Saturday 8/8/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

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Make sure to enjoy the rest of what the RX has to offer.

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English Premier TODAY 12:45
Man UtdvTottenham
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KEY STAT: Man Utd kept clean sheets in just two of their final ten home matches last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Louis van Gaal’s big fanfare went horribly wrong 12 months ago and Manchester United again look on the short side for their Premier League opener at home to Tottenham. Van Gaal has a lot of new faces to endeavour to integrate straight away and Spurs, who are fairly settled from last season, could take advantage at a big price.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham
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REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 17:30
ChelseavSwansea
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KEY STAT: Chelsea conceded nine home league goals last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Given Chelsea knocked nine goals past Swansea last season, it’s unsurprising the Blues are heavily odds-on at Stamford Bridge. Diego Costa bagged five of those nine goals and this should be a home win to nil with the champions fancied to start with a bang.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea to win 3-0
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REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
BournemouthvAston Villa
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KEY STAT: Villa games average 3.19 goals under Tim Sherwood

EXPERT VERDICT: Aston Villa have done some reasonable business in the transfer window but the loss of star striker Christian Benteke means they’re in for a difficult start. Lively Bournemouth will be raring to go and while they look a shade short on the match odds, this is a clash which looks likely to be entertaining.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Mark Clattenburg STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
LeicestervSunderland
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KEY STAT: Sunderland scored just 31 goals last season

EXPERT VERDICT: These clubs are both grateful for their late escapes from relegation but any sense of relief will soon seep away if a bad start sets the agenda for another campaign of struggle. The upheaval at Leicester means a slow start for the Foxes is likely, but Sunderland’s tepid attack makes the draw the value.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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REFEREE: Lee Mason STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
EvertonvWatford
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KEY STAT: Everton conceded 17 second-half home league goals compared to four in the first half last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Everton finished last season in good nick – a top-five outfit over the last ten games – and should be ready to kick on this term, while Watford’s new-look squad may take time to ge. However, stalwarts Troy Deeney, Matej Vydra and Odion Ighalo offer a potent goal threat and goals are fancied at both ends.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Mike Jones STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
NorwichvC Palace
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KEY STAT: Alan Pardew’s win *percentage at Palace is 57.14

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace have made some fantastic summer additions to a squad which was already flourishing under Alan Pardew. While Norwich will be no pushovers and the attacking talent on show should ensure this is an entertaining affair, it’s progressive Palace who look the bet.

RECOMMENDATION: Crystal Palace
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REFEREE: Simon Hooper STADIUM:

 
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UFC Fight Night 73

UFC Fight Night 73 Betting Preview
Date: Saturday, August 8
Time/TV: FS1, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue/Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

Light Heavyweight Bout
Glover Teixeira (22-4-0) vs. Ovince St. Preux (18-6-0)
Line: Teixeira -125, St. Preux +105

Glover Teixeira looks to rebound from losing two straight matches when he goes against Ovince St. Preux at UFC Fight Night 73 in Nashville.

Teixeira took MMA by storm after starting his career 2-2, managing to rattle off 20 consecutive victories between 2006 and 2013 with the last five of those coming in the UFC circuit. Those five wins have come in a few different ways with two TKOs, two submissions and a unanimous decision.

As he moves up the ranks though, his streak has come to an end, and the No. 4 ranked light heavyweight fighter has been defeated in each of his last two visits to the octagon, first to Jon Jones in a battle for the Light Heavyweight Championship where a unanimous decision decided his fate over five rounds and a similar result came when he faced-off against Phil Davis over three rounds. The second-degree Brazilian jiu-jitsu holder worked hard to get to this point and will be itching to get back to his winning ways against OSP.

Speaking of St. Preux, the 32-year-old fighter from Miami, FL comes into this bout following a stretch of very strong fights as he has taken just one loss since mid-2012 (7-1). Each of his victories came before a decision needed to be made either by TKO (4), submission (2) or technical decision (1).

