Service Plays Final Four Saturday 4/2/16

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SSI

Risked 5 units to win 6 Oklahoma U +120 vs Villanova
Risked 5 units to win 4.76 North Carolina -9 -105 vs Syracuse
 

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Anyone have goodfella triple bomb for ncaab Saturday? Or fezzik triple for sat?
 
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Root Trust Basketball Service

Perfect Play
Syracuse (+9½) over North Carolina
7:49 PM (EDT) -- NRG Stadium
Perfect Play-- Syracuse Here''s your first bulletin. Expect North Carolina to have a tougher time against the upstart Orange than any game they''ve played thus far. Malachi Richardson is an amazing freshman guard causing havoc. His play is inspiring the rest of the Cuse players. North Carolina swept Syracuse in the regular season, but it''s difficult to beat a good team three times in a season. And Syracuse has hit its stride. In their last meeting on Feb. 29, a 75-70 loss, the Orange showed glimpses of how they could beat North Carolina. Full-court pressure propelled the Orange in wins against Gonzaga and Virginia, and the signature 2-3 zone has never looked better. Their players arms are very long and make shots very difficult (they are measured and recruited that way). The Tar Heels are not the greatest shooting team from 3-point land and with hands and arms in your face, their success will not get better. Syracuse has turned into one of our favorite ''underdog'' teams in the tournament. The Orange have parlayed excellent defense (56 PPG) into a winning effort as they''ve slid by quality team after quality team. Syracuse''s defense creates their offense and they could easily upset Carolina
Game time conditions: | Temp: ° | Wind from the at mph | Cloud cover:

Pinnacle
Villanova (-2) over Oklahoma
5:09 PM (EDT) -- NRG Stadium
Pinnacle-- Villanova - ***Final 4 Game of Year The Villanova Wildcats are fresh off a stunning 64-59 upset over tournament-favorite Kansas, which only serves as reason to believe leading scorers Josh Hart, Kris Kenkins, and Ryan Arcidiacono can advance to the title game. Coach Jay Wright has a few weapons to throw at a Sooners defense that’s surrendered 70 points a contest during the tournament; like 78 ppg. Defensively the Wildcats are excellent, allowing only 63.5 points per game, ranking them 15th overall, and hold opponents to 40.5 % shooting. The Sooners are a jump shooting team and that could play into the Wildcats defense pressure. On offense, the Wildcats are balanced and wear teams down mentally and physically by moving the ball and finding the open man. Nova is a team that plays tight, disciplined defense, and that allows the Wildcats to control the tempo. Buddy Hield for Oklahoma, the player of the year, will score 30+ points but the Wildcats have more scoring punch to overcome his offense. There are no weak links on this Nova squad.
Game time conditions: | Temp: ° | Wind from the at mph | Cloud cover:
 

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Ken Thomson | CBB ML - Saturday, Apr 2 2016 6:05PM
ML 811 Villanova (-130) Pinnacle vs 812 Oklahoma triple-dime bet

Analysis:Didn't want to rush into the play so I waited. In this game vs. Oklahoma I expect Villanova to play a similar style game they played vs. Kansas. In that game, the Wildcats were very efficient on each possession. They knew if they played up tempo with Kansas they would be in trouble. By shortening the game they never let Jayhawk star Perry Ellis get on track. Their perimeter defense was pretty solid although they let Devonte Graham open too many times. The rest of the team got nothing uncontested.
I was at the 2011 Final Four at NRG in Houston. One of the worst games ever played in the Final game was Butler vs. UConn. The Final Score was 53-41 UConn. Butler made three 2-point buckets the entire game. They shot ( 12 of 64 ) for the game, a whopping 18.8%. UConn was just ( 1 of 11 ) from three point range and shot 34% from the floor.
With the depth perception at NRG, long range shooting has been a ni ’ghtmare. Buddy Hield grew up in the Bahamas shooting into square milk crates at 6 AM & 11 PM so he's not going to whine about the conditions. If he's able to master the Football Stadium venue, the Sooners can win easily. Heck, they blew out Nova in Pearl Harbor by 23 earlier this season. I'm thinking that even Buddy Love will suffer from distance on Saturday. If Jay Wright's Cats can play as disciplined against Oklahoma as they did vs. Kansas then I think the Cats beat the Sooners. In the Kansas game Kris Jenkins was saddled the entire game in foul trouble and could never get a feel for the game. Ryan Arcidiacono played a cerebral game from wire to wire and Daniel Ochefu was able to go around Landon Collins several times in the paint. I need to see more of that play from the Cats. I think Ochefu can go around Khadeem Lattin for some easy buckets. I think Nova will work the ball around and take solid, quality shots and that will be the difference in the game- I like Nova 70-63 in this one!


