straight. They are on runs of 14-6 against the N.L. East and 15-6 in the first game of a series, but everything else is on the negative side of the slate, including 1-4 as an underdog, 3-7 as a road ‘dog and 1-5 against teams with winning records.


Meanwhile, Philadelphia was being swept in the finale of a three-game set in Atlanta on Thursday, falling 5-2, with a struggling offense that managed just seven runs in the three-game series. The Phillies have lost six of eight overall and 12 of 15. They are on further slides of 0-6 at home, 1-6 in series openers, 0-8 against right-handed starters and 5-16 at home against right-handers. In this rivalry, the Mets are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Philly.


Hernandez is 3-1 on the road this season with a 4.47 ERA and he’s been solid for the Mets lately, holding the opposition to three runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. Sunday, he gave up three runs on three hits in seven innings at home to the Mets, but lost 4-2. He hasn’t faced the Phillies since 2006 when he was a starter for the Nationals, but for his career he is 10-8 with a 3.36 ERA in 24 career starts. With Hernandez on the hill, New York is 4-1 against the N.L. East but otherwise on slides of 0-4 as a road ‘dog, 0-4 overall and 1-5 on the road overall.


Lopez is being called up from Triple-A Lehigh Valley to make his first start since 2007. In 2006 he led the American League with 18 losses and he’s trying to make a comeback from elbow ligament replacement surgery in 2007. He is 65-65 with a 4.80 ERA in 187 games for the Padres, Orioles and Rockies. He was 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts for Lehigh Valley.


The Mets have stayed below the total in four of Hernandez’s last five starts and 36 of their last 59 Friday games, but as a team they have topped the total in six of seven series openers and five of seven on the road against winning teams. Philadelphia is on “under” runs of 6-0 on Fridays, 8-3-2 in series openers and 11-5-1 as a home chalk. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is 5-2-1 in the last eight overall and 4-0-1 in the last five in the City of Brotherly Love.


ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



AMERICAN LEAGUE


Toronto (42-38) at N.Y. Yankees (45-33)


After having their seven-game winning streak snapped Thursday the Yankees will send right-hander A.J. Burnett (6-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound to try and get a new streak going against Blue Jays’ southpaw Brian Tallet (5-5, 4.47) at Yankee Stadium.


New York lost 8-4 in the series finale against the Mariners on Thursday after rattling off seven straight wins. The new stadium has been good to the Yankees, who have gone 17-8 in their last 25 at home. They are also on runs of 11-3 against left-handers, 46-23 as a favorite, 6-2 at home against teams with winning records and 5-1 in series openers.


Toronto was idle on Thursday but the Jays have struggled lately, going 1-4 overall, 3-11 against division foes and 1-4 against winning teams. New York took two of three in Toronto back in mid-May and has won four of the last six head-to-head meetings.


Tallet is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 2.65 ERA but he got roughed up against the Phillies on Sunday, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits in six innings of a 5-4 home loss. He’s faced the Yankees back on May 14 and gave up two runs on four hits in six innings of a 3-2 loss in Toronto. With Tallet on the hill, the Blue Jays are 3-7 in his last 10 starts, 1-4 in his last five, 1-6 when he’s an underdog and 1-4 in series openers.


Burnett has been lights out in his last three, going 2-1 with a 0.44 ERA. He’s allowed two runs (one earned) in those three starts, including two shutout wins over the Mets and a 2-1 loss to the Marlins. He faced these Blue Jays on May 12 and allowed five runs on seven hits over 7 2/3 innings of a 5-1 loss in Canada. With Burnett on the hill, New York is 0-4 against the A.L. East, but 5-2 at home and 4-0 when he’s a favorite.


With Tallet throwing, the Blue Jays are on “under” streaks of 7-3 overall, 5-0 against A.L. East rivals, 4-0 on the road and 5-1 as an underdog. Along the same lines, with Burnett pitching, the Yankees are on “under” runs of 7-2-1 overall and 4-1 in series openers.


As a team, Toronto is on “under” streaks that include 20-8 against A.L. East squads, 11-5 on the road, 6-2 as a road ‘dog, 5-0-1 overall and 5-0-1 against teams with a winning record. The Yankees have stayed under the total in four of five against A.L. East teams, eight of seven Friday games and 15 of 24 home games against southpaws.


ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

 

[backdoorcover1]

WUNDERDOG

BELMONT PARK Race #2 at 1:30 PM Eastern


Top pick: #9 (MR. PETERSON) - Ran well sprinting on the turf May 31 chasing the fleet "Missile" who has since come back to win another. This gelding has been working sharply for the past month and it looks like graduation day for him.
2nd pick: #1 (Soonasigetpaid) - Scratched the other day to await this spot. He has some speed and has also employed a stalking gear in several of his races. Draws the rail and his trainer (Mike Maker) will find a winning spot for him more sooner than later.
3rd pick: #4 (Living For This) - Firster by "Freud" has been drilling steadily for trainer Dom Galluscio who wins at a 16% rate with debuting runners.
4th pick: #2 (Federal Deposit) - He's finished second in six of his nine starts with all coming against tougher. Likes to race about mid-pack and try to make a rally, though he rarely makes up any real ground. Must be considered for the same race exotics.

