Saturday Service Plays 10/28/17

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Stephen Nover;



**NHL Parlay of the week

2* Sabres +115


Buffalo has been a major disappointment this season. But the Sabres have started to play better winning two of their last three. They have a strong history versus San Jose and catch a big scheduling break here. This is the final game of the Sharks' five-game, nine-day road trip. San Jose just played Thursday night. This is a very early start - 10 a.m. West Coast time - so it's almost like the Sharks are playing on consecutive days. Buffalo has beaten San Jose 10 of the last 13 times. The Sabres are 10-4 against the Sharks in their last 14 home games. The Sabres' little two-game win streak ended this past Wednesday in a 5-1 loss to Columbus. The Sabres haven't played since. They won't play again until Thursday. So an all-out effort should be forthcoming against what should be a tired and fatigued Sharks squad that has a lot of age to them.

2* Sabres Under 5.5 -121

San Jose has scored more than three goals just twice in nine games this season. Buffalo ranks 27th in goals averaging 2.5 per game. The teams met a litte more than two weeks ago and San Jose won, 3-2. I don't see more than five goals being scored again. Only two of the last seven in the series have produced an Over. This is a very early start time, which usually means sluggish play on offense. The Sharnks are concluding a five-game, nine-day road trip with this matchup.Their power play has produced just two goals in 16 tries during the road swing.




**NHL Total Crusher


2* Under 5.5 -103 Rangers/Canadiens

Call it a feeling, but I believe Carey Price is going to come up big against the Rangers. Price was booed at home during the Canadiens' 4-0 loss to the Kings this past Thursday. Price is far from being the best goalie in hockey like he was a couple of years ago. But he's not exactly washed up either. Price is going to need to come up big because the Canadiens have scored four goals in their last four games against the Rangers. The teams last met Oct.8 and New York won, 2-0. This has been an Under series with the Under cashing to the tune of 18-6-7 the past 31 times. The Rangers are going with backup goalie Ondrej Pavelec. I'm OK with that. Henrik Lundqvist is past him prime and Pavelec is 2-0 lifetime versus Montreal with a 1.92 goals against average mark and .942 save percentage.



**CFB Correlated parlay of the month


2* NC State +7.5 -130

I'm not a big fan of Notre Dame quarterback Brandon Wimbush especially when the Irish are going to have problems running the ball against North Carolina State's stout defense. The Wolfpack haven't allowed more than 116 yards rushing in any game. They rank sixth in the nation in run defense. No foe has scored more than 25 points on the Wolfpack either. That sets up well when taking a touchdown. Senior North Carolina State quarterback Ryan Finley isn't flashy. But he is efficient and can be trusted not to turn the ball over. He has yet to be intercepted in 248 attempts. North Carolina State has covered its past five road games.


2* NC State Under 58 -108

I see defense not offense ruling the day here in this matchup. Notre Dame is holding foes to 16.4 points a game, which is 12th-best in the country. North Carolina State allows less than 23 points a game. The Wolfpack are tremendous against the run and can control the line of scrimmage against Notre Dame's offensive line, which hasn't gone against this caliber of foe, nor North Carolina State's unusual 4-2-5 defensive alignment. The Irish also have to deal with Bradley Chubb, one of the best defensive players in the nation. Chubb has 14 tackles for losses and 6 1/2 sacks. He's a highly disruptive force.

2* Under 49 -110 Duke/Va.Tech

Think defense here and not just because the Under has cashed in Duke's last six games. Both teams have excellent defenses and Duke is struggling to score averaging 13.5 points in its last four games. Blue Devils quarterback Daniel Jones ranks 13th among the 14 qualified ACC quarterbacks in passing efficiency. Virginia Tech ranks No. 2 in the nation in third-down defense and gives up only 12.7 points per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. Duke, though, is strong on defense. The Blue Devils are No. 1 in the ACC in interceptions and second in sacks. Weather could impact scoring, too, with rain expected.

2* Over 55 -110 App State/U Mass

Both offenses have been looking good. Appalachian State has a balanced attack with dual threat senior Taylor Lamb at quarterback. The Mountaineers' offensive line is coming off probably their best game of the season. They should dominante the Minutemen in the trenaches. UMass just had to prepare for Georgia Southern's triple option offense last week. Now they have to switch back in their defensive preparation. That can be a problem. Appalachian State has scored 105 points in its last three games. UMass has scored 105 points in its last two games. It's important to note the Minutemen have been playing at a brisk pace, too.



