Saturday Service Plays Thread 3/16

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Ken Thomson

3* Davidson -2.5

3* Villanova -4
 

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Stephen Nover's CBB Early Game

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State, 03/16/2019 13:00 EDT,
Point Spread: -5/-104 Michigan State
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
Wisconsin isn't as good as Michigan State especially with the Spartans getting back forward Nick Ward, their second-leading scorer.

The Badgers rely on forward Ethan Happ, who isn't a great shooter. Happ didn't play well in the Badgers' 66-62 victory against Nebraska on Friday scoring just four points and committing seven turnovers. The Spartans will key on Happ.

The Spartans have the best guard on the court in Cassius Winston. The Badgers will try to key on Winston. The Spartans, though, have a secret weapon, freshman point guard Foster Loyer, to keep the pressure off Winston. Loyer played well in the Spartans' opening Big Ten Tournament victory over Ohio State on Friday. The Badgers struggled against the Cornhuskers, a team the Spartans rolled past, 91-76, at home three games ago.

Tom Izzo has Michigan State peaking at the right time again. The Spartans closed the regular season beating Michigan, 75-63, as four-point home favorites a week ago. Wisconsin went up against Michigan on Feb. 9 and lost as seven-point road 'dogs, 61-52.

Michigan State handled Wisconsin in the team's lone meeting this season, winning 67-59 on the road. The Spartans have covered 15 of their last 21 Big Ten games, while the Badgers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine Big Ten matchups.
 

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Josh Nagel


PENN PK


PENN VS HARVARD | 3/16 | 12:30 PM EDT
11:03 AM
The top-seeded Harvard Crimson won both regular-season meetings but they got more than their share of breaks in close games. Penn forward AJ Brodeur has been a matchup nightmare and should again have his way Saturday. Harvard has thrived in close games all year, but the Quakers have recent history of success in March and they rate to have a slight edge in the third meeting.

48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524


MICHIGAN ST. -5.5


WISCONSIN VS MICHIGAN ST. | 3/16 | 1:00 PM EDT
8:48 AM
The Spartans won the only regular-season matchup with the Badgers 67-59 in Madison. They held a 40-28 rebounding edge and made clutch plays down the stretch to seal it in the final two minutes while the outcome was still in the balance. The return of Nick Ward to the lineup gives Michigan State needed muscle on both ends of the floor. Wisconsin has been one of the Big Ten's hottest teams down the stretch, but the Badgers have likely hit their ceiling. The points have even more value in what should be a physical grinder, but look for the Spartans to pull away again.

48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524
3-1 IN LAST 4 WISC ATS PICKS | +190


AUBURN -3


FLORIDA VS AUBURN | 3/16 | 1:00 PM EDT
8:46 AM
Florida likely got off the NCAA Tournament bubble with an impressive comeback win Friday against LSU. Now that the hard work is over, the Gators have a tough task Saturday against an Auburn club that struggled for a while with South Carolina but pulled away with a dominant second half. Look for the Tigers' edge in firepower to be the difference Saturday.

48-29-1 IN LAST 78 CBB ATS PICKS | +1524
2-1 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +80
 

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Stephen Oh - NBA

WASHINGTON -3

MEMPHIS @ WASHINGTON | 3/16 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:34 PM
Washington is the third-best covering team at home in the NBA. Memphis is the third-worst covering road team. My projections don't show any reason to fade those trends, especially as they nearly mirror their overall home/road records. Washington covers in nearly two-thirds of my simulations.

76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
23-14 IN LAST 37 WAS ATS PICKS | +760

4-0 IN LAST 4 MEM ATS PICKS | +400

SAN ANTONIO -2

PORTLAND @ SAN ANTONIO | 3/16 | 8:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:29 PM
San Antonio has won six in a row and covered in five of them. The average margin of victory has been 8.0 ppg. None of the three matchups between these teams have been particularly close, and my computer model sees another near-double-digit win for the home team. San Antonio should cover the slim spread on the home court.

