Saturday 8/29/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Championship TODAY 12:05
DerbyvLeeds
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KEY STAT: Leeds have won one of their last seven away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Paul Clement has taken time to adapt to the role of Derby manager but this match looks an ideal opportunity for his side to scoop three points. Hard-working Leeds have looked tough to break down in the opening weeks of the campaign but the Rams have the power to force their way through.

RECOMMENDATION: Derby
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Premier League TODAY 12:45
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KEY STAT: Newcastle have won just one of their last 14 Premier League games

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal have won seven of the last eight league head-to-heads with Newcastle, beating them by a single goal in three of the last four away games, and it could be a similar story in this clash. The Gunners are still short of their sharpest but should edge out the hosts.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal to win 2-1
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REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

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Premier League TODAY 15:00
LiverpoolvWest Ham
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KEY STAT: West Ham’s last win at Anfield came in 1963

EXPERT VERDICT: Following abject defensive performances in home defeats to Leicester and Bournemouth, no sensible case can be made for backing West Ham. Liverpool have kept clean sheets in all three league games, while West Ham have blanked in six of their last seven trips to Anfield.

RECOMMENDATION: Liverpool to win 2-0
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REFEREE: Kevin Friend STADIUM:

 

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Premier League TODAY 15:00
StokevWest Brom
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KEY STAT: Stoke have kept only two clean sheets in their last 13 league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: After a dour 1-0 defeat to Liverpool, Stoke have been involved in entertaining draws with Tottenham and Norwich and it could be a similar story here. West Brom will have drawn confidence from their 3-2 defeat to Chelsea and Stoke’s array of talent sets up an exciting clash.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM:

 

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Premier League TODAY 15:00
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KEY STAT: Aston Villa have failed to score more than one goal in their last seven matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Sunderland earned their first point with a determined defensive display against Swansea, and we may see more of the same at Villa Park. Villa have just two goals in three league games and after restricting a bright Swans side the Mackems will hope to stifle the hosts.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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REFEREE: Robert Madley STADIUM:

 

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Premier League TODAY 15:00
Man CityvWatford
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KEY STAT: Raheem Sterling scored first on six occasions last term

EXPERT VERDICT: Ominously for their title rivals, Manchester City have taken little time to click into gear and they will be a warm order to continue their great start against Watford. Raheem Sterling looks to be thriving on the left-hand side of Manuel Pellegrini’s front line and he could be the man to open the scoring.

RECOMMENDATION: Raheem Sterling to score first
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REFEREE: Mark Clattenburg STADIUM:

 
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Preseason Week 3 Essentials
By Tony Mejia

You read in this space last week that the preseason is not only a necessarily evil, but also, that you can profit on it if you invest the preparation time. That opinion hasn’t changed, but those who despise the fact we’re still only halfway through the exhibition schedule got massive amounts of ammunition in Pittsburgh on Sunday.

Green Bay’s top receiver, Jordy Nelson, tore his ACL. Top guard T.J. Lang left with a concussion. The Steelers lost center Maurkice Pouncey for most, if not all of the season, due to a broken fibula. DE Stephon Tuitt limped off with an ankle injury and backup QB Bruce Gradkowski hurt a finger. All of this happened inside of a half. It looked as ugly as it sounds, which is why you’ll hear outrage with the current system all week long.

Owners are stuffing their pockets, sure. We would all be better off with an 18-game regular season. One day, we’ll get it and find something else to complain about. Preseason games aren’t going away any time soon and it’s pointless to campaign for their removal. The injuries are unfortunate. Aaron Rodgers openly complained about how tough it is to lose Nelson in a “meaningless game.” It’s awful, but wouldn’t it be equally as disappointing if it had happened a few weeks from now in the Week 1 of the regular season?

In this case, the system is what it is. Football is what it is. The preseason isn’t exempt from the brutality we all appreciate and wager on.

Watch the second half of preseason action and you’ll see receivers getting blasted going over the middle as they try to field passes they’ll be catching on the practice squad – at best – if they happen to hold on enough. This is how football players make their livelihood. Let’s not feel sorry for anybody, especially given their earning potential. Linebackers and defensive backs are all in search of the big hit that will stand out when coaches review the film. That’s the game. This is the time of year they’ve been waiting for, the opportunity they train all year to try and take advantage of.

Nelson was lost for the season on an innocuous-looking play where he simply cut, lost his balance and had his knee give out. It could’ve happened in practice. It could’ve happened in the playoffs. He was playing football. Threat of injury is part of the job description.

