Jeff Bonds
MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet902 PIT (-105) vs 901 SFG
Analysis:
***Get the 007 NFL Preseason Play tonight - we picked up a win in our first play last week with the Carolina Panthers***
This is a very unique situation today, as Pittsburgh and San Francisco face off in a doubleheader after playing a series in the Bay area over the weekend.
Pittsburgh has gone 11-2 in their last 13 meetings with San Francisco and hold a significant advantage in travel this afternoon in Game 1. The Giants are 0-5 in their five road trip openers that haven't started on the west coast this year.
The Pirates' offense has been rolling over the first 10 games this month - hitting .313 with 16 home runs and 76 runs scored.
Starter Paul Maholm is a solid 10-6 after the All-Star break in his career and he's posted a 3.91 ERA over his last 14 starts.
With the Giants lineup missing Barry Bonds tonight - the team will have a hard time of changing Matt Cain's fortune.....San Francisco is 5-21 in Cain's last 26 starts.
We'll back the Pirates in a VERY TOUGH spot for the Giants in Game 1 of today's doubleheader.
Charlies Sports
nfl. eagles @ ravens over 31' ( 500*)
nfl. ravens-3' (30*)
nfl. broncos @ 49ers under 35 (20*)
mlb. giants-110 game 1 (20*)
mlb. toronto-120 (10*)
nfl. 49ers-2 (10*) Bonus Play
Robert Ferringo
6-Unit Play. Take #912 Boston (-1.5, +115) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #912 Boston (-170) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 13)
Note: This is our Runline of the Week.
According to published reports, the D-Rays didn't reach their hotel in Boston until around 6 a.m. this morning after their Sunday night game in Texas. The Devil Rays are already a horrible road team and this puts them at an even greater disadvantage. The Red Sox feel the Yankees coming and will have their best game on tap. The Red Sox are an amazing 41-10 at home against Tampa Bay, 84-36 in the last 120 meetings overall, and are 7-1 at home behind Tim Wakefield against the D-Rays. Wakefield is 17-2 with a 2.96 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. This play is almost at Game of the Year levels, but the juice is too high on the line to go any further. This is about as severe a mismatch as you will find and I think it will get out of hand late when the D-Rays bullpen gets involved.
2-Unit Play. Take #913 Toronto (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m.,
nfl. eagles @ ravens over 31' ( 500*)
nfl. ravens-3' (30*)
nfl. broncos @ 49ers under 35 (20*)
mlb. giants-110 game 1 (20*)
mlb. toronto-120 (10*)
nfl. 49ers-2 (10*) Bonus Play
Robert Ferringo
6-Unit Play. Take #912 Boston (-1.5, +115) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 13)
3-Unit Play. Take #912 Boston (-170) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 13)
Note: This is our Runline of the Week.
According to published reports, the D-Rays didn't reach their hotel in Boston until around 6 a.m. this morning after their Sunday night game in Texas. The Devil Rays are already a horrible road team and this puts them at an even greater disadvantage. The Red Sox feel the Yankees coming and will have their best game on tap. The Red Sox are an amazing 41-10 at home against Tampa Bay, 84-36 in the last 120 meetings overall, and are 7-1 at home behind Tim Wakefield against the D-Rays. Wakefield is 17-2 with a 2.96 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. This play is almost at Game of the Year levels, but the juice is too high on the line to go any further. This is about as severe a mismatch as you will find and I think it will get out of hand late when the D-Rays bullpen gets involved.
2-Unit Play. Take #913 Toronto (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m.,
Bob Balfe
YTD = 99-78
NFL Preseason
49ers -3 over Broncos
The 49ers knocked the Broncos from a playoff birth last year and really finished the season with confidence. I believe this should carry over from last season. The Broncos off season has been anything but encouraging. Two deaths on their roster makes it obvious that their minds are not 100% on football. The Broncos received more bad news with LB Holdman out for a few months. Jay Culter will be missing 4 of his top 5 receivers tonight. Mike Shanahan loves to win his preseason games, but this season he has been thrown more than a few curve balls to deal with. The 49ers will be showcasing new offensive, defensive and special teams coaches. If the 49ers want to mesh as a unit they will have to win in the preseason. San Francisco will also be sporting a new 3-4 defensive line up. This team clearly wants to get into a groove and the only way to do that is to win. The stadium and organization will also want to honor the late Bill Walsh with a great performance tonight.
MLB Baseball
Twins/Mariners Under 7.5
Santana/Hernandez
Jim Barnes
YTD = 22-19
MLB
Oakland +139
K City +110
NY Yankees Under 9.5
YTD = 99-78
NFL Preseason
49ers -3 over Broncos
The 49ers knocked the Broncos from a playoff birth last year and really finished the season with confidence. I believe this should carry over from last season. The Broncos off season has been anything but encouraging. Two deaths on their roster makes it obvious that their minds are not 100% on football. The Broncos received more bad news with LB Holdman out for a few months. Jay Culter will be missing 4 of his top 5 receivers tonight. Mike Shanahan loves to win his preseason games, but this season he has been thrown more than a few curve balls to deal with. The 49ers will be showcasing new offensive, defensive and special teams coaches. If the 49ers want to mesh as a unit they will have to win in the preseason. San Francisco will also be sporting a new 3-4 defensive line up. This team clearly wants to get into a groove and the only way to do that is to win. The stadium and organization will also want to honor the late Bill Walsh with a great performance tonight.
MLB Baseball
Twins/Mariners Under 7.5
Santana/Hernandez
Jim Barnes
YTD = 22-19
MLB
Oakland +139
K City +110
NY Yankees Under 9.5
Marc Lawrence
Monday Night NFL Super Pick Super Play! - Monday 8/13
If you enjoyed Marc Lawrence's NFL preseason sweep of football winners Saturday and Sunday this past weekend on this site, you'll love his MFL Monday Night Super Pick Super Play. It's in a terrific winning situation. Get it now, you'll be glad you did! $25.00
Denver Broncos
Monday Night NFL Super Pick Super Play! - Monday 8/13
If you enjoyed Marc Lawrence's NFL preseason sweep of football winners Saturday and Sunday this past weekend on this site, you'll love his MFL Monday Night Super Pick Super Play. It's in a terrific winning situation. Get it now, you'll be glad you did! $25.00
Denver Broncos
LT Profits
Baltimore Orioles (230)
Mon Aug 13 '07 7:05p
Baltimore Orioles +230 at Yankees
Chien-Ming Wang of the New York Yankees has certainly proven that last season was not a fluke already, but Jeremy Guthrie of the Baltimore Orioles has very impressive road numbers this season.
Guthrie is 5-0 with a 2.70 ERA and an outstanding 1.03 WHIP in 70 road innings. He has allowed three earned runs or less in all nine of his starts away from Camden Yards, with eight of those being official Quality Starts. He is also two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Yankees this year, allowing exactly two runs on each occasion.
Now Wang is certainly tough, but he is not unhittable. He is coming off of probably his worst start of the season in Toronto, where he allowed eight earned runs in 2.2 innings, and he has had his difficulties with the Orioles, with just a 4.96 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in seven career starts against them.
While we do expect an improved effort from Wang tonight, this simply looks like too good a price to pass up on Guthrie, given his road success this year.
Orioles +230
Tampa Bay Devil Rays (165)
Mon Aug 13 '07 7:05p
Devil Rays +165 at Boston Red Sox
The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are a very dangerous underdog tonight, as they have one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball on the mound tonight and are catching the slumping Boston Red Sox at the perfect time.
