Service Plays Friday 04/17/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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Larry Ness' NL Game of the Month


NL Game of the Month on the Hou Astros
 
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Hondo

April 17, 2009

Hondo's prayers for the Padres were answered last night when they rallied and then held off the Metamucils to beef up the bankroll to 175 lezcanos.

Tonight, he'll keep on praying and take another stab with San Diego -- 10 units on Young to come up tall in Philadelphia.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blackhawks Thursday night.

Friday it's the Hurricanes. The surplus is 445 sirignanos.
 
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Jim Feist Bonus Play

(975) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
(976) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(975) KANSAS CITY ROYALS"

Texas can be impressive when their offense is smoking the baseball, as when the Rangers went on to a 19-6 victory over the Orioles Wednesday night with 19 hits. However, this pitching staff is awful. They got with soft throwing lefty Matt Harrison here (6.35 ERA). He has allowed 9 hits and 5 walks in 5 innings. Kansas City has had an impressive start, doing it with pitching depth, ranked No. 2 in the AL in ERA. They go with their ace here in Gil Meche (3.21 ERA), who has a 12-2 strikeout to walk ratio. Pitching dominates offense in this one. Play the Royals.
 
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Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(959) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
(960) NEW YORK METS
Take "(960) NEW YORK METS"

Livan Hernandez is not exactly a pitcher who inspires confidence and the Mets just lost a series at their new home to the Padres. But I like the Mets to grab a win tonight as they face the Brewers. Dave Bush is a notoriously poor early season pitcher, with a career April-May ledger of 7-20. The Brewers aren't playing well at all, and even if they jump out to a lead here, their shaky bullpen could get victimized late. I'll lean to laying the spot with the Mets.
 

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Maddux Sports

Baseball
#951 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis +170
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Florida -124
#964 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -144
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +137
#978 - MLB - 3 units on Minnesota -114
 
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DCI

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game 2, best-of-7
NEW JERSEY 3, Carolina 2
PITTSBURGH 4, Philadelphia 3
Western Conference Quarterfinals
Game 2, best-of-7
St. Louis vs. VANCOUVER: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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Cajun Sports MLB 2* Complimentary Selection- Friday
Date/Time: Friday April 17 / 7:05PM EST
Sport/Type: MLB / Side
Game: Florida Marlins @ Washington Nationals
Graded Selection: 2* Florida Marlins -129
Analysis:
The Washington Nationals will look to build upon their first win of the 2009 campaign as they defeated the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday night in DC 8 to 2 after opening the season by going 0-7. That will be a tall order as the Marlins are coming in off a sweep of the Braves at Turner Field for the first time ever and are playing as well as anyone right now. Not only are the Fish getting timely hitting including a batting average of .282, they had nine or more hits eight times this season and their starting pitching and bullpen have been playing well. Ricky Nolasco will take the bump and try to extend the Marlins' winning streak to five as he takes the mound for the first time since Saturday's 8-4 loss to the New York Mets. He allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings. "I wasn't feeling too great," Nolasco told the teams' official Web site. Nolasco, though, has enjoyed success against Washington in his career, going 6-1 with a 4.10 ERA. On April 6, he earned the opening-day win over Washington as he struck out six in six innings in a 12 to 6 win. The Nationals will send John Lannan to the hill with his 0-2 record and ERA of 10.00; he was the losing pitcher in that first meeting with Nolasco. The Marlins are 7-1 when playing at Nationals Park and should get number eight tonight as they continue their solid play on offense and defense. Nolasco is 13-6 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons, Fish are 5-1 the last six starts by Nolasco versus Washington and they are 21-7 their last 28 in this series. Washington is 18-43 versus teams with a win percentage of .600 or more and 17-42 when facing right-handed starters. Lay the chalk with the Fish as they get another easy win over the Nationals in DC on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Florida Marlins 6 Washington Nationals 3
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Marc Lawrence MLB Bonus Play! - Friday 4/17
Play On: L.A. Dodgers w/Wolf
Note: When Randy Wolf takes the hill at home for the Dodgers against the Rockies this evening he'll do so knowing he is 4-0 with a 3.47 ERA in his career home team starts against Colorado. With Wolf off a solid spring look for him to come up a winner for the 11th time in his last 17 home starts in April here tonight.
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Maddux Sports

Baseball
#951 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis +170
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Florida -124
#964 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -144
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +137
#978 - MLB - 3 units on Minnesota -114

Warning: They are chasing, 10-17 -15.55 units so far. They usually play about 3 games a day for 2 units each, today they have 15 units out there trying to get back to even. I'm either fading them or passing. Just FYI.
 
