Service Plays Friday 03/27/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

North Carolina Tar Heels -8½ to outlast Gonzaga Bulldogs
Game Time: 03/27/2009 10:07 PM ET Matchup Moves
By: LT Profits Sports Group

Ty Lawson provided a big boost as North Carolina beat LSU by 14 points last Saturday, and his presence makes the Heels almost unbeatable against another running team.

We have a lot of respect for the Gonzaga Bulldogs, but their style of play is very similar to their opponents in the Sweet 16, the North Carolina Tar Heels, and frankly, we do not feel there is any team in the country that can out-North Carolina North Carolina.

Besides, Gonzaga has yet to cover a spread in this tournament, finally shaking off Akron in the first round and then barely nipping Western Kentucky on Saturday. They are now stepping way up in class here, and the last time that the Zags played a team even remotely close to the Tar Heels talent wise, they got blown out at home by 18 points by Memphis. Sure, they have won 11 straight games since then, but none of those wins were vs. upper echelon teams.

The Heels were upset in the ACC Tournament, but that has not affected their play in the Big Dance, as they followed up their 43-point destruction of Radford with what many observers considered to be a surprisingly easy 14-point win over LSU, as the injured Ty Lawson provided the spark they needed. One has to assume that Lawson will only get better here with almost a full week off, and we feel that would make UNC just about unbeatable vs. a team that tries to run with them.

Well, Gonzaga loves playing at a fast pace, and unfortunately, we think that any team that tries to run the floor with the Heels is doomed to fail. As much as we love the Zags as a whole, we foresee a double-digit North Carolina win Friday.

Free Pick: North Carolina -8½ (-110)
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[SteveMcQueen]

Evan Altemus | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet877 Syracuse 1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 878 Oklahoma
Analysis:
In order to justify one of my biggest plays of the entire year in any sport, I am going to analyze several different aspects to this game. First, let?s look at the coaching match-up of Jim Boeheim vs. Jeff Capel. Boeheim has much more experience than Capel and is an excellent big game coach. Capel is a very good coach as well though. Overall, I give a slight edge to Syracuse in regards to the head coach. Next, let?s compare overall guard play on both teams. The Orange have a huge edge here, as Johnny Flynn and Eric Devendorf are very under-rated guards. They are significantly better than Oklahoma?s guards. Oklahoma?s guards are turnover prone, as well. The Sooners had 19 turnovers against Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship game, 21 turnovers against Missouri in the regular season, and 15 turnovers against Morgan State in the 1st round. However, I feel that the biggest advantage in this game is the size and depth of Syracuse?s big men. They will be able to continually challenge Blake Griffin on the inside while not having to worry about foul trouble. Arinze Onuaku and Rick Jackson are big bodies and excellent forwards who will be able to at least slow down Griffin without worrying about foul trouble. One last important key to look at is the two games involving Big East teams against Big 12 teams in the NCAA tournament 2nd round. Marquette was either the worst or second worst team from the Big East to make it into the tournament. Meanwhile, Missouri was arguably the best or tied for the best team in the Big 12 this season. However, the Tigers let the Golden Eagles back into the game after leading by double digits at halftime. In fact, Missouri?s high tempo style of play didn?t affect Marquette in the second half, as they made a furious rally and take the lead. In addition, Pittsburgh, once playing with motivation, was able to pull away from Oklahoma State with relative easy late in the 1st half and in the 2nd half. The Panthers don?t typically blow teams out anyway, but the talent gap was obvious once they focused. These games show me that there is a talent gap between the Big 12 and Big East teams. Both Syracuse and Oklahoma are being priced at their level of play from the regular season. However, Syracuse has vastly improved, while Oklahoma has shown some weaknesses. The Orange have much better overall team play with an excellent inside/outside combination. They also have better three point shooters and guards who can make tough shots at the end of the game. Having guards who can make shots during critical moments is one of the most important factors when handicapping these tough tournament games. Syracuse also has better three point shooters. The Orange are playing their best basketball of the season at just the right time, while the Sooners are over-rated, especially against the best teams in the country. Look for Syracuse to win this game outright.
5 UNIT SELECTION

