Service Plays Friday 01/30/09

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JEFFERSON-SPORTS EARLY RELEASE 2-1 yest

Hit 9 of last 13 NBA plays
37-28 since being documented in gamercharities thread
cbb 110-81 (58%) +29 games over .500
NFL 58-30 NFL (66%) 8-3 in playoffs

NBA EARLY PLAY
CHICAGO BULLS-2
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Clemson (PK) Thursday night.

Friday it's Columbia. The profit is 10 sirignanos.
 
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Dave Cokin

(871) CHICAGO BULLS
(872) SACRAMENTO KINGS
Take "(871) CHICAGO BULLS"

Chicago finally won a game last time out, scoring an easy win over the pathetic Clippers. But even though the Bulls have hardly been impressive, they're at least in better form than the reeling Kings. Sacramento has lost seven straight, and they're a woeful 7-15 vs. the number at home. The Kings are getting absolutely killed on the glass in virtually every game, and they don't shoot it well enough to compensate for that liability. Backing the Bulls as even minimal road chalk is not easy, but that's the way I'd play this one.
 
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Jim Feist

(861) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
(862) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Take "(861) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS"

A classic sandwich game for the home team. Cleveland is having a busy week, with road games against rivals Orlando and Detroit. Sandwiched inbetween is this game against the LA Clippers. The Cavaliers had a similar game against the Kings the other night, and didn't appear interested, as a 17-point favorite, rallying from a halftime deficit to win by 7. The Clippers are getting healthy, with Baron Davis and Marcus Camby returning the last game. Another look-ahead spot for the home team with bigger fish to fry than this one, play the LA Clippers!
 

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Complimentary Selection - Jeff Benton



For Friday’s freebie in the NBA, we’ll lay the points with the once-again red-hot Celtics at Detroit.



I’ll be honest with you: This one seems almost too easy. Boston is riding a nine-game winning streak, going 8-1 ATS, including seven straight covers in its last seven games. During the streak, the Celtics have won and covered four straight on the road, with an average margin of victory of 12.8 points per game, and that includes wins on back-to-back nights at Miami (98-83) and Orlando (90-80) last week.



Since Thursday’s win at the Magic, the Celtics have played just twice, and because both were lopsided home wins over the Mavericks (124-100) and Kings (119-100), the team’s starters got a lot of time to rest on the bench. In fact, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce each played less than 28 minutes in both games, meaning they (and the entire team, for that matter) should be very fresh for this one.



As for Detroit, yeah, it pulled out a 98-89 win at Minnesota on Wednesday (costing me a 15 Dime Best Bet play in the process), but the Pistons are still just 3-8 SU and ATS in their last 11 games, including 1-4 SU and ATS at home, with the winner covering the spread in each contest. If you really want a clear picture of the way both teams are going right now, consider that one day before Boston posted a 24-point beat-down of Dallas, the Mavericks went to Detroit and won 112-91 as a 3½-point underdog.



Lastly, here’s the icing on the cake: Going back to last season and including the Eastern Conference finals playoff series, the Celtics are on an 8-2 SU and a 7-3 ATS tear against the Pistons. They’re also 7-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Motown.



Given the opponent and the fact this one’s on national TV, I’m sure the Pistons will be fired up and will give a good effort, but it’s not going to be enough to hang with the defending champs, who are very much back on their game.



(based on a 1 to a 10 ♦ Rating)



5♦ BOSTON CELTICS
 

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Daniel Curry Index Pro Hockey

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DCI Friday Hockey Predictions:

Season: 252-156 (.618)

NEW JERSEY 4, Pittsburgh 3
COLUMBUS 3, Ottawa 2
Philadelphia vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CALGARY 4, Nashville 2
EDMONTON 3, Minnesota 2
 

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some free stuff........

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Info Plays
NCAA-B | Jan 30
Pennsylvania vs. Harvard

Harvard -5½-110 at BOOKM > 7h.
Info Plays Friday, January 30th Bonus Play:

3* on Harvard -5.5

Reasons why Harvard covers the spread Friday:

1.) Head coach Tommy Amaker has his team playing great basketball in his second year on the job. He has welcomed back 5 starters from last year's team, and they've really turned this thing around. Harvard already owns one of the biggest upsets of the year, a win at Boston College, which is a team that has beaten the North Carolina Tar Heels this season. By no means to we think that Harvard could compete with UNC, but this team is certainly underrated right now. Harvard is 9-7 on the season and looking to reach double-digits wins tonight as things are really looking up from an 8-22 campaign last season.

