Bit jumbled but I got from somewhere else No time to fix it
saturdy ufc 11/14 kyle marley Rafael Dos Anjos (-170) vs. Paul Felder (+150): Felder via TKOFelder took this fight on short notice and he has to cut a lot of weight for a fight that is scheduled for five rounds. Dos Anjos has fallen off lately, with losses in four of his last five. Felder has been looking great and, even in his last loss, he looks like the best version of himself we have seen. Felder is the older fighter, which surprised me, but it looks like he has more left in the tank. This should be a fight that mainly stays standing and it is close on the feet. Dos Anjos has the edge on the mat, but I might give Felder the slight edge on the feet. There is no way I would pay close to -200 on either one of these guys. Felder doesn't strike me as a guy who will have cardio issues on a short-notice fight, so I think he can win a decision, but I will take him to land a hard shot and put RDA away. Abdul Razak Alhassan (-230) vs. Khaos Williams (+195): Alhassan by TKOThis should be a violent striking fight. Both guys throw heat and will be looking for the knockout early and often. I think Alhassan is the better and more powerful striker, so he is going to be the pick. I was hoping him coming off a loss and Williams coming off a win would have helped this price, but he is still a fan favorite and we have to pay up for him if we want an investment.Julian Marquez (-280) vs. Saparbek Safarov (+240): Marquez by TKOSafarov is a wild man and he could land a knockout. That might be his only path to victory because I think Marquez is the better striker and grappler, so it's hard to see Safarov winning any other way. The first round should be the closest and Safarov's best chance, but after that Marquez should take over and probably get a finish of his own. Eryk Anders (-140) vs. Antonio Arroyo (+120): Arroyo by decisionThis is a close fight. Anders gets the power and wrestling edge, but the technique and grappling edges go to Arroyo. This fight should stay standing for the most part. Either guy could get a knockout but, if this plays out over 15 minutes, I would rather take the underdog.Sean Strickland (-115) vs. Brendan Allen (-105): Allen by submissionStrickland just fought two weeks ago, and Allen was supposed to fight last weekend but the fight fell through. Now, they are making this fight at a catchweight of 195 pounds on less than a week's notice and this is one of the better fights on the card. Strickland gets the striking edge, but Allen should have the size edge, which should also provide him the wrestling edge. Both are solid grapplers, but I would slightly favor Allen just because I think he is more likely to have top control.Kay Hansen (-220) vs. Cory McKenna (+190): McKenna by decisionBoth are decent grapplers, but Hansen might get the slight edge on the mat. McKenna looks like the better striker and she might be the better wrestler as well. This line should be a lot closer to even, and I think the hype behind Hansen is playing a factor in the odds. The biggest worry is McKenna getting caught in a submission. If that doesn't happen, I don't see how Hansen wins this fight anywhere close to 70 percent of the time, as the odds suggest.Miranda Granger (-130) vs. Ashley Yoder (+110): Yoder by decisionGranger gets the edge on the feet and the grappling advantage goes to Yoder. I don't see a knockout from Granger coming, so she would need to win a striking battle that goes the distance. Yoder should be looking to get this fight to the mat and, if she can, then she can use her grappling to lock up a submission or just win rounds.Alex Morono (-185) vs. Rhys McKee (+165): McKee via TKOMcKee got destroyed in his UFC debut by Khamzat Chimaev. But if we throw that fight out, I don't know how Morono is this big of a favorite. Morono is the better grappler but he can't wrestle like Chimaev, so this fight mainly plays out on the feet and McKee is capable there. I think McKee is the better striker and he is the taller and longer fighter as well. Give me the underdog in this spot to get a TKO or a striking-based decision win.Louis Smolka (-135) vs. Jose Quinonez (+115): Smolka by decisionI give Smolka the advantage in striking and grappling and he is the higher-paced fighter who should be pushing the action. Quinonez is the better wrestler and Smolka will accept takedowns, but I don't see Quinonez having a lot of success on the mat even if he can land them. I think Smolka has more ways to win.Kanako Murata (-175) vs Randa Markos (+155): Murata by submissionI don't know if I will ever pick Markos again after her last fight, where she jumped in the guard of probably the best grappler in women's MMA, Mackenzie Dern, and got submitted easily. I can't trust her with my money and she only has decent striking and wrestling. Murata looks like she is a better striker and a better wrestler. I also like her grappling a lot more as well, and could see her locking up a submission.Tony Gravely (-165) vs Geraldo de Freitas (+145): Gravely by decisionBoth guys love to wrestle. Gravely averages 4.77 takedowns per 15 minutes and de Freitas averages 4. Gravely should have the edge everywhere and, if the wrestling cancels out, he can win a striking decision or get a knockout. I think Gravely is the better wrestler, so he is more likely to land takedowns. It's hard to find any real advantages aside from height and reach for de Freitas.Don'tale Mayes (-215) vs Roque Martinez (+185): Martinez by TKOMayes is the better striker and the quicker fighter who has an 8-inch height and 9-inch reach advantage. If this fight stays standing, he should be favored. However, I wouldn't lay over -200 on Mayes against anybody in the UFC. Martinez likes to strike so that could be a worry, but he should look to get inside and look for takedowns. If he can get takedowns, he might be able to keep Mayes on the mat the rest of the fight and possibly get a ground-and-pound finish.
hno:
