Scott Spreitzer's CFB Friday Night Bookie-Buster! 38-18, 68%!
I'm taking the points with Tulsa on Friday. It has taken the Golden Hurricane no time at all to grasp new HC Todd Graham's no-huddle-based system. QB Paul Smith has the spread-attack firing on all cylinders. The senior QB has thrown for 761 yards at over 11 yards per pass in Tulsa's first two games. But Tulsa is not just about the pass. Tarrion Adams is averaging 104 RYPG, keeping opposing defenses honest. Now, this will be the best opposing defense they've faced yet. But it will also be an Oklahoma offense with a RSFR making his first road start at QB. Bradford, Murray and company have been unbelievably good. But let's not forget they were up against North Texas & Utah State in two of those wins. We used OU when they rocked Miami, but we will take the points in this one with Tulsa, who are 3-1-1 ATS against the Sooners. The Golden Hurricane are my Friday night release. Thanks! GL! Scott.
I'm taking the points with Tulsa on Friday. It has taken the Golden Hurricane no time at all to grasp new HC Todd Graham's no-huddle-based system. QB Paul Smith has the spread-attack firing on all cylinders. The senior QB has thrown for 761 yards at over 11 yards per pass in Tulsa's first two games. But Tulsa is not just about the pass. Tarrion Adams is averaging 104 RYPG, keeping opposing defenses honest. Now, this will be the best opposing defense they've faced yet. But it will also be an Oklahoma offense with a RSFR making his first road start at QB. Bradford, Murray and company have been unbelievably good. But let's not forget they were up against North Texas & Utah State in two of those wins. We used OU when they rocked Miami, but we will take the points in this one with Tulsa, who are 3-1-1 ATS against the Sooners. The Golden Hurricane are my Friday night release. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Russ Culver +10.45u ytd bases
Marlins +153
Brewers +158
Rockies +185
Royals +184
Blue Jays +165
A's +163
Devil Rays +128
White Sox +174
Houston-St. Louis UNDER 9 -115 (Backe-Pineiro)
Cincinnati-SF UNDER 9 Even (Belisle-Misch)
KC-Detroit UNDER 10 -113 (Buckner-Jurrjens)
Oakland-Cleveland UNDER 8 1/2 -110 (Blanton-Carmona)
Baltimore-Texas UNDER 11 -110 (Santos-Mendoza)
Marlins +153
Brewers +158
Rockies +185
Royals +184
Blue Jays +165
A's +163
Devil Rays +128
White Sox +174
Houston-St. Louis UNDER 9 -115 (Backe-Pineiro)
Cincinnati-SF UNDER 9 Even (Belisle-Misch)
KC-Detroit UNDER 10 -113 (Buckner-Jurrjens)
Oakland-Cleveland UNDER 8 1/2 -110 (Blanton-Carmona)
Baltimore-Texas UNDER 11 -110 (Santos-Mendoza)
NFL Service Plays
Is there a NFL Service Plays thread started yet?
Does anyone have Doc's 6* for Sunday. He states he posted yesterday.
