Saturday Service Play Thread 1/17/2026

[BuzzKill]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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[steve021]

JIMMY ADAMS​

(391) BUFFALO BILLS AT (392) DENVER BRONCOS: MONEYLINE​

Date/Time:
Jan 17 2026 4:30 PM EST
Line Provider:
Fanduel
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
+100
Play:
Buffalo Bills 100
Jacksonville was a popular pick with many bettors last week, allowing the clients and I to come in on the other side and cash a nice ticket with Buffalo. Now the Bills head to Denver winners of 6 of their past 7, with the lone loss over that span coming by 1 point to the then defending Super Bowl champion Eagles. Josh Allen is a “bet on” quarterback this time of year, and he was the ultimate difference maker in their Wild Card win. He does things that most quarterbacks can’t, and his decision making has drastically improved over the years.
The Broncos have had an extra week to prepare, but we’ve seen that backfire many times throughout the years. In fact, you can make a strong argument that having a road playoff win already under your belt is an advantage. When we look at the analytics, Buffalo ranks 3rd in EPA per play on offense, while Denver sits down at 15th. That’s a drastic difference and one that could very well decide this game. The Broncos have found ways to win, but this is not a team you can count on to put points up with regularity, having scored 20 or fewer in their past 3 games. While everyone agrees that Sean Payton’s defense is solid, the differential isn’t as big as many may think. Denver is 8th in EPA per play defensively with Buffalo coming in at 13th. The Bills are also 2ndin the NFL in opponent passing yards per game, so a few big mistakes from Bo Nix will have a very meaningful impact. Speaking of quarterbacks, when just looking at the advanced metrics, Josh Allen grades out 4th in the model that I use. Nix is 19th. When the game is on the line, you want the ball in Josh Allen’s hands. This team as a whole has a lot of playoff experience, and given their current form, we can fully expect them to pick up this divisional round win and move on to the conference championship. Take the Bills ML.
5% Play on Bills MONEYLINE at -130 or better, 4% at worse than -130

 

[bribux]

noleviptennis info
Man ATP – SINGLES Australian Open
Draxl – Dzumhur
Over 38.5

 

[bribux]

pickstennis net
WTA – SINGLES Australian Open
Sawangkaew – Raducanu
Under 20.5

 

[bribux]

bttsvip de
England Premier League
Tottenham – West Ham
BTTS – YES

 

[bribux]

daily-treble uk
Hoffenheim – Leverkusen : Over 2.5 @ 1.52
FC Rapid – Metaloglobus : Over 2.5 @ 1.65
Total Odds : 2.50

 

[bribux]

betprofit99 eu
Spain LaLiga
Real Madrid – Levante
Real Madrid -1.5 @ 1.50 / 100

 

[Typhoon]

Circa Football Invitational - BY ENTRY​

Chris Macero (80 PTS - 1st) - (74-53-2)
Mon, Jan 19 - Miami FL (+8.5) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sun, Jan 18 - Patriots (-3) vs Texans
Sat, Jan 17 - Bills at Broncos - UNDER (46)

Scott Pritchard (75 PTS - 2nd) - (69-56-4)
Mon, Jan 19 - Miami FL (+8.5) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sat, Jan 17 - Bills (+1.5) at Broncos
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams (-3.5) at Bears

Chris Fallica (74.5 PTS - 3rd) - (68-57-4)
Mon, Jan 19 - Miami FL (+8.5) vs Indiana * BEST BET
Sat, Jan 17 - Seahawks (-7) vs 49ers
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams (-3.5) at Bears

Kenny White (73.5 PTS - 4th) - (67-59-3)
Mon, Jan 19 - Indiana (-8.5) vs Miami FL * BEST BET
Sat, Jan 17 - Bills (+1.5) at Broncos
Mon, Jan 19 - Miami FL vs Indiana - OVER (47)