James Shields has managed to go 9-7 while pitching for team that is the laughingstock of baseball, and he pitched one of the most visually impressive games of the year by any pitcher last time out. He limited the red-hot Detroit Tigers to one run and five hits in seven innings with nine strikeouts and no walks that night., and he made the experience Tigers look clueless at the plate most of the night. Shields’ ERA for the season of 4.32 is artificially inflated a bit by one awful outing at Yankee Stadium where he was charged with 10 earned runs in 3.1 innings, and he still has an excellent 1.13 WHIP in 164.2 innings for the season.
The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games, and they may be hearing the footsteps of the hard-charging Yankees, as they uncharacteristically blew a late lead in Baltimore yesterday. Tim Wakefield may be a 13-game winner, but he has the Boston offense and bullpen to thank for that, as he has a high 4.81 ERA overall and a horrid 5.33 ERA here at home.
Sure the Tampa bullpen is always a concern, but if Shields can give them at least seven strong innings again, and if the offense can continue to score runs off of Wakefield, we like the Rays’ chances at this price.
Devil Rays +165
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Baltimore Orioles (230)
Mon Aug 13 '07 7:05p
Baltimore Orioles +230 at Yankees
Chien-Ming Wang of the New York Yankees has certainly proven that last season was not a fluke already, but Jeremy Guthrie of the Baltimore Orioles has very impressive road numbers this season.
Guthrie is 5-0 with a 2.70 ERA and an outstanding 1.03 WHIP in 70 road innings. He has allowed three earned runs or less in all nine of his starts away from Camden Yards, with eight of those being official Quality Starts. He is also two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Yankees this year, allowing exactly two runs on each occasion.
Now Wang is certainly tough, but he is not unhittable. He is coming off of probably his worst start of the season in Toronto, where he allowed eight earned runs in 2.2 innings, and he has had his difficulties with the Orioles, with just a 4.96 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in seven career starts against them.
While we do expect an improved effort from Wang tonight, this simply looks like too good a price to pass up on Guthrie, given his road success this year.
Orioles +230
Tampa Bay Devil Rays (165)
Mon Aug 13 '07 7:05p
Devil Rays +165 at Boston Red Sox
The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are a very dangerous underdog tonight, as they have one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball on the mound tonight and are catching the slumping Boston Red Sox at the perfect time.
James Shields has managed to go 9-7 while pitching for team that is the laughingstock of baseball, and he pitched one of the most visually impressive games of the year by any pitcher last time out. He limited the red-hot Detroit Tigers to one run and five hits in seven innings with nine strikeouts and no walks that night., and he made the experience Tigers look clueless at the plate most of the night. Shields’ ERA for the season of 4.32 is artificially inflated a bit by one awful outing at Yankee Stadium where he was charged with 10 earned runs in 3.1 innings, and he still has an excellent 1.13 WHIP in 164.2 innings for the season.
The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games, and they may be hearing the footsteps of the hard-charging Yankees, as they uncharacteristically blew a late lead in Baltimore yesterday. Tim Wakefield may be a 13-game winner, but he has the Boston offense and bullpen to thank for that, as he has a high 4.81 ERA overall and a horrid 5.33 ERA here at home.
Sure the Tampa bullpen is always a concern, but if Shields can give them at least seven strong innings again, and if the offense can continue to score runs off of Wakefield, we like the Rays’ chances at this price.
Devil Rays +165
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NFL PRESEASON
Philadelphia (0-0) at Baltimore (0-0)
The Eagles will travel down Interstate 95 for their regular preseason game with the Ravens tonight, but will be without the services of injury-plagued QB Donovan McNabb.
This is the 10th time in the last 11 summers that Philadelphia and Baltimore have met in a preseason contest, not including a scheduled meeting in 2001 that was canceled due to problems with the Veterans Stadium turf. The Ravens are 6-3 SU in the last nine battles, but Philly has won and covered two of the last three.
Philadelphia coach Andy Reid is in his ninth season with the franchise, and clearly the August games don’t mean much to him, as he is 12-20 SU in the preseason. In the last three seasons, the Eagles are 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road in exhibition games.