2.) Pennsylvania used to be a powerhouse and a great team against the spread, but over the last 2 seasons this team has really taken a fall. They remain overrated as they are just 4-10 SU & 2-6 ATS on the season. The Quakers are no match for a Harvard team that has won 5 of their last 7 games overall. But Harvard is coming off an upset loss, so they'll be extra motivated tonight to get back in the win column.

3.) System Play. We'll Play Against - An underdog (PENNSYLVANIA) - poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent. This is a 48-21 ATS System hitting 69.6% over the last 5 seasons. Pennsylvania has been shooting themselves out of games all season, attempting 21 three-pointers per game and making them at just a 31.3% clip overall, and a 30.3% clip on the road. The Quakers settle for way too many jump shots, and Harvard will thrive off of it tonight as they get easy buckets in transition all game long off of long rebounds. Also, Harvard forces 18 Turnovers Per Game at home this season. Bet Harvard at home.

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John Martin
NBA | Jan 30
Oklahoma City vs. Utah

Utah -9-110 at BODOG > 10h.
Martin's Friday NBA Bonus Play:

1 Unit on Utah Jazz -9

Utah will come out fired up and hungry for a win tonight, even though it's just the Oklahoma City Thunder coming to town. The Jazz are going through their worst stretch right now, having lost 4 straight games heading in. The Thunder have been coming on strong, winning 3 of their last 4. But their quality of opponents have been sub-par to say the least. OKC has faced the Warriors, Clippers, Nets and Grizzlies in their last 4. They had to go into overtime to beat Memphis last time out at home. Utah is also playing with revenge in mind, having lost to Oklahoma City on the road in one of their worst losses of the season earlier this month. So Utah has all the motivational factors in place to come out with a double-digit win tonight. The Jazz are 21-7 SU & 15-12 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. the Thunder. Utah is 42-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are 14-3 ATS in home games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Utah will not lose a 5th game in a row tonight, instead they put together one of their best games of the season playing inspired basketball for four quarters. Cash in with the Jazz as the favorite.

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Tom Freese
NBA | Jan 30
Oklahoma City vs. Utah

Oklahoma City +9-110 at BODOG > 10h.
Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS their 7 road games vs. teams with a winning home record and they are 21-5 ATS their last 26 games as underdogs. The Thunder is 10-2 ATS when playing with one day of rest and they are 7-1 ATS on Friday. Utah is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games overall and they are 0-5 ATS after allowing 100 or more points in their last game. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS their last 4 home games and they are 0-4 ATS when their opponent scored 100 or more points in their last game. PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY +

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Jeff Alexander
NCAA-B | Jan 30
Yale vs. Columbia

Yale +2-105 at 5DIMES > 7h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Yale +2
Columbia has been blown out in back to back games and has dropped 5 of 6 while Yale comes in having won 5 in a row. Yale's defense is just playing too well right now for Columbia to get back in the win column tonight. First off Yale is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 at Columbia and plays on road teams as an underdog or pick (YALE) - after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are a strong 29-6 ATS since 1997. Lastly, Columbia is 9-21 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Take Yale.

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Larry Ness
NCAA-B | Jan 30
Pennsylvania vs. Harvard

