MLB
Saturday, June 19
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Chicago White Sox at Washington Nationals (+110, 8.5)
Things aren’t looking as bleak these days for the South Siders. Chicago is 7-1 over its last eight games heading into Friday’s game and closing in on .500.
Jake Peavy, who looked awful for most of the season’s first two months, is finally starting to pitch like the hurler bettors saw in San Diego. He recently put together two strong, seven-inning outings but missed his last start because of a sore shoulder.
An MRI revealed that Peavy has fluid in the shoulder, but there is no risk for further injury. The former Cy Young winner is looking forward to his start on Saturday.
"You go in, and as uncomfortable and scary MRIs are at times, you wouldn't believe what fluid in your joint and shoulder capsule and that stuff could, at times you just think there's got to be something wrong if it hurts,” Peavy told the Chicago Sun-Times.
“But it's a little fluid here and there could cause some discomfort and pain and you go get fully checked out the way we did and find out your shoulder is structurally sound, that's such a huge mental block that's out of the way that you just battle some inflammation and fluid so you can go out there and fear or jeopardize your career."
We still aren’t in the habit of backing a team who’s sending out a wounded hurler to the mound.
Pick: Nationals
Oakland A’s at St. Louis Cardinals (-200, 7.5)
Hitting behind Albert Pujols should be one of the best jobs in the world - right up there with bikini inspector and Heineken taste tester. But Matt Holliday proved that even dream jobs come with stress.
Is the struggling slugger root of the Cards’ offensive struggles? That’s what St. Louis Today columnist Jeff Gordon says and it’s hard to argue with him.
Holliday began the season batting behind Albert Pujols in the cleanup spot after signing a $120 million contract in the offseason, but manager Tony La Russa recently moved the outfielder into the two-hole because of Holliday’s inability to come up with the timely base hit. He’s hitting .344 with none on, .217 with runners on and just .189 with runners in scoring position.
The under (25-39-2) has been a great bet with the Cards all season. The over is just 4-8-1 in St. Louis’ last 13 games.
Pick: Under
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking
Michael Pelfrey, New York Mets
Pelfrey (9-1, 2.39) has quietly been turning in a fantastic season. He has not tasted defeat since May 1 and has won five of his last six starts.
That no-decision came on June 8 against the Padres and may have been his best of the bunch - a nine-inning gem in which he allowed only five hits, one run, struck out six and walked none but missed out on the win when the game went to extra innings.
"I didn't feel like the ball was jumping out of my hand, but I felt like I was putting it where I wanted to," Pelfrey said after the game. "That's the biggest thing."
That's been the key to his success all season. Like a young Greg Maddox, he's beating batters with his pinpoint control and brains instead of blowing them away with sheer heat.
Ted Lilly, Chicago Cubs
Time to wake up Ted Lilly (2-5, 2.64) and remind him he's a 34-year-old journeyman.
Lilly had his no-hit bid broken up in the ninth inning against crosstown rival White Sox on Sunday night, harkening back to his glory days with the Yankees.
"There was so much energy," Lilly said after the near no-no. "I can't remember that much energy - I guess I'd have to go back to 2001 and the World Series and some of those big late inning game-winning homers and you get that kind of feeling. It was awesome and really special."
The one-hitter wasn't a one-hit wonder. Despite losing his previous five decisions, Lilly has been solid but has lacked support from the scuttling Cubs. He allowed only four earned runs in his previous three starts, all of which lasted longer than seven innings.
Matt Cain, Giants
Cain (6-4, 2.05) has won four consecutive starts and has allowed only two earned runs during that stretch.
Among those wins a pair of complete-game shutouts, including a one-hitter over the Diamondbacks. His recent surge corresponds with some sage advice from catcher Bengie Molina last month.
"'Your fastball needs to be located,'" Molina said he told Cain. "'If you locate your fastball, you're going to be fine.' That's the last time I remember telling him that. And his fastball location has been amazing. ... He smells a complete game or he smells a win, and it's amazing. He gets stronger and stronger."
Slumping
Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers
After a phenomenal rookie season, Porcello (4-6, 6.09) is suffering through a serious sophomore slump.
Manager Jim Leyland was so concerned after his last outing that he skipped him a turn in the rotation. Porcello tries to rebound from the thumping he took against the White Sox in which he allowed eight hits and earned runs before getting the hook after just 3 1/3 innings.
"They got those hits so quick, it was like a slap in the face," Porcello said. "I didn't even realize what happened until I was out of the game. That's a perfect example of just letting the game speed up on me, and I've done that a couple times this year and not been able to stop it."
The 21-year-old has shown he can handle success at this level. Now it's time to see how he deals with adversity.
Ben Sheets, Oakland A's
Sheets (2-6, 4.93) is mired in one of the longest droughts of his career. He hasn't won since May 8, marking a seven-game streak without a decision.
That's his longest winless stretch since 2004, when he made nine starts without earning a W. Perhaps more alarming is the fact that he's lasted seven innings only once this season.
"Six innings isn't really that great," said Sheets, who has given up a total of 10 earned runs in his past three starts - all lasting exactly six innings. "I prepare to go nine every time."
Perhaps he should instead prep for six good ones.
Kevin Millwood, Baltimore Orioles
One month ago it didn't seem like things could get worse for the winless Millwood (0-8, 5.16). Now they seem like the good old days.
Millwood has lost hi last four outings and failed to last more than six innings in those starts, giving up a total of 31 hits and 20 earned runs in his last 16.1 innings. His ERA ballooned to 10.80 over that span.
"I'm just not throwing the ball where I need to," Millwood said. "That's pretty much it. And hopefully I can figure something out between now and the next time and get back to where I was before."
Let's hope "before" refers to his glory days with the Braves, not his 0-for days with the O's.
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This Day in Baseball
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On June 19 in Baseball History...
1938 - The Reds' Johnny Vander Meer extends his string of hitless innings to 21 2/3 before Debs Garms singles for Boston in the fourth.
1961 - Charlie Finley makes his first managerial change, booting Joe Gordon (26-33) in favor of Hank Bauer.
1974 - George Scott, who walks to lead off the second inning, is the Brewers' only base runner as the Royals Steve Busby hurls a 2-0 no-hitter. Busby is the first major-league pitcher to throw no-hitters in his first two seasons.
1977 - The Indians fire manager Frank Robinson and replace him with Jeff Torborg.
1979 - In New York, 36,211 fans show up to witness the return of Billy Martin as Yankees manager, but the Yanks lose to the Blue Jays 5-4. Martin had been named to replace Bob Lemon (34-31) the previous day, and begins his second stint as New York's skipper a season earlier than previously announced.
1989 - Mets pitcher Dwight Gooden wins his 100th career game, 5-3 over the Expos. His 100-37 career record is second only to Whitey Ford's 100-36 start.
1990 - Gary Carter catches his 1,862nd career game to break Al Lopez's N.L. mark. He goes 0-for-3 in the Giants' 4-3 loss to San Diego.
1994 - The Tigers homer in their 25th consecutive game when Mickey Tettleton goes deep against the Blue Jays.