In that stretch he earned “Performance of the Night” accolades twice and knocked out his opponent in the first round at his two most recent fights; one of which ended in a mere 34 seconds against Mauricio Rua in late 2014. St. Preux is an athletic beast with a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and should be able to give anybody in his weight class a run for their money.

Teixeira is an aggressive fighter who will throw out a ton of punches as well as take quite a few. Overall, he is averaging 4.15 significant strikes per minute at 41% accuracy, while taking nearly the same amount (3.67 SApM) with opponents landing their strikes at 42% accuracy.

He’s been dominated in his last two outings though, with a meager 62 significant strikes landed in eight rounds as Jon Jones and Phil Davis have unloaded a blistering 187 significant strikes on his body. He was also on the mat a ton during that stretch, being taken down 12 times between the two bouts as Jones even had two submission attempts.

Those takedowns were rare against some of the better fighters in the division, and before those fights, Teixeira had not hit the mat in any of his first five UFC bouts. He did not have a takedown during the two losses, but in his career he has been able to average a solid 2.32 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon with 50% accuracy. The aggressiveness that this Brazilian-born fighter possesses could certainly result in a very quick end to this fight, but he will need to put his most recent two losses behind him in order to do so.

St. Preux takes things much slower than his opponent in this one, landing 2.63 significant strikes per minute, but does so at a much better accuracy (50%). His last two fights have been so quick that he has outstuck his opposition by just 11 (27-16), and actually was on the losing end of that category (45-50) in his previous four bouts; in which he went 3-1.

He has not taken too much damage in his career, with a low 1.73 significant strikes landing per minute against him at 49% accuracy, so he should be on the fresher side of the two fighters.

In his career he is getting 1.70 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon, but has seen that number decrease recently with just five takedowns in his last seven matches. Other than being taken down nine times in his loss to Ryan Bader about a year ago, he has hit the mat once in his last eight bouts and has an overall takedown defense of 66% in his career.

St. Preux can also get things done quickly like Teixeira, but seems to have a more versatile arsenal of tricks, so it will be interesting to see who gets things done when the bell rings in Nashville.

Other UFC Fight Night 73 Bouts -

Lightweight Bout:
Beneil Dariush +145
Michael Johnson -165

Middleweight Bout:
Derek Brunson -300
Sam Alvey +250

Heavyweight Bout:
Jared Rosholt -230
Timothy Johnson +190

Middleweight Bout:
Chris Camozzi -150
Tom Watson +130

Flyweight Bout:
Geane Herrera +360
Ray Borg -450

Middleweight Bout:
Oluwale Bamgbose +280
Uriah Hall -360

Women's Bantamweight Bout:
Amanda Nunes +200
Sara McMann -245

Flyweight Bout:
Dustin Ortiz -450
Willie Gates +360

Bantamweight Bout:
Frankie Saenz -155
Sirwan Kakai +135

Light Heavyweight Bout:
Chris Dempsey +155
Jonathan Wilson -175

Bantamweight Bout:
Marlon Vera -125
Roman Salazar +105

Lightweight Bout:
Anthony Christodoulou +500
Scott Holtzman -700

Odds Subject to Change
 
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WNBA Betting Recap - 7/27-8/2
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 27 through Sunday, Aug. 2)

-- Favorites went 16-1 straight up
-- Favorites went 9-8 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 10-7 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 9-8 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 10-7

Team Betting Notes

-- Los Angeles (5-14) has won back-to-back games for the second straight time this season, and they're 2-0 SU/ATS in their past two road outings. Overall the Sparks have covered three straight, and four of the past five while the 'over' has hit in three in a row.

-- Indiana (11-8) has won three straight games after dumping Connecticut (9-9). The Fever have covered three in a row after an 0-3-1 ATS run. Indiana plays at Chicago (12-8) Tuesday. The Fever is 0-3 SU/ATS against the Sky this season.

-- The 'under' hit for the Sky Sunday, but the 'over' has been the play going 13-8, including 2-1 against the Fever, including their home game June 5 against Indiana.