Week 3 of the NFL preseason offers dress rehearsals for all. It’s almost like the 17th regular season game, by far the most important exhibition. We’ll undoubtedly lose a few more players. There won’t be any more of a consolation because it’s happening in a game that’s a tad more meaningful than the first or second preseason game. Here’s how the schedule unfolds:

Friday, Aug. 28

New England at Carolina: Whether or not there is any headway made on Tom Brady’s appeal, expect him to see his longest action this preseason against a sturdy Panthers defense. Cam Newton has gotten off to a rough start and started 0-for-4 with a pick against Miami in his first drive minus No. 1 WR Kelvin Benjamin, another victim of the preseason injury monster.

Tennessee at Kansas City: It's early, but QB Alex Smith has looked dreadful, turning the ball over with sloppy passes. He did finally complete a TD pass to a wideout last week, hitting new top target Jeremy Maclin. Establishing chemistry will be key here, while Marcus Mariota will look to get his first touchdown after being denied thus far.

Detroit at Jacksonville: QB Matthew Stafford has impressively marched the Lions offense down the field in his limited action despite top target Calvin Johnson sitting both games out as a healthy scratch. He’ll get some run against the Jaguars, who will see projected rookie starter T.J. Yeldon finally debut at tailback.

Saturday, Aug. 29

Pittsburgh at Buffalo: Losing Pouncey is a massive blow, as centers of his caliber are hard to come by. Getting new starter Cody Wallace up to speed at such a key position will now be the main focus of the offense between now and the season opener. Fortunately, he does have experience. Bills head coach Rex Ryan hasn’t announced a starting QB for this one, which is setting up as the final battle before Matt Cassel or Tyrod Taylor is handed the reins.

N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants: Snoopy Bowl 2015 features a pair of 1-1 teams that have each seen their share of struggles thus far. Injuries have played a large role in the shaky starts for both MetLife Stadium tenants, so it will be fun to see how they respond in a game that always seems to be competitive since both teams typically want the back page spoils.

Atlanta at Miami: The Falcons haven’t had running backs Davonte Freeman and Tevin Coleman in either preseason game and are hoping those guys can each gain some seasoning in South Florida. QB Ryan Tannehill’s improvement has the Dolphins excited. He’s led the Fins to touchdowns in three of his four drives.

Minnesota at Dallas: After Tony Romo made a cameo in San Francisco on Sunday, he will undoubtedly get his longest in-game workload of the preseason here. Adrian Peterson will sit out another game, but the Vikings have averaged 23 points per game without him as the passing game has looked sharp.

Cleveland at Tampa Bay: Ex-Buc starter Josh McCown is nursing an injured ring finger and backup Johnny Manziel had to cut Sunday’s practice short due to a sore elbow, so this could wind up being a difficult trip for the winless Browns. Rookie starting QB Jameis Winston should get plenty of varied defensive looks to work against, which can only aid his development.

Washington at Baltimore: Remember when we all doubted Joe Flacco? It wasn’t that long ago, so you should. Heck, there are still people who think it’s funny to debate whether the Super Bowl XLVII MVP is an elite quarterback. He plays like one, is paid like one and comes off posting career-highs in passing yards (3,986) and TD throws (27), so the answer is yes. On the other end of the spectrum is Robert Griffin III, who is both polarizing and currently mediocre despite all the hype. Sadly, new Ravens backup Matt Schaub is more accomplished than either or RG III or Kirk Cousins, which has to keep owner Dan Snyder up at night.

Chicago at Cincinnati: After playing at Tampa on Monday night, the Bengals turn right around and host the Bears, so it will be interesting to see how head coach Marvin Lewis treats this game. The Bears’ depth has been impressive so far this preseason, as they’ve outscored opponents 38-0 in the second half of games thanks to the play of their backups. With Jay Cutler scheduled to play into the second half, Chicago is looking for him to lead the team to its first touchdown after coming up empty in the first two games.

Philadelphia at Green Bay: The Packers are reeling from the loss of Nelson and have probably seen enough out of Rodgers that they won’t see the value in exposing him here, but backup Scott Tolzien was also banged up in Pittsburgh, suffering a concussion. Chip Kelly’s desire to see Sam Bradford take more live-action snaps may be dwarfed by the need to keep him healthy and confident, so be sure to monitor this situation.

Indianapolis at St. Louis: Both of these teams have struggled mightily so far, but there’s no panic setting. The Colts will be looking to see how their o-line holds up against the Rams’ primary strength. St. Louis will be looking to get Nick Foles on track after a dreadful start thus far.

Seattle at San Diego: This one is slated for a national broadcast and should be entertaining. The Seahawks have predictably not looked like themselves given the rebuilt offensive line and the absence of Legion of Boom members in the secondary, so 0-2 isn’t a big deal. Pete Carroll will want to see improvement against a Chargers squad that will allow Philip Rivers to participate for the first time since he went 2-for-2 on the opening drive of the team’s preseason.