A.J. Feeley gets the start at QB in this contest as McNabb continues to nurse his surgically repaired knee. Kelly Holcomb is slated to play in the second quarter, with rookie Kevin Kolb playing the entire second half. Reid has said his first-string units will likely play two series.
The Ravens get their first look at newly acquired RB Willis McGahee, who comes over from Buffalo to replace Jamal Lewis, who left for Cleveland in the offseason. McGahee will take the field with QB Steve McNair and the rest of the starters and play the first two series.
Baltimore coach Brian Billick said the second string, led by QB Kyle Boller, will get much of the playing time the rest of the way. Rookie QB and reigning Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith will likely see playing time in the fourth quarter.
The Ravens went 13-3 and cruised to the AFC North title a year ago, but were knocked out of the playoffs with a 15-6 loss to the Colts in the divisional playoff round. Baltimore is 4-2 SU and ATS at home the last three preseasons, but a mediocre 10-10 SU and ATS overall in the last five Augusts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BALTIMORE
Denver (0-0) at San Francisco (0-0)
The Broncos travel to San Francisco tonight to face the team that knocked them out of last season’s playoffs in the final week of the season.
San Francisco’s 26-23 overtime victory in Denver on Dec. 31 prevented the Broncos from clinching a playoff berth, as they finished 9-7 for the fifth consecutive year.
Mike Shanahan is in his 13th year in Denver, and he is clearly a coach who takes the preseason seriously, compiling a 37-15 SU mark in exhibition play, including 7-1 (5-3 ATS) the last two years. Also, the Broncos are 10-2 SU in their last 12 preseason openers under Shanahan, though they did fall 20-13 to the Lions as a two-point home chalk in Week 1 of the 2006 exhibition campaign.
Second-year QB Jay Cutler is the Broncos’ starter and will play the first two series along with the rest of the first-stringers. When Cutler departs, Patrick Ramsey will lead the offense and play most of the remainder of the game, with Preston Parsons possibly seeing mop-up action. At RB, newly acquired Travis Henry is the starter, with Mike Bell and Cecil Sapp running second and third, respectively, on the team’s depth chart.
The QB rotation is clear for the Niners and third-year head coach Mike Nolan, who has Alex Smith as the starter, followed by Trent Dilfer. Shaun Hill will replace Dilfer and is expected to play most of the second half.
San Francisco RB Frank Gore broke a bone in his right hand in training camp and probably won’t play in the preseason. That leaves the ball-carrying duties to the unheralded trio of Michael Robinson, Maurice Hicks and Thomas Clayton.
Going back to 1995, the Broncos are 8-1 against the 49ers in preseason action. In the most recent meeting in 2005, Denver won 26-21, but San Francisco got the cash as a seven-point road dog.
San Francisco is 4-0 SU and ATS at home under Nolan and 7-3 SU and ATS in front of the home fans the last five Augusts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER
NFL PRESEASON
Philadelphia (0-0) at Baltimore (0-0)
The Eagles will travel down Interstate 95 for their regular preseason game with the Ravens tonight, but will be without the services of injury-plagued QB Donovan McNabb.
This is the 10th time in the last 11 summers that Philadelphia and Baltimore have met in a preseason contest, not including a scheduled meeting in 2001 that was canceled due to problems with the Veterans Stadium turf. The Ravens are 6-3 SU in the last nine battles, but Philly has won and covered two of the last three.
Philadelphia coach Andy Reid is in his ninth season with the franchise, and clearly the August games don’t mean much to him, as he is 12-20 SU in the preseason. In the last three seasons, the Eagles are 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS on the road in exhibition games.
A.J. Feeley gets the start at QB in this contest as McNabb continues to nurse his surgically repaired knee. Kelly Holcomb is slated to play in the second quarter, with rookie Kevin Kolb playing the entire second half. Reid has said his first-string units will likely play two series.