 

[mp5070]

Wagerfund

BOS over SEA -123 5 UNITS PLAY OF THE DAY

 

[mp5070]

Ratedpicks

MLB:
St Louis Cardinals -125
Tampa Rays -130
Colorado Rockies RunLine -1.5 +155
Oak A's / Cle Indians UNDER 9.5

 

[Ryangene]

RON RAYMOND'S CFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!

Pick # 1 British Columbia Lions / Saskatchewan Roughriders Under 51.5 -110

 

[Yanks]

Beatyourbookie

100* NY Yankees

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Friday ML Baseball

TEXAS BAILEY -R +1.5 Runs, -130 Over Tampa Bay (8:05 et)

 

[cork999]

Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Friday's play 20 Dime -- Mariners (Hernandez) at RED SOX (Wakefield) under

NOTE: List only Hernandez and Wakefield as starting pitchers

Seattle’s Felix Hernandez (8-3, 2.54 ERA) is probably the hottest pitcher going these days.

The 23-year-old right-hander has allowed just five runs in his last 53 innings, and allowed one unearned run and four hits in eight innings Saturday in a 5-1 win over the Dodgers, striking out nine.

Hernandez has given up two earned runs or less in each of his last seven starts, going 4-0 with a 0.85 ERA.

His mound counterpart today, Red Sox knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (10-3, 4.18) has been pretty impressive himself. The 42-year-old right-hander pitched six scoreless innings Saturday against Atlanta, and went 4-0 with a 3.45 ERA in five June starts.

Wakefield hasn’t faced Seattle yet this year, but was 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in two starts last season.

Hernandez also has had great success against Boston, going 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six career starts, and he has tossed 15 shutout innings in two career starts at Fenway Park, including a one-hitter in 2007.

What does all this mean? It means there’s probably not going to be a whole lot of runs scored today. There’s only one way to go on this game. Take the under




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED---------GL GUYS

 

[Yanks]

Indian Cowboy

Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians - Friday July 3, 2009 7:05 pm

Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 9 (-110)



4 Unit Play. Take the Under 9 between the Oakland A's @ Cleveland Indians (Friday @ 7:05pm est). This is a good spot for us to take an Under as the A's take on the Indians on the highway. For starters, Cahill, the California native comes off one of his worst starts of his young career (born in '88), as he gave up 7 runs to the Rockies at home as the A's fell short 9-11. Prior to that, this young man did not have a non-quality start in 8 of 9 starts and had his era go up to 4.23 after the Rockies start. I look for Cahill to bounce-back strong on the road as he has done in previous contests on the highway including giving up 0 runs in 5 innings at LA winning as a +149 dog. Huff came off pitching 8 scoreless innings at Pittsburgh where he did not yield a quality run, and he had a let down coming off that start as he gave up 6 runs at home to the Reds as the Indians ended up losing that game 1-8. I look for both of these pitchers to have a quality bounce-back today as the A's are 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 contests as Underdogs and the Under is 6-1 for the Indians in thier last 7 home games.

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis Friday's Lineup
20 Dime ---- MARLINS

10 Dime ---- TIGERS

FLORIDA --- Much like my third straight 25-dime winner on St. Louis last night, I'm not enthralled by this pitching matchup tonight for either side, but I can't help but ignore how well the Marlins have been playing lately, especially at home, and the fact the Marlins are getting better starting pitching, better bullpen work, and timely hitting. This team has all of a sudden become a contender, again, in the National League East and are locked in a virtual tie with the Phillies on top of the division.

First things first. The Marlins have won eight straight games at home and 13 of their last 16 as the listed favorite while the Pirates have dropped 8 of their last 11 as an underdog. The Pirates are also atrocious away from PNC Park, dropping 26 of their 40 games on the road. Let's also not forget their 1-4 in their last five road games and 0-4 in their last four vs. a right-handed starter. The Marlins, meanwhile, are 12-2 in their last 14 as a home favorite and 8-2 in Volstad's last 10 starts when facing an opponent that allowed five or more runs in its previous game.

Chris Volstad has really settled down since his start in Boston (8 ER in 3.2 IP), tossing 12 innings of 10-hit ball, allowing five earned runs and nine strikeouts. Let's keep in mind, he's still a bit on the young side and he's clearly still working through some mechanical issues, but you can't argue with some of his recent starts. You also can't argue with his career 2.38 ERA in the month of July or the fact that batters are hitting just .228 against him in this month.

Charlie Morton counters tonight for the Pirates, and brings a respectable 4.09 ERA to the hill. What you probably don't know is that he's started against the Marlins three times already in his career, and his record is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP, including a 1:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Morton has started only three games this year, but those games were anywhere between 8 and 10 days from one another. That tells me they are only using him when someone gets hurt and the rotation gets out of whack. I may have never pitched in the Major Leagues, but I do know these starters need a little consistency and he's not getting it. June 10th, June 20th and June 28th... those are the dates of his starts this year. Is his arm really ready to start again this soon? We'll see... but I don't think he's going to go any further than the 5th inning tonight... and by that time the game should already be over.