-- New York (13-6) got back on track Sunday afternoon with a win over Seattle (5-16). The Liberty has won six of their past seven, but they have failed to cover three of the past four.

-- After a pre-All-Star break hiccup, Phoenix (12-7) has won three straight, including each of their past two on the road. The Mercury failed to cover for the sixth time in the past seven outings heading into their game Tuesday against Tulsa (10-11). They're 2-0 SU/ATS against the Shock this season.

-- The Shock are in quite the tailspin, losers of six in a row, and they have posted an 0-5-1 ATS mark during the stretch after covering their first eight.

-- San Antonio (6-14) dropped a second straight Sunday, and they have failed to cover in two in a row after a four-game cover streak. The Stars have been up and down all season, and they travel to Connecticut Tuesday.

-- Washington (11-7) lost Sunday in Chicago for the first time in six games, but they have covered in a season-high six straight. They host the Stars Wednesday, a team they rolled 88-53 in San Antonio July 31.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
By David Schwab

Week 6 Betting Recap

It took a few weeks of the new CFL regular season for the favorites to finally assert themselves, but they came away with a 3-1 straight-up run in Week 6 while going 2-2 against the spread. It did not start out that way in Winnipeg’s stunning 23-13 victory against British Columbia last Thursday night as a two-point home underdog, but Edmonton got things rolling with a 30-5 rout of Saskatchewan as a 9 ½-point favorite at home.

Calgary squeezed out a tight 25-22 victory in its matchup against Montreal this past Saturday, but it could not cover as 5 ½-point home favorite. In Monday’s East Division showdown between Hamilton and Toronto, the Tiger-Cats came out on top 34-18 as five-point favorites at home.

Saturday, Aug. 8

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -9 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

The loss of quarterback Darian Durant for the entire season continues to take its toll, but the Roughriders also have to place a good bit of the blame for their dismal 0-6 start both SU and ATS on the play of their defense. Following last week’s loss to Edmonton, this unit has been torched for an average of 32.5 points a game.

Toronto fell behind 14-0 early to Hamilton in Monday’s loss never recovered. Backup quarterback Trevor Harris put-up some solid numbers with 326 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 72.5 percent of his 40 attempts. It was the Argonauts’ defense that had no answer for stopping the Tiger-Cats.

Betting Trends

The Roughriders lost to Toronto 42-40 in overtime in Week 2 as three-point home favorites. They are now just 1-3 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six games in this inter-division clash.

Sunday, Aug. 9

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total: 54

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers are off to a respectable 3-3 SU start following a second-half collapse last season in which they lost 10 of their last 12 games SU. Quarterback Drew Willy has had to battle through injury this season and last week against BC he threw for 269 yards and two touchdowns to help pace the upset. He also led the team in rushing with 72 yards on just five carries.

Hamilton has gotten a solid effort from its quarterback Zach Collaros to help pace its 3-2 SU start. He is currently ranked fourth in the CFL in total passing yards with 1,444 yards and he has completed 71.4 percent of his 168 attempts this season. In this past Monday’s victory over Toronto, he completed 21-of-27 attempts for 229 yards and three touchdowns.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg is just 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats won the first meeting this season 52-26 as one-point road underdogs.
 
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Game of the day: Roughriders at Argonauts

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts (-9.5, 48.5)

The Toronto Argonauts look to pull ahead in the race for the top spot in the East Division when they host the winless Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday. The Argonauts missed a chance to take sole possession of first place when they dropped a 34-18 decision to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and find themselves tied with two division rivals.