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RatedPicks 4/17

(Paid Plays)
Detroit Tigers +105
Houston Astros -145
LA Dodgers -1.5 RUN LINE +115
Padres/Phillies OVER 8.5

(Bonus Plays)
Texas Rangers -110
Chicago White Sox +155
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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Friday, April 17th, 10:15 PM ET

Carlo Campanella is off to a 6-2 start with his "MLB Pitching MisMatches" and Arizona fits that role as road Favorite starting Haren on the mound in San Francisco for this Friday west match-up. San Francisco opened the season at 0-5 against Division opponents and now must face Haren, who's allowed just 3 Earned Runs in his 13 Innings Pitched this season. Those two starts came against the Dodgers and Colorado, who have stronger line-ups than these Giants, who own a .236% Team Batting Average. HUGE Pitching MisMatch here as he squares off against the Giants Sanchez, who is 1-5 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 8.56. 7* Play On Arizona Good luck - Carlo Campanella Bonus Play

Play on: Arizona
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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Friday, April 17th, 10:15 PM ET

Carlo Campanella is off to a 6-2 start with his "MLB Pitching MisMatches" and Arizona fits that role as road Favorite starting Haren on the mound in San Francisco for this Friday west match-up. San Francisco opened the season at 0-5 against Division opponents and now must face Haren, who's allowed just 3 Earned Runs in his 13 Innings Pitched this season. Those two starts came against the Dodgers and Colorado, who have stronger line-ups than these Giants, who own a .236% Team Batting Average. HUGE Pitching MisMatch here as he squares off against the Giants Sanchez, who is 1-5 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 8.56. 7* Play On Arizona Good luck - Carlo Campanella Bonus Play

Play on: Arizona
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Note: This is a comp
 
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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Friday, April 17th, 10:15 PM ET

Carlo Campanella is off to a 6-2 start with his "MLB Pitching MisMatches" and Arizona fits that role as road Favorite starting Haren on the mound in San Francisco for this Friday west match-up. San Francisco opened the season at 0-5 against Division opponents and now must face Haren, who's allowed just 3 Earned Runs in his 13 Innings Pitched this season. Those two starts came against the Dodgers and Colorado, who have stronger line-ups than these Giants, who own a .236% Team Batting Average. HUGE Pitching MisMatch here as he squares off against the Giants Sanchez, who is 1-5 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 8.56. 7* Play On Arizona Good luck - Carlo Campanella Bonus Play

Play on: Arizona
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.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

San Diego (6-3) at N.Y. Mets (4-4)

The Mets send right-hander John Maine (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the Citi Field mound to wrap up their home-opening three-game series against the Padres, who will start ace right-hander Jake Peavy (1-1, 3.52).

After taking Tuesday off following the Padres’ 6-5 win Monday night, New York bounced back with a 7-2 victory Wednesday, scoring five runs in its final two at-bats to post its first victory at Citi Field and end San Diego’s five-game winning streak. The Mets are on a 10-2 run against teams from the N.L. West, and they’ve won nine of their last 10 Thursday contests. The Padres are still on rolls of 5-1 overall and 4-1 against the N.L. East, but they also carry lengthy negative streaks of 17-38 on the road against right-handed starters and 16-37 in the third game of a series.

San Diego, which won five of seven games last year in this rivalry, is now 8-3 in the last 11 meetings, though New York has gone 10-4 in the last 14 clashes in the Big Apple.

Maine got a no-decision in his first outing of the year, a 5-4 loss at Florida in which he allowed two runs on two hits (both solo homers), with one walk and five strikeouts in five innings. He went 10-8 last year with a 4.18 ERA in 25 starts, including 5-2 with a 4.76 ERA in 11 home outings, though he missed the final five weeks of the season with a shoulder injury.

