Saturday Service Play Thread 11/23/2019

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Nfac
SATURDAY 11-23-19 =
127) UNDER 51 DUKE-WF...($600) via Westgate
more to come.

sailfish do you have the rest of the Cokin card?
He has plays on Oregon state/wash state
sdsu/hawaii
And he has a larger play not sure what game.

thanks!

Is cokin any good I can get his plays tomorrow
 

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Mike Missanelli
navy


any Lenny Stevens please post. Fade was amazing last Saturday. Tia
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 23 2019 7:30PM
152 Arizona St. 14.5(-110) William Hill vs 151 Oregon double-dime bet

Analysis: These are two teams heading in opposite directions as Oregon has won 9 straight while ASU has lost 4 straight. However, that’s where our value is in our opinion. In 11 losses under Herm Edwards, only once has ASU lost by more than 11 points (at Utah this year in the rain and cold). 15 of Arizona St’s last 22 games decided by a TD or less. ASU has lost 2 straight coin-flip games including one vs USC without their starting QB. While the Ducks have clinched a berth in Pac-12 Title game, they need to win out to get to CFB Playoff and the whole “style points” argument is making them too expensive here.
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 23 2019 11:00PM
215 San Diego St. 3.0(-117) Pinnacle vs 216 Hawaii double-dime bet

Analysis: The winner of this game takes home the West division of the Mountain West. We trust the Aztecs in this spot more as they have the far superior defense (No. 8 vs No. 97 in total D) and have played in more high pressured games. They also have far less variance as they are +11 in TO’s while Hawaii is -14. Does Hawaii head coach Nick Rolovich trust either of his QB’s here vs an aggressive defense? Finally, the Aztecs are playing with revenge after losing 31-30 to Hawaii last year as 17.5-point favorites. San Diego St has dominated this series with a 19-3-1 ATS mark (+11.6 ppg)
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 23 2019 3:30PM
177 Texas 5.5(-110) Westgate vs 178 Baylor double-dime bet

Analysis: Will Baylor be gassed here? Six of their last 8 games have been decided by one possession and they’ve played a total of 5 OT’s. Last week, Baylor had a 93% chance to beat Oklahoma with 13 minutes left. However, they blew a 25-point lead (was 28-3 in 2Q) and we wonder how they pick themselves up after that performance. Keep in mind ,the Bears were dominated in the box score as they were -16 first downs, -218 yards and -22:22 in time of possession. Finally, Texas head coach Tom Herman is 15-4 ATS as an underdog and we cashed on these pages with them in that role last week in their near upset of Iowa St. We go back to the well again here.
 

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KEN THOMSON | CFB SIDESAT, 11/23/19 - 3:30 PM
122 Indiana 10.0 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 121 Michigan
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
Indiana QB Peyton Ramsey was able to take sharing time with youngster Michael Pennix Jr in stride throughout the season. There were many games the Hoosiers HC Allen went with the younger QB Pennix Jr.
Ramsey has taken advantage of the starting time he has back, partly due to a season ending injury to the younger quarterback.
Indiana was not intimidated whatsoever in Happy Valley last week and went toe to toe the entire 60 minutes with Penn State. I like the way Michigan has played ever since the end of the first quarter of that same Penn State venue where they trailed 21-0 and looked like they were going to get blown out like they did at Wisconsin. Instead the Wolverines out gained PSU the last 3 quarters by nearly a 4-1 margin. After that game Michigan quietly went about their business and have been dominant on defense and good enough offensively.
Shea Patterson looks much more under control at quarterback for the Wolverines and if they win this game they have a chance to take out Ohio State at home in my mind. They may win but I think this will be a hotly contested game in Bloomington. The receiving corp for IU is impressive and the running game is solid enough. Biggest game for HC Tom Allen in a long time as a straight up win here will help elevate Indiana up the chart in the minds of recruits still looking at the program as a basketball school.
Last week IU put up 462 yards of offense and if they can get to the 400 plateau on Saturday that should be good enough to hang inside double digits with a good chance to win the game straight up. If turnover battle is won or at least even up at the end of the game the Hoosiers should be i«n good shape.


Pick Made: Nov 21 2019 12:45PM PST
 

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KEN THOMSON | CFB SIDESAT, 11/23/19 - 11:00 PM
216 Hawaii -2.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 215 San Diego St.
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I know I'm bucking heads with several sharp cappers I respect buªt I called Hawaii to win the West Division of the Mountain West Conference at the beginning of the season so I'm sticking with it. I think Cole McDonald will get the start over Chevan Cordeiro at QB for Coach Nick Rolovich based off the two Int's Cordeiro threw at UNLV last Saturday before being pulled. If McDonald struggles then the same scenario could be reversed here as well.
Hawaii has too much speed with their receiving corp even for an Aztec defense that is always solid. SDSU has gotten away with winning some games this season that they could've easily lost including right here in Vegas vs. UNLV.
The Rainbow Warriors should be able to move the ball fine and as long as they don't get buried in the TURNOVER department they should outscore the stagnant SDSU offense. Aztec QB Ryan Agnew has a bum calf but will probably gut it out in a game that has the Division on the line. RB Miles Reed needs to do his part as well on the ground where he has been solid. Then it's up to the Hawaii defense to make plays against SDSU's running game and get this game to an offensive styled pace. If they can do that they will go to their first Conference Title Game. Always tough to choose offense over defense but I'll look to the 12th man in Honolulu for extra help as this is the biggest game on the island in years!


Pick Made: Nov 21 2019 1:51PM PST
 

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KEN THOMSON | CFB SIDESAT, 11/23/19 - 7:30 PM
152 Arizona St. 14.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 151 Oregon
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm upset I didn't get this out when it was 14.5 several places....here in Vegas it is still 14.5 at several shops including Circa, Wynn, Coast Casino's and Treasure Island.
I think Oregon wins a game inside of 10 points at Tempe....I'll be in Phoenix for the weekend and may take a gander to this one....but may just watch it on Big Screens with all the other games going on.
Herm has dropped 4-straight and this is now a Bigger game than beating Arizona next week. The Devils have dropped 4-straight and need to stop the bleeding. Look for Jaden Daniels to take care of the football and be on the money in this one. RB Benjamin needs to be sharp and Brandon Aiyuªk is one of the best receivers in the country for ASU.
The defense needs to apply pressure on QB Herbert and get in his face or they will pay the price. ASU only has 19 sacks coming into this one. They also need to win the turnover battle where both teams have had success this season. Tall task on paper but ASU plays with emotion and keeps it close....if it's a one score game in the 4th quarter the Sun Devils may find a way to win this baby outright!


Pick Made: Nov 21 2019 2:21PM PST
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Bear: Air Force, Nebraska ML, California, Colorado State, Indiana, Southern Miss, Tulane, Ball St

Actually Bear only has:
Colorado State +6- (L)
Indiana +9-
Southern Miss -4-
Tulane +6
Ball State -3-

The other plays are from Stanford Steve:
Air Force -22
Nebraska ML -180
California +4
He also had Georgia Tech Pick 'Em (W) last evening

Same Podcast two different individuals. Stanford Steve produces the SVP show and the Bear produces Gameday.
 

sdf

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has anyone gotten or planning to get the SharpPlays premium play today?
 
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Cajun Sports
Iowa

Britney DeLuca at WinningSportsPlays.com is hitting over 60% in CFB & NFL.
She has a Total of the Year today and is 18-1 last 19 major releases.
Not shilling as some of the immature people around here think, just bringing something very worthwhile to everyone's attention.
Isn't sharing and winning what it's about?
 

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