Harvard -5½-108 at 5DIMES > 7h.
Penn and Princeton dominated the Ivy League for two decades but Cornell went 14-0 last year, becoming the first school other than Penn or Princeton to win an Ivy League crown since 1988 (Cornell won that year as well). Princeton's fall from grace is in its fifth year (Tigers won just six games LY and an average of 12.7 per year the previous three seasons) but Penn had won three straight Ivy League titles before last year's 13-18 season (8-6 in league play). Head coach Glen Miller won 22 games (13-1 in the Ivy League) in his first season in Philadelphia (2006-07) but so far, his Quakers have shown few signs this year of rebounding from last season's troubles. That's despite the fact that the Quakers returned 74.8 percent of their scoring and 77 percent of their rebounding totals from LY. The 6-6 Bernardini (14.5-4.1), the 6-8 Eggleston (10.4-5.9) and 6-0 guard Gaines (9.0) are all now sophomores. Senior guard Egee (7.4) and fellow senior, the 6-7 Votel (10.3-4.8), join freshman PG Rosen (7.0-3.4-4.9) plus the aforementioned sophomores, to form the nucleus of this year's team. Not much has gone right so far, as Penn is 4-10 overall and just 1-5 SU on the road, winning only at infamous NJIT! Up in Cambridge, Mass, Harvard is 9-7 overall and the Crimson did make a big 'splash' when they beat then-No. 24 Boston College 82-70, right after the Eagles had upset then-No. 1 North Carolina. Tommy Amaker underachieved at Michigan and landed at Harvard last year, going 8-22 (3-11 in the Ivy League) in his first year. The Crimson own one of the league's best players in junior guard Lin (18.1-5.6-5.0) who is joined by a handful of vets and three pretty good freshman. Senior guards Housman (7.1) and Pusar (6.1) plus 6-7 junior Miller (5.5-3.5) are the vets making contributions this year. As for those freshman, they are the 6-7 Boehm (8.1), the 6-7 Wright (7.7-5.8) and 6-5 guard Kenyi (7.2). I would have thought Penn would have shown some improvement this year but that's NOT been the case. The Quakers lost 89-79 at Harvard last year and the Crimson have already exceeded their win total from last year with 12 games remaining in their season. Lay the points with Tommy Amaker's crew.

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Black Widow
NBA | Jan 30
New Jersey Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks New Jersey Nets
+7½-105 at SPBOOK > 8h.
Widow?s NBA Free Pick for Friday:

1* on New Jersey Nets +7.5

For a team that has owned the Atlanta Hawks, it is a surprise to see the New Jersey Nets as a 7.5-point underdog them tonight. The linsemakers must be ignoring the fact that New Jersey is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. the Hawks. The best part about it for New Jersey is that they were an underdog in all 4 meetings. The Nets simply know how to play this team, and there are so many match-ups that go in New Jersey's favor here. It starts with PG Devin Harris, who had 26 points and 11 assists in his last game against Atlanta. Harris had 33 points and 10 assists in a 119-107 win at Atlanta earlier this season. Mike Bibby simply gets owned by Harris, who just finds a way to get around him and get to the basket to either score or find his teammates open looks. The Hawks won't have an answer for Harris tonight, and we expect another big game from New Jersey's floor general as he faces his favorite opponent. The Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games overall. New Jersey is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season. Take the Nets and the points as they look for a 5th straight win over the Hawks in this series.

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Dave Price
NBA | Jan 30
Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Washington Wizards +10½-105 at SPBOOK > 8h.
1 Unit Bonus Play on Wizards +10.5
Washington has been terrible on the road this season but it falls into a unique system tonight that has me confident that it will be competitive. Washington is 10-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons, actually winning in this spot by an average score of 95 to 92.6. Washington played Philly to a tight 6-point game the last time these teams faced off and it is coming off an embarrassing loss to Miami. Expect Washington to bounce back and be competitive in this spot. Take the points!

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SportsAction365

FREE NBA BASKETBALL WINNER
1/30/09
LA Clippers @ Cleveland
Prediction: Cleveland -16
Time: 7:30 PM EST

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NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS


FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Brown @ Cornell
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Brown +14

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Complimentary Selection - Jeff Benton

For Friday’s freebie in the NBA, we’ll lay the points with the once-again red-hot Celtics at Detroit.

’ll be honest with you: This one seems almost too easy. Boston is riding a nine-game winning streak, going 8-1 ATS, including seven straight covers in its last seven games. During the streak, the Celtics have won and covered four straight on the road, with an average margin of victory of 12.8 points per game, and that includes wins on back-to-back nights at Miami (98-83) and Orlando (90-80) last week.

Since Thursday’s win at the Magic, the Celtics have played just twice, and because both were lopsided home wins over the Mavericks (124-100) and Kings (119-100), the team’s starters got a lot of time to rest on the bench. In fact, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce each played less than 28 minutes in both games, meaning they (and the entire team, for that matter) should be very fresh for this one.

