SATURDAY NCAA <<<151>>>

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well i am going to go OVER 146 in the Robert Morris/IUPUI game, again RM has been scoring a lot lately aand this is more based on what these teams are also giving up this year on defense, Neither team is winning much so maybe they just have fun and play some fun basketball, IUPUI did put up 85 last game and if RM gets their tempo this should go over, last 3 games RM is avg 90 and giving up 96, and both teams avg giving up 80 on the year, RM is 4-1 OVER as a favorite this year, and are 6-2 over away, and are 12-5 over on the year

OVER 146 1 unit

also i am going OVER 152 in the W.Michigan/BG game, both these teams can score, W michigan last 3 games are averaging 80 and giving up 82, they had 5 games in a row where they scored over 81 points then only scored 66 at Akron, but Akron is all about defense, but that game still went to 143, BG is avg 81 and 74 last 3 games and at home they avg 78 and 72, both teams have been shooting the 3 well last 3 games W.Mich over 40% and BG over 37%, i expect this to get close to 160, if w.michigan is on it could go higher, the line is 9.5 which seems high, i mean w.mich has been covering last 5 i think , they are 5-3 ats on the road and 10-6 ats over all, but i just see this as a 83-77 type of game also looking back these 2 have played in some higher scoring games,, last game last year was 108-92 total was 151

OVER 152 1 unit

Nebraska is back home where they have played well and i think they will be glad to be home, even though NW has been good to me of late, i had them against Mich st and against penn st but went against them last game with Maryland, NW is not the same on the road, i am getting Nebraska -2 so i am taking Nebraska in this game, they have lost the last 6 vs NW and i think if there was a time to break that streak it is now, they have a pretty good team, and i am sure anyone who has been on this team the last few years is sick of losing to NW, Nebraska is 11-1 str up at home this year and 8-4 ats, and the OVER could be a play here also as Nebraska is 8-4 OVER at home and NW is 3-1 over away this year, total of 145 seems right i do expect Nebraska to get 80 or real close, but NW away is avg 65 and 65, Neb at home is avg 81-67, last 3 games Neb is avg 82 and 84, NW last 3 70-70 so safer play is NEB-2 i think this is a 80-71 type of game

NEBRASKA-2 1.5 units

just got the 1st line moves on some games as i have been sitting here, Syracuse went to -1 from a pk, st johns went to -1 from a pk. Bradley went to -11.5 from -11 drexel went to -6.5 from -6 purdue went to -6.5 from -7, TCU went to -4 from -3.5 ...thats all i can confirnm because i have not worked my way down yet..lol
 

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also going with U Mass Lowell-5 over Binghamton Mass lowell has finally gotten back up on that horse winning 6 straight and playing well, and they are really scoring during this 6 game win streak too, last 3 games avg 84 and 73 and Bing has lost 3 str, away Mass lowell is avg 77 and 70 which is good away, Bing at home is avg 76 and 71 this total is 151 and looks like this should go over, i could see a 85-76 type of game easily

U Mass lowell-5 1.5 units

OVER 151 small

Winthrop has won both road games in conf so far, and i expect them to play well here, after losing at home to UNC Ash last game, them and Ashville are the 2 top teams in conf for sure, and Winthrop has won the last 2 at GW 86-78 and 81-70 , i think Winthrop will get close to 80 here also , they are avg 83 and 80 last 3 games, and GW is avg 74 and giving up 76 at home, this is a pk i ike Winthrop here 79-73 total is 145 so lean to the OVER

Winthrop -pk 1 unit
 

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I haven’t looked at the lines as I went to Auburn gymnastics this evening and then partied here. Ole Miss in town tomorrow….cant wait to compare the lines tomorrow with mine. Good luck with everything. You’re on point way more often than not. I enjoy your posts!
 

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also going with American +2 over Lehigh, this line just dropped from 2.5 , but was looking at others and i knew i should have bet it then, American just playing much better right now and they are shooting a lot better than lehigh, even away they shoot better than Lehigh does at home 44% away to 39% at home for Lehigh, the 3 is 33% away to 27% at home for Lehigh just to mention a couple i think they win this game but ill grab 2 here

American +2 1 unit
 

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also taking St Bonnies +2 at George Mason, i just think they can win this game, they have done well vs GM last few years, they are playing better of late, last 3 games avg 76-70, and away averaging 70, and 67 GM last 3 only scoring 60 pts while giving up 68, but at home they are avg 75-62 but last 3 St Bonnie has been shooting really well, much better than GM, and they are shooting the 3 at 37% away this year thats pretty good, i just think they win this game, and are coming off a 99 point game vs Rhode Island, and they have won 3 of their 4 road games out right this year, so they know how to win on the road

