Saturday Line Moves 11/19

[Biz]

Zach is all over Minnesota, so it prompted me to look at the SI Odds Page. Some people think the bet percentages are garbage, others don't. So, FWIW.......

Nebraska receiving 80% of spread bets, but the line is -13.5 from an open of -14.5. PLAY ON MINNESOTA.

Here are a few other games with the line moving in the opposite direction:

SIDES:
Iowa 71%, line opened -11 now -10/-9.5. PLAY ON ILLINOIS
Miami Fla 62%, yet the line has moved off the key number of -3 to -2.5. PLAY ON NC ST
Kansas St 62%, line flipped from -2 to +1. PLAY ON BAYLOR
Oregon St 66%, -7 to -4.5 PLAY ON ARIZONA
Wash St 65%, +3.5 to +6.5 PLAY ON COLORADO
Stanford 69%, -11.5 to -10.5 PLAY ON CAL
Arkansas 70%, PK to +2 PLAY ON MISS ST
So Florida 62%, -14 to -12.5 PLAY ON SMU
Oklahoma St 69%, +4 to +6 PLAY ON TCU

TOTALS:
Duke/Pitt 66% OVER: 63 to 62
UTSA/Texas A&M 84% OVER: 57.5 to 57
Texas St/NM ST 66% OVER: 67 to 66
Arizona St/Washington 71% OVER: 68.5 TO 63.5
Wash St/Colorado 68% OVER: 60 to 58.5
Arkansas St/Mississippi ST 77% OVER: 60.5 to 59
Tulsa/UCF 77% OVER: 65.5 to 64.5
Clemson/Wake Forest 83% OVER: 47 and hasn't moved
Ok St/TCU 77% OVER: 71.5 to 70

All of these games would be played UNDER the total.

I'll revisit after the games to see how they fared. I'm not advocating playing every game blindly, but if you like a side this is another reason to make a wager.

MINNESOTA +13.5
ILLINOIS +10
NC ST +2.5
BAYLOR +1
ARIZONA +4.5
COLORADO -6.5
CAL +10.5
MISS ST -2
SMU +12.5
TCU -6

Duke/Pitt UNDER 62
UTSA/Texas A&M UNDER 57
Texas St/NM ST UNDER 66
Arizona St/Washington UNDER 63.5
Wash St/Colorado UNDER 58.5
Arkansas St/Mississippi ST UNDER 59
Tulsa/UCF UNDER 64.5
Clemson/Wake Forest UNDER 47
Ok St/TCU UNDER 70

 

[zackattackisbackjack]

I presume you're talking about Maryland... That's my play! Sounds good tho. Fuckin love it

 

[Biz]

Duh. Maryland. Thanks Zach, my brain is a little fried this time of night. Good Luck, I know its a big one for you.

 

[DC.]

nice info biz

would be great if u could get this every week

 

[razorbackpicks]

Biz, is this something new you're doing or do have a record of fading these type of movements this year?

 

[Biz]

I haven't kept a record. SI has an article every week highlighting a game, the featured game has done pretty well.

I've always been aware of it, but don't have any records on them.

 

[Biz]

Navy/E Carolina 79% OVER: 67.5 to 65
Oklahoma/West Virginia 62% OVER: 67 to 64

Navy/East Carolina UNDER 65
Oklahoma/West Virginia UNDER 64

 

[Biz]

MINNESOTA +13.5
ILLINOIS +10
NC ST +2.5
BAYLOR +1
ARIZONA +4.5
COLORADO -6.5
CAL +10.5
MISS ST -2
SMU +12.5
TCU -6

Duke/Pitt UNDER 62
UTSA/Texas A&M UNDER 57
Texas St/NM ST UNDER 66
Arizona St/Washington UNDER 63.5
Wash St/Colorado UNDER 58.5
Arkansas St/Mississippi ST UNDER 59
Tulsa/UCF UNDER 64.5
Clemson/Wake Forest UNDER 47
Ok St/TCU UNDER 70
Navy/East Carolina UNDER 65
Oklahoma/West Virginia UNDER 64

 

[Biz]

Texas Tech/Iowa St OVER 69%: 77.5 to 76.5

Texas Tech/Iowa St UNDER 76.5

 

[Biz]

Indiana/Michigan 61% OVER: 53.5 to 50.5

Indiana/Michigan UNDER 50.5

 

[Biz]

MINNESOTA +13.5
ILLINOIS +10
NC ST +2.5
BAYLOR +1
ARIZONA +4.5
COLORADO -6.5
CAL +10.5
MISS ST -2
SMU +12.5
TCU -6

Sides: 2-7 Arizona Pending

Duke/Pitt UNDER 62
UTSA/Texas A&M UNDER 57
Texas St/NM ST UNDER 66
Arizona St/Washington UNDER 63.5
Wash St/Colorado UNDER 58.5
Arkansas /Mississippi ST UNDER 59
Tulsa/UCF UNDER 64.5
Clemson/Wake Forest UNDER 47
Ok St/TCU UNDER 70
Navy/East Carolina UNDER 65
Oklahoma/West Virginia UNDER 64
Texas Tech/Iowa St UNDER 76.5
Indiana/Michigan UNDER 50.5

Totals: 7-6