Here is some of ASA's:
Pro Football Picks <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
></o>
9/23/2007<o></o>
12:00:00 PM San Diego Chargers (-4.5) <o></o>
over GREEN BAY PACKERS <o></o>
San Diego (-4.5) over Green Bay<o></o>
Sunday – 1:00 pm EST <o></o>
The 2-0 Packers may have a better record than the 1-1 Chargers but that certainly doesn’t make Green Bay the better team. Green Bay’s two wins have come against Philadelphia and New York, which are a combined 0-4 this season. San Diego, conversely, have played Chicago (won 14-3) and New England (lost 38-14), two teams that are among the best in football and are a combined 4-0. <o></o>
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San Diego’s ugly loss to the Patriots last week puts the Packers in a bad spot. The Chargers will want to rebound from that disappointing effort in a big way so will give Green Bay everything they have, especially LaDainian Tomlinson. The reigning MVP has been held in check through two games but should find plenty of running room against the Packers. <o></o>
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The Green Bay defense has rightfully earned itself a strong reputation but it has also struggled in stopping the run. The Packers have allowed their opposition to run for 4.4 yards per carry, 23rd in the NFL, so far. New York backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.0 yards per carry in totaling 90 yards last week. Look for Tomlinson to blow those numbers away. <o></o>
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Brett Favre and the Green Bay passing game looked to be in top form last week but that came against New York’s 32nd-ranked pass defense. A better example of Green Bay’s passing game would be its Week 1 performance against Philly. The Packers were limited to 4.9 yards per attempt in that game and will be hard-pressed to match that in this game. Combine that with Green Bay’s abysmal running attack and the Packers will have all kinds of difficulty moving the ball against the Chargers. <o></o>
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The Packers may have won their last six games dating back to last season but this is an extremely bad spot for them. They are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home dog and won’t improve upon that record in this one. San Diego will have extra motivation on its side following last week’s loss and will take it out on the Green Bay. Take the Chargers minus the points.<o></o>
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College Football Picks <o></o>
9/22/2007<o></o>
11:00:00 AM North Carolina Tar Heels (+13) <o></o>
over SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS <o></o>
ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o></o>
9/22/2007<o></o>
3:30:00 PM HOUSTON COUGARS (-7) <o></o>
over Colorado State Rams <o></o>
ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o></o>
9/22/2007<o></o>
5:00:00 PM BUFFALO BULLS (+3) <o></o>
over Baylor Bears <o></o>
ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o></o>
9/22/2007<o></o>
9:00:00 PM ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (-12) <o></o>
over Oregon State Beavers
Is there a NFL Service Plays thread started yet?
Does anyone have Doc's 6* for Sunday. He states he posted yesterday.
Here is some of ASA's:
Pro Football Picks <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>9/23/2007<o
></o>12:00:00 PM San Diego Chargers (-4.5) <o
></o>over GREEN BAY PACKERS <o
></o>San Diego (-4.5) over Green Bay<o
></o>Sunday – 1:00 pm EST <o
></o>The 2-0 Packers may have a better record than the 1-1 Chargers but that certainly doesn’t make Green Bay the better team. Green Bay’s two wins have come against Philadelphia and New York, which are a combined 0-4 this season. San Diego, conversely, have played Chicago (won 14-3) and New England (lost 38-14), two teams that are among the best in football and are a combined 4-0. <o
></o><o
></o>San Diego’s ugly loss to the Patriots last week puts the Packers in a bad spot. The Chargers will want to rebound from that disappointing effort in a big way so will give Green Bay everything they have, especially LaDainian Tomlinson. The reigning MVP has been held in check through two games but should find plenty of running room against the Packers. <o
></o><o
></o>The Green Bay defense has rightfully earned itself a strong reputation but it has also struggled in stopping the run. The Packers have allowed their opposition to run for 4.4 yards per carry, 23rd in the NFL, so far. New York backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.0 yards per carry in totaling 90 yards last week. Look for Tomlinson to blow those numbers away. <o
></o><o
></o>Brett Favre and the Green Bay passing game looked to be in top form last week but that came against New York’s 32nd-ranked pass defense. A better example of Green Bay’s passing game would be its Week 1 performance against Philly. The Packers were limited to 4.9 yards per attempt in that game and will be hard-pressed to match that in this game. Combine that with Green Bay’s abysmal running attack and the Packers will have all kinds of difficulty moving the ball against the Chargers. <o
></o><o
></o>The Packers may have won their last six games dating back to last season but this is an extremely bad spot for them. They are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home dog and won’t improve upon that record in this one. San Diego will have extra motivation on its side following last week’s loss and will take it out on the Green Bay. Take the Chargers minus the points.<o
></o><o
></o><o
></o><o
></o>College Football Picks <o
></o>9/22/2007<o
></o>11:00:00 AM North Carolina Tar Heels (+13) <o
></o>over SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS <o
></o>ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o
></o>9/22/2007<o
></o>3:30:00 PM HOUSTON COUGARS (-7) <o
></o>over Colorado State Rams <o
></o>ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o
></o>9/22/2007<o
></o>5:00:00 PM BUFFALO BULLS (+3) <o
></o>over Baylor Bears <o
></o>ASA - Check back after 5:00 pm for full analysis. <o
></o>9/22/2007<o
></o>9:00:00 PM ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (-12) <o
></o>over Oregon State Beavers
Ben Burns' Friday Night Game of the Month WINNER!