The Ravens get their first look at newly acquired RB Willis McGahee, who comes over from Buffalo to replace Jamal Lewis, who left for Cleveland in the offseason. McGahee will take the field with QB Steve McNair and the rest of the starters and play the first two series.
Baltimore coach Brian Billick said the second string, led by QB Kyle Boller, will get much of the playing time the rest of the way. Rookie QB and reigning Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith will likely see playing time in the fourth quarter.
The Ravens went 13-3 and cruised to the AFC North title a year ago, but were knocked out of the playoffs with a 15-6 loss to the Colts in the divisional playoff round. Baltimore is 4-2 SU and ATS at home the last three preseasons, but a mediocre 10-10 SU and ATS overall in the last five Augusts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BALTIMORE
Denver (0-0) at San Francisco (0-0)
The Broncos travel to San Francisco tonight to face the team that knocked them out of last season’s playoffs in the final week of the season.
San Francisco’s 26-23 overtime victory in Denver on Dec. 31 prevented the Broncos from clinching a playoff berth, as they finished 9-7 for the fifth consecutive year.
Mike Shanahan is in his 13th year in Denver, and he is clearly a coach who takes the preseason seriously, compiling a 37-15 SU mark in exhibition play, including 7-1 (5-3 ATS) the last two years. Also, the Broncos are 10-2 SU in their last 12 preseason openers under Shanahan, though they did fall 20-13 to the Lions as a two-point home chalk in Week 1 of the 2006 exhibition campaign.
Second-year QB Jay Cutler is the Broncos’ starter and will play the first two series along with the rest of the first-stringers. When Cutler departs, Patrick Ramsey will lead the offense and play most of the remainder of the game, with Preston Parsons possibly seeing mop-up action. At RB, newly acquired Travis Henry is the starter, with Mike Bell and Cecil Sapp running second and third, respectively, on the team’s depth chart.
The QB rotation is clear for the Niners and third-year head coach Mike Nolan, who has Alex Smith as the starter, followed by Trent Dilfer. Shaun Hill will replace Dilfer and is expected to play most of the second half.
San Francisco RB Frank Gore broke a bone in his right hand in training camp and probably won’t play in the preseason. That leaves the ball-carrying duties to the unheralded trio of Michael Robinson, Maurice Hicks and Thomas Clayton.
Going back to 1995, the Broncos are 8-1 against the 49ers in preseason action. In the most recent meeting in 2005, Denver won 26-21, but San Francisco got the cash as a seven-point road dog.
San Francisco is 4-0 SU and ATS at home under Nolan and 7-3 SU and ATS in front of the home fans the last five Augusts.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER
M@linsk-free
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays
Offered at: -121 Sportsbook
REASON FOR PICK: 4* TORONTO over KANSAS CITY
After cashing three straight 4* “rocking chair” Under’s in this series we are able to stay in play again here, but this time the tactics shift – after taking advantage of the left/right bias issues that each of these offenses has right now there is a major swing involved, which leads to even more “major swings”. It is the ability of Toronto to hammer left-handers, and the fact that Odalis Perez rates as one of the worst lefties in the game right now, that breaks this wide open.
First we can start with the Kansas City offensive part of this equation. As we have written daily throughout this series, there are real struggles against right-handers. Shawn Marcum flirted with a no-hitter against the Royals on Friday; on Saturday Dustin McGowan was carrying a shutout into the bottom of the fifth before Vernon Wells dropped a fly ball (ruled a triple by the official scorers) that opened the door for a pair of runs; and last night the Royals only got one ball out of the infield once through the first five innings vs. A. J. Burnett, a single by Mark Grudzielanek. It does not get much more feeble than that, except to note that in the game preceding this series the K.C. offense could only scratch out a 1-0 win against Minnesota and Matt Garza. As such we can confidently call for the solid form of Jesse Litsch to continue (a 2.21 ERA over six starts since being called back up, following a 1-0/1.80 in his two starts at Syracuse), and there are no fatigue issues with the key arms in the Toronto bullpen.