As for Detroit, yeah, it pulled out a 98-89 win at Minnesota on Wednesday (costing me a 15 Dime Best Bet play in the process), but the Pistons are still just 3-8 SU and ATS in their last 11 games, including 1-4 SU and ATS at home, with the winner covering the spread in each contest. If you really want a clear picture of the way both teams are going right now, consider that one day before Boston posted a 24-point beat-down of Dallas, the Mavericks went to Detroit and won 112-91 as a 3½-point underdog.

Lastly, here’s the icing on the cake: Going back to last season and including the Eastern Conference finals playoff series, the Celtics are on an 8-2 SU and a 7-3 ATS tear against the Pistons. They’re also 7-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Motown.

Given the opponent and the fact this one’s on national TV, I’m sure the Pistons will be fired up and will give a good effort, but it’s not going to be enough to hang with the defending champs, who are very much back on their game.

(based on a 1 to a 10 ? Rating)

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Al McMordie

Washington Wizards +10.5 over Philly 76ers.

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LT Profits


Pennsylvania +6.0 (-110)
Fri Jan 30 '09 7:00p
A quick glance at the records may suggest that the 9-7 Harvard Crimson have the edge when they host the 4-10 Pennsylvania Quakers tonight, but a closer look reveals that Penn has value here getting this many points.

This is actually the Ivy League opener for the Quakers, so their record is a bit deceptive, as they have played some major programs during the non-conference portion of their schedule. Remember that Penn is a Big Five school, so facing Villanova, Temple, St. Josephs and La Salle is a nice way of preparing for the weaker teams of the Ivy League.

Penn did cover the number vs. La Salle, and they also show a narrow two-point loss to Drexel and even a covering loss at North Carolina on their ledger. Harvard is obviously much more in their element, and we feel that the Quakers could only benefit by playing all those quality teams early on.

Harvard has already played two conference games, and they were already shocked here at home by Dartmouth in overtime last game as 15-point favorites. The biggest claim to fame for the Crimson so far this season is their upset win at Boston College, but do not forget that they were playing a very flat Eagles team that night that was coming off of a shocker over North Carolina.

Looking at the Pomeroy Ratings, Penn has a Strength of Schedule ranked number 127 in the nation, while Harvard has played a cream puff schedule that ranks just 318 even with that Boston College game factored in.

Look for a more toughened Penn team to fight right down to the final buzzer here.

CBB Free Pick: Pennsylvania +6 (-110)

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Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers
Friday, January 30th, 7:05 PM ET

While this line may seem steep, there is actually a lot of value with Philadelphia in this spot. The Sixers are "feeling it" right now and that means they're not going to slow down at home. Here they will take advantage of an injury-ravaged Washington team who just took yet another hit on the injury front. The Wizards just can't get healthy and, until they do, they will continue to struggle. Basically, it's already a "lost season" for Washington and they're starting to play like it! The Wizards most recent game was a 22 point loss at Miami on Wednesday. Good luck - Scott Rickenbach

Play on: Philadelphia

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Vegas experts

Charlotte Bobcats at Denver Nuggets
Friday, January 30th, 9:05 ET


At first, the Nuggets were strictly an Over team without Carmello Anthony. Now, they have gone Under in four straight. Still, Denver is 12-6 to the Over when playing below than .500 competition. Now, Anthony is expected to make his return tonight. Charlotte has gone Over in eight of 12 against Western Conference competition. Denver is also a strong Over play in non-conference games, cashing 48 of 73 tickets (including 10-5 this year).

Play on: Over

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Potsys Picks NBA
1/30/2009 PHILADELPHIA -10.5

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Potsys Picks NBA
1/30/2009
Best Bet! BOSTON -6

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Potsys Picks NBA
1/30/2009 OKLAHOMA CITY 9

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Potsys Picks CBB
1/30/2009 DARTMOUTH 1.5

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Potsys Picks CBB
1/30/2009 YALE 2.5

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Potsys Picks CBB
1/30/2009
Best Bet! PENNSYLVANIA 6

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Bullitt
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ATS Sports Club
January 30, 2009

Soccer Back of the Net Winners:

German Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs. Hamburg SV over 2.5


Dutch Eredivisie
Roda JC Kerkrade vs. SC Heracles Almelo over 2.5


French Ligue 2
Vannes OC vs. Tours over 2

Dijon FCO vs. AC Ajaccio over 2
 

Bullitt
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Raging Bull

Soccer:

Dutch Eerst Divisie (Jupiler League)

AGOVV Apeldoorn/FC Den Bosch over 3

Cambuur Leeuwarden/FC Zwolle over 3

VVV Venlo/FC Eindhoven over 2.5

German Bundesliga

Hamburg/Bayern Munich over 2.5


I am playing all of these pretty large and the 3 other games from ATS medium. For the VVV Venlo game I found 2.5 on sportsbook.com at -285 and found over 3.5 on betus.com at -130. If anyone finds an over 3 for that game anywhere let me know, I am waiting to bet that game to see if some book goes to 3.
 

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The Soccer expert for Saturday

Spain premier league:
Real Madrid to win

German league:
Hertha BSC to win

Parley:
Real Madrid to win
Hertha BSC to win
 

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Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Columbus Blue Jackets -150

Game 2 - Tampa Bay Lightning +130

Game 3 - Lightning/Flyers over 5.5
 
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Guaranteed Pick: Scott Spreitzer 25*

Game: Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons Jan 30 2009 7:05PM
Prediction: Boston Celtics
I'm laying the points with Boston on Friday.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Boston (38-9, 27-20 ATS) at Detroit (25-19, 19-25 ATS)

The Celtics bring their nine-game winning streak into the Palace at Auburn Hills for a matchup with the struggling Pistons.

Boston has been a money-making machine lately, covering the number in seven straight games and going 8-1 ATS in its last nine overall. The Celtics blew out the Kings 119-110 on Thursday, getting 24 points and nine assists from Rajon Rondo as they held on as a 17-point home favorite. Doc Rivers’ squad is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four on the highway.

Detroit has lost seven of its last 10 overall SU and ATS, including four of its last five at home (1-4 ATS). The Pistons lost at home to Houston on Sunday 108-105 as three-point favorites but rebounded with Wednesday’s 98-89 road win in Minnesota as a one-point road chalk. They have been disappointing at home this season, going 14-9 SU (7-15 ATS).

The Celtics have won four straight (3-1 ATS) in this rivalry and both meetings this season. Boston scored a 88-76 road win back on Nov. 9, cashing as a one-point underdog and then got a 98-80 victory on Nov. 20 as a 6½-point home favorite. The Celtics are 8-2 SU (7-3 ATS) in the last 10 series clashes, including last year’s Eastern Conference finals series, and 7-1 SU and ATS in Detroit.

Boston is riding a host of positive ATS streaks, including 6-0 after a spread-cover, 6-2 on Fridays, 4-0 against the Eastern Conference and 7-0 after a straight-up win. On the flip side, Detroit is on several ATS slides, including 1-5 at home, 3-7 overall, 1-7 on Fridays and 2-5 as a home ‘dog.

The Celtics are on “under” streaks of 23-7 on the road, 8-1 as a road favorite, 14-3 on the road against teams with a winning home record, 8-2 after a day off and 7-3 after a spread-cover. The Pistons are also on several “under” runs, including 8-3-1 overall, 43-19-1 as ‘dogs, 6-2-1 as a home ‘dog, 7-0 against the Atlantic Division and 20-7-1 at home against teams with a winning road record. In this rivalry, the under is 13-3 in the last 16 matchups, including 5-0 in the last five in the Motor City.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER


New Jersey (20-26, 24-22 ATS) at Atlanta (26-19, 23-22 ATS)

Two teams in desperate need of a win meet inside Philips Arena when the Nets visit the Hawks.

New Jersey has dropped seven of eight (3-5 ATS) overall, including the last (1-1 ATS). The Nets lost 107-106 to Toronto at home Wednesday but cashed as two-point ‘dogs. They have struggled mightily away from home lately, losing five of six (3-3 ATS), and they sport an 11-11 (15-7 ATS) mark on the highway for the season.

The Hawks have dropped three in a row SU and ATS, including Wednesday’s 112-104 loss to the Knicks on Wednesday as one-point favorites. They lost their last home outing, too, falling 104-99 to the Suns on Sunday as a four-point chalk. Atlanta is 17-5 SU at home this season but just 10-12 ATS.

