Larry Ness' 15* TV Total GOW (now 39-10, just under 80% with 15* GOW plays TY!)My 15* play is on Cle/Det Over at 3:55 ET. The Indians send CC Sabathia to the mound and he's 6-1 with a 3.51 ERA in 10 starts this year for the Indians (team is 9-1). As for the Tigers. it's last year's ROY, Justin Verlander, who is 5-1 with a 2.68 ERA in nine starts (team is 7-2). With two outstanding pitchers facing each other, the total reflects that but IGNORES the hitting prowess of BOTH of these teams. Last night the Indians won 7-4, getting 12 hits to the Tigers' 11. So what else is new? Cleveland averages 5.65 RPG (No. 1 in all of MLB), while the Tigers average 5.62 RPG (No. 2). Breaking it down to road and home, the Indians average 5.32 RPG on the road, with the Tigers going up to 6.21 RPG at home. When facing a right-handed starter (like they will here vs Verlander), the Indians are 22-10, averaging 6.19 RPG in 2007. When facing a left-handed starter (like they will here vs Sabathia), the Tigers are 8-2, while averaging 5.4 RPG in 2007. Doesn't the 'over' seem like the logical play? TV Total of the Week 15* Cle/Det Over.
Good Luck, Larry
Larry Ness' 15* Bailout Game of the Week (now 39-10 w/15* GOW plays since Opening Day!)My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 10:05 ET. The wheels just may be coming off the Brewers? The team was once 24-10 but last night's 8-6 loss (trailed 7-0!) was the team's 10th in its last 14 games, including a 3-8 mark on the road. Let's remember that the last winning record for this franchise came back in 1992 and while the Brewers were 48-33 in Miller Park last year, they were a pathetic 27-54 on the road. The Padres have won eight of 11 and own one of the league's best starting staffs plus their bullpen's ERA is a league-best, 2.34 (next best is 3.02!). Justin Germano looks to put together another strong start for the Padres in this one. Germano (2-0, 0.47 ERA) was called up from Triple-A Portland on May 8 (was 4-0 with a 1.69 ERA in five starts for the Beavers), four days after Clay Hensley was placed on the 15-day DL with a strained right groin. Germano has made three starts for San Diego, allowing two runs (one earned) and 12 hits in 19 innings. Germano will be opposed by Claudio Vargas (3-0, 3.68), who will try to end a streak of three straight no-decisions for the slumping Brewers. He's posted a 5.06 ERA in his last three starts and is coming off his worst outing of the season in which he allowed five runs and six walks over four innings of a 6-5 win over Minnesota last Sunday. Bailout GOW 15* SD Padres.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (ov 62% last 2 seasons / 3-1 since May 7!)My Las Vegas Insider is on the SF Giants at 9:05 ET. The Rockies overcame a 3-0 lead in the 7th inning last night to end the Giants' four-game win streak with a 5-3 victory.That ups Colorado's road mark this year to 11-14 but don't get too excited. The Rockies entered this year with a road mark of 206-361 (.363) this decade! How's that for consistent losing? Aaron Cook takes the mound for Colorado and coming off a 2006 season in which he was 9-15 with a 4.23 ERA (team was just 10-22 in his starts), he's had a strange 2007. Here's what I mean. Cook posted a 3.18 ERA in his first five starts this year, but the Rockies went 0-5. However, the team's won FOUR of his last five starts, despite the fact that his ERA during that span is 6.14! Talk about NOT making any sense? Meanwhile, the Giants send Matt Morris to the mound. Morris was just 10-15 with a career-high 4.98 ERA in 2006 (his first year with SF) but he's been outstanding in 2007. He's 5-1 in nine starts, posting a 2.93 ERA. always known as a strong home pitcher in his best years with the Cards, the Giants are 3-1 in his home starts this year, with Morris allowing just six ERs in 26.2 innings (2.03 ERA). All Giants in this one! Las Vegas Insider on the SF Giants