San Francisco at Denver: QB Peyton Manning wasn’t able to get a rhythm in his debut, coming up empty on four drives while racking up just 67 yards on 19 plays in Houston. Count on him playing into the second half here as he seeks to gain his footing in Gary Kubiak’s new offense. Colin Kaepernick is 4-for-8 for 27 yards in limited action, so the 49ers are looking forward to seeing how he fares with a heavier workload.

Sunday, Aug. 30

Houston at New Orleans: Losing tight end Jimmy Graham to Seattle is a major blow, but there was justifiable criticism that Drew Brees was targeting him too much at the expense of some of the other targets on the roster. With an abundance of talented receivers to spread the ball to, Brees has looked like his old self. It should be a blast to see how quickly he can get rid of it against the Texans stout front seven. J.J. Watt should be rested and ready to go after sitting out Saturday’s game against the Broncos. The QB battle between Ryan Mallett and Brian Hoyer has seen Hoyer named the starter for Week 1, so we'll see how snaps are handed down here.

Arizona at Oakland: Despite the presence of elite rookie WR Amari Cooper to ease his burden, Derek Carr has only produced field goals and has largely misfired. The Cardinals secondary presents a great test for him. Carson Palmer has participated in both preseason games thus far, flashing a great deep ball and confidence in the pocket. If Arizona can keep him upright, it should stay in contention.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

Week 10 marks the halfway point of the 2015 CFL regular season and so far the two teams that met in last season’s Grey Cup have set the pace with Hamilton tied for the lead in the East Division and Calgary back on top in the West.

Last week’s results started with Montreal upending British Columbia, 23-13 as a four-point road underdog last Thursday night. Hamilton rolled over Edmonton 49-20 as a two-point road favorite in a huge inter-division clash last Friday and Calgary snuck past Saskatchewan, 34-31 as a 6 ½-point favorite on the road. Toronto closed-out Week 9’s slate with a come-from-behind 30-24 victory over Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite.

Saturday, Aug. 29

Calgary Stampeders (6-2 SU, 1-7 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The defending champs continue to set the pace in the West, but they are 0-3 ATS in three road games this year. The total went OVER 50 ½ against Saskatchewan last week and it has now gone OVER in three of Calgary’s last four outings. The Stampeders have gotten some solid play out of Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and in last week’s game he threw for 303 yards and three touchdowns.

The Blue Bombers come off a bye in desperate need of a win to stay in the playoff race in the West after dropping four of five games SU (2-3 ATS) before the break. Winnipeg is averaging just 20 points a game, while on defense it has allowed an average of 29.7 points a game. Quarterback Drew Willy is out until late September with a knee injury, so look for Brian Brohm or possibly Robert Marve to get the start against Calgary.

Betting Trends

Calgary got past Winnipeg 26-25 on July 18 as a 7 ½-point home favorite and it has now failed to cover in the last three meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.

Sunday, Aug. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 52

Game Overview

It has been a forgettable first half of football for the Roughriders, who have been plagued with major injuries at the quarterback position. They should be encouraged by the play of Brett Smith in relief. Against Calgary, he threw for 178 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 54 yards on the ground. Saskatchewan is still averaging 25.6 points a game.

The RedBlacks have now lost their last two games SU (1-1 ATS) after a posting a solid 4-2 start both SU and ATS. The total went OVER the closing 50-point line on Sunday and it has now gone OVER in their last four games. Veteran CFL signal-caller Henry Burris lit-up Toronto’s secondary in the losing effort with 426 yards passing while completing 32-of-36 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan won both meetings last season SU with the series tied 1-1 ATS. The total went OVER in both contests with the Roughriders posting a total of 73 points in the two victories.
 
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'Dress Rehearsal'

This week is the closest thing to a regular season game teams play during August. With three games on tap Friday, followed by thirteen running Saturday through Sunday both fans and bettors alike should be in for an entertaining weekend of football. Preseason results don’t count for anything in the end, but any NFL head coach should be somewhat concerned if his team is winless at this stage and should have the troops play with a lot more urgency. At the other end of the spectrum, any NFL head coach who's team is off to a perfect start will want to maintain the positive vibe as it lends to confidence when the games really do count.

At this juncture there are eight winless and eight perfect teams heading into dress rehearsal week. So, do NFLx sports bettors side with the winless or the unblemished ?? History would suggest winless teams as this group has posted a 23-15 ATS record the past five years with those wearing road jerseys the best bets at 11-4 ATS. As for the flawless squads, you back them at some risk. The last thirty-six teams with back-2-back wins heading into WK3 were just 15-21 ATS split betweem 4-10 ATS in front of a friendly crowd, 11-11 ATS in unfriendly territory.
 