paid and confirmed

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | CBB Sides
dime bet871 Arizona 9.0 (-110) Bodog vs 872 Louisville
Analysis: As the final seconds ticked off and Arizona fans chanted "Sweet 16," a grinning Chase Budinger threw one final pass on the perimeter and joined the applause. The Wildcats relish their new role as long shots. Seeded only 12th, the NCAA tournament perennials took an early 14-point lead Sunday and advanced to the Midwest Regional semifinals by beating upstart Cleveland State 71-57; I expect them to carry that momentum into tonight's game! In fact it's interesting to note that Arizona is an awesome 9-4 ATS when the total is 130 to 139 1/2 points, 4-2 ATS in all neutral court games, 12-7 ATS vs. good defensive teams and 15-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record! Louisville had its hands full against Siena, and I look for it to once again struggle down the stretch; it's interesting to note that the Cardinals have really struggled in this spot going 3-5 ATS their last 8 neutral court games and 5-9 ATS in non-conference games. This line is much too high, and I look for all of these strong ATS trends to play significant rolls in tonight's game and I highly recommend a play on ARIZONA!

paid and confirmed

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

FC Metz/SC Bastia over 2 (France Ligue 2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RAS side play

Michigan State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Fiest GOY

Syracuse
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Villanova ( 2) Thursday night.

Friday it's Syracuse and Kansas. The surplus is 405 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo's **10** NCAA TOURNAMENT *GAME OF THE YEAR* - Friday
**10** NCAA TOURNAMENT *GAME OF THE YEAR* Gonzaga has been an underdog of more than five points only twice over the last three years and that includes none this season. 10* Gonzaga Bulldogs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al's 21-5 ATS SWEET 16 UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR!
At 9:55 pm, our Sweet 16 Underdog of the Year is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs plus the points over North Carolina, An outright upset would not be a surprise here. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA's SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR- 37-15 college run!
PLAY ON Syracuse + vs. Oklahoma, Friday at 7:25 PM EST

Syracuse gets the win and moves on to the Elite 8!

Best of Luck, ASA!
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(859) BOSTON CELTICS
(860) ATLANTA HAWKS
Take "(859) BOSTON CELTICS"

Boston certainly has its defense in top shape, allowing 77, 87, 77 and 84 points the last 4 games. That followed a stretch where the defense was awful without Kevin Garnett, but it's clear they are back playing intense, playoff-type 'D'. The Celtics are also 3-1 SU/ATS the last three games and off a tough, close loss at Orlando. They are battling for the No. 2 seed in the East. This is the middle of a tough stretch for the Hawks, playing San Antonio, Boston and Los Angeles, teams that have won eight of the past 10 NBA titles. The better team playing the better defense will rise. Play the Celtics.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(853) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
(854) ORLANDO MAGIC
Take "(854) ORLANDO MAGIC"

Orlando is a huge favorite tonight as they host the Bucks, but this sure has the look of a lopsided result to me. Milwaukee is pretty much on fumes at this point, while the Magic are pushing hard to snare the #2 seed in the East, which is vital to them in a likely second round playoff duel with the Celtics. I just cannot see the letup taking place here even against a soft opponent, and I'd have to look to the Magic to garner the win and cover.

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#874 - NCAA - 3 units on Michigan State -1
#875 - NCAA - 4 units on Gonzaga +8.5
#878 - NCAA - 3 units on Oklahoma -1

 

[cocomandoug]

Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - SYRACUSE ORANGEMEN....10 DIMERS - ARIZONA WILDCATS, & KANSAS JAYHAWKS
30 DIMER - SYRACUSE ORANGEMEN



In case you aren't aware, the Big East is mopping up the floor with the competition in this year's Big Dance, as both Connecticut, Villanova, and Pittsburgh ALL advanced to the Elite 8 last night. True, Pittsburgh was a non-cover, but you get the picture.



That being said, G-Man has to ride the streaking Orange-Express, as the backcourt of Syracuse is stepping up huge right now, and I highly doubt the Sooners backcourt is going to match them tonight.



True, Blake Griffin is likely to get his, but if the Orangemen take care of the rest of the players on the floor, they definitely should be advancing to the Elite 8 along with their other conference brethren.