Maine has a pair of no-decisions in his two career starts against the Padres, posting an inflated 5.40 ERA, with both appearances coming in the 2007 season. The Mets have gone 9-4 in Maine’s last 13 home starts, 6-1 in his last seven Game 3 outings and 4-1 with the righty throwing on five days of rest.

Peavy has gone deep into both his starts this year, logging seven innings in a 4-1 home loss to the Dodgers on Opening Day, then going 8 1/3 innings in a 6-3 home win over the Giants on Saturday. In the latter outing, he allowed three runs on seven hits and no walks, with 10 strikeouts, giving him 18 Ks for the season in 15 1/3 innings. Peavy was a middling 10-11 last year despite a 2.85 ERA, going 5-6 with a 4.28 ERA on the highway.

Peavy is 4-2 with a 3.32 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets, though like Maine, he hasn’t faced New York since 2007. The Pads are 7-3 in Peavy’s last 10 Thursday starts, but with their ace on the hill, they are also on slides of 2-5 on the road and 6-13 against the N.L. East.

The over is on a bundle of runs for New York, including 17-9-1 at home, 10-3-3 with Maine starting, 7-0-1 behind Maine at home and 19-7-1 in Thursday games. The over for the Padres is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 4-1 on the highway and 13-5-1 in Peavy’s last 19 road starts. Finally, in this rivalry, the “over” is on stretches of 4-1 overall, 7-2 in New York and 4-1 with Peavy facing the Mets.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (3-5) at Seattle (7-2)

The Mariners, off to a strong start after losing a major league-worst 101 games last year, send rookie Chris Jakubauskas (1-0, 4.50 ERA) to the Safeco Field mound against fellow lefty Joe Saunders (1-1, 2.63) and the Angels to cap a three-game series.

On the strength of three home runs, including one from Ken Griffey Jr. and a grand slam from Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle powered its way to a sixth consecutive victory with an 11-3 rout of the Angels. The Mariners have surrendered a total of just 14 runs during their six-game streak, and they’ve now held fie of their first nine foes to three runs or fewer. Dating to last season, Seattle has won five straight home games, seven in a row against the A.L. West, five straight against lefty starters and fie straight as an underdog.

Los Angeles is just 2-6 in its last eight division contests and 1-5 in its last six versus winning teams, but the Halos have won eight of their last 12 on the highway. Also, despite dropping the first two games of this series, the Angels are still 35-17 in the last 52 meetings with the M’s, including 7-3 in the last 10 battles in Seattle.

Jakubauskas, who spent the last four years in independent baseball leagues, earned a roster spot with a stellar spring and he’s started his big-league career with two relief appearances, pitching two innings each at Minnesota on April 8 and at Oakland on Friday. The 6-foot-2 right-hander allowed a total of two runs on three hits in those four innings.

Saunders came up short at home Saturday against the Red Sox, taking the loss in a 5-4 setback in which he allowed four runs on seven hits and three walks in seven innings, as the Angels ended a seven-game winning streak with the lefty on the hill. Saunders was a solid 17-7 with a 3.41 ERA in 31 starts last year, including 10-3 with a sparkling 2.55 ERA in 15 road efforts.

Saunders is 4-1 with a 4.61 ERA in seven career starts against the Mariners, including 3-0 with a 3.29 ERA in four outings last year, with two of the wins coming at Seattle. The Angels are on numerous runs when Saunders takes the ball, including 39-16 overall, 19-7 on the highway, 21-7 against winning teams, 4-0 in division play and 5-1 with the southpaw favored.

The over for Seattle is on stretches of 8-3 in the A.L. West, 6-2 at home and 6-2 against lefty starters, and the over for Los Angeles is on streaks of 5-1-1 overall and 8-3 in division games. Also, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in 11 of the last 14 clashes in Seattle.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER
 
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Gamehunter

+25.9 Units Ytd

Pittsburgh +104 (1.75 Units)

Milwaukee +120 (1.75 Units)

Texas +102 (1.75 Units)

Colorado +140 (1.5 Units)

Oakland +121 (1.5 Units)

Detroit +119 (1.5 Units)

San Diego +160 (1.25 Units)
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