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Streaks, Tips, Notes

Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys August 29, 7:00 EST

Minnesota unbeaten in seven preseason games under head coach Mike Zimmer (6-1 ATS) look to remain perfect during these tune-up clashes as they travel to Dallas to take on winless Cowboys. The defensive effort on full display allowing an average 12.2 PPG last August and just 10.3 PPG in their three preseason tilts this year coach Zimmer is shaping up to be one of the few coaches putting an emphasis on winning these meaningless games. Dallas notching a total 13 points in dropping both its contest against San Diego and San Francisco will be scrounging for points against this stingy Minnesota defense. With coach Jason Garrett's troops now 7-12 SU, 6-13 ATS averaging a mesily 14.8 PPG since taking over reigns in Dallas the numbers point toward a 'Play-On' Vikings.
 
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Vikings are top ATS team in preseason
Andrew Avery

If anything, the Minnesota Vikings have been red-hot in the preseason. Minnesota is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread heading into their clash with the Cowboys.

The Vikes have won by 11 (vs. Pittsburgh), 10 (vs. Tampa Bay) and eight points (vs. Oakland) in their trio of preseason games.

The Vikings will travel to Dallas to face the Cowboys Saturday evening. Books opened the Cowboys as 2.5-point home faves but that is down to -1.
 
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High-scoring Eagles cashing Over wagers in preseason
Andrew Avery

The Philadelphia Eagles have been the highest-scoring team in the preseason by a wide margin and Over bettors have reaped the rewards.

The Eagles have put up 76 points in two games while opponents have managed just 27. The next highest-scoring team is the Minnesota Vikings with 60 points and one more game played.

The Over has cashed in both Eagles games by 5.5 and 12.5 points in Weeks 1 and 2 respectively.

Books opened the total for Saturday's meeting with the Green Bay Packers at 49.5 but that has since come down to 48.
 
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NFL notebook: Redskins to hold QB Griffin out of game
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

An independent neurologist wants Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III to be retested before returning to the field from a concussion.

The Redskins had announced Thursday that Griffin, who was diagnosed with a shoulder stinger and concussion after repeated hits at Detroit last week, was cleared to play in the Redskins' preseason game Saturday in Baltimore against the Ravens.

However, Dr. Robert Kurtzke said Friday in a statement: "Upon further scrutiny today of the neuropsychology data, I agree with the neuropsychologist that he should be held from game play this weekend and be retested in one to two weeks before a firm conclusion to return to game play can be made."

Kirk Cousins is expected to start in place of Griffin on Saturday against the Ravens.

---Dallas Cowboys offensive tackle R.J. Dill has been suspended for the first four games of the season due to a violation of the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing drugs.

The suspension was reported by Ian Rapoport of NFL Media, and the NFL Players Association then released a statement from Dill explaining the circumstances.

Dill, 25, was undrafted out of Rutgers in 2013 and had short stints with the Jacksonville Jaguars, New England Patriots, Kansas City Chiefs and St. Louis Rams. He had signed with the Cowboys in January.

Dill said the Cowboys called in January and he began training for the 2015 season. Then the NFL called in May and told him he had failed a drug test.

Dill said he tried to get approved for a therapeutic use exception, but the NFL denied his petition.

---Tennessee Titans wide receiver Justin Hunter, initially charged with felony malicious wounding for his involvement in a bar fight in July, has had the charge reduced to misdemeanor assault and battery.

His trial will begin next Tuesday in Virginia Beach, Va., the Commonwealth's Attorney office said Friday.

The charge stems from an incident in Virginia Beach's oceanfront resort area on July 3. Hunter initially was accused of "malicious intent, stabbing, cutting and wounding" in a brawl that hospitalized one person.

Hunter allegedly started the fight when he interrupted a conversation a man was having with someone else. Hunter allegedly punched the man in the face twice, and the man suffered a broken jaw and a cracked tooth and was taken to a nearby hospital.

Hunter, 24, was Tennessee's second-round pick in 2013. He has caught 46 passes for 852 yards and seven touchdowns. He missed the final four games last season after suffering a lacerated spleen against the Houston Texans.

---Seattle Seahawks defensive end Michael Bennett has been fined $17,363 by the NFL for a high hit to Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith.

The hit occurred in Kansas City's 14-13 win last Friday. Bennett was flagged for roughing the passer. After the game, coach Pete Carroll called the penalty "legit" -- although it was clear the contact was incidental.

In a radio interview on 710 ESPN on Tuesday, Bennett decried the penalty: "I hit Alex Smith with a routine hit, a routine hit, and I get flagged. I'm like, 'What? What else should I do? Should I just touch him like that? Is he going to be down?'"