St Bonnie +2 1.5 units

have to go to bed or ill be doing this till dawn and screw up my whole day tomorrow

gl everyone 151
 

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also going with Charlotte +2 at home vs N texas tomorrow just like this team in this spot, for a out right win

charlotte+2 1 unit

also 2 of my fav road teams play tomorrow wofford is +7 and W.carolina is +4 wonder which way lines will move

gl 151
 

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well maybe i should have made Charlotte a big play as they went from +2 to -1 oh well i got them last night, and i am going with my usuals no need to do write ups on these , i like Seton Hall at home, they have been playing so well, i mean getting them at home with points to me is a easy thought......also taking Wofford +7 on the road at a good greensboro team, these 2 could play a game in the 130's or it could be in the 160's looking back at their past they have had a few of both, but Wofford on the road this year has been a good cover, since late November they have been in every game, they have won 9 of last 11, and their 2 losses were a 4 pt loss at WCU, and a 6 pt loss at Okla st, also i have done well on their OVERS most people maybe do not know but they are 12-3 OVER this year and 6-2 OVER away, and UNCG is 4-1-1 over at home, and are 7-3-1 OVER as a Fav, and the total here is only 138, so maybe look into that also, Wofford is 6-1-1 away ats, and are 7-2 ats as a dog ,and the last 3 games Wofford is shooting better in every stat than UNCG, so thats why the wofford play....and W.Carolina +5 buying the half pt, they have won their last 5 road games straight up, WCU is 7-3 ats away this year, and 8-2 str up, coming off the home loss i think they will play better , they had their 9 game win streak snapped, but Furman is a good team so i expect a very close game here

then i took 2 teams i also like str up but i am teasing them, Delaware was +6 last night at some of my books they have dropped to 5.5 some are still 6, and Fla st at home +2 vs Clemson, its hard to not like Fla st at home, they are surprising a lot of people here with their play, and Clemson has been struggling, losing 4 of their last 5 and their last 3 away, i think Clemson has just become a team that people bet, even though the last 5 games, i do not see why they are the favorite here, maybe the books are still not convinced about Fla st , i think i might still play Fla st str up also but this teaser is a play now,....and American has went from +2 to -2 so glad i got them early also

Seton Hall+3 -120 1 unit

Wofford +7 1.5 units

W.Carolina +5 1 unit

OVER 138 Woff/UNCG 1 unit

Teaser Fla st +7.5/Delaware +11.5 1 unit -120

Fla st +2 small ..only reason Fla st is small is because i have them teased otherwise they would be a 1 unit

Ticket Number: 756069170-1
Accepted Date: 01/20/24 09:29 GMT-5
Amount:$115.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Creighton vs Seton Hall - Spread | 612 Seton Hall +3 -115 buying -½ For Game | 01/20/2024 | 12:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Ticket Number: 756069260-1
Accepted Date: 01/20/24 09:30 GMT-5
Amount:$120.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Western Carolina vs Furman - Spread | 641 Western Carolina +5 -120 buying -½ For Game | 01/20/2024 | 02:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Ticket Number: 756069470-1
Accepted Date: 01/20/24 09:31 GMT-5
Amount:$165.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$150.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Wofford vs NC Greensboro - Spread | 717 Wofford +7 -110 For Game | 01/20/2024 | 04:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Ticket Number: 756074381-1
Accepted Date: 01/20/24 09:59 GMT-5
Amount:$115.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Total
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Wofford vs NC Greensboro - Total | 717 Wofford/NC Greensboro over 138 -115 buying ½ For Game | 01/20/2024 | 04:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Confirmation: 3240196​

Date Placed: 01/20/24 10:03:35
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 55.00 win 50.00
Bet Details:
  1. 720 Florida State +2 (-110) risk 55.00 win 50.00 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 3239637​

Date Placed: 01/20/24 09:33:56
Header:
INTERNET: 2 Team 2T 5½ Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 675 Delaware +11½ (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
  2. 720 Florida State +7½ (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
 

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if you happen to of bet American and Charlotte last night when i did , those i do like a lot at my lines and to be honest i said then i thought they both could win now they are small fav's , i send a email out to 137 people , most are people that use to bet with me, or at wwts, most are up in Midwest, or in Vegas, and Reno , Arizona, sometimes they bet heavy and lines move, .... why i like betting night before ...i like all my plays, i make some stronger based on a few things is all, recent play, shooting, assist, rebounding, and if those meet i go to see if ats fits any of them also , i don't really count head to head in past years because that can go both ways, if a team is better this year and they have lost like last 4 to the team, then i think they are due to win, if they are the better team and all things look right and they have beaten the other team 6 str then you figure they most likely will again ....