Litsch should get plenty of offensive support – when you match one of the best lineups in the game against left-handers vs. a guy like Perez it just becomes a matter of time. The fading lefty has only worked to a 2-7/6.27 tune from this mound this season, and the summer heat is taking a toll – he has worked to a 6.63 tune since July 1st. If anything he is wearing down instead of correcting, with 10 runs (seven earned) allowed over eight innings in his last two starts, and the ugliest count of all – not a single strikeout of the 43 batters he faced in that span. Tonight provides neither the weather conditions (well into the 90’s at first pitch) nor the proper matchups for any of that to change.
hes won a few lately
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays
Offered at: -121 Sportsbook
REASON FOR PICK: 4* TORONTO over KANSAS CITY
After cashing three straight 4* “rocking chair” Under’s in this series we are able to stay in play again here, but this time the tactics shift – after taking advantage of the left/right bias issues that each of these offenses has right now there is a major swing involved, which leads to even more “major swings”. It is the ability of Toronto to hammer left-handers, and the fact that Odalis Perez rates as one of the worst lefties in the game right now, that breaks this wide open.
First we can start with the Kansas City offensive part of this equation. As we have written daily throughout this series, there are real struggles against right-handers. Shawn Marcum flirted with a no-hitter against the Royals on Friday; on Saturday Dustin McGowan was carrying a shutout into the bottom of the fifth before Vernon Wells dropped a fly ball (ruled a triple by the official scorers) that opened the door for a pair of runs; and last night the Royals only got one ball out of the infield once through the first five innings vs. A. J. Burnett, a single by Mark Grudzielanek. It does not get much more feeble than that, except to note that in the game preceding this series the K.C. offense could only scratch out a 1-0 win against Minnesota and Matt Garza. As such we can confidently call for the solid form of Jesse Litsch to continue (a 2.21 ERA over six starts since being called back up, following a 1-0/1.80 in his two starts at Syracuse), and there are no fatigue issues with the key arms in the Toronto bullpen.
Litsch should get plenty of offensive support – when you match one of the best lineups in the game against left-handers vs. a guy like Perez it just becomes a matter of time. The fading lefty has only worked to a 2-7/6.27 tune from this mound this season, and the summer heat is taking a toll – he has worked to a 6.63 tune since July 1st. If anything he is wearing down instead of correcting, with 10 runs (seven earned) allowed over eight innings in his last two starts, and the ugliest count of all – not a single strikeout of the 43 batters he faced in that span. Tonight provides neither the weather conditions (well into the 90’s at first pitch) nor the proper matchups for any of that to change.
hes won a few lately
Will Cover
Ravens/Eagles UNDER THE TOTAL. 7:30PM EST
COVER STORY: How low can this one go? With a current total of 31, we still look for this contest to stay below the number as these two have been "underwhelming" in the pre-season over the years! Last year in the Charm City, the Ravens beat the Eagles 20-10, staying UNDER by four points. Baltimore is 12-6 to the UNDER in pre-season play, including six of eight the last two seasons! Philly has gone UNDER in four of their last five pre-season games as well. Key stat shows that when these two meet in the pre-season, the games have fallen UNDER the TOTAL in eight of the last nine! This contest is for the BIRDS!
Ravens/Eagles UNDER THE TOTAL. 7:30PM EST
COVER STORY: How low can this one go? With a current total of 31, we still look for this contest to stay below the number as these two have been "underwhelming" in the pre-season over the years! Last year in the Charm City, the Ravens beat the Eagles 20-10, staying UNDER by four points. Baltimore is 12-6 to the UNDER in pre-season play, including six of eight the last two seasons! Philly has gone UNDER in four of their last five pre-season games as well. Key stat shows that when these two meet in the pre-season, the games have fallen UNDER the TOTAL in eight of the last nine! This contest is for the BIRDS!