---Ryan Mallett practiced with the Houston Texans' third-string offense on Friday, a day after the quarterback missed practice, but coach Bill O'Brien said Mallett will remain the backup to Brian Hoyer.

Mallett was displeased Monday to learn that Hoyer had won the starting job, and Mallett then reportedly overslept Thursday and missed practice, arriving in time for meetings.

Texans left tackle Duane Brown suffered a hand injury and will not play Sunday against the New Orleans Saints. O'Brien said the injury would not need surgery and instead would heal on its own.

---The Denver Broncos waived wide receiver Solomon Patton and signed rookie tight end Dan Light.

The 5-foot-9 Patton, picked up off waivers in May, had worked as a backup return specialist, but he muffed a punt in the preseason opener in Seattle and did not play last week against the Texans.

Light caught 177 passes in four years at Fordham.

---The New England Patriots placed tight end Jake Bequette on injured reserve.

The Patriots moved Bequette to tight end from defensive end this spring before he sustained an injury two weeks ago. The 26-year-old Bequette was drafted in the third round in 2012 out of Arkansas by the Patriots and saw action in eight games during his first two seasons in New England. He spent last year on the Patriots' practice squad.

---Running back Chris Johnson reportedly returned from a hamstring injury and practiced with the Arizona Cardinals.

Johnson had been out since shortly after signing Aug. 17 and missed the Cardinals' second preseason game against the San Diego Chargers.

Johnson seems unlikely to play Sunday against the Oakland Raiders, meaning he would have to wait until next week to finally play in a game for the Cardinals. He was signed to bolster the competition led by Andre Ellington and rookie David Johnson.

---Pittsburgh Steelers center Maurkice Pouncey, who fractured his left fibula in Sunday's preseason game, appears likely to miss the first 10 games of the season.

Head coach Mike Tomlin said Pouncey may be able to return this season.

"He's got a chance," Tomlin said Thursday. "We'll have more information as the initial recovery from the surgery subsides."

Pouncey underwent surgery Monday after suffering the injury near his ankle against the Green Bay Packers. He had his leg rolled up on in the first quarter while he was blocking in front of running back Le'Veon Bell.

The team has not made the designation official but he is expected to be placed on the injured reserve/designated to return list to start the season.

---St. Louis Rams head coach Jeff Fisher, a member of NFL Competition Committee, doesn't see rules changing to project quarterbacks on zone-read plays.

Fisher was responding to the most recent debate after Baltimore Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs' hit to the knees of Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Sam Bradford in last Saturday night's preseason game.

"The Committee talks about this every year," Fisher told reporters Thursday. "We have rules in the rule book that are very specific. If the quarterback is in a throwing position, he gets protection. But in the event that the ball is handed off, at that instant, there's no telling whether or not he is a runner or not, so he loses that protection.

"So, I don't see that changing. You get the complaints in opposition from those that are running the read option, and those that (don't) understand the rule probably a little bit more. There's obviously a push to protect the quarterback, but you have to give the defensive players a chance. All of the quarterback has to do is pull the ball and he's a runner. How's the defender going to know if the ball is pulled or not?

"The quarterback gets plenty of protection in the pocket and he picks up protection out of the pocket, he's got protection down the field on his slides. The read-option posture, I think everybody is clear as to the rule. It didn't look right, but the Bradford hit, it was a legal hit according to the rules."

---The Miami Dolphins are making contingency plans in case the hurricane hits South Florida next week.

The Dolphins held discussions about next week's practices ahead of their season opener against the Washington Redskins on Sept. 13.

The team said it could move practice to an undisclosed location on Monday and Tuesday with Tropical Storm Erika expected to turn into a hurricane and possibly hit South Florida on Monday. It's too early to tell whether South Florida will get a direct hit.

"We've discussed a couple different scenarios," Dolphins coach Joe Philbin told the Miami Herald on Thursday. "We'll be ready if we need to. Everything is on the table. We have to get our team ready to play in the regular season."

---New York Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has been named the successor to Troy Polamalu as the new pitchman for the Head & Shoulders shampoo brand.

Polamalu was the face -- or rather his famous hair was -- behind Procter & Gamble's marketing efforts for the past six years. He announced his retirement in April to end a stellar 12-year career with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Beckham, with his two-toned black-and-blond hair, got the call to kick off the season as their newest hair ambassador, the Cincinnati-based company announced Friday.

"I don't think my hair is as good as Troy's," Beckham told ESPN.com. "But hopefully I can one day live up to his reputation."
 
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Soccer EPL Best Bets - Week 4
By Chris David

Week 3 Recap

Saturday’s six-game card produced four draws, which includes a scoreless result between New Castle United and Manchester United from Old Trafford. This outcome was the biggest surprise and bettors expecting the tie could’ve taken advantage of 4/1 odds.