Toronto plays at the Rogers Centre for the first time after the Pan Am Games forced the team on the road for five weeks and hopes to beat the Roughriders once more following a thrilling 42-40 double-overtime victory in Week 2. Saskatchewan remains the only winless team in the CFL following a 30-5 setback to the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 6. The Roughriders were forced to use their third different starting quarterback of the season after Kevin Glenn was ruled out with a shoulder injury and rookie Brett Smith was left to run for his life as he was sacked five times. Saskatchewan coach Corey Chamblin was given a vote of confidence by general manager Brendan Taman earlier in the week and hopes to turn things around in order to avoid the team's first 0-7 start since 1979.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The spread and total have both remained at TOR -9.5, 48.5 since open.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - LB Shea Emry (Ques-Neck) Argonauts - RB Anthony Coombs (Ques-Undisclosed), SB Chad Owens (Ques-Ankle), LB Cory Greenwood (Out-Concussion)

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-6 SU, 0-5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U): Smith struggled in his debut as a starter as he finished with zero touchdown passes and two interceptions before being relieved in favour of Tino Sunseri, who fared no better by turning the ball over twice. Saskatchewan signed former Alabama quarterback Blake Sims, who led the Crimson Tide to the SEC title last year, to the practice roster Tuesday while wide receiver James Richardson was apparently let go. "He's no longer with the team at this point right now," Chamblin told reporters. "I can't tell you exactly what his status is."

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Toronto's rookie receivers continue to shine as Vidal Hazelton caught 10 passes for a career-high 134 yards and a touchdown while Kevin Elliott had five receptions for 61 yards against the Tiger-Cats. "I just tried to go out there and compete," Hazelton told reporters. "When my number is called in the huddle it's just my mindset to go out there and come down with the ball." Wide receiver Chad Owens suffered an ankle injury versus Hamilton and is questionable for Saturday's contest as is halfback Anthony Coombs, who is suffering from concussion-like symptoms.

TRENDS:

*Roughriders are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
*Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
*Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 home games.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent are backing the Argos and 56 percent are on the over.
 
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Week 7 CFL games

Saskatchewan (0-6) @ Toronto (3-2)-- Argonauts (+3) won 42-40 in OT at Regina in Week 2, in a game Roughriders led 17-10 at half; Toronto has now won four of last six series games, with five of the six going over total. Riders are 7-2 in last nine visits here, but lost 48-15 LY; they're 0-6 this year, losing twice in OT- they've only trailed three of the games at halftime- Riders allowed an average of 23.2 ppg in last five games, just in second half!!!! Toronto is favored for first time this year after 4-1 start vs spread as a dog- they beat Edmonton 26-11 (+4) in only home game so far.

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Toronto Argonauts 9.5, 48.5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Hamilton TigerCats 7, 53.5
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Scioto Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$18000 - CLAIMING $30,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 ROCKEN CAMNATION 2/1


# 3 LOOKINFORADVENTURE 8/1


# 2 ILIKEITREALHOT 9/2


After thorough analysis by the number crunching team, ROCKEN CAMNATION comes out as the top contender. Cannot put a finger on it, but give the nod to this gelding for a wager. Worth looking at here on the basis of the markings in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the opponents he has faced. LOOKINFORADVENTURE - Worth a close look here looking at the statistics in the TrackMaster speed fig department alone. ILIKEITREALHOT - The brain trust noted a clear-cut affair out of this fine animal last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to take the whole enchilada. Don't count out this harness racer, especially with Cargo as the trainer. In the money statistic is solid.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Topsham

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 3:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6000 - NON-WINNERS $3750 LAST 5 STARTS AE: CLAIMERS $8000 OR 9 PM RACES LT NW 3 L/8 AL`D $375 TOPSHAM FAIR WOODY`S


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 FEAR ITSELF 7/2


# 3 PEMBROKE SCORPIO 5/2


# 4 NOBLE'S GRAND SLAM 5/1


Hey, listen up! FEAR ITSELF is the smart bet if you like to win. He's going to post in good form, recording very strong speed ratings. An excellent pick. This harness racer has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 82 average class figure. Should play well in this race. Could beat this field of horses, just look at the TrackMaster speed fig - 82 - from his last outing. PEMBROKE SCORPIO - This entrant looks dangerous. Take a good look at the 82 avg speed rating. Is a substantial win contender given the 90 TrackMaster Speed Rating from his most recent affair. NOBLE'S GRAND SLAM - With a super driver, who has won at a nice 30 percent rate the last 30 days, this has to be one of the best picks. Seems to have a great class edge based on the field of horses he has raced against.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Del Mar