76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
15-9 IN LAST 24 SA ATS PICKS | +522

5-2 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +278

NEW ORLEANS -1

PHOENIX @ NEW ORLEANS | 3/16 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:23 PM
The Pelicans have lost four straight and didn't cover in any of them, but my projections say this is a bit of an overcorrection off that trend. They're still better than the Suns, especially at home. New Orleans wins handily, and covers in nearly 70 percent of my simulations. Pelicans are the play.

76-55 IN LAST 131 NBA PICKS | +1601
3-0 IN LAST 3 NO ATS PICKS | +300

4-3 IN LAST 7 PHO ATS PICKS | +74

EDMONTON +116

EDMONTON @ ARIZONA | 3/16 | 10:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:56 PM
Arizona has been the better team all season and it's at home here. But Edmonton won at Arizona earlier this year, 3-1. And the Oilers are showing signs of life, having won five of seven. My projections are nearly evenly split on who wins this game -- at this price, that makes Edmonton a worthy play.

5-2 IN LAST 7 NHL ML PICKS | +297
 

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Brandon Watson (CBB - 5-1 on Friday)

Auburn
Wisconsin
Over Tennessee/Kentucky
Over Kansas/Iowa State
Villanova
Oregon
 

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Rockdeman Sports (CBB)

Coming back with the same team today - Prairie View A&M +1
 

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Allan Desrosiers

15 oregon over
10 michigan st
7'florida st
7 davidson
7 tenn over
 

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Gold Sheet LTS

SATURDAY, MARCH 16

COLLEGE HOOPS

TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units OREGON -1 1/2 over Washington 7:30 PM PDT Pac-12 Tourney at Las Vegas T-Mobile (Game #637)

ST. BONAVENTURE -2 1/2 over Rhode Island 10:00 AM PDT A-10 Tourney at Brooklyn (Game #614)

DAVIDSON -2 1/2 over Saint Louis 12:30 PM PDT A-10 Tourney at Brooklyn (Game #616)

WICHITA STATE +5 1/2 over Cincinnati 2:30 PM PDT American Tourney at Memphis (Game #622)

GEORGIA STATE -1 1/2 over Texas State 1:00 PM PDT Sun Belt Tourney at New Orleans (Game #622)

KANSAS -1 1/2 over Iowa State 3:00 PM PDT Big 12 Tourney at Kansas City (Game #626)

SAN DIEGO STATE +6 1/2 over Utah State 3:00 PM PDT MW Tourney at Las Vegas Thomas & Mack (Game #627)

"UNDER" 135 points SAN DIEGO STATE vs. UTAH STATE 3:00 PM PDT MW Tourney at Las Vegas Thomas & Mack (Game #627-28)

"UNDER" 127 points CS FULLERTON vs. UC IRVINE 9:00 PM PDT Big West Tourney at Anaheim (Game #639-40)

BOWLING GREEN +10 1/2 over Buffalo 4:30 PM PDT MAC Tourney at Cleveland (Game #631)

NEW ORLEANS +5 over Abilene Christian 6:30 PM PDT Southland Tourney at Katy, TX (Game #307887)

"OVER" 137 points GRAND CANYON vs. NEW MEXICO STATE 7:00 PM PDT WAC Tourney at Las Vegas Orleans (Game #307889-90)
 

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AJ Hoffman


2* UC Irvine -9


1* Kentucky -1.5


2* Ga.Southn -4


2* Florida St. +8
 

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Derek Hayes

CBB - $100 St Bonaventure -2
UFC - $100 McCann/Reyes (+125)
 

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11th Hour sports

11th: NCAAB, 8u: 601 PENN+1. 605 WIS+5.5. WIS U 130. 617 MEM+8.5. MEM U 148.5. 607 MINN+9. 611 TENN+1.5. 625 IA ST+1.5. 633 FSU U 145. 638 WAS+1.5
 

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From the Swami Site
10 Game of the Year Side Play · [603] Princeton Tigers
One on One Sports Sat Mar 16th, 2019 3:00pm EDT
 

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