Service Plays Columbus Day Monday 10/13/08

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CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 9 - 13, 2008 No. 7

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average
CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team


10 N.Y. GIANTS over *Cleveland
Late Score Forecast:
N.Y. GIANTS 31 - *Cleveland 13
(Monday, October 13)

Giants’ strengths way too many in this matchup. Solid at QB. Aggressive and still underrated in the OL. Three deep at RB. Plaxico Burress due to return at WR after his suspension. Intimidating pass rush. Highly-ranked run defense. Improved young depth in the secondary. A demanding but more simpatico coach who generates a daily work ethic second to few. And, best yet for this game, a warrior mentality on the road that has produced a 12- game road unbeaten string and ten straight covers away from home. Meanwhile, Cleveland RB Jamal Lewis (3.4 ypc) has lost a step, QB Derek Anderson (49.6%, 3 TDs, 6 ints.) has failed to justify his new deal, and the injurythinned
defense has produced only 6 sacks in 4 games. CKO scouts say Giants fully aware they can’t afford a misstep in the rugged NFC East.
 
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Pointwise NFL


MONDAY
New York Giants 34 - CLEVELAND 13 - (8:35 - ESPN) -- These 2 sure had
classic all-out wars in the old NFL days. Obviously, they are miles apart now, as the Giants continue to impress. A 523-187 yd edge over Seattle LW, with a 7.1 ypr showing. Eli? Try 65-of-97 the last 3 games. NY has won its last twelve away games, & is 13-2 ATS away. Brown "D" has held 7 of last 8 opponents <20 pts, but Anderson is just 3/6 for the year. NY is 11-2 away off a SU win of at least 14 pts, while the Browns are 10-16 ATS off a win. Giants rank in the top 8 in all 8 major stat categories, while Cleveland checks in with the worst "O" in the NFL.
 
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GOLDSHEET - NFL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 13
*NY Giants 27 - CLEVELAND 16—Considering the expected kamikaze
effort from Cleveland, it’s tempting to give the Browns consideration as a
substantial dog. But not THAT tempting, as Cleveland has many areas of
concern. Meanwhile, the unbeaten Giants—whose performance hardly
suffered vs. Seattle minus Plaxico Burress—take a 12-game road unbeaten
string and 10 straight covers as visitor to the shores of Lake Erie. Besides,
Derek Anderson (49.6%, 3 TDs, 6 ints.) has been shaken this season by less menacing obstacles than N.Y.’s formidable pass rush, and the possible switch to Brady Quinn not likely to boost the Brownies vs. this foe. CABLE TV—ESPN (2007 Preseason: NY GIANTS -2 beat Cleveland 37-34 at New York) (04-NY GIANTS -3' 27-10...SR: Cleveland 26-20-2)
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WILD BILL

Over 43 Browns-Giants (5 units)

Game 3 ALCS

Red Sox -175 vs Garza (5 units)
 
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VEGAS VIC

BROWNS (+8) over Giants (ESPN)

Defending Super Bowl champs at 4-0 against a bunch of misfits from Cleveland. Why buy the Brownies? They have covered an astounding eight of the last 10 at home.
 
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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Bengals ( 9-1/2) Sunday.

Today it's the Red Sox, Dodgers and Browns. The deficit is 80 sirignanos.
 
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HONDO

October 13, 2008

The Dodgers took advantage of an old man last night, beating up on Moyer to cut Hondo's collection of hard-earned disposable dead presidents to 465 peskys.

Tonight, he'll lay the heavy lumber with the Bo sawx - 10 units on Lester.
 

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Jim Feist

(7) NJ Devils
(8) NY Rangers
Take "Under"
Martin Brodeur is in mid-season form for the Devils after a very nice effort on Friday against the Islanders, 2-1. Brodeur made 25 saves in the win. The win was his 539th of his career, just 12 shy of the league mark held by Patrick Roy. .5?Marty is Marty; he is the best goalie of all time,.5? said center Brian Rolston. .5?He was awesome again tonight, and unfortunately that is what everyone is expecting of him..5? The new look Rangers are also coming together well as a team. They picked up free agent Markus Naslund in the off season. Jaromir Jagr, who was the focal point of this team for four years, has left for Russia. Also gone is forward Sean Avery. So far the new chemistry is working well for the Rangers who are 4-0 and atop the Atlantic division. The Rangers have allowed just seven goals in four games and no power plays. The Devils have allowed just two goals in two games behind their veteran goaltender. This game should be very physical as we look for a low scoring affair. Take the Under here on Monday between the Rangers and Devils.
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Bill Gallo
<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1e1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->5-0 this year on these bets
Giants -8
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Jimmy The Moose

Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals

With Roberto Luongo in net the Canucks have been known as a low-scoring defensive team but so far this season they are scorong goals. After two games the Canucks have scored 11 goals and both of their games have played over the total. In the off-season the Capitals made a change between the pipes bringing in Jose Theodore and after two games he's looked, ok. The Capitals have allowed 9 goals in two games this season while scoring 8 and both of their games have played over the total. Expect another high-scoring game today.

Play on: Over
 

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Dr. Bob

Opinion

NY Giants (-7.5) 24 CLEVELAND 17

The Browns have not come close to resembling the high-scoring team of last season, as quarterback Derek Anderson has simply not been able to connect with his receivers down the field. Anderson has thrown the ball to star WR Braylon Edwards 30 times this season for a total of just 95 yards as Edwards is up against double and triple teaming. Getting Donte Stallworth in the lineup this week will help, as he has yet to play and will cause defenses to shade a safety towards his side, but Cleveland still is probably a below average offense that won’t have too many opportunities to score against a very good Giants defense that has allowed just 4.1 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl against an average defensive team. The Giants are clicking on offense too at 6.8 yppl, but Cleveland’s defense has been solid since allowing 7.9 yppl to the Cowboys in their opener (they’ve now allowed 5.5 yppl for the season against teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average team). My math model favors New York by 13 ½ points, but bad teams coming off their bye week tend to be very good bets as big home underdogs. In fact, teams with losing records (after 3 games or more) coming off their bye week are an incredible 24-3 ATS as home underdogs of 6 points. The Giants have covered 10 straight on the road, but I don’t want to mess with a 24-3 ATS situation so I’ll pass.
 
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WUNDERDOG HORSES

BELMONT PARK Race #4 at 2:30 PM Eastern

Top pick: #7 (COOL TALES) - Shortens up a furlong and gets blinkers on for trainer Jimmy Jerkens. Nice post to use his speed from at this distance, and he's a legitimate wire-to-wire threat.​
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2nd pick: #4 (Charging Hero) - Makes his first start for trainer Greg DiPrima after a claim in mid-August at Saratoga. Freshening is a strong point for the trainer (24%) and his last two works are way above average.​
3rd pick: #3 (Masterwork) - Comes back quickly after breaking his maiden just three days ago at this distance. Trainer (Richard Dutrow) has pulled this off in the past and colt must be considered.​
 

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