Harry Bondi
TULANE (-5.5) over East Carolina
Yes, it’s dicey laying points on the road with a team that’s lost four in a row, but we’re confident this is a situation where the Green Wave can win and win by margin. First off, the team still has a chance to play in a bowl game, so the motivation is there. Secondly, the problem over the last month has been a rush defense that’s been getting run over by physical teams, but that’s exactly what East Carolina does NOT bring to the table. In fact, the Pirates are averaging just 3.1 yards per rush and an even worse 2.4 yards per carry at home this year, which has been the main reason for their 2-7 ATS record. Tulane has been very good in recent years handling teams it is expected to beat, going 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite and this week they are starving for a victory. Lay the road favorite!