I'm taking the points with TULSA. This line has moved several points giving us excellent value on the home underdog. Yes, Oklahoma is extremely powerful and has looked very impressive. However, we only have to look back to the last meeting between these teams (9/10/05) to see that funny things can happen in instate rivalries. That game was played at Norman and the Sooners were favored by 30.5 points. However, the Golden Hurricane had a 344-269 edge in total yards and a 21-14 edge in first downs. This year, the Golden Hurricane get to play at home and come off a momentum-building win over BYU which saw them score a whopping 55 points. That brought them to 2-0 SU/ATS for the season and 7-2 ATS the last nine times they were listed as underdogs. Note that Senior QB Paul Smith, the C-USA offensive player of the week, completed 21 of 35 passes for a career-best 454 yards and a career-high five touchdowns vs. BYU. This game means more to Tulsa than it does to Oklahoma and I look for the Smith and co. to score enough points to cover the inflated number. *Friday Night Game of the Month
Ben Burns' Friday "Best Bet" BLOWOUT WINNER!
I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. It's been a bad year for the defending champions and they've been in a real funk to close out the season. However, they've still got plenty of pride and I fully expect them to bounce back from yesterday's 18-1 embarrassment. Pineiro, who has a 2.57 ERA in three starts vs. the Astros, gets the call and he's pitched very well at home. In fact, he is 3-0 (team is 4-0) with a 3.04 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium. He'll face Houston's Brandon Backe. Backe, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery, has only made one road start this season. He got hit hard in that outing, giving up eight hits, three walks (0 K's) and four runs in 5 2/3 innings. Backe is also 1-1 with a 6.29 ERA in four starts and five relief appearances against the Cardinals. In his last two starts here he gave up 20 hits and 13 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings. It's also worth noting that the Astros bullpen has a 5.35 ERA and 1.505 WHIP on the road. As a team, the Astros have performed poorly in the role of small road underdogs, going an ugly 21-41 (-18) since 2005 when listed as a road underdog in the +100 to +125 range. Behihd another quality effort from Pineiro, look for the Cards to "bounce back," improving to 13-8 the last 21 times they were a host in this series.
I'm taking the points with TULSA. This line has moved several points giving us excellent value on the home underdog. Yes, Oklahoma is extremely powerful and has looked very impressive. However, we only have to look back to the last meeting between these teams (9/10/05) to see that funny things can happen in instate rivalries. That game was played at Norman and the Sooners were favored by 30.5 points. However, the Golden Hurricane had a 344-269 edge in total yards and a 21-14 edge in first downs. This year, the Golden Hurricane get to play at home and come off a momentum-building win over BYU which saw them score a whopping 55 points. That brought them to 2-0 SU/ATS for the season and 7-2 ATS the last nine times they were listed as underdogs. Note that Senior QB Paul Smith, the C-USA offensive player of the week, completed 21 of 35 passes for a career-best 454 yards and a career-high five touchdowns vs. BYU. This game means more to Tulsa than it does to Oklahoma and I look for the Smith and co. to score enough points to cover the inflated number. *Friday Night Game of the Month
Ben Burns' Friday "Best Bet" BLOWOUT WINNER!
I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. It's been a bad year for the defending champions and they've been in a real funk to close out the season. However, they've still got plenty of pride and I fully expect them to bounce back from yesterday's 18-1 embarrassment. Pineiro, who has a 2.57 ERA in three starts vs. the Astros, gets the call and he's pitched very well at home. In fact, he is 3-0 (team is 4-0) with a 3.04 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium. He'll face Houston's Brandon Backe. Backe, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery, has only made one road start this season. He got hit hard in that outing, giving up eight hits, three walks (0 K's) and four runs in 5 2/3 innings. Backe is also 1-1 with a 6.29 ERA in four starts and five relief appearances against the Cardinals. In his last two starts here he gave up 20 hits and 13 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings. It's also worth noting that the Astros bullpen has a 5.35 ERA and 1.505 WHIP on the road. As a team, the Astros have performed poorly in the role of small road underdogs, going an ugly 21-41 (-18) since 2005 when listed as a road underdog in the +100 to +125 range. Behihd another quality effort from Pineiro, look for the Cards to "bounce back," improving to 13-8 the last 21 times they were a host in this series.