***Conference USA Total Of The Year ***

3* Under 48 -110 UTSA/UTEP

What do you get with three ineffective quarterbacks rotating and no ground game? You get Texas El-Paso's offense, which is the second-worst in the country. The Miners have not broken the 17-point barrier in six of their seven games. The under has cashed 18 of the last 25 times in the Miners' conference games. Don't expect a sudden scoring outburst from UTEP against Texas San Antonio, which ranks 19th in scoring defense giving up 18 points a game. The Roadrunners just held Rice to seven points last Saturday. UTEP has been playing better defense since Mike Price replaced Sean Kugler as coach. The Miners have ranked in the top 50 defensively during their last couple of games and have had an extra week of preparation to work on more defensive schemes having had a bye last week
 
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  • The Prez;




  • OKLAHOMA STATE at (144) WEST VIRGINIA

    3% WEST VIRGINIA 7.5 (-109)

    These two Big 12 schools, as most in the league, are offensive minded. Both have the ability to run a balanced offense while the duo also can be had on the defensive side of the ball. The Mountaineers are more equipped to run the football and with volatile weather conditions expected in Morgantown. Edge to WV with weather being a factor.

    Additionally, West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen served as the offensive coordinator under Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy in 2010 when the Cowboys won the Big East and the Orange Bowl and having any form of knowledge of the Gundy offense is a plus.

    The home team prevails on Saturday.




  • CALIFORNIA at COLORADO

    3% Total Over 52.0 (+101)

    Colorado, who won the Pac-12 South a season ago is in last place in the division coming into this home event at Folsom Field against the Cal Bears. The Buffs are also coming off a shutout at the hands of Washington State a week ago. The Buffs passing game has been inefficient since the first month of the season but that changes this weekend in Boulder.

    Regardless of whether Steven Montez starts behind center for the Buffs or redshirt freshman Sam Noyer takes the field to start the game it is likely you will see both players taking snaps on Saturday. Colorado head coach Mike MacIntyre said a decision on the starter will be a pregame call Saturday.

    Montez is a 7-4 as a starter, including 3-1 as a freshman last season, and knows how to execute the offense. The squad has had some difficult matchups over in the last handful of games, both against high powered defenses and offenses that put points up early and took the Buffs out of their balanced offensive attack.

    Cal can put points on the board behind the right arm of quarterback Bower. Running back Patrick Laird rushed for 172 total yards and two scores in Cal's loss to Arizona, a game in which the offense put up 44 points but the defense allowed 45.

    First team to 40 wins and there is a good chance both score 40 in the thin air of Boulder, Colorado on Saturday afternoon.



  • PENN STATE at OHIO STATE

    *** 4% Total Over 57.0 (-108) ***


    There has been talk about the defensive prowess of the Ohio State Buckeyes all season, heck, going back to last summer. The chatter that the young Buckeye's offense would be supported by the depth and blue-chip talent of their stop-unit.
    This game will have little to do with which defense is better, that of OSU or PSU, because it will be about scoring touchdowns and avoiding fieldgoals in the redzone.
    Revenge from last season when Penn State upset the Buckeyes won't make the slightest impact on the final score.
    If the Nittany Lions can do what they did a week ago to a very good Michigan "D"... and Urban Meyer saw the game so he knows.. and the way to the Big 10 Championship and possible slot in this January's Final Four has to do with scoring points against the Lions on Saturday afternoon because PSU is going to get theirs behind McSorley and Barkley.



  • VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA

    3% SOUTH CAROLINA -6.5 (-110)

    South Carolina is still a contender for the SEC East title but most important is they improve the school's bowl possibilities with another home victory over an offensively challenged Vanderbilt squad. The Gamecocks have won eight straight meetings between the two and after a strong start to the 2017 season the Commodores have scuffled on both sides of the ball.
    Both teams are coming off bye weeks and all things being equal South Carolina has executed a much better resume than that of Vandy. They opened the season defeating a ranked North Carolina State squad and have since registered victories over Missouri, La Tech, Arkansas and Tennessee.

    The Commodores have yet to win a conference game and struggle to stop the run allowing at least 200 yards in five straight games - including 400 or more against Alabama and Georgia.

