2-1 Friday, 2 pushes, +.7 units Post May 20th: 64-50, + 32.25 units
This one just got slammed an hour after playing it, so apparently someone, or someones, with lots of money hit it hard. I like this one on the RL too so you could chance it there.
KC -1 (-105) 4 units. The Royals have lost 2 in a row after winning 10 in a row, but don't fear. They aren't reverting to their old underachieving selves. Friday they slammed out 14 hits and chased Iwakuma, a very tough pitcher with a deadly splitter and a deceptive delivery. Unfortunately, James Shields has not had much success against the Mariners(of all people?). It continued tonight. Then Holland, their closer, had a very uncharacteristic bad inning in the 9th. Their other loss to Anibel Sanchez, a very good pitcher, was a one run loss where they didn't whiff once.
The Royals are for real. They finally have strong starting pitching, an excellent bullpen, run the bases well, field well, and strikeout at the lowest rate in the AL. They are even walking more, which had been a weakness. This game Saturday means a lot to them. They know that the baseball world is watching to see if they are for real. Winning 10 in a row like they did was impressive, and I think they'll get to Chris Young. Young is so overdue for regression. He throws a lot of fastballs in the mid 80s, and being 6'10" gives him a late release point, and his fastballs seem faster. BUT, he's a fly ball pitcher that actually pitches high in the zone. I've seen him pitch a few times this year and I always marvel at how he gets hitters to hit long lazy fly balls to the outfield. His secondary stuff is not that good, and the way the Royals are hitting, I can't see him doing well. Vargas has been really hard on his former team, winning his last 4 starts, each time pitching very well. He is very tough on lefties which Seattle has a lot of. Vargas has had 3 poor outings this year, but many more good ones. Only 1 HR in his last 5 starts, covering 35 IPs with 9 runs. His 3 poor outings were all against hot hitting or good hitting teams(CWS, DET, TOR).
The disparity in these lineups is huge. Without Cano, Seattle would be as bad as the Padres. Vargas will pitch around him as much as he can.
This one just got slammed an hour after playing it, so apparently someone, or someones, with lots of money hit it hard. I like this one on the RL too so you could chance it there.
KC -1 (-105) 4 units. The Royals have lost 2 in a row after winning 10 in a row, but don't fear. They aren't reverting to their old underachieving selves. Friday they slammed out 14 hits and chased Iwakuma, a very tough pitcher with a deadly splitter and a deceptive delivery. Unfortunately, James Shields has not had much success against the Mariners(of all people?). It continued tonight. Then Holland, their closer, had a very uncharacteristic bad inning in the 9th. Their other loss to Anibel Sanchez, a very good pitcher, was a one run loss where they didn't whiff once.
The Royals are for real. They finally have strong starting pitching, an excellent bullpen, run the bases well, field well, and strikeout at the lowest rate in the AL. They are even walking more, which had been a weakness. This game Saturday means a lot to them. They know that the baseball world is watching to see if they are for real. Winning 10 in a row like they did was impressive, and I think they'll get to Chris Young. Young is so overdue for regression. He throws a lot of fastballs in the mid 80s, and being 6'10" gives him a late release point, and his fastballs seem faster. BUT, he's a fly ball pitcher that actually pitches high in the zone. I've seen him pitch a few times this year and I always marvel at how he gets hitters to hit long lazy fly balls to the outfield. His secondary stuff is not that good, and the way the Royals are hitting, I can't see him doing well. Vargas has been really hard on his former team, winning his last 4 starts, each time pitching very well. He is very tough on lefties which Seattle has a lot of. Vargas has had 3 poor outings this year, but many more good ones. Only 1 HR in his last 5 starts, covering 35 IPs with 9 runs. His 3 poor outings were all against hot hitting or good hitting teams(CWS, DET, TOR).
The disparity in these lineups is huge. Without Cano, Seattle would be as bad as the Padres. Vargas will pitch around him as much as he can.
