looked over the SEC schedules and found the following sandwich games....look to play against SEC team ATS in these ones:
Georgia vs Troy
- reminds me a lot of UGA vs No Tex last year where UGA were off b2b big games (clem, sc) with LSU on deck. UGA was laying 34 and game actually tied halfway through the 3rd quarter before UGA won by 24. This year they start with Clemson and South Carolina again with Tennessee on tap after the Troy visit. Troy just 1-17 SU vs SEC teams but 11 covers. another looks should be the over as Troy have played 14 straight games 62+ point games vs the SEC
Kentucky vs UL-Monroe
- ULM game is preceded by 3 SEC games with 5 more on deck before a bye week so it's tough to see UK completely focused here assuming they are 2-3/3-2 as expected (obviously 1-4 would give them more focus). ULM with two famous SEC scalps in past 7 years over Arkansas and some other team that wears a shade of red and have covered 10/17 and 19/36 games. Sweet spot for them has been when dog by 24 or less points where they've covered 8 out of 11.
Texas A&M vs UL-Monroe
- another ULM sighting. This time they get aTm in a Bama/Auburn road sandwich but at least it's off a bye week. Actually aTm are 0-10-1 ATS rested and failed to cover home vs teams like Idaho and Utah State (before they were any good). I just don't see how you can be focused coming into a ULM game after getting your ass kicked by bama and with the sec champs on deck.
South Carolina vs East Carolina
- this comes on 9/6 a week after the aTm opener and the week before the big revenge game vs UGA. ECU beat both NC State and UNC outright last year + covered vs Va Tech so covering vs SEC/ACC regional teams is nothing new.
Tennessee vs Chattanooga
- won't be lined until week of game but Tenn come in off b2b2b OU, UGA, Florida with 6 more SEC to follow including Ole Miss, Bama, and So Car the next 3 weeks. They'll use this game to rest up a bit for the trip to Oxford. Chattanooga 6-2 ATS vs D1 teams failing to cover at Bama by 1/2 point and at OU by 3.5.
Vandy vs Old Dominion
- this one really depends on Vandy's record on Nov 1 but it's sandwiched between Missouri and Florida. This is ODU's first full year in CUSA and if line is b/w 23-32 CUSA teams have covered all but 7 out of 21 against the SEC
LSU vs Kentucky
- yeah I know UK are an SEC team, sort of. wild spot for LSU here coming into the game off of trips to the Barn and Florida with Ole Miss and Bama on deck. LSU are just 7-14-1 ATS after playing Florida and are a notoriously terrible cover team as big fav at home (11-41-1 ATS as a conf fav of 8.5+ including 2-6-14) and usually fail against Kentucky (4-13-1 ATS L18)
Miss State at So Alabama
- MSU will start 2-0 and this will be their first road game of year with a huge game at LSU on tap to start the SEC season. Last time they went on the road vs SBC team was a tough 6 point win over Troy which they didn't cover. SALA closed 2013 on a 8-3 ATS run and return 14 starters. MSST are a terrible big away fav as they're 0-7 ATS when favored b/w 10.5-29.5 on the road and i'd expect the line to be in that area.
other possibilities:
Arkansas vs UAB - 3 SEC games preceding UAB, 4 following
Auburn vs La Tech - b/w Kansas State and LSU
Georgia vs Troy
- reminds me a lot of UGA vs No Tex last year where UGA were off b2b big games (clem, sc) with LSU on deck. UGA was laying 34 and game actually tied halfway through the 3rd quarter before UGA won by 24. This year they start with Clemson and South Carolina again with Tennessee on tap after the Troy visit. Troy just 1-17 SU vs SEC teams but 11 covers. another looks should be the over as Troy have played 14 straight games 62+ point games vs the SEC
Kentucky vs UL-Monroe
- ULM game is preceded by 3 SEC games with 5 more on deck before a bye week so it's tough to see UK completely focused here assuming they are 2-3/3-2 as expected (obviously 1-4 would give them more focus). ULM with two famous SEC scalps in past 7 years over Arkansas and some other team that wears a shade of red and have covered 10/17 and 19/36 games. Sweet spot for them has been when dog by 24 or less points where they've covered 8 out of 11.
Texas A&M vs UL-Monroe
- another ULM sighting. This time they get aTm in a Bama/Auburn road sandwich but at least it's off a bye week. Actually aTm are 0-10-1 ATS rested and failed to cover home vs teams like Idaho and Utah State (before they were any good). I just don't see how you can be focused coming into a ULM game after getting your ass kicked by bama and with the sec champs on deck.
South Carolina vs East Carolina
- this comes on 9/6 a week after the aTm opener and the week before the big revenge game vs UGA. ECU beat both NC State and UNC outright last year + covered vs Va Tech so covering vs SEC/ACC regional teams is nothing new.
Tennessee vs Chattanooga
- won't be lined until week of game but Tenn come in off b2b2b OU, UGA, Florida with 6 more SEC to follow including Ole Miss, Bama, and So Car the next 3 weeks. They'll use this game to rest up a bit for the trip to Oxford. Chattanooga 6-2 ATS vs D1 teams failing to cover at Bama by 1/2 point and at OU by 3.5.
Vandy vs Old Dominion
- this one really depends on Vandy's record on Nov 1 but it's sandwiched between Missouri and Florida. This is ODU's first full year in CUSA and if line is b/w 23-32 CUSA teams have covered all but 7 out of 21 against the SEC
LSU vs Kentucky
- yeah I know UK are an SEC team, sort of. wild spot for LSU here coming into the game off of trips to the Barn and Florida with Ole Miss and Bama on deck. LSU are just 7-14-1 ATS after playing Florida and are a notoriously terrible cover team as big fav at home (11-41-1 ATS as a conf fav of 8.5+ including 2-6-14) and usually fail against Kentucky (4-13-1 ATS L18)
Miss State at So Alabama
- MSU will start 2-0 and this will be their first road game of year with a huge game at LSU on tap to start the SEC season. Last time they went on the road vs SBC team was a tough 6 point win over Troy which they didn't cover. SALA closed 2013 on a 8-3 ATS run and return 14 starters. MSST are a terrible big away fav as they're 0-7 ATS when favored b/w 10.5-29.5 on the road and i'd expect the line to be in that area.
other possibilities:
Arkansas vs UAB - 3 SEC games preceding UAB, 4 following
Auburn vs La Tech - b/w Kansas State and LSU