Crystal Palace (-125) was the lone home team to secure a result as it defeated Aston Villa 2-1 at Selhurst Park.

Newly promoted Bournemouth suffered back-to-back 1-0 losses in the first two weeks but quickly forgot about those results as the club captured a 4-3 road victory over West Ham United.

Despite seeing seven goals in this game, the ‘under’ went 4-2 on Saturday.

Chelsea won 3-2 on Sunday morning at The Hawthorns and Manchester City also captured a 2-0 road win, while Watford and Southampton played to draw (0-0).

On Monday, bettors watched Arsenal and Liverpool play to a scoreless draw, which was the third 0-0 tie in Week 3. Overall, there were six draws in Week 3 and those results helped the ‘under’ go 7-3.

Through three weeks, favorites have gone 12-7 with 11 draws. Total players have watched the ‘under’ go 15-14-1.

Champions League

The Premier League will be represented by four clubs in this year’s Champions League.

Odds to win the event for the four listed below:
Chelsea (9/1)
Manchester City (14/1)
Manchester United (14/1)
Arsenal (18/1)

The top three are expected to win their groups while Arsenal is predicted to come in second behind Bayern Munich in Group F.

Matchday 1 begins on Sept. 15-16 right after the International break.

Inside the Numbers

-- Chelsea has allowed seven goals in three games. Last season, the Blues surrendered 32 total goals in the 38-game EPL season.

-- Manchester City has eight goals through three weeks and is on a rampant pace to net over 100. The EPL record for goals in a season is 103, which Chelsea posted in the 2009-10 season.

-- City, Manchester United and Liverpool have all posted clean sheets in their first three games.

Top 4

Arsenal at New Castle United (Saturday, NBCSN, 7:45 a.m.)

Despite producing three lackluster efforts, Arsenal (-185) is still listed as a sizeable road favorite this weekend at New Castle United (+500).

The Gunners only win came on the road, a 2-1 victory in Week 2 at Crystal Palace. New Castle started the season with a 2-2 draw at home versus Southampton but the offense was shut out in their last two games on the road.

Arsenal has won seven straight versus New Castle, winning both game last year by a combined score of 6-2, helping the ‘over’ cash in each contest.

New Castle captured a 4-1 League Cup win earlier this week, which should help its confidence. Despite scoring two goals in three games, Arsenal does lead the EPL in shots and most believe it’s a matter of time before Arsene Wenger’s team finally starts to connect.

Manchester City vs. Watford (Saturday, NBCSN, 10:00 a.m.)

Newly promoted Watford (+1600) has a chance to shock the soccer world on Saturday but the oddsmakers aren’t giving them much of a chance versus Manchester City (-650). These teams played in a FA Cup matchup in 2014 and City doubled-up Watford 4-2 at home.

Watford has been competitive through three games, earning three points and it probably should’ve defeated Everton in the opener.

City is playing at a different level right now and based on the total (3 ½) for this game, an expected 4-0 win is very doable especially if the favorites get on the board early.

Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace (Saturday, USA, 10:00 a.m.)

Even though Chelsea has gone 8-1-1 in its last 10 matches against Crystal Palace, the last three wins came by one goal. Should bettors expect the same in Week 4?

Crystal Palace is playing with confidence, winning two of its first three games, but it’s still listed as an 8/1 underdog and for good reason. The Blues won’t have captain John Terry available due to suspension and Oscar is expected to miss as well, yet the replacements present just as much quality.

Three points are absolutely necessary for Chelsea and a clean sheet would certainly help the club's mindset as well. Both clubs have seen the ‘over’ cash in all three of their EPL games and the total for Saturday’s game is sitting at 3 (Under -35).

Manchester United at Swansea City (Sunday, NBCSN, 11:00 a.m.)

Sunday’s finale looks like a tough match to handicap but the oddsmakers have installed Manchester United (+120) as the road favorite over a game Swansea City (+240) club. Neither of the clubs have suffered a loss in league play and the draw (+240) offers a generous return.

Last year, Swansea captured a pair of 2-1 victories over United which snapped a three-game winning streak in this series by the Reds.

United has seen the ‘under’ cash in all three of its EPL games this season and the defense has posted three clean sheets, four if you include their two recent Champions League playoff matches.

The fatigue factor could be in play again for United who earned a spot in the Champions League with a 4-0 win at Bruges on Wednesday. After playing the first leg last week, Man-U produced a scoreless draw versus New Castle United last Saturday. Will it be déjà vu in Week 4?

