Saturday Service Play Thread 11/09/2019

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

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Lee Sterling (Paramount Sports) has a 50 unit underdog GOY, thanks in advance.
 

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Bezobets

4u Minnesota +7
3u Alabama -5.5
3u Hawaii -8
2u Georgia Tech +16
2u Virginia Tech +2
 

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Dave Cokin:

142 Minnesota +7 -115
183 Kansas State +7
187 Georgia State -2.5
 

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Thanks doctork! i think! Sterling has been off the last year or so for sure.
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 3:00PM
149 Stanford -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 150 Colorado double-dime bet

Analysis: Stanford comes in fresh off a bye and prior to it got their QB KJ Costello back from injury. The only game the Cardinal have lost in their last 4 games was when they had to go to a 3rd-string QB vs UCLA. Otherwise this team looks poised to make a strong run in November. Meanwhile, the Buffaloes are heading in the wrong direction as they have allowed at least 30 points in all 9 games this year and have lost 5 straight. Make it 6.
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 10:15PM
156 Boise St. -13.5(-110) William Hill vs 155 Wyoming double-dime bet

Analysis: Wyoming has lost starting QB Sean Chambers (knee) for the season. Tyler Vander Waal will take over and he does have some experience dating back to last year (9 starts in 2018) so the drop-off won’t be significant. However, the Cowboys will really miss Chambers in the run game (2nd leading rusher with 567 yards and 10 TD’s) and Vander Waal is only 4 of out of 16 this season in limited time. Boise did rally vs San Jose St last week as they got back QB Hank Bachmeier. He should be even better here. Our power ratings are strong on the Broncos here and it makes sense considering Wyoming is a 6-2 SU team that is -22.8 ypg this season despite facing the No. 120 schedule.
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 7:30PM
158 BYU -17.0(-110) Westgate vs 157 Liberty double-dime bet

Analysis: Last week we easily with BYU in a 42-14 win and we go right back to them here. BYU has a huge schedule edge here as BYU has played a Top 15 schedule in terms of strength while Liberty has played a Bottom 5. This is BYU’s 5th home game this year and their previous 4 all came against ranked teams (Utah, USC, Washington and Boise St). Meanwhile, Liberty hasn’t played a Top 100 team since September 14th! In Liberty’s last 6 games, arguably the toughest team they played was a road trip to Rutgers and Liberty lost by 10. Quite simply, BYU is the best team Liberty has played this season and their games against similar competition, the Flames lost to Syracuse by 24 and UL-Lafayette by 21. Liberty is also playing their 3rd straight road game and are traveling across the country in altitude. BYU has been solid in November the last 10 years: 23-9-3 ATS (+6 ppg). Since they moved to Independent status, BYU’s schedule has been front-loaded with tough teams. Therefore, when November hits, BYU’s stats and records look average, but it’s because they have played tough schedules. Then the schedule gets much weaker in November (who wants to play BYU in middle of conference season)? Finally, BYU has a bunch of older players (20-23 years old instead of 18-21) that can handle the wear and tear of seasons.
 

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2019 7:00PM
140 South Carolina -5.5(-110) Westgate vs 139 Appalachian St double-dime bet

Analysis: Sometimes we think the market gets “too smart” for their own good. Think about this one out loud...An SEC team is laying less than a TD to a Sun Belt team. That SEC team should also be motivated because they need two wins to get to bowl eligibility. Yes, the two teams have one common opponent in North Carolina and South Carolina lost to the Tar Heels while App St beat NC. However, will there be “bubble burst” for App St after seeing their unbeaten season come to an end last week? South Carolina will look to get back RB Rico Dowdle back and note QB Ryan Hilinski hasn’t thrown an interception in any of his last 5 starts. Finally, South Carolina has a huge strength of schedule edge (No. 9 vs No. 124 in Sagarin’s ratings).
 

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Mike Missanelli
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Any Lenny “fade the 20” Stevens please post . Tia
 

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Any AL DEMARCO? I should buy this man some drinks. He’s making me $$ fading
any Root as well? Great fade. Thanks
 

SD3

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Shaker
3* Alabama/LSU under 65
2* Oklahoma/Iowa St under 68
2* Texas/Kansas St. under 58
2* South Carolina -5
2* Minnesota +7
 

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Any AL DEMARCO? I should buy this man some drinks. He’s making me $$ fading
any Root as well? Great fade. Thanks
I wish we could ban anyone from the service thread that begs for plays. Buy it and share or just be patient.
 

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