New Jersey has owned this rivalry lately, winning and covering in four straight taking eight of the last nine SU and ATS. The Nets have already beaten Atlanta three times this season, including a 119-107 victory at Philips Arena as 9½-point underdogs. The home team has taken the cash in four of the last five.

The Nets are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven as an underdog and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 on the road against teams with a winning record, but they are on positive pointspread streaks of 14-6 on the road, 13-6 as a road ‘dog, 9-3 against the Southeast Division and 8-2 on Fridays. The Hawks are on a plethora of negative ATS runs that include 4-10 overall, 2-7 against the Eastern Conference, 2-8 as a favorite, 2-7 after a non-cover, 1-5 at home and 0-4 against the Atlantic Division.

New Jersey has stayed under the total in seven of 10 games after a straight-up loss and five of seven Friday outings, but the Nets have topped the total in four of five against the Eastern Conference and 13 of 19 as a road ‘dog. Atlanta is on “over” runs of 6-2 at home, 5-2 after a day off, 7-3 after a non-cover and 6-2 as a home favorite. In this rivalry, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 8-3-1 in the last 12 clashes in Atlanta.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW JERSEY and OVER
 
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Johnny Guild

Friday, January 30, 2009 7:00 PM EST.
Washington Wizards (9-36) at Philadelphia 76ers (22-22)

Philadelphia 76ers have won ten of their last 12 games, going 9-3 ATS and have won four of the last five meetings, including the last two clashes versus the Washington Wizards. Take the 76ers to seize an easy victory in Philly against the worse team in the NBA! Philadelphia has won the last three versus Washington at Wachovia Center and 10 of its last 13. Washington has dropped nine of its last 10 road games, 1-9 ATS.

Philadelphia 76ers -10
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Gold Sheet NBA
FRIDAY, JANUARY 30

PHILADELPHIA 100 - Washington 90—Washington hasn’t had much luck
visiting Wachovia Center, dropping last 3 visits to Philly. Despite getting all-star
type numbers from Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler, the Wizards haven’t put
up much of a fight this season, posting a 9-34 SU mark through Jan. 25. Philly,
conversely, is on an 8-1 SU run through Jan. 25 and has pulled into contention
for a playoff spot. Sixer F Elton Brand has returned to action, and he had 27 pts.
in his only meeting against Washington this season. Lou Williams came off the
bench to lead Philly with 26 in the Dec. 19 game against Washington. 08-PHI
-5' 104-89 (196), Phi -1 109-103 (193); 07-WASH -6' 116-101 (184), PHI -2 85-
84 (196), PHI +1' 101-96 (190), WASH -2 109-93 (194)

*** TORONTO 102 - Milwaukee 88—Return to action of PG Jose Calderon
will make a major difference for Toronto. Calderon (13 ppg & 9 apg) is the
trigger for the Raptor offense and burned Milwaukee for 25 pts. in Nov. 1
Toronto win at Milwaukee. Raptors have won 4 of last 5 against the Bucks at Air
Canada Centre, covering last 2 laying double digits in each game. Raptors still
reportedly considering trading Jermaine O’Neal to Miami (for Shawn Marion),
as 7-0 Andrea Bargnani can team up with Chris Bosh inside. In the meantime
interim HC Jay Triano is considering “going big,” using Bosh, O’Neal and
Bargnani together. Milwaukee C Andrew Bogut should be back in action, and
Bucks will need him against Toronto’s bigs, especially with G Michael Redd out
for the season with an ACL injury. 08-Tor +1 91-87 (192), MIL -8' 107-97 (192);
07-MIL +3 112-85 (191), TOR -10 106-75 (195), TOR -14 111-93 (204)

*** Boston 97 - DETROIT 80—Eight-game win streak through Jan. 27
proof enough that Boston has recovered and is ready to attempt to capture the
home-court edge in the east. The Celtics have handled Detroit the last few
years, winning 8 of last 10 meetings SU, and covering 7 times in that run.
Certainly, Boston has enjoyed visits to the Palace, as the Celts are 7-1 against
the number last 8 trips to the Motor City. This season Boston has done it with
defense against the Pistons, holding them to 78 ppg & 38.5% in winning both
meetings. See more of the same this time around. 08-Bos +1 88-76 (185), BOS
-7 98-80 (184); 07-Det +6' 87-85 (182), Bos +2 92-85 (181), BOS -4 90-78 (183),
BOS -4' 88-79 (174), Det +4' 103-97 (173), Bos +5' 94-80 (176), DET -6 94-75
(175), BOS -6 106-102 (173), Bos +5 89-81 (175) CABLE TV—ESPN

INDIANA 110 - Miami 99—Hot Indiana has covered 7 of last 9 through Jan.
24, with that uptick directly related to return to health of G T.J. Ford and F Mike
Dunleavy (both 15 ppg last 5 through Jan. 24). Dwyane Wade (29 ppg, 7 apg)
leading Miami this season, and he had 38 in rallying his team to a 109-100 win
in Florida Nov. 22 despite suffering from the flu that night. Heat shot 52% and
Indiana committed 21 turnovers in that game, as Pacers blew a double-digit
halftime lead. This time around Pacers have better depth, and Danny Granger
is scoring 29 ppg in January. 08-MIA -5' 109-100 (198); 07-IND -6' 87-85 (191),
Ind +5' 106-103 (207), MIA +1 98-96 (202), IND -16' 105-85 (194)

ATLANTA 98 - New Jersey 97—New Jersey has dominated the series with
Atlanta, with an 8-1 SU & spread mark last 9 against the Hawks. Net G Devin
Harris has destroyed Atlanta this season, scoring 30 ppg & pulling down 10 rpg.
Net rookie C Brook Lopez is making quick progress, averaging 15 ppg in
January (up from 10 ppg prior to this month). Meanwhile, Atlanta’s 21-10 start
has faded to a 5-6 mark in Hawks last 11 through Jan. 24, and Al Horford’s
injured knee has kept him out of the last 7 games through Jan. 24. Horford’s 11
ppg & 9 rpg were a key to early success for Atlanta, and he’ll likely take some
time to regain form once he does return. 08-NJ +3' 115-108 (191), Nj +10 119-
107 (195), NJ +4' 93-91 (OT-197); 07-NJ -4 87-82 (189), Nj +4 113-107 (187),
ATL -6' 104-92 (191), NJ +2 125-117 (197)

CLEVELAND 105 - LA Clippers 85—Cleveland is a perfect 20-0 SU at home,
and Cavs have been almost as effective against the points, compiling a 16-4
spread mark at Quicken Loans Arena through Jan. 26. Cavs couldn’t ask much
more of LeBron James lately, as he’s contributed 29 ppg, 10 rpg and 8 apg in
January. The Clippers are playing without F Zach Randolph (23 ppg, 10 rpg), C
Chris Kaman (14 ppg, 9 rpg) and PG Baron Davis (17 ppg & 8 apg), and now
Marcus Camby is limping with a sprained ankle. The L.A. starting lineup bears
no resemblance to what HC Mike Dunleavy had in mind when the season
started. Camby & 2nd-year man Al Thornton are surrounded by D-League level
talent and improving rookie G Eric Gordon (23 ppg in January), but it’s clearly not
enough, as 2-14 SU mark last 16 through Jan. 24 would attest. 07-Cle -1 103-
95 (193), CLE -10 98-84 (182)

LA Lakers 108 - MINNESOTA 96—Lakers must still bristle at the sight of
Minny HC/GM and ex-Celtic Kevin McHale, as they are 8-1 SU last 9 against
Minnesota, with just 1 Timberwolf cover in the last 5 in series. Lakers seem very
focused on attaining home-court edge in playoffs, and Jackson’s crew begins a
6-game road trip in this one. Lakers are getting a major bonus from C Andrew
Bynum, who had 26 ppg & 14 rpg in last 3 games thru Jan. 26, taking the scoring
burden off of Kobe Bryant, who injured a finger on his shooting hand. Minny
playing very well of late, winning 8 of last 10 thru Jan. 24, after a 6-25 start,
thanks to Randy Foye’s 21 ppg in January. Still, don’t feel comfortable bucking
Lakers. 08-LA -15 98-86 (210); 07-LA -10' 107-93 (201), La -7' 116-95 (204), La
-9' 117-92 (203)