Fearless Predictions

A 1-2 effort in Week 3 didn’t help the bankroll ($465) but the confidence is still high and I’m expecting goals and results in Week 4 before the league takes its early break. Good Luck!

Straight – Over 2.5 (-125) Arsenal-New Castle United 3 Units

Straight – Over 3.5 (-115) Manchester City-Watford 2 Units

Straight – Sunderland (+345) over Aston Villa 1 Unit

Straight – Tottenham (-110) over Everton 1 Unit
 
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Premier League betting preview: Manchester United out for revenge against Swansea
By SOCCER AUTHORITY

The next round of Premier League fixtures is almost upon us. Soccer Authority breaks down what you need to know.

Newcastle (+500) Draw (+333) Arsenal (-150)

There's no reason to believe Arsenal won't take maximum points on Saturday. The Gunners have a fantastic record against "Bottom 6" teams away from home.

Arsenal also lead the league (last 20 games) in the 'Team to score first' category. Arsenal have found the back of the net first in 14 of their last 20 games.

Newcastle, meanwhile, are yet to win a game in the Premier League this season (Drawn 2, Lost 1).

Key Stat: Arsenal have scored an average of 2.3 goals against Newcastle (last 15 games)
Injuries & Suspensions: Arsenal - Wilshere, Welbeck, Rosicky, Mertesacker (questionable). Newcastle - Sissoko (questionable)


Chelsea (-250) Draw (+420) Crystal Palace (+1000)

There's no question that Chelsea's defense is not what it was last season. The Londoners rank among the worst defenses in the Premier League with seven goals conceded in three games.

Crystal Palace pose a real threat to Chelsea this Saturday. The Eagles have already notched up two wins from their first three games with wins over Norwich and Aston Villa.

Key Stat: Crystal Palace have beaten Chelsea only once in the last 24 years (16 games)
Injuries & Suspensions: Chelsea - John Terry, Oscar. Crystal Palace - Mile Jedinak, Wickham (questionable)


Manchester City (-400) Draw (+650) Watford (+1400)

As the odds suggest, this game should be very one-sided. Man City have a fantastic record of 13 wins from 14 games against newly promoted teams and have won seven of their last eight home games 'To Nil' (Without conceding a goal).

Key stat: Watford have failed to score a goal in their last 247 minutes of soccer (All competitions)

Those of you who can bet on Manchester City 'To win to Nil' should take advantage (+110) on most books.

Injuries & Suspensions: Manchester City - Fernando, Pablo Zabaleta. Watford - Miguel Britos, Lloyd Doyley


Swansea (+270) Draw (+250) Manchester United (+125)

Manchester United are fresh off a 7-1 aggregate win over Club Brugge in the Champions League and their talisman Wayne Rooney got off the mark for the season with a hat-trick so confidence is sky high.

However, Swansea have caused Man United a lot of problems recently. Last season the Swans took six points with a 2-1 win in Old Trafford and another 2-1 victory in Liberty Stadium.

Key Stat: Manchester United have kept a clean sheet (shut-out) in their last four Premier League games.
Injuries & Suspension: Swansea - None. Manchester United - Phil Jones, Marcos Rojo (Doubtful)
 
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Playmaker Eriksen out for Tottenham Saturday
Andrew Avery

Struggling Premier League outfit Tottenham Hotspur will be without dynamic playmaker Christian Eriksen when they host Everton Saturday.

The Dane will miss out thanks to a knee injury that kept from making the trip to Leicester City one week ago. Spurs drew with the Foxes 1-1.

The North London club has been off to a slow start, sitting 15th in the table on two points from three games.

Everton has four points from their first three matches but are coming off a 2-0 loss to Manchester City last week.

Spurs are -104, with the Draw +273 and the Toffees +312.
 
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John Terry to begin suspension versus Palace Saturday
Andrew Avery

Chelsea defender and captain John Terry will serve his suspension as the Blues host Crystal Palace Saturday. Terry was sent off in Chelsea's 3-2 victory over West Brom last week after fouling Salomon Rondon in the 54'.

It hasn't been the best of starts for Chelsea, who have limped out to four points from their first three matches and could face a tricky test from Crystal Palace.

Chelsea is presently -275 with the Draw +400 and Palace +1000.
 
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Travers Stakes Preview
By Anthony Stabile

Triple Crown winner American Pharoah will try to keep his historic, remarkable roll going when he faces nine others in the $1.6 million, G1 Travers going 1 ¼ miles at historic Saratoga in upstate New York this Saturday. Post time is set for 5:46 EDT and it will go as race 11 on an action packed, star studded card that features six other stakes races, five of which are G1s.