Lenny Del Genio
15* AL Underdog of the Week
Play on the Devil Rays at 7:10 ET. Boston's division lead has been reduced to 1 1/2 games, its slimmest since it held that margin on April 24. The second-place New York Yankees, who have won four straight and 12 of 14, were seven games out of first as recently as Sept. 3. The Red Sox (90-63), who had a season-high 12-game lead on July 5, are trying to avoid losing five straight for the first time since a six-game skid from Aug. 25-30, 2006. The good news for Boston is that Josh Beckett (19-6, 3.20 ERA) takes the mound tonight. He won a third straight start by out-dueling Chien-Ming Wang in a 10-1 home win over the Yankees on Saturday. Since losing his final two starts of July, Beckett is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA with 57 strikeouts over 56 2-3 innings. He is 10-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 road starts this season. The bad news is the team seems to be "gagging" and it will face lefty Scott Kazmir (13-8, 3.54 ERA). The Red Sox are minus-$915 in '07 versus lefties, going 12-15 (minus-$660) on the road. Kazmir is 4-0 in his last five starts, including holding the Red Sox and Mariners without a run (just eight total hits by the two teams) in his last two outings (13 innings). His strikeout-to-walk ratio in the two games is 21-4! The Devil Rays are a completely different team with Kazmir on the hill and that's not such a fancy slogan. The numbers reveal that with Kazmir starting, the Devil Rays are 19-13 (plus-$714) and when he's not, they are only 44-77 (minus-$1,908). Beckett or no Beckett, the Devil Rays are my 15* AL Underdog of the Week.
15* AL Underdog of the Week
Play on the Devil Rays at 7:10 ET. Boston's division lead has been reduced to 1 1/2 games, its slimmest since it held that margin on April 24. The second-place New York Yankees, who have won four straight and 12 of 14, were seven games out of first as recently as Sept. 3. The Red Sox (90-63), who had a season-high 12-game lead on July 5, are trying to avoid losing five straight for the first time since a six-game skid from Aug. 25-30, 2006. The good news for Boston is that Josh Beckett (19-6, 3.20 ERA) takes the mound tonight. He won a third straight start by out-dueling Chien-Ming Wang in a 10-1 home win over the Yankees on Saturday. Since losing his final two starts of July, Beckett is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA with 57 strikeouts over 56 2-3 innings. He is 10-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 road starts this season. The bad news is the team seems to be "gagging" and it will face lefty Scott Kazmir (13-8, 3.54 ERA). The Red Sox are minus-$915 in '07 versus lefties, going 12-15 (minus-$660) on the road. Kazmir is 4-0 in his last five starts, including holding the Red Sox and Mariners without a run (just eight total hits by the two teams) in his last two outings (13 innings). His strikeout-to-walk ratio in the two games is 21-4! The Devil Rays are a completely different team with Kazmir on the hill and that's not such a fancy slogan. The numbers reveal that with Kazmir starting, the Devil Rays are 19-13 (plus-$714) and when he's not, they are only 44-77 (minus-$1,908). Beckett or no Beckett, the Devil Rays are my 15* AL Underdog of the Week.
Ben Burns
Friday Night Game of the Month WINNER!
