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Va tech -3.5 ---3 units

Seen Georgia a few times this year and they might very well be the worst team in the SEC. I know its a home game and home court is worth IMO 3-4 points so what Vegas is telling me is that va tech and georgia are equals??? Not even close..Va tech isn't exactly the power of the acc , but they are a much better basketball team than Georgia and should win this game by minimum of 8. Vasallo , Delaney and Jeff Allen should be enough to handle the Bulldogs. Losing Gaines will put a huge damper on the Georgia season. I don't see them winning many games out of conference or in conference.


West Virginia +2 and ML --Both for 3 units

All you need to do is read homedawgs analysis. He hit every logical point. WVU will body this team up and blast them. Davidson has Curry, but thats about it. Losing their PG this year puts Curry in an uncomfortable position. He won't be able to do this all year. Davidson struggled their last time out with below average NC STATE team and they only won because Curry went for 44. Won't happen against a WVU team that plays hard nosed defense and rebounds the ball. I love how Davidson plays all these big schools and usually does compete with them. Kudos to them for that, but they rarely come away with a win in these games. Throw in the fact that this game is at MSG (because of the BETourney) this is a home away from home for West Virginia. Wrong team favored in this game. I look for WVU to win this game easily.


Purdue -11 @ Ball St for 3 units-

Line is a joke IMO..Purdue is a legitimate top 15 team in the country maybe top 10 and Ball St is going to finish towards the bottom of the MAC right along side Central Michigan. They have a legitimate star in Newell , but other than that they are just awful. Went 6-24 last year and I just don't see where they are going to get much better. No way in hell Purdue wins this game by less than 11. Line should be 17 or higher IMO


ACTION POINTS ON PURDUE 1 unit per point--NO CAP--What this means for those who don't know is I will be betting 1 unit per point vs the spread. For example if Purdue wins by 20 I would pick up 9 units. If Purdue wins by 5, I would lose 6 units. I just see this as a game that Purdue should have no problem winning by DD. Worst case scenario they win by 8 or 9 with a very good chance they win by 25
 

mpn

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Thanks, well the VT game is being played in Athens, GA. So wouldn't that make Georgia +6.5 dogs, along with the home field = +3.5 dogs? Rather than them being equals as you stated. I liked WVU when looking at them, will probably have a wager on them after seeing your post.
 

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also would like to state that Hummell wont be playing tonight against Ball St. As many would think this is a terrible thing, I look for it as a good thing. Purdue realizes they have to play that much harder without their superstar. They did this just the other night when they went out and won by 50. Look for some key role players to step up in place of Hummel being out.



and as for Va tech game , yes I messed up on this one. Fact of the matter is Va Tech is DD better than Georgia. No way this line should be 3
 

ATP

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love davidson, curry is too good, cant back wvirginia right now off that debockle against kentucky. Curry scores 35 and they win by 4-7 IMO
 

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With you on Va Tech...

GL with the Purdue action points gl on that one I like that a lot actually. Reward outweighs the risk on this one IMO.
 

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also would like to state that Hummell wont be playing tonight against Ball St. As many would think this is a terrible thing, I look for it as a good thing. Purdue realizes they have to play that much harder without their superstar. They did this just the other night when they went out and won by 50. Look for some key role players to step up in place of Hummel being out.

I agree. They don't need Hummel to blow out Ball St.
 

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Everyone is in love with Davidson because of the teams they play and their little run last year to the elite 8. Just because you play the best teams in the country, does NOT make you one of the best teams. With the exception of Curry, Davidson struggles. They will NOT go to the elite 8 this year. Lets take a look at Davidsons BIGGER games since last year.

NC STATE- Squeaked by only because of 44 from Curry
OKLAHOMA- LOSS
UNC-LOSS
WMU-LOSS
DUKE-LOSS
CHARLOTTE-LOSS
UCLA-LOSS
NC STATE-LOSS

Show me, with the exception of a nice run in March, where this Davidson team beat anyone outside of the HIGHLY TALENTED Southern Conference???????? I'll give em Kudos for scheduling these teams, but they don't win these games. Tonight wont be any different
 

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Everyone is in love with Davidson because of the teams they play and their little run last year to the elite 8. Just because you play the best teams in the country, does NOT make you one of the best teams. With the exception of Curry, Davidson struggles. They will NOT go to the elite 8 this year. Lets take a look at Davidsons BIGGER games since last year.

NC STATE- Squeaked by only because of 44 from Curry
OKLAHOMA- LOSS
UNC-LOSS
WMU-LOSS
DUKE-LOSS
CHARLOTTE-LOSS
UCLA-LOSS
NC STATE-LOSS

Show me, with the exception of a nice run in March, where this Davidson team beat anyone outside of the HIGHLY TALENTED Southern Conference???????? I'll give em Kudos for scheduling these teams, but they don't win these games. Tonight wont be any different

They play them tough though. Lost to UNC by 4, Duke by 6, OU by 4, Kansas by 2, NC St by 1. WVU isn't on UNC, Duke, OU, or Kansas level. WVU really misses Alexander. Kentucky only allowed 43 points to them which is awful considering Kentucky allowed 111 points to VMI.

GL
 

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I agree to an extent gimmedat. They played most of those games close last year because teams didn't see them coming. They aren't going to catch anyone off guard this year. Huggins is an amazing coach and will key on Curry. I really , really think WVU will embarrass Davidson tonight
 

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Gl imo easiest play of the day is davidson under whatever w va will play suffocating d on curry which will lead to davidson getting in the low 60's
 

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West Virginia is now a 2.5 point favorite. Serious, is there any value with this line or is the game going to be a 1-2 point win for WV?
 

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Nevermind, I just read your analysis and you're expecting a big win for WV.
 

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I find it odd that Davidson was a dog that opened around 3-3.5 and bet up to 5-5.5 when they played on the road at OU and now they are plus 2.5-3 neutral against a much weaker WVU team.
 

Ice Cold
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Nice call on purdue man. You're going to cash big time on that action bet!
 

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Can't believe WV died like that...up 4 with 1.30 left..wtf


I'll still take a 1-2 night +10.1 units


gonna go ahead and add NOVA for 2 units
 

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