Saturday college plays.

Search

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
Hello 2 BIG PICKS FLORIDA-34.5 AND Missouri-9 5 units ON EACH!!!!!!!2 games that fall in my system which is called stability vs uncertainty , there is just 4 things I look at too determined my play with this system they are ........
1-the factor of stability vs uncertainty..........
2-the factor of proven skill players vs no proven skill players.......
3-the factor of a team's history in early games under its present coach..
4-the factor of circumstances..........................

okay the best way to explain power vs weakness is to show how I handicapped the Florida game step-by-step, here is what the process of analysts shows for this game. The first of all there's no question of Florida is the power team and Hawaii is the weak opponent. The Florida has every single edge on offense and every single edge on defense. In fact, it may have the best offense in the country and probably the best defense in the powerful Southeastern conference. The match ups against a team that returns just three offense and five defense starters are overwhelmingly in favor of the Florida gators. The gators also have a Heisman Trophy quarterback facing a first-time starter and established coach VS 1 and is first year as a head coach this certainly is not the Hawaii team that won 12-1-1 last season........
This Is Where Stability VS Uncertainty Kicks IN.........
there always is certain amount of confusion as most teams began a new season. New players have been plugged into to take the places of those who have been graduated or moved on. New wrinkles have been added to the offense and defense. For every single team this is time of adjustment. For some teams it's actually a time of uncertainty bordering on chaos. The more changes that have been made since the previous season, the more difficult it is working to hit the ground running and firing and a shot right out of the box. Conversely, the fewer changes, the better chance a team has to be at top speed from day one. Florida absolutely overwhelm's Hawaii in the stability vs uncertainty category.
First the coaches: Florida's urban Meyer's stands 31-8 in his first three seasons in Gainesville, he has won a national championship, and his players are all familiar with his offense and defense. Not so for Hawaii, the Warriors have a new head coach and Greg Mcmackin who served as an assistant under June Jones, and this is his first head-coaching job. Mc Mack also has announced it has canned the run and shoot offense which was Hawaii's trademark and will go to a traditional balance run- pass- game.............. take it to the Bank that Florida will take the field knowing what it's expected to do and can do while Hawaii will take the field quite uncertain about what it is expected to do and what it can do. Stability trumps uncertainty every single time.................


skill players vs no skill players.... every team needs established skill players-quarterbacks running backs and receivers to be successful.. without them a team is going to have limited success... on the issue of skill players, Florida again has every single edge. Starting at quarterback for the gators will be Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow who passed first 3286 yards for 32 touchdowns were just six interceptions, and rush for another 895 yards and 23 more touchdowns think about it-this guy accounted for 55 touchdowns last season.... starting at quarterback for Hawaii will be senior Tyler Graunkee who as the backup to Colt Brennon last season passed for 1234 yards and 10 touchdowns with six interceptions. At running back Florida goes 5 deep while Hawaii has no returning back who rushed for more than 388 yards last season. At the receiver positions, Florida is absolutely loaded, whether it be well wide receivers or tight ends. Hawaii is starting from scratch, having lost three wide receivers that had more than 1100 yards in receptions last season, each area.....

The Factor of Coaching in Early Games............
we know I've slowly nothing about Hawaii head coach Greg McMackin's team will perform early in games but we do know Myers form is well established.. He Shows No Mercy on Anybody, as last year's first three-game show in the opening game of the 2007 season Florida plate then no line Western Kentucky and won by 46 points, the gators and followed that up one as a 25 at that point favorite they crushed troy that a seven-point favorites they buried Tennessee 59-20 and just in case you think that was a fluke in the first two games of the 2006 season Myers teams destroyed southern miss 34-7 as a 20 point favorite and Central Florida 42-0 at a 23 .fv there is just no mercy in this man. He beats anybody and everybody as badly as he can ...............
and finally The Factor of Circumstances...............
some might contend the factor of circumstances has little impact. On early games and they may be right in many games but when you aim for your second national championship in the past three years and Florida believes it has the talent to do that circumstances is very much a part of the handicap equation. It is a simple fact that any team with designs on its national championship knows it must win big in its early gains to get the attention of the pollsters buried no mercy, period regardless of the opponent. What all of this means for the Florida Hawaii game is obvious. Every single factor favors the gators and only one can lay 20 30 or 40 points with the expectations of getting the win and a cover. The bottom line and betting early is not complicated. Search the schedule looking for power first weakness games, put them to the handicap process beside whether they are worth the bet and when they are go for it.. there are many Hawaii at Florida games played early in the season.. keep looking you will find them.so fl - 34.5 5units and Missouri -9 5units is my second pick today good luck all....:103631605
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
going against the public in this spot.......UTAH+4 AT 5 DIMES 3UNITS<TABLE class=bet cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">3:35pm </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Utah vs Michigan (ABC) </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Michigan 67.27%
Utah 32.73%
</TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">14788 Bets
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE> GL ALL....SP-2:toast: lINE MOVING WRONG WAY WITH ALL THIS ACTION!!!
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
2ND 1/2 <TABLE class=module borderColor=#111111 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=800 border=0 rgfloat="440,600"><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=top bgColor=#f6f6f6><TD noWrap>East Carolina +3.5 2UNITS ECU IS PLAYING TOE 2 TOE WITH THES GUYS GL:toast:</TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
going against the public in this spot.......UTAH+4 AT 5 DIMES 3UNITS<TABLE class=bet cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">3:35pm </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Utah vs Michigan (ABC) </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Michigan 67.27%
Utah 32.73%

</TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">14788 Bets

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>GL ALL....SP-2:toast: lINE MOVING WRONG WAY WITH ALL THIS ACTION!!!
AS OF 2:13 EST LINE STILL GOING DOWN FORM OPEN LINE OF MICH-6.5 NOW DOWN TO -3 AND PUBLIC #'S ARE <TABLE class=bet cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">3:35pm </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Utah vs Michigan (ABC) </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Michigan 67.27%
Utah 32.73%
</TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">17788 Bets
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE> GET IT NOW!!!:toast:
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
Wager type : Straight Bet 550-500

Sport : College Football (Michigan State at California)
Selection : Michigan State 8/30/2008 8:00 PM - (EST)
Spread +6 -110 for Game
Last game of the night!!! Lets bring it Home GL ALL:toast:I was looking at Clemson but changed my mind!! it looks like a coin flip :think2:
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
2ND 1/2 <TABLE class=module borderColor=#111111 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=800 border=0 rgfloat="440,600"><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 28px" vAlign=top bgColor=#f6f6f6><TD noWrap>East Carolina +3.5 2UNITS ECU IS PLAYING TOE 2 TOE WITH THES GUYS GL:toast:</TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
1 down + 200.00 winner:103631605
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
2 MORE FOR TONIGHT Wager type : Straight Bet 220-200

Sport : College Football (USC at Virginia)
Selection : USC/Virginia 8/30/2008 3:30 PM - (EST)
Total Points OVER 43 -110 for Game
AND Wager type : Straight Bet 440-400

Sport : College Football (USC at Virginia)
Selection : USC 8/30/2008 3:30 PM - (EST)
Spread -21 -110 for Game
Thats All Folks Going out to Dinner:howdy::toast:
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
Im back with the laptop reporting from Outback steak house:103631605 I had a very cute waitress tell me she likes TCU Tonight So im in TCU-6 2UNITS Back later..SP-2:toast:
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
<TABLE class=bet cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=bet_cell_b style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">7:30pm </TD><TD class=bet_cell_b style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Boston College vs Kent </TD><TD class=bet_cell_b style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Boston College 68.83%
Kent 31.17%
</TD><TD class=bet_cell_b style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">13280 Bets
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE> this is another against the public play KENT +10.5 2 UNITS:toast:gl all
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
5-0 so far today +1,600:103631605 with 4 to go:toast: Lets sweep this:dancefool:cripwalk:MAYBE 1 MORE PUBLIC PLAY TONIGHT GL ALL..:103631605
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
<TABLE class=module_text style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=29>161</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=49> WASH</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=42> +14.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=41> 63.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=42> +13.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=41> 61.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=42> +13.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=41> 62.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=42> +14.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=41> 61.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=32> 77%</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=32> 32%</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd width=34> 49%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> 162</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> OREG</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> -14.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> </TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> -13.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> </TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> -13.5</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> </TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> -14.0</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> </TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> 23%</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> 68%</TD><TD class=scoresRowsOdd> 51%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
LAST PLAY OF THE NIGHT IM ON ORE-14 2 UNITS GL ALL :103631605 I feel oregon is very solid play at home..back later SP=2:103631605
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
2ND 1/2 Wager type : Straight Bet 110-100

Sport : College Football (Illinois vs Missouri - in St. Louis, Missouri)
Selection : Illinois/Missouri 8/30/2008 8:30 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 31½ -110 for 2nd Half
under boys just 1unit :103631605
 

TRYING TO GET THE EDGE
Joined
Aug 18, 2008
Messages
450
Tokens
not a bad night fellas 8-3 for +1,620 :drink:

5unit plays=2-1+450
4unit=1-0=+400
3unit=1-0+300
2unit=4-1=+580
1unit=0-1=-110 back tomarrow..
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,983
Messages
13,575,755
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com