Football PLAYSSaturday - 11/10
CFB - 4* Game 220 - Michigan State (+3.5)
Edges - Spartans: Head coach Mark Dantonio 16-5 ATS as a conference dog when allowing 22.2 or less PPG when facing foes coming off a win, including 8-0 ATS the last eight; and Dantonio 11-4-1 ATS as a home dog with a win percentage of less than .850, including 4-0 ATS with revenge versus an .833 or greater opponent … Buckeyes: 3-10 ATS in this series when MSU is coming off a win of 7 or more points. We cement the call with this from our powerful database: college football road favorites on a 5-game or more ATS losing streak are 0-11 ATS since 1990 from game Ten out when coming off a conference ATS loss of more than 10 points and facing a .181 or greater opponent. In addition college football conference home dogs coming off a road favorite SUATS win, that was preceded by a SU home dog win, are a perfect 6-0 ATS in this role. With the Spartans playing with revenge from a 48-3 loss last season - the worst Big Ten loss of Dantonio's career - and the Buckeyes allowing 457 YPG the last five games, we recommend a 4* play on Michigan State. Thank you and good luck as always.
CFB - 3* Game 119 - Virginia Tech (+3)
Edges - Hokies: 7-1-1 ATS conference dog when coming off consecutive losses … Panthers: Coach Pat Narduzzi 0-4 ATS favored off consecutive wins in his career (the last by double digits); and Narduzzi 0-3 ATS in games when coming off consecutive SUATS wins in his career; and Pitt never favored in 17 meetings in this series; and 4-10-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins, the last as a dog … We seal the deal noting that sub .800 college football conference home favorites coming off a double-digit road dog win that was preceded by a SU home dog win are 0-8 ATS since 1980. With Tech head coach Justin Fuente 5-0 ATS as a road dog off a loss with a .500 or greater record in his career, and Tech 3-1 SU away from home this season and looking to keep its bowl streak alive since 1992, we recommend a strong 3* play on Virginia Tech. Thank you and good luck as always.
CFB - 3* Game 122 - Boston College (+20)
Edges - Eagles: 8-1 ATS with conference revenge; and 12-4 ATS as a home dog of 14 or more points, including 5-0 ATS with a win percentage of .666 or greater … Tigers: 0-6 ATS in this series when coming off a win of more than 20 points … We cement the call as our Perfect System Club tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any undefeated college football conference road favorite of more than 6 points from Game Ten or later if they won 12 or fewer games last season provided they are coming off a SUATS win and are facing a greater than .500 opponent. That's because the undefeated teams are 0-16 ATS in this situation since 1980. With that we recommend a strong 3* play on Boston College. Thank you and good luck as