I'm taking the points with TULSA. This line has moved several points giving us excellent value on the home underdog. Yes, Oklahoma is extremely powerful and has looked very impressive. However, we only have to look back to the last meeting between these teams (9/10/05) to see that funny things can happen in instate rivalries. That game was played at Norman and the Sooners were favored by 30.5 points. However, the Golden Hurricane had a 344-269 edge in total yards and a 21-14 edge in first downs. This year, the Golden Hurricane get to play at home and come off a momentum-building win over BYU which saw them score a whopping 55 points. That brought them to 2-0 SU/ATS for the season and 7-2 ATS the last nine times they were listed as underdogs. Note that Senior QB Paul Smith, the C-USA offensive player of the week, completed 21 of 35 passes for a career-best 454 yards and a career-high five touchdowns vs. BYU. This game means more to Tulsa than it does to Oklahoma and I look for the Smith and co. to score enough points to cover the inflated number.
*Friday Night Game of the Month
Tulsa Hurricanes
Ben Burns
Friday "Best Bet" BLOWOUT WINNER!
I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. It's been a bad year for the defending champions and they've been in a real funk to close out the season. However, they've still got plenty of pride and I fully expect them to bounce back from yesterday's 18-1 embarrassment. Pineiro, who has a 2.57 ERA in three starts vs. the Astros, gets the call and he's pitched very well at home. In fact, he is 3-0 (team is 4-0) with a 3.04 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium. He'll face Houston's Brandon Backe. Backe, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery, has only made one road start this season. He got hit hard in that outing, giving up eight hits, three walks (0 K's) and four runs in 5 2/3 innings. Backe is also 1-1 with a 6.29 ERA in four starts and five relief appearances against the Cardinals. In his last two starts here he gave up 20 hits and 13 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings. It's also worth noting that the Astros bullpen has a 5.35 ERA and 1.505 WHIP on the road. As a team, the Astros have performed poorly in the role of small road underdogs, going an ugly 21-41 (-18) since 2005 when listed as a road underdog in the +100 to +125 range. Behihd another quality effort from Pineiro, look for the Cards to "bounce back," improving to 13-8 the last 21 times they were a host in this series.
St. Louis Cardinals
Friday Night Game of the Month WINNER!
I'm taking the points with TULSA. This line has moved several points giving us excellent value on the home underdog. Yes, Oklahoma is extremely powerful and has looked very impressive. However, we only have to look back to the last meeting between these teams (9/10/05) to see that funny things can happen in instate rivalries. That game was played at Norman and the Sooners were favored by 30.5 points. However, the Golden Hurricane had a 344-269 edge in total yards and a 21-14 edge in first downs. This year, the Golden Hurricane get to play at home and come off a momentum-building win over BYU which saw them score a whopping 55 points. That brought them to 2-0 SU/ATS for the season and 7-2 ATS the last nine times they were listed as underdogs. Note that Senior QB Paul Smith, the C-USA offensive player of the week, completed 21 of 35 passes for a career-best 454 yards and a career-high five touchdowns vs. BYU. This game means more to Tulsa than it does to Oklahoma and I look for the Smith and co. to score enough points to cover the inflated number.
*Friday Night Game of the Month
Tulsa Hurricanes
Ben Burns
Friday "Best Bet" BLOWOUT WINNER!
I'm laying the price with ST LOUIS. It's been a bad year for the defending champions and they've been in a real funk to close out the season. However, they've still got plenty of pride and I fully expect them to bounce back from yesterday's 18-1 embarrassment. Pineiro, who has a 2.57 ERA in three starts vs. the Astros, gets the call and he's pitched very well at home. In fact, he is 3-0 (team is 4-0) with a 3.04 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium. He'll face Houston's Brandon Backe. Backe, who recently returned from Tommy John surgery, has only made one road start this season. He got hit hard in that outing, giving up eight hits, three walks (0 K's) and four runs in 5 2/3 innings. Backe is also 1-1 with a 6.29 ERA in four starts and five relief appearances against the Cardinals. In his last two starts here he gave up 20 hits and 13 earned runs in just 9 1/3 innings. It's also worth noting that the Astros bullpen has a 5.35 ERA and 1.505 WHIP on the road. As a team, the Astros have performed poorly in the role of small road underdogs, going an ugly 21-41 (-18) since 2005 when listed as a road underdog in the +100 to +125 range. Behihd another quality effort from Pineiro, look for the Cards to "bounce back," improving to 13-8 the last 21 times they were a host in this series.
St. Louis Cardinals