Despite the plethora of talent on the undercard, there is no doubt that it’s all about the champ, as Saratoga Springs has been dubbed “Pharoahtoga” since his connections, Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert and his owners, Zayat Stables, announced last weekend after a sensational seven furlong drill in 1:23 1/5 at Del Mar that American Pharoah would indeed try his hand in the Midsummer Derby.

Since becoming the first Triple Crown winner in 37 years with a hard fought tally in the G1 Kentucky Derby and gate to wire scores in both the G1 Preakness and G1 Belmont Stakes, he’s raced just once, down at Monmouth Park on the Jersey Shore, when he gave Baffert his record eighth win in the G1 Haskell Invitational last out.

Under regular rider Victor Espinoza, recently announced as a member of the cast of the new season of “Dancing With the Stars,” American Pharoah sat off the early pace of Competitive Edge before making the lead on the far turn while on his way to a throttled down 2 ¼ victory, his eighth straight and seventh G1 win of his nine race career.

With an apparent lack of any other early speed in the Travers, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see American Pharoah back on the front end under Espinoza in here. They’ll break from post 2.

The same weekend American Pharoah won the Haskell, Texas Red and Frosted finished one-two in the local prep for the Travers, the G2 Jim Dandy.

Winner of the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last fall, Texas Red was winless in just two starts this year going into the Jim dandy in a season that’s been altered by a foot issue. But trainer Keith Desormeaux felt his colt was back after a solid second in the G3 Dwyer behind the undefeated Speightster at Belmont on Independence Day.

Ridden by Keith’s brother Kent, Texas Red was kept closer to the pace in the Jim Dandy, which was just a four horse field, and managed to get first run and hold off the favored Frosted by a half-length.

His newfound tactical speed could put him in position to have first crack at American Pharoah in here but could also put him in the disadvantageous spot of being the one to do the dirty work and chase the champ. He’ll break from post 4.

Frosted, the 3-5 chalk in the Jim Dandy, lost a shoe soon after the start but still managed to run a bang-up race when completely up against it from a pace dynamic.

Trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, who decided to stick to his guns and stay with his off-the-pace style, Frosted has run very well in all of his starts since a minor breathing issue was corrected in the winter.

A win in the G1 Wood Memorial was followed by a fourth place finish in the Derby and runner-up finishes in the Belmont and Jim Dandy. McLaughlin and his owners, Godolphin Racing, have been pointing to this race since the Derby. He’ll break from post 6 under Joel Rosario.

Keen Ice has made up ground in his last two starts, a third place Belmont finish and when he was a hard charging second in the Haskell last out and should appreciate the ten furlongs though he is still eligible for an entry level allowance contest. Javier Castellano rides for the first time for trainer Dale Romans from post 7.

The New York bred Upstart was at the very top of the division when the season began but tailed off since being DQed from the win in the G2 Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream this past winter. He returned from a dismal, last place Derby finish to be third in the Haskell last out for trainer Rick Violette. Upstart is a perfect two for two at the Spa and will be ridden for the first time by leading rider Irad Ortiz, Jr. They’ll break from the rail.

Tale of Verve closed from far back to grab place money over the slop in the Preakness for trainer Dallas Stewart but was nowhere to be found in the Belmont or last out in the G2 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer. Gary Stevens rides from post 8.

Smart Transition will try to follow in the footsteps of last years’ Travers winner V.E. Day by using a victory in the Curlin at the Spa last out as a springboard to an upset score in here. Trained by John Shirreffs, Smart Transition closed nicely when four wide last out to win going away and should have little difficulty in getting the extra furlong. John Velazquez, the winningest rider in the history of Saratoga, rides from post 10.

Frammento gets a new rider in Jose Ortiz, his ninth in eleven career starts, as he looks for just the second win of his career for Hall of Famer Nick Zito. He’ll break from post 5. Mid Ocean broke his maiden in start number six at Delaware in his most recent for trainer George Weaver. Manny Franco rides from post 3. King of New York, third most recently in the Curlin for Ken McPeek, would break from post 9 with Julien Leparoux but may opt to run in the G3 Smarty Jones on Saturday at Parx instead of the Travers.

TRAVERS PLAY OF THE DAY:

I think American Pharoah is getting beat. I’m playing Frosted to win and making a trifecta part-wheel using Frosted over American Pharoah, Texas Red and Frammento over all. Good luck!!!
 
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American Pharoah looks to win "superfecta" at Travers
Andrew Avery

American Pharoah will look to make a little history at Saratoga as the horse will attempt to become the first since 1941 to win the "superfecta" of the Triple Crown and Travers Stakes.

According to a tweet from ESPN Stats & Info, only three horses have run the Travers after winning the Triple Crown, with Whirlaway as the only winner back in 1941.

American Pharoah is presently -450 to win the race.
 

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