Well for me it is 1-3 points
So a bit different
I also don't bet many game so I am more inclined for ML because it is more likely my bets will be a bit bigger
For you I see you play quite a lot of games so I suggest whatever you do do the same for all bets
But if you vary your wagers a lot than for a real big bet you sure wouldn't want to lose it on a 1 point loss
If that is too confusing so be it
So a bit different
I also don't bet many game so I am more inclined for ML because it is more likely my bets will be a bit bigger
For you I see you play quite a lot of games so I suggest whatever you do do the same for all bets
But if you vary your wagers a lot than for a real big bet you sure wouldn't want to lose it on a 1 point loss
If that is too confusing so be it
Depends the odds on both for me.
if its -1, -110 and the ML is -120. I normally take the -1—- sometimes the odds on them are juiced one way, like the line is -105, etc that influneces my decision as well. If it gets to 2, i always take the ATS numbers Unless again there is skewed value.
Something I do in basketball is sell points to keep from paying juice. I do it with totals NOT lines. Typically give up 1 point to get to +100 or +105 Sometimes you can even get to +110. Ive found that to work well for me.
if its -1, -110 and the ML is -120. I normally take the -1—- sometimes the odds on them are juiced one way, like the line is -105, etc that influneces my decision as well. If it gets to 2, i always take the ATS numbers Unless again there is skewed value.
Something I do in basketball is sell points to keep from paying juice. I do it with totals NOT lines. Typically give up 1 point to get to +100 or +105 Sometimes you can even get to +110. Ive found that to work well for me.
Interesting question. Seeing that I favor betting the Big10, analyzed the Big 10.
So far this season there have been 28 games with a fav of -1 to -3.
21 of those 28 gaves the small fav won and covered. (that alone worth noting)
5 favs just outright lost.
1 -2 fav had a push.
1 fav won SU but did not cover.
So lets say you bet $100 each on the fav ATS @-110 on these 28 games.
You would have a $1309.11 profit. (190.91×21 plus $100 push) - (100×28)
Now if you bet those 28 on the ML you would have 23 wins. So at what avg juice does this equal the $1309.11?
And the answer here is -127. If the avg ML was -127 or less you would have been better off with ML in this instance.
21 out of 28 favs covering is an eye opener. Wonder if it continues or regresses?
So far this season there have been 28 games with a fav of -1 to -3.
21 of those 28 gaves the small fav won and covered. (that alone worth noting)
5 favs just outright lost.
1 -2 fav had a push.
1 fav won SU but did not cover.
So lets say you bet $100 each on the fav ATS @-110 on these 28 games.
You would have a $1309.11 profit. (190.91×21 plus $100 push) - (100×28)
Now if you bet those 28 on the ML you would have 23 wins. So at what avg juice does this equal the $1309.11?
And the answer here is -127. If the avg ML was -127 or less you would have been better off with ML in this instance.
21 out of 28 favs covering is an eye opener. Wonder if it continues or regresses?