UTAH 103 - Oklahoma City 98—Utah will remember the last meeting against
OKC, as the Thunder handed the Jazz a humiliating 21-point setback on Jan. 14.
Rookie Russell Westbrook had 22 pts. & 7 ast., while Nenad Krstic pulled down
11 rebounds to back up Jeff Green’s 23 points for Oklahoma City in that one.
The Thunder dominated the glass with a 48-26 rebounding edge. OKC is 6-6 SU
in last 12 through Jan. 25, a marked improvement over 3-29 start, as Scott
Brooks’ crew making some progress. Thunder/Sonics have covered 10 of last
13 in series, and 6 of last 7 in Salt Lake City, where the Jazz have dropped 4 of
last 6 against the spread through Jan. 26. 08-UTAH -11' 104-97 (184), OKLA +5'
114-93 (202); 07-Utah -6 103-101 (212), UTAH -12' 96-75 (212), Utah -6' 112-93
(207), UTAH -20' 115-101 (219)

DENVER 99 - Charlotte 94—Charlotte has covered last 6 (5-1 SU) through
Jan. 24, as ex-Suns Raja Bell (16 ppg in recent run) and Boris Diaw (13 ppg, 5
apg & 7 rpg since being acquired by the Bobcats) both making contributions.
Nuggets have held the edge in series, however, covering 6 of last 8 against
Charlotte, and Denver F Carmelo Anthony is planning on returning to action in
this game after missing the last 7 games through Jan. 24 with a hand injury. No
wonder Anthony wants to play against the Bobcats, as he has scored 30 ppg and
shot over 55% the last 3+ seasons against Charlotte. 08-Den -3 88-80 (197); 07-
CHA +4' 119-116 (209), DEN -13 117-101 (213)

NEW ORLEANS 104 - Golden St. 99—New Orleans is an ordinary 3-5 against
the points last 8 at New Orleans Arena through Jan. 25, and Golden State
definitely on an uptick. Warriors have a 6-3 spread mark last 9 through same
date, with return to action of Monta Ellis and Stephen Jackson coming just in
time, as Jamal Crawford (hamstring) and Marco Belinelli (ankle) went down with
injuries. There’s a chance both Crawford and Belinelli could be ready to go
against the Hornets for this game. New Orleans has injury problems of its own,
as both C Tyson Chandler and F David West (back spasms) are out of action at
this writing. Hornets covered just 1 of last 5 vs. the Warriors, and N.O. might get
caught in a lookahead to the game against San Antonio tomorrow night. 08-No
-7 108-103 (207); 07-No +3 116-104 (208), Gs +8' 116-103 (217), NO -5 108-96
(221) TV—ESPN

Chicago 104 - SACRAMENTO 100—Sacramento is just 3-14 vs. the number
last 17 at home, and HC Kenny Natt produced only a 4-16 SU mark in his first 20
games after taking over for Reggie Theus. With C Brad Miller apparently being
shopped around in trade talks, not interested in backing the Kings despite
Chicago’s poor road performance this season (5-16 SU away from home). King
G Kevin Martin outdueled Bull counterpart Ben Gordon in first meeting this
season, but Martin didn’t have as much help as Gordon in 5-point Chicago win
(but no cover) on Jan. 6. Bulls will definitely have a shot if they can get F Drew
Gooden back in action (he’s out with a groin problem at this writing). 08-CHI -
9 99-94 (211); 07-CHI -8 94-93 (192), SAC -8 105-101 (199)
 
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Messages
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Gold Sheet CBB
FRIDAY, JANUARY 30

Princeton over DARTMOUTH by 1 to 3—07-PRIN -5 57-53, DART +1' 71-52

BUTLER 73 - Valparaiso 51—Butler beginning to shed its reputation as a
“low-variance” performer, as maturing Bulldogs have extended margins on
multiple occasions in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Valpo HC Homer Drew still
searching for go-to threats, with only F Igbavboa (11 ppg) averaging double
digits. 08-But -8 75-62; 07-BUT -10' 73-65, But -3 71-68 CABLE TV—ESPNU

COLUMBIA over Yale by 1 to 3—07-Col +7' 71-58, COL -2' 68-62
CORNELL over Brown by 20 to 24—07-Cor +3 75-64, COR -5' 74-65
HARVARD over Penn by 11 to 14—07-PENN -2 73-69, HAR -3 89-79
 

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