    South Carolina has held all seven opponents below their season scoring average and Vanderbilt averages just 22 points per game this season.

    Gamecocks rush their way to victory and become bowl eligible.




  • GEORGIA TECH at CLEMSON

    3% Total Over 49.0 (-103)











  • WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA U

    *** 4% WASHINGTON STATE -2.5 (-110) ***

    The three game winning streak by the Arizona Wildcats behind the play of newly inserted quarterback Khalil Tate has inflated the Wildcats market value the last two weeks. While Tate has been easily one of the bright spots in college football and the force behind the 'Cats resurgence in Tucson the test against WSU, albeit on home turf, will be his toughest of the his four starts.

    The national exposure that Tate has received over the past month, despite the big games in the college ranks, e.g. Michigan vs Penn State and Notre Dame hosting USC, earned him the first player named Pac-12 offensive player of the week three times in a row since USC quarterback Rodney Peete in 1988.

    Tate is everything to the Arizona offense. He has scored 11 TD's, rushed for almost 700 yards and thrown for nearly 500 across the team's three game winning streak. And while the Wildcats are one win away from bowl eligibility after being picked to finish last in the Pac-12 South this is the game that Rich Rod has feared the most this season. In arguably his worst coaching experience in Arizona the Cats suffered a 69-7 embarrassment in Pullman last year. Revenge would be a factor but in truth many of the Wildcats' starters were not a part of that loss and Rich Rod simply has issues containing the Mike Leach offense.

    The Cougars have given up more sacks than anyone else in the FBS this season but Arizona's front seven isn't a ridiculously threatening group and WSU quarterback Falk will have his way with the Cats on Saturday afternoon.

    In somewhat of an aberration the Wildcats have scored more points this season than Leach and his crew. U of A leads the Pac-12 in scoring (43.1), and rushing (342.7). But they just are not enough defensively to overcome what the Cougars bring to the field offensively.

    Washington State is 26-3 under coach Mike Leach with the lead in the final 15 minutes of games and are 18-3 when they win the turnover battle. Both of the above trends favor the Cougars.
 
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ATS Football Lock Club:


30* Arkansas St. -3 (buy 1/2 point to -2.5) BEST BET !!


8* Louisville -2.5


8* Virginia +3


7* Mississippi St. -2


6* Wisconsin -26.5
 
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Prediction Machine
207 7:15 PM
MISSST
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@ TEXA&M -1.5 4.7 58.8 $67
160 8:00 PM @ NMST
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ARKST 4 1.5 58.3 $62
137 12:30 PM UVA
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@ PITT 3 1.1 58.1 $60
206 3:30 PM @ OHIOST PSU -6.5 10.8 56.5 $43
163 8:00 PM UTSA @ UTEP -16 20.1 55.8 $36
143 12:00 PM OKST @ WVU -7.5 11.4 55.2 $30
121 4:00 PM VANDY @ SC 7 -4.1 55.0 $28
155 6:30 PM MINN @ IOWA 7.5 -4.8 55.0 $28
133 2:30 PM FIU @ MARSH 17 -13.3 54.8 $25
 
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H&H Sports; (CFB)



5* Georgia -12.5 ( Best Bet Of The Day )

( 5* are very rare for H&H, however when released they have been typically ROUTES !!!! )



Triple Dime:

Miami Florida -20
Kansas State -23.5




Double Dime:

Wisconsin -26.5
Texas -9
 

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Vincent Rizzo Sports
CFB TOP RATED Plays 71.2% WINNERS
26-11 ATS, +24 U

Georgia
NC State
USF
G Tech
 

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ATS Football Lock Club:


30* Arkansas St. -3 (buy 1/2 point to -2.5) BEST BET !!


8* Louisville -2.5


8* Virginia +3


7* Mississippi St. -2


6* Wisconsin -26.5


If your buying the 1/2 in Arkansas state for -140, might as well take the ML for -145.
 

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tommy brunson
150 DIME
Play of My Career

College Dog of the Year
#150 san jose st
 

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NCAA
[143] OKLAHOMA ST -7.5 ..3u

MCAA [130]
N. CAROLINA + 21 ..3u

[191] TEXAS -10...3u

[143] OKLAHOMA ST / W.VIRGINIA UNDER 72.5 ..3u

TWEETY DIMES
 

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