Pick Made: Apr 1 2016 9:35AM PST​
 

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GoodFella | CBB Money Line Sat, 04/02/16 - 6:05 PM
triple-dime bet
ml 811 Villanova (-130) Southpoint vs 812 Oklahoma Analysis:
"Final Four GOM" 3* on VILLANOVA $$line

More on the play coming in Saturday morning. The bottom line for me here, is that I have Villanova winning this game by at least 6 poÎints.
 
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Ralph Michaels - California Sports

#811 2.5* Villanova -2 Oklahoma 6:05 PM

#811/812 1.5* UNDER 145.5

The Wildcats are playing a zone for the FIRST time ever under HC Jay Wright and as you would expect its been a work in progress making their first meeting with OU an understandable blowout loss. The Sooners are a 3 pt shooting team and made 13 in their last game but Villanova can defend them. Kansas was the #4 team in the Country in 3 pt shooting yet they were held to 22.2% versus Nova. Also in their last 7 games the Wildcats held all 7 foes to under 70 points and even more impressive they held those 7 teams to 10 ppg under their season scoring average.


#813 1* Syracuse +9.5 North Carolina 8:45 PM

#813/814 1* UNDER 145.5

These are the only here because its the Final Four. Syracuse came back from big deficits versus Gonzaga and Virginia when they went to their press. North Carolina basically has two point guards and are the best in the county not only burning the press but turning it into quick points. However with the third meeting this season and Cuse only losing the pair by 6 ppg it's a very small lean.



PROPS IF YOU CAN PLAY THEM

3* Daniel Ochefu OVER 10 points

Ochefu averaged 10 ppg this season but in this tourney his minutes have gone from 23 min/gm to 28 min/gm, That coupled with a a 6'11" frame versus either of Oklahoma front court players (6'8" 230 & 6'9" 215) give him an edge. This venue is also one of the toughest on outside shooters as it is cavernous so expect them to look inside more that they have in the past.

3* Jordan Woodard OVER 13 points

Woodard is avg 13 ppg on the season so no surprise this is where the number is at. However, OU HC Lon Krueger did something very unusual and switch the main ball handler about 5 games ago giving Isiah Cousins the job. That allows Woodard to shoot more and he's done so avg 18 ppg in the tourney. With Villanova's main goal to stop Buddy Heild that puts less pressure on their number 2 option which will be Woodard here.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | INDIANA at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
42-16 since 1997. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NBA | INDIANA at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a horrible rebounding team (<=-5.5 Reb/G) - 42+ games
25-7 since 1997. ( 78.1% | 18.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | INDIANA at PHILADELPHIA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
118-67 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.8% | 44.3 units )
45-32 this year. ( 58.4% | 9.8 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | SYRACUSE at N CAROLINA
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, in a post-season tournament game
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
17-15 this year. ( 53.1% | 0.5 units )

CBB | SYRACUSE at N CAROLINA
Play On - Neutral court teams (N CAROLINA) excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
660-473 since 1997. ( 58.3% | 77.6 units )
90-72 this year. ( 55.6% | -17.1 units )

CBB | SYRACUSE at N CAROLINA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse
76-37 since 1997. ( 67.3% | 35.3 units )
11-7 this year. ( 61.1% | 3.3 units )
 

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