The Orangemen are on a 9-1 run both straight up, and against the spread, and when you get right down to it, who would you rather put your "X's and O's" trust in, Boeheim or Capel?



Orangemen the play!



10 DIMER - ARIZONA WILDCATS



True I just sang the praises of the Big East, and true, Louisville is a member of the Big East, but I just think the linemakers have once again inflated the number on the 'Ville this evening.



Louisville is 2-0 straight up in the Dance, but 0-2 against the spread, while Arizona has been a double-digit winner in both of their tourney games thus far, and they do have a couple of players that will be playing at the next level real soon.



That is a good combination to have in a single-elimination game, especially when you are catching near double-digits.



Look for Louisville to make it a 5-for-5 straight sweep into the Elite 8 for the Big East, but look for the Wildcats to stay inside of this roomy impost.



Take the points here.



10 DIMER - KANSAS JAYHAWKS



Tonight's Kansas-Michigan State contest is rematch of a January 10th showdown in East Lansing that was won by double-digits by the host Spartans.



Doubt highly on a neutral court that State is able to duplicate that feat, as Kansas is definitely a team on the rise these days.



The defending champion Jayhawks are on a 26-8-1 spread run their last 35 lined games, and Bill Self's team has won, and covered both of their Big Dance games coming into this Indy showdown.



The G-Man has had his doubts about this Michigan State team, as I am not so sure they have enough CONSISTENT offense to be counted on when the chips are down.



WIth Cole Aldrich emerging as a huge paint presence, have to take the Jayhawks to avenge their January embarrassment at Michigan State with the revenge win.



Take Kansas plus the small number.
Today's Complimentary Selection

G-Man off his third straight comp play win last night on Xavier plus the points, and tonight I am releasing a rare tournament total, as I like Arizona and Louisville to combine for an OVER play.

Arizona has played OVER the posted total in 8 of their last 11 games dating back to the regular season, and their tourney opener against Utah did head OVER the posted price. The only reason their game against Cleveland State did not eclipse the total was because they held the Vikings to just 57-points.

It seems unlikely the Wildcats will be able to hold the Cardinals to under 60-points, as Louisville has been in the 70's in both of their tournament games to date.

The Cards have been OVER the total in 2 of their last 3 games, and they just missed the HIGH in the opening round against Morehead State, coming in a 3-pointer shy of the total.

6 of Arizona's last 8 games played at neutral sites have seen the OVER come through, and this game to me sure has the potential to be in the high-140's, making the OVER the play in this matchup.


2♦ OVER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)

 

[Ergo]

SportsBetCapping

#2-UNIT Michigan STate

 

[number1fan]

Stephen Nover

NBA

New Orleans at New York Under (207 -101)

Chris Paul gets all the attention when the subject of the New Orleans Hornets is brought up.

But the Hornets are a pretty darn good defensive club. They rank fourth in scoring defense and sixth in defensive field goal percentage.

The Hornets have held their last 15 opponents to an average of 91.8 points per game.

The Knicks can score points, but they have point guard problems. Chris Duhon hit the wall weeks ago. He's not playing nearly as well as he did earlier this season and Nate Robinson suffered an ankle injury in the Knicks' previous game on Wednesday.

The Hornets' offense is down minus Peja Stojakovic and Tyson Chandler. New Orleans is averaging only 90.7 points in its last seven games.

 

[number1fan]

Stephen Nover

NBA

New Orleans (-5.0 -110)

Not only is there a huge talent gap between these two teams, but the spot is ripe for the Hornets.

The Knicks are mentally down knowing that once again they won't be making the post-season. They have lost six in a row, with four coming at home. The Knicks are allowing an average of 115 points during this stretch.

The Hornets rank among the top six in scoring defense and defensive field goal percentage. They have held their past 15 foes to an average of less than 92 points per game.

Chris Paul should have a monster game. The Knicks are hurting at guard. Chris Duhon has disappeared and Nate Robinson suffered an ankle injury on Wednesday.

 

[TheSaint]

Monster buck. Nba: knicks +5. Ncaab: cuse. Nhl: det pl, was pl, ana. Good luck.

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Lightning/Capitals over 6

Game 2 - Ducks -160