Frank Carulli (73 PTS - 5th) - (66-59-4)
Sat, Jan 17 - Bills at Broncos - UNDER (46) * BEST BET
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams at Bears - OVER (48.5)
Sun, Jan 18 - Patriots (-3) vs Texans

Matt Ste. Marie (73 PTS - 5th) - (68-60-1)
Sun, Jan 18 - Patriots (-3) vs Texans * BEST BET
Sat, Jan 17 - Bills at Broncos - UNDER (46)
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams (-3.5) at Bears

Jason Jarvis (72.5 PTS - 7th) - (65-62-2)
Sun, Jan 18 - Bears (+3.5) vs Rams * BEST BET
Sat, Jan 17 - Broncos (-1.5) vs Bills
Sat, Jan 17 - Seahawks (-7) vs 49ers

Meyer / Sack (69.5 PTS - 8th) - (63-64-2)
Sun, Jan 18 - Patriots (-3) vs Texans * BEST BET
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams (-3.5) at Bears
Sun, Jan 18 - Rams at Bears - UNDER (48.5)

 

[fortuneflusher]

Pickswise Sports

NFL (Regular Season +78.1 units & Playoffs +15.2 units)
3* Broncos -1
3* Under 46.5

4* Under 45.5
3* Seahawks -7

 

[fortuneflusher]

Zachary Cohen

NFL
Broncos -115
Prop Play Broncos RB RJ Harvey Over 48.5 rushing yards

Seahawks -7
Prop Play Seahawks QB Sam Darnold Over 233.5 passing yards

 

[BuzzKill]

Brandon Lang
200 Dimes - the Denver Broncos -1

 

[dough]

Marco

4% SMU

 

[MGMan]

Burns
4% Texas St -2
4% Denver -1.5

 

[onetrikpony]

SmartMoneySports
NFL

Denver Broncos -1 (4u)

Seattle Seahawks -7 (3u)

Seattle Seahawks Team Total Over 27.5 (3u)

Seattle Seahawks Over 45 (2u)


NCAAB

Duquesne -1 (2u)

Bowling Green Falcons -11.5 (2u)

Vanderbilt Commodores -1 (2u)

Michigan Wolverines -19.5 (3u)

BYU Cougars +3 (2u)

Kansas State Wildcats +4.5 (2u)

 

[alcatraz]

GOY: 4H New England -3 vs Houston 3:00pm (Sunday)
3H (Over 48.5) LA Rams/Chicago 6:30pm (Sunday)

Top Opinions:
Seattle -7 vs San Francisco 8:00pm (Saturday)
Marquee: (Under 41) Houston/New England 3:00pm (Sunday)
LA Rams -4 vs Chicago 6:30pm (Sunday)
Reg Opinions:
Denver -1 vs Buffalo 4:30pm (Saturday)
Marquee: (Under 46) Denver/Buffalo 4:30pm (Saturday)
Marquee: (Under 44.5) San Francisco/Seattle 8:00pm (Saturday)

 

[skorebored]

Bob Balfe
2025 VIP Football Record (103-97)

Bills +1.5 over Broncos
Seahawks -7 over 49ers
Seahawks/49ers Over 45.5

 

[tampasports]

TAMPASPORTS

CBB FLORIDA INTL -1

 

[onetrikpony]

Swami Site

Silky Sullivan
8 unit NHL
Florida Panthers +120

 

[1313]

Porter Picks

DENVER BRONCOS (-115) over Buffalo Bills (5-UNITS)

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-7) (-105) over San Francisco 49ERS (3-UNITS)

NFL BONUS MONEYLINE PARLAY SELECTION SEAHAWKS & LA RAMS @ (+100) (4-UNITS)

HOUSTON TEXANS (+3) (+100) over New England Patriots (4-UNITS)

 

[onetrikpony]

WWP
CBB

He Took
Butler
Virginia
Kentucky
Missouri
Georgia
Arizona
S.Carolina,
BYU.

Faders take
Seton Hall
SMU
Tennessee
LSU
Arkansas
UCF
Auburn
Texas Tech.