PLAYS
U Mass Lowell-5 (stronger)
St Bonnie +2 (stronger)
Wofford+7 (stronger)
Nebraska-2 (stronger)
American+2 (y)
Charlotte +2 (y)
WCU+5
Seton Hall+3
Winthrop-Pk
Over 146 Robert Morris
Over 152 W.Mich/BG
Over 138 Woff/UNCG

Over 151 U Mass Lowell small
Fla st+2 Small
 

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Confirmation: 3241935​

Date Placed: 01/20/24 11:23:11
Header:
INTERNET: 4 Team Parlay risk 50.00 win 374.49
Bet Details:
  1. 602 Syracuse (-170) (NCAA Men)
  2. 610 St. Johns (-125) (NCAA Men)
  3. 648 Cleveland State (-180) (NCAA Men)
  4. 615 Baylor +2½ (-110) (NCAA Men)
going with 3 ML and Baylor decent payoff..i remember when a team that was -3 was like -145 or -4 was maybe -160 now syr-3 is -170 and clev st -180
 

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Hard to deny what wisc-gbay has been doing, they are road warriors, and i am going to play them today, i even bought a half pt to +6.5, i mean this team has won 7 of last 8 losing by 6 at Oakland, and they have been scoring too, averaging 78-70 in their last 3, and NKY does average 80 at home, but the total is only 138 i would lean to the OVER here for sure but i am taking wisc gbay+6.5 their shooting is good, even away they are not much lower in the stats, and it just seems they think they can win on the road, they are 13-5 ats this year, and are 7-4 ats away and 8-3 ats after a win and 10-4 as a dog

Wisc-GB +6.5 -120
 

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also taking U Conn -3 buying a point, even though i think U conn could win this by 8+ this could also come down to be a very close one so if i can get a point i will, so -130

U CONN-3 BUYING 1 pt -130
 

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also i am taking New Mexico st -6 over MTSU, MTSU has been struggling, and they have not been scoring very much either, they are only averaging 59.5 pts this year on offense and giving up 68, last 3 games they are averaging 54 and giving up 64, and away they avg 54 and give up 71, while NM st is avg 67 and 66 last 3 and at home they avg 70 and 65, and NTSU has been shooting the 3 at only 22% this year and away its 22% and NM st at home is shooting the 3 at 40% , and MTSU last 3 games are only averaging 6 assist vs 18 turnovers thats horrible , i have to take New Mex st at home -6

New mex st -6 1.5 units
 

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PLAYS
U Mass Lowell-5 (stronger)
St Bonnie +2 (stronger)
Wofford+7 (stronger)
Nebraska-2 (stronger)
New Mex St-6 (stronger)
American+2 (y)
Charlotte +2 (y)
WCU+5
Seton Hall+3
Winthrop-Pk
Wisc GB +6.5
U Conn-3 buy 1 -130
Over 146 Robert Morris
Over 152 W.Mich/BG
Over 138 Woff/UNCG

Over 151 U Mass Lowell small
Fla st+2 Small

teaser Delaware+11.5/Fla st +7.5
Teaser W.Mich +14/ SDSU+4.5

parlay 50-374 not really big ML here low points no one over -4
syr ml
Clev st ml
st Johns ML
Baylor+2.5
 

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PLAYS
U Mass Lowell-5 (stronger)
St Bonnie +2 (stronger)
Wofford+7 (stronger)
Nebraska-2 (stronger)
New Mex St-6 (stronger)
American+2 (y)
Charlotte +2 (y)
WCU+5
Seton Hall+3
Winthrop-Pk
Wisc GB +6.5
U Conn-3 buy 1 -130
Over 146 Robert Morris
Over 152 W.Mich/BG
Over 138 Woff/UNCG

Over 151 U Mass Lowell small
Fla st+2 Small

teaser Delaware+11.5/Fla st +7.5
Teaser W.Mich +14/ SDSU+4.5

parlay 50-374 not really big ML here low points no one over -4
syr ml
Clev st ml
st Johns ML
Baylor+2.5
17 plays 21 with parlay i might add through out the day but not many lets cash some today again i could have maybe went to 30..lol
 

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I almost bet Miami fla last night at +1 they went off at +3.5 ...but i added Syracuse to my parlay ML because of the big line move which is wrong thing to do, maybe they win, but if i liked Miami last night i should have added them at +3.5 to parlay, thats a good example of what i mean by handicapping at night before any others post plays or before big line moves make yo think other ways
 

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OVER 155 Denver game buy the half 1 unit

OVER 142 Rice/Temple 1.5 UNITS -120
 
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Rum I've been burned by the late line move so many times,
you would think I've learned by now
all I've learned is to stay off the team
against a large line move
 

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