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS 8/1


# 6 MUDGE 4/1


# 3 LADY DASH 12/1


WARRENSDOLLARSIGNS is my selection and could score at a price in here. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been formidable - 70 avg - of late. MUDGE - Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the halfway point of the competition. Garnered a competitive Equibase Speed Figure last time out. LADY DASH - Overall, this conditioner has been money-making at this distance/surface.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $11325 Class Rating: 89

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE AND FOUR YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 DANGEROUS WOMAN 5/2


# 6 SHAZUMBA 8/5


# 4 APOLITICAL PRINCESS 7/2


My selection for this event is DANGEROUS WOMAN. She has been racing quite well lately while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. Had one of the top Equibase speed figs of this group of horses in this race in her last competition. Is a strong contender based on figs posted as of late under today's conditions. SHAZUMBA - Hard to pass on this filly with Nicasio in the irons. Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved speedily to the front end recently. APOLITICAL PRINCESS - Has respectable Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet for this event. This filly could improve with second time Lasix.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #4 - Post: 3:21pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $7,400 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 PERSONALIZED (ML=8/1)
#7 XINGU (ML=5/1)
#8 HOLY FRAZIER (ML=12/1)


PERSONALIZED - Owns the highest Equibase speed fig on the turf at this distance. A racer coming back this promptly after a solid race is a good sign. XINGU - Trainer Caramori moves this horse down the ladder based on class to face a weaker class today. Look for a sharp effort in here. HOLY FRAZIER - The Jul 14th race at Indiana Downs was at a class level of (93). Dropping to a lower class level drastically, so he should be in a good position. This gelding is tops in earnings per race entered. Give the once over to this horse before the race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ANGE GRISE (ML=5/2), #4 PASSAGE OF POWER (ML=7/2), #1 DES TEN FOUR FAME (ML=9/2),

ANGE GRISE - Difficult to put any money on this mare on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though. PASSAGE OF POWER - Awfully tough to wager on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. DES TEN FOUR FAME - This bunch is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last affair.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 PERSONALIZED on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Ellis Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:42pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 MUNTIJ (ML=2/1)


MUNTIJ - Was in a Maiden Special race at Churchill Downs last time around the track. That race had a class rating of 90 and he is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a big move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. I like the case that this gelding's last figure, 86, is tops in this bunch. Another way to assign class is earnings per start (EPS). This entrant has the uppermost in the bunch. I think he'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 COVERALLYOURBASES (ML=3/1), #3 FIRST GROWTH (ML=4/1), #7 AFLEET TOM (ML=5/1),

COVERALLYOURBASES - This colt hasn't had any on the board results in short distance races in the last 60 days. Didn't finish in the money on Jun 11th at Churchill Downs. Followed it up with another less than stellar try. Don't feel this mount will do much running today. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's Equibase class figure. FIRST GROWTH - Don't believe this less than sharp equine has what it takes to win this time out. AFLEET TOM - I'm prognosticating a less than stellar effort out of him this time.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MUNTIJ - When a racer has the upper hand over the rest of the field in Power Rating, I make a bet.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 MUNTIJ to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #4 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 2:33 PM EASTERN POST


The Lure Stakes

8½ FURLONGS TURF FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#6 RELOAD
#4 CHARMING KITTEN
#3 VYJACK
#1 FIXADOR

Here in just the 2nd running of this stakes test, #6 RELOAD qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-3), is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, and has produced four straight "POWER RUNS" including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on 9 previous occasions, winning 5 times, and is back today for his 10th ride, gunning for a "Double Hat Track Win!" #4 CHARMING KITTEN is 4-1 in the morning line, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, including posting a trio of "POWER RUN WINS."
 
