Louisville -6.5 against Kentucky (bought .5)
This doesn't exactly rate highly as an in state rivalry game in a big weekend of rivalry games, but its an in state rivalry game nonetheless. If it weren't a rivalry, I'd have a hard time finding motivation for UK on thanksgiving weekend with middling bowl eligibility already secured. That said, even on a good day, I don't see where UK is going to get their points. Louisville plays great run D. They can be exploited a bit more with the pass but UK isn't competent at it. Similarly UK stops the run but can be exploited through the air. Unlike UK, UL can make things happen through the air. I see UL keeping UK to 10 or less points, which makes for a not particularly difficult cover at 17.
This doesn't exactly rate highly as an in state rivalry game in a big weekend of rivalry games, but its an in state rivalry game nonetheless. If it weren't a rivalry, I'd have a hard time finding motivation for UK on thanksgiving weekend with middling bowl eligibility already secured. That said, even on a good day, I don't see where UK is going to get their points. Louisville plays great run D. They can be exploited a bit more with the pass but UK isn't competent at it. Similarly UK stops the run but can be exploited through the air. Unlike UK, UL can make things happen through the air. I see UL keeping UK to 10 or less points, which makes for a not particularly difficult cover at 17.
