Saturday Service Play Thread 03/04/2023

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Let's go Brandon!
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Andy Lang

5% UFC MARCH MAYHEM BEST BET
Game: 5% UFC MARCH MAYHEM BEST BET
Date/Time: Mar 4 2023 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Valentina Shevchenko ML + Usman ML

This is a future parlay with Shevchenko fighting 4th March and Usman 18th March
We are locking this play in early to get the best lines before people start looking at those future events.

Shevchenko vs Grasso
Quite honestly I think Shevchenko is better than Grasso everywhere. Shevchenko is 12-2 in last 14 with both losses to Bantamweight champ Nunes. She will likely be the bigger fighter in the cage having fought up at Bantamweight and Grasso is a lot smaller and less powerful. I expect Shevchenko to mix in a lot of takedowns and ground control and is so technical and precise I don't see openings for Grasso. Shevchenko was dealing with an ankle/foot injury in her previous matchup and still managed to win. Now being fully healed I expect her to put on a statement and potentially look for the 3rd fight with Amanda. Grasso likes to throw jabs and combinations then get out of range but Shevchenko is not going to let that happen. I also believe Grasso doesn't have the physical strength to take Shevchenko down or keep her down.

Usman vs Edwards
Usman was dominating and coasting to a decision victory before getting caught by Edwards. Usman is so well rounded and his striking has looked better with every fight. His cardio is unquestionable and whilst Edwards has good cardio he struggled to match Usman's pace. Edwards mixed in some wrestling in fight 1 and even though he got a couple mainly through the element of surprise it sapped his gas tank. Usman is great at making adjustments and I expect him to nullify the areas Edwards had success in. Usman can mix in the takedowns as well as the powerful jab mixed with forward pressure. The UK crowd doesn't worry me too much as they are not normally as supportive of Edwards and have booed him in previous fights. Usman will be super focused on righting the wrong and I expect him to dominate again.

*Play is a 5% play up to -170. Then becomes a 4% play. As always, shop around as different shops will have different prices on these fights.
 

Let's go Brandon!
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NHL HOCKEY
Play New York Islanders -210 over Detroit

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Play Milwaukee -5.5 over Philadelphia (NBA)

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Play Marquette -11.5 over St. John's (NCAA)
Play Baylor -8 over Iowa State (NCAA)
 
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The Winners Circle

NHL HOCKEY
Play New York Islanders -210 over Detroit

BASKETBALL
Play Milwaukee -5.5 over Philadelphia (NBA)

Play Missouri -9.5 over Mississippi (NCAA)
Play Marquette -11.5 over St. John's (NCAA)
Play Baylor -8 over Iowa State (NCAA)
winner's circle didn't win on that horseshit Baylor play
 
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AJ Hoffman | CBB Sides Sat, 03/04/23 - 6:00 PM

674 Miami -6.0 (-110) William Hill vs 673 Pittsburgh

double-dime bet


Analysis:

¡Miami -6

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 2:02PM PST






AJ Hoffman | CBB Sides Sat, 03/04/23 - 12:00 PM

606 Baylor -6.5 (-110) William Hill vs 605 Iowa St.

double-dime bet


Analysis:

¡Baylor -6.5

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 2:05PM PST






AJ Hoffman | CBB Sides Sat, 03/04/23 - 5:00 PM

668 Nevada -8.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 667 UNLV

double-dime bet


Analysis:

¡Nevada -8

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 2:07PM PST






AJ Hoffman | CBB Sides Sat, 03/04/23 - 8:30 PM

728 Delaware -5.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 727 Northeastern

double-dime bet


Analysis:

Best bet fro m pod.

Didn’t get -4 was hoping for so dropping to 2*

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 2:12PM PST







AJ Hoffman | CBB Total Sat, 03/04/23 - 2:00 PM

620 Auburn / 619 Tennessee Under 132.5 William Hill

double-dime bet


Analysis:

Under 132.5

First game didn’t break 90 points. Tennessee no primary ball handler without Zeigler. Should be as grimy as it gets.

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 3:09PM PST







AJ Hoffman | CBB Sides Sat, 03/04/23 - 7:00 PM

687 Chicago St 13.0 (-110) William Hill vs 688 Fresno St.

double-dime bet


Analysis:

Chicago St +13

Fresno playing a meaningless non conference game right before they start a tourney where they will need to win 4 game—s in 4 days.

Chicago State has no conference and no postseason, but they have played hard all season. (Excellent ATS)

Fresno not a team I’d ever look to lay double digits with anyway.

Pick Made: Mar 3 2023 3:37PM PST
Hoffman is going for Perfection Today -- He loves those big favorites in rivalry games mostly --2 out of 3 have lost outright with the other barely winning, and not coming close to covering the big number, and an under that went over by double double digits, and another plays getting 12 or 13 now losing by about 25 in the 2nd half. If Delaware can also eat shit looks like total perfection today for AJ Hoffman!!!
 

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