DETROIT --- I'm going to back the Tigers in this spot tonight despite the fact the Twins do play better at home and the Tigers aren't very good on the road. We're getting a really good price and every so often it's worth it to take a shot on a road dog if the matchup seems right. Look, I understand all the trends are stacked against us tonight... the Tigers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games and 2-9 in their last 11 on field turf while the Twins are 58-27 in their last 85 home games, but one of the main reasons I like the Tigers tonight is the fact they are throwing a lefty the Twins have never seen before.

Lucas French has thrown just 3 innings all season, but the lefty hasn't allowed an earned run in those two outings and facing an aggressive Minnesota offense could be exactly what he needs to get ahead in the count early. Kevin Slowey toes the rubber for the Twins tonight, having been shelled in his last outing vs. St. Louis. Slowey lasted just 3 innings, allowing six hits and five earned runs in a 5-3 loss. The bullpen did their job after the third inning, but it was already too late. On paper, it definitely looks like I'm on the wrong side of this contest, but in the end you'll see the Twins have no answer for French and the Detroit Tigers.






BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS

 

[Yanks]

Scott Ferralls Free Picks

MLB FREE PICKS FOR FRIDAY PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

TAMPA BAY (KAZMIR) -135 (1)
Texas (Hunter)

DODGERS (KURODA) -135 (2)
San Diego (Gaudin)

ATLANTA (KAWAKAMI) -125 (3)
Washington (Detwiler)

 

[whitelightning]

Randall the Handle

Houston +1.14 over SAN FRANCISCO PINNACLE

Great spot for the Astros here, as they’re very warm and they catch the Giants returning home from a season high 10-game trip. In four of those 10 games they scored one run and they dropped the final two games in St. Louis, scoring a total of just three runs. One might suggest the Giants have way over-achieved so far and that certainly could be the case. Thus, it’s the right time to go against the Giants with a rookie pitcher going because, as a favorite, San Fran has very little appeal right now. In fact, the Astros have beaten them six straight and overall, the Astros have won six of eight. They took three of four in San Diego and scored seven runs in each of the last two games. Scoring seven times in succession at Petco is a strong sign that the Astros are seeing the ball extremely well. In fact, over the last eight games, the Astros lead the NL in runs scored with 41. As for the starters, well, Felipe Paulino’s numbers aren’t great but numbers can sometimes be very deceiving. Paulino possesses good stuff and is coming on big time as his confidence grows. In his last two starts against the Rockies and Tigers, he pitched a combined 13 innings, allowing just eight hits and three runs, struck out 16 and walked just one batter. In fact, over his last 20.2 innings he’s walked just one and that’s a great sign that he’s “trusting” his stuff and going right after the hitters. Again, the Giants have cooled off and possess what just might be the least feared hitting line-up in the majors. Matt Cain or Tim Lincecum is not starting and that’s all I need to know to pull the trigger on this very live pooch. Play: Houston +1.14 (Risking 2 units).

CFL
HOME TEAM IN CAPS

B.C. Lions –1.05 over SASKATCHEWAN BetCris

This is my best game of the week, as the Lions are in a not-so-familiar role. Over the last several years, B.C. has been expected to be a serious threat to win it all but this season the media, fans or both have written this year off as a rebuilding year and for the first time in a long time, expectations aren’t high. That’s a perfect scenario for this team to rise to the occasion and it says here that’s precisely what they’ll do. Make no mistake, they lost some very key personnel on defense but have replaced them with some very capable players. Without naming names, the Lions are younger and quicker and they’ll put a ton of pressure on opposing QB’s (watch out for Aaron Hunt). Offensively for the Lions, it’ll be Buck Pierce leading the way in his fifth season. He had his best year last season, completing 64% of his passes for over 3000 yards. In other words, there is no concern at the all-important position, especially with Jarious Jackson backing him up. Darian Durant had about 2000 less yards in the air than Pierce and he’ll be the Riders QB once again. He threw for just seven TD’s against six picks and frankly, has shown very little. He was riding the pine for two years before being instilled as the starter last year. Saskatchewan has relied upon a great defense the past couple of years and that has carried them a long way. However, this year they’ve lost at least three top defenders, difference makers if you will, and there are no significant replacements. Yeah, the Riders are tough at home but they’ll be no complacency for the Lions this year, as they’re out to make a giant statement this season. The Lions are far superior on offense, defense, coaching and QB and they want this one badly. Play: B.C. Lions –1.05 (Risking 3.15 units to win 3).

 

[whitelightning]

Smooth Talk Sports

MLB
TORONTO UNDER 9.5
SEATTLE +115

 

[intheblack]

ness 20* club-80

minnesota twins

gl guys

 

[Yanks]

John Morrison

System Plays

7/3 Florida [A] Pittsburgh


7/3 Detroit [A] Minnesota