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Balmoral: Saturday 8/8 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (34 - 52 / $126.20): SAGEBRUSH SID (3rd)

Spot Play: SEEYOUATTHEFINISH (10th)


Race 1

(3) WHISKERSONKITTENS filly went a big effort last out just missing from a tough post. (4) SASSY ELLIE has been facing much tougher and should be ready for a good mile against softer. (10) SINISTER was used aggressively last week and will need a similar drive to hit the top spot.

Race 2

(4) WONDROUS SPORT has won four straight since a loss in his debut. The 2-year-old was tremendous in the final and will be tough to beat with any improvement. (6) DB three in a clunker a few starts ago but has bounced back in his last two showing big speed. (2) DAN D DUNE has been progressing after racing greenly in a few starts. The pacer has an outside shot to upset should the favorite not bring his 'A' game.

Race 3

(4) SAGEBRUSH SID could offer value and takes a significant drop in competition. (10) FOX VALLEY ARAMON rebounded nicely last week and finds a soft bunch. (3) EDDIE EDDIE EDDIE has just been racing evenly, however the pacer does get sent out for a capable trainer.

Race 4

(3) ICE SCRAPER went a powerful mile last out going 26 4/5 in the first quarter and duplicating that in the third devastating the field. If the pacer races like that again its lights out. (1) ST ELMO HERO veteran pacer has won over three-quarters of a million and might be up to the task sitting a pocket trip. (4) SOMESTARSOMEWHERE gets a low percentage pilot however the fast miles at Hoosier equate to even faster times at this track.

Race 5

(5) RED SOLO CUP well bred stallion went a lifetime best last week from off the pace. If the trotter is given an aggressive drive he's the horse to beat. (6) FOX VALLEY YOKO faces older more seasoned opponents but owns a good late brush. (8) BO I SEE TIME has really picked his game up in his last few; threat.

Race 6

(9) LEXINGTON LADY showed a powerful move to brush to the front last week from the back of the pack. That's not going to work facing better but she has been awesome to start her career. (2) LK'S NANCY LEE filly keeps improving with every start. (8) CHAR N MARG also owns good ability but gets another tough post.

Race 7

(8) HUDSON JESSE had no luck last start sitting towards the back into a very slow second quarter. The trotter can dominate this field with a good effort. (6) TIME OUTA JAIL has been a constant cash burner but finally should offer value with a new pilot. (7) EASTER TEKA mare beat a similar field a few back but is probably best used underneath.

Race 8

(4) TIME TO ROLL impeccably bred pacer was a sharp pocket rocket winner last out and should be able to handle the bump up in class; fires early. (2) GIBBS was outkicked last week off a ground saving trip but can threaten with a good setup. (5) JACKSON BERLOW has been knocking on the door but is in to tough; use underneath.

Race 9

(4) EARNDAWG is tough to pick against; short price. (2) ENGINE ONE O ONE is finally starting to put it together and has an outside shot. (3) DIXIE'S BOY sophomore pacer is the only horse in the field to finish ahead of the top choice. The pacer has the best chance to upset but has a tendency to self destruct at times.

Race 10

(4) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH takes a big jump up in class but also picks up a huge driver change. The pacing mare had nowhere to go late last week and had plenty of pace. (9) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY Indiana bred champion isn't what she once was but can certainly crank it up against this bunch. (10) TOGETHERFOREVER is not shipping in to sit at the back. The pacing mare is in career form and will be firing early.

Race 11

(5) ARTS-ROCKSTAR will offer a monster price in a tough race to gauge. The mare needs a lot of racing luck but could be sitting on a better effort third start back off a layoff. (2) BUST MY CHOPS is somewhat inconsistent week to week but will also offer a big price. (6) WINDY CITY DIANE just missed at this level last out; threat.

Race 12

(3) PART TIME owns tons of ability and can beat this bunch with a smooth trip. (8) TEA PARTY PATRIOT needs a good setup to have a chance to sweep past late. (2) ENDEAVORS KING owns only one win on